Marc Lawrence
Philadelphia Phillies
Matt Fargo
10* Detroit Tigers
PHILLY CONNECTION
3* Angels -115
Scott Rickenbach
Red Sox/Tigers Over
JR O'Donnell
3* Flyers /Bruins Over 5
We feel that Bruins net minder Rask who has been very shaky at best and back up Flyers goalie Michael Leighton, who has seen less than 100 playoff minutes and has lost 4 straight on the road, will allow some pressure goals tonight, Power play ratings have this baby at 5.8 goals and we will fade the public big time here as they will all line up on the Under, Not JR. Stats and trends favor the under here and we will throw those out and use feel and solid capping to make the play a 3* winner on the OVER 5-120
Rocketman
3* Phillies +120
Bob Balfe
Oakland Athletics +105
Braden is coming off of a no-hitter, so obviously he can only go on the decline from here as he already hit his high, but the Angels are atrociously terrible at generating runs this year. Look for Oakland to squeeze out a win behind another Braden gem. Take the A's.
Dave Cokin
Matchup: St Louis at Cincinnati
Time: 7:10 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (L) GARCIA, J vs. (R) HARANG, A
Play: Cincinnati (ML +120)
Jaime Garcia has been a revelation so far for the Cardinals. He's come all the way back from arm surgery and has been superb throughout the early going for the Cardinals. But the southpaw is overpriced tonight as he goes against Aaron Harang and the Reds. St. Louis is simply not playing well right now. They aren't hitting and they have not been sharp defensively. As for the Reds, they're on a five-game winning streak and Harang has finally shown signs of recapturing his old form with three straight quality starts. I still give Garcia the edge as far as the pitching goes, but that is overridden by the more important team factors, which clearly favor Cincy right now. Add in the decent home dog odds and it's a spot where the Reds are worth backing.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at San Diego
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) ORTIZ, Ra vs. (R) GARLAND, J
Play: San Diego (ML -135)
Good things don't last forever, and based on the number tonight for the Dodgers-Padres contest, it appears as though stealing value with the underrated Friars is finally coming to an end. That means I'll likely be playing on San Diego less frequently and it may now be time to start looking for spots to go against them. But I'm taking the Padres tonight, even at what is perhaps a minimally inflated price. They're hot and so are the Dodgers, but the pitching hookup tonight dictates this call. Jon Garland is on a monster roll for the Padres and is clearly a go with pitcher right now. And I definitely do not mind fading Ramon Ortiz at all. In addition to being a mostly unreliable pitcher for most of his career, Ortiz has been working out of the pen, and he likely won't go past five innings unless he's razor sharp. So if the home team is in this one in the middle innings, they have to rate the chalk role down the stretch with their outstanding bullpen likely having to work fewer innings tonight. Back the Padres to garner another win
NSA
20* TIGERS +115
20* TB -175
20* FLYERS +115
10* PHILLIES +110
10* SF -145
10* TEXAS +115
Vince Akins
A's at Angels
Pick: A's +115
The difference in starters in this one is tremendous and the value you are getting with it is too good to pass up. You might think Dallas Braden falls here coming off the perfect game but in fact he’s been a solid pitcher all season. The same can’t be said about Joe Saunders, who has been brutal this year.
Obviously Braden is coming off a win, his perfect game effort from Sunday. The Athletics are 5-1 since April 30, 2009 when Dallas Braden starts as a dog after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $605.
Joe Saunders won his last start, but that’s sure been a rarity this season. Oakland is a team which often puts the ball on the ground and that does not bode well for Saunders. The Angels are 1-7 since October 17, 2009 when Joe Saunders starts vs a team that has hit more grounders than fly balls season-to-date for a net profit of $665 when playing against.
Oakland also strikes out a lot and Saunders is just not the kind of strikeout pitcher who can take advantage. The Angels are 0-4 since July 27, 2009 when Joe Saunders starts as a home favorite vs a team that has averaged 7+ strikeouts per game for a net profit of $535 when playing against.
These same two pitchers faced off in early April, in a 9-4 Oakland win. The Athletics are 9-2 since July 12, 2009 as a road dog when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher for a net profit of $1125
Both teams enter this game as losers of two straight. LA never led in either of the games. The Angels are 0-4 since August 25, 2009 at home when they are off two losses in which they never led for a net profit of $645 when playing against.
Look for Braden to show up in this situation as the Athletics are 5-1 since April 13, 2009 when Dallas Braden starts as a dog after the team lost their last two games for a net profit of $605.
Kiki Sports
2* Dodgers
1* Texas
1* Kansas City
BIG AL
3* Marlins/Mets Over 9
3* Orioles -130
ATS LOCK CLUB
5 Units Cardinals
4 Units Padres
4 Units Angels
4 Units Jacksonville -5.5
CRAIG DAVIS
100 Dime St. Louis -130
Erin Rynning
Florida Marlins