Aluminum MLB would fit better right now. I almost unloaded the wagon on your Brew-crew yesterday. Lil voice said NEVER NEVER go against a hot team with a cold team . Come on. :-X
You're posting to complain about a play you didn't make?
First post, douchebag already.
I don't see you posting plays - don't disparage and/or discourage those that do.
Take your hands off the keyboard,
step away from the computer,
and go outside and get a life.
(mods - delete this if it's out if line, but I call 'em like I see 'em, and I see a vertical smile.)
Mr.Nascar,save your edge for someone who cares. I am a newby on this site. I have however read the posts for sometime. Most of these handicappers are very good at what they do - thats why they get paid. This fella wants to run his amateur pix by everyone and frankly, so far,his work appears remedial. As for my posts, if the Mods would allow, I would give you selections. I am not in the league of the stars on this site, but I can hold my own with most ams.
If my reply to Plat MLB offended some or all, I apologize...
End date/deadline: 8/31/09
The Standard: 200 units by the deadline
Yesterday MLB: 5-1, +17.0 units
Current standing: -14.3 units
Units remaining: 214.3
Keeping it small for Saturday...
JUNE 13th
$200 SD/LAA OVER 8
Most confident of the three totals tonight as Saunders faces Josh Geer at home. These teams put up 17 last night and they will not close the book on run scoring in this series just yet. No pitchers batting which leaves room for the DHs in this one which youd assume there will be less GIDPs and Ks by the DH taking the pitchers spot in the AL park. Saunders has a 6.50 ERA over his last 3 starts and is due for a strong one. Geer is the big part in this over and it will win if he pitches like he has all season. He has allowed 11 ERs at home in 4 starts in a hitter friendly park. On the road, worse, as he has allowed 15 ERs in 4 outings and opponents have scored 33 in those games. LA will get on the board early and often, sealing this one midway through.
$100 ChW/Mil Over 9.5
The Brewers cruised past the Sox last night and I see them cruising for a second consecutive night against Contreras. Jose Contreras will start today and battle Manny Parra. The Brewers have only won 3 of Parras last 10 starts. On the otherhand, the Sox won for the first time with Contreras on the mound in his last 9 starts. Contreras looked strong at home vs. Detroit, but he is on the road today where he has allowed 17 ERs in just 3 starts this year. Opponents have scored 28 runs total in those 3 games. Milwaukee should hit well, and carry this over on their backs. Sox should be able to get 3-4 of their own in addition.
$100 LAD/Tex Under 10.5
The Rangers have gotten strong starting most of the year at home and it is a major reason why this team is amongst the best in the AL. Feldman will try to follow up a brilliant outing by Padilla last night. Going right back to an under here as both Wolf and Feldman have been successful in 09. Wolf has a 2.58 ERA on the road, and Feldman has only allowed 10 ERs in his last 5 at home. With that being said, the bullpens should put together a similar performance like last night and keep this one under 10.5 runs.
He said watch 'em for a while first. Glad I did, but platinum had a great day yesterday.
Thanks for posting the running total (one less thing for me to have to do!).
Thanks plat!
And . . . confirmed.
The reason they get paid has nothing to do with being talented, and everything to do with it being an industry that is not regulated - which is why 99% of them don't keep records, and most of the ones that do lie about it.
Many of them don't even exist - when you see some of the multi-capper services coming to you from Vegas, what you really have is one long-time losing sports bettor who is not even in Nevada, who turned service, ripped off as many as he could under one name, then when that name was no longer viable, created aliases and got friends and relatives to pose for the pictures they use at their site, in order to milk the same fool customer base.
I like reading picks here, too, even when I know it is a service not fully disclosing that when they say "I hope you all make money off of this" when what they really mean is "I'm gonna throw some shit on the wall here, if it sticks, maybe one of you will buy my football package. If it doesn't, what do I have to lose?"
Most of the service stuff is good fade material. One of the problems is all the contests on the net. There are so many of them, you get a lot of people winning. Then, based on a hot streak at the right time that won them a contest, they try and become tout services. No problem, but I think it should be disclosed up front.
I stick up for no service, having met many of them and knowing most don't bet their plays - they sell them. So when I take a minute out of my day to defend a service, it's rare - and only because I smell vinegar dripping.
End date/deadline: 8/31/09
The Standard: 200 units by the deadline
Yesterday MLB: 2-1, +1.9 units
Current standing: -12.4 units
Units remaining: 212.4
JUNE 14th
$1000 Toronto -115
This one is a tough call because the Marlins have done extremely well with Johnson on the mound. Johnson has not allowed more than 3 ERs in a long while, and the Jays feel they can get to him and get 4 on the board. Marlins bullpen has been solid in this series and in gerneral so the Jays would need to beat on Johnson early and put up enough to win this thing. Brian Tallet has not been all that great of late, but he does come off a shutout performance vs. Texas. Look for that to carry over as he shuts down the fish this afternoon giving his team a golden opportunity to pick up the win. Toronto heads on a 6 game road trip after today so look for them to take care of some business in their final home game before they head out.
$1000 Boston -125
The Red Sox have already made it 5 straight winning series vs. Philly after last nights win and will seal the door on another series sweep today, this time on the road. The Sox have won 5 straight and 10 of their last 12 games. Beckett has had no major issues with Philly, and the Sox are putting up plenty of runs for their starters and I feel no different about today. The Sox have unloaded on teams lately. I dont think this one will get out of hand but the Sox should be able to outscore Philly today. In this situation it is more likely that Boston sweeps rather than Philly stops the sweep. Play the Sox as I look for a 5-3 final today!
$200 Det/Pit Over 9.5
This selection is a part 1 of a possible 2 on totals today. Dontrelle Willis still has not found it. You can tell that his manger lacks confidence as well pulling him before he can get into trouble. The only thing that may save him is pitching against an NL team with the pitcher due up 9th. If you look at his previous outings, most have gone under. All those unders were set at 10 or more runs however, with the last one at 9.5, blowing it away with 13 total runs. Opponents are averaging 4 runs on Ohlendorf in his last 5 outings and his last 3. His last 2 home outings saw the other team scoring 6 total in both gms. This one should get to 12 runs, assuming Willis and Ohlendorf both allow at least 4 each. I dont see that being an issue today.
$200 StL/Cle Under 7.5(ONLY IF Det/Pit total loses)
This play will only be a go on the back end of the Det-Pit total loss. ONLY PLAY THIS SELECTION with a loss on the early game total for today. If the early total wins, this play will not be a graded selection. Carpenter will face off with Cliff Lee, which should be a good cap off of the interleague weekend. If you look at Carpenters stats, he has not allowed much. More recently he is getting hit and runs are being scored but not pouring in. Lee has also followed up last season nicely and with these two starters going at least 13 innings combined tonight I fail to see many scored. The Cards still have not found it offensively and that will ultimately help this one. Look for a 3-2 final in Sundays final game of the day!
Has not been a good run of late. I turn this around starting tonight. Write-ups are for 3 of the 6 plays for tonight including 2 big ones. 10 unit plays have gone 5-6 last 11 so look for a nice run to brew very soon.
I will update all statistics with tomorrows plays. Sunday there was a -24+ unit loss.
JUNE 16th
$1000 LA Dodgers -145
Oakland comes into this one just 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games. They have lost 5 of 6, and have to face a great starter in Kershaw tonight. Kershaw should go pretty deep in this one and allow just 1-2 runs. That is all in fact I see Oakland getting tonight as the Dodgers should be able to put up 5+ in this one. Dodgers have not given Kershaw much run support over his last few starts for them so look for a nice padding for the home starter tonight.
$1000 NY Yankees -360
It is a steep one but these favorites are 19-2 with this angle over the last 3+ seasons laying -200+ in a game. The runline may be better suited, especially the way things are going but stats are based on SU moneylines. Sabathia shut out Washington just last season and considering the Yanks bats have been hot recently, I just can not see the Nats putting up more in this contest. Remember, as I recently pointed out the Nats are horrendous in opening series games. They currently stand at 4-17 on the season and just 1-9 in game 1 road series. Martis will go for the Nats today, and opponents have averaged roughly 7 runs in his outings, mostly in part of the bullpen woes in Washington. Yanks should get at least 7 in this one unless they decide to play down to this league worst club.
$200 Arizona/KC Over 8.5
Look for at least a possible dozen tonight as I see both of these starters struggling. Davis will face Meche. Doug Davis shut out KC last season so look for a bit of revenge by the Royals tonight. Royals are also starting to get hot after falling out of the division race. They come in after a sweep of the Reds. Zona has allowed 7 runs in the last 4 Davis road starts that he wasnt accounted for. That leaves a weak bullpen for the Royals hungry offense. KC should be able to put up 5 or more here, and looking at Meche, he steadily gives up 3 or more on average at home. Meche has struggled at times to go deep in ballgames which led to opponents having a field day scoring. Opponents have averaged 8 runs per Meche start over his last 5 home outings. Take the over, should get it easily.
$500 Colorado -115
$500 Atlanta -125
$500 San Diego +125
FYI - in case anyone hasn't caught on yet.
This is the service that now calls itself Aftermath of the Storm.
If anyone cares to look around, you'll find plenty of info on him.
You won an internet contest - once
(as if no one in the history of sports betting ever got lucky and went on a win streak) and decided you could get others to pay you for your picks.
At the end of May you went into - what, 8, 9, 10 forums to try out your latest attempt to hit a win streak again and then get someone to buy your season football pkg?
You are coming off the worst night of your new scam, which is saying a lot because you have been pretty bad all the way through - a night in which a standard $100 bettor would have lost $2,400.00 if anyone has been ignorant enough to follow - and you follow it up by betting even more money your next night, including a limit bet on the biggest fav on the board?
Even if the Yanks win, increasing the amount of your wagers, chasing losses and betting the biggest fav on the board - a $3600 favorite!! - is as amatuer as you can get. Too fukin funny.
The intention was never to help bettors here with a few winners, your opening phrase stating so was a fraud. Your intention here, as in the all the other forums you're selling in, was to hope to get lucky again, and then get someone here to pay you for football. Rather than disclose your purpose, you misrepresented yourself. Too bad you're not betting on these picks yourself - you earned the losses.
Definitely not what I wanted last night but the way things have gone I will take it and am pleased that the 10 unit plays both came through. I may have one play later and will get back in here by 5 pm eastern to finalize the current standing. Wanted to get this play up as fast as possible due to the early start!
JUNE 17th
$1000 San Fran -170
San Fran needs a a good outing from Lincecum today to get the win. The previous 2 games with LA the Giants could not get 4 innings out of their starters, while LA got 7 strong innings from their starters. Today the results will be reversed as Palmer should get KOd early. Lincecum will go deep in this one. The Giants come into this game 7-1 after a loss and they have gone 9-3 at home in their last 12. Palmer is 6-0 for LA on the year but has a 5.62 ERA on the road and will not get enough run support to help his cause today. Lincecum has looked sharp recently, allowing just 5 ERs in his last 5, with 2 home shutouts in a row. He hasnt allowed a run at home in his last 2. SF has the advantage pitching wise and thats all they will need today!
Here are the other 2 I have going tonight, June 17th...
$300 Mil/Cle Under 10.5
David Huff has impressed after starting his career in Cleveland on a sour note. His first two starts this year ended up showing him allowing 13 ERs in just less than 7 innings. Since then he has settled in and although he hasnt gone deep in any games but for 1, he has limited ERs allowed over his last 4 games. He has seemingly gotten better whith each outing and in his last he allowed 3 Ers in over 7 innings of work. Surprisingly, at a 10.5 total margin of runs, Huff has gone under that total 3 of his last 4 with finals of 3,7,12, and 10 runs. Suppan has been sharp also lately and has allowed 5 ERs in his last 4 road outings, 2 of them shutouts. After two massive run scoring nights look for a cease in the offense with a more defensive outlook in this one.
$300 Tampa Bay +105
The Rockies finally lost a game. The first time they allowed double digit runs since May 25 and the first game where they allowed more than 4 since their win streak. After getting into a comfort zone with winning Colorado may flip this around and start losing several. With that being said the starting pitching favors TB with Price who has really allowed 1 ER per start. The problem has been the bullpen, but TB handled Colorado nicely and should continue pitching better. Tampa is on a 6 game win streak and this will continue tonight. Cook allowed 6 ERs in his last outing vs. TB. This season after allowing 1 ER in 2 consecutive starts he allowed 4 ERs. Look for TB to rough him and keep to their winning ways.
I think you need to give it up
End date/deadline: 8/31/09
The Standard: 200 units by the deadline
Current standing: -76.10 units
Units remaining: 276.10
Can't say I am not ashamed of the current start to this little personal challenge. Even 10 unit plays are struggling going just 7-7 after a tremendous start. Look for these babies to get hot soon. Looking at a possible 13-3 run over the next 16 to solidify what I stated(near 70% winning clip). I have my work cut out for me, but just as there has been some real bad days, there can and will be good ones, real good ones when this turns around. I will certainly finish this out win or lose thru August 31st. In fact, I do have 75 days left which makes this an even greater accomplishment if it pulls through. I told everyone to watch for a few weeks first. Let's see how this finishes out!
6/18/09
$1000 Philly -160
$300 St. Louis -115
$300 Hou/Tex Under 10.5
Integrity-challenged, or mathematically-challenged?
Probably both, so let me help.
Ignoring your bankroll losses (difficult as that may be since a 1k bettor would be down almost $80,000.00 in just a few days had they been stupid enough to fall for this crap) your current record is at about, what? 20-28?
If you go 13-3 as you state above (and perhaps you are dsylexic too, and meant to say 3-13, which is more in line with your actual play and results) you would be at 33-31, a FAR cry from the "near 70%" you claim.
To get to 67% from your current record you would have to get to 56-28, or 36-0.
Since most of your plays are typical Joe Public - favs and overs - and the only thing more amatuerish than your play is your money management - I estimate you should reach that mark around . . . never.
My numbers may be off by 1 or 2 wins or losses, as I did this quickly - of course this may have been easier if you hadn't stopped posting your W/L record the minute it became a losing record (or, in other words, just 2 days after you started trolling for customers here.)
And I understand that the industry is permeated by BS, but how do you come up with an estimate of a record over an upcoming period of time? "Looking at a possible 13-3 over the next 16 plays" ??!! - that is some real fertilizer.
You not only have your next 16 plays planned out, which games, which pitchers - but your record too! It's amazing the stuff you con artists come up with.
Keep posting, as you've already been told, you make Lang look talented.
And can you bump us up on the list of forums you are cut/pasting/trolling in, and post earlier here? I missed out on getting in on Toronto today because they started before you got here.
I try to stay out of these threads but I have to say anyone who would give out a play on the Yankees for $1000 at -360 and consistently play favs larger than -130 is no handicapper I want to follow.
How someone can in good conscience recommend laying $3600 to win $1000 on a coin flip is either a moron or the worst handicapper in the world.
Nothing personal in my comments but all of the basic sports gambling principles of baseball are being broken in these posts.
I do like reading the commentary about how bad things have been each day at the beginning of these posts though. Very entertaining watching someone come up with new ways to backpedal.