Power Play of the Day
Kansas/North Carolina under 160
Gavazzi
3* UCLA
3* Kansas
3* 76ers
3* Washington
JB Sports
2* Chicago Bulls
Marc Lawrence
5* UCLA
3* Kansas
SPORTS UNLIMITED
5* Memphis
Alatex
15* Memphis U. Over
Teddy June’s MLB Total of the Day (MLB Totals YTD: 4-1 80%)
My 5* MLB Total of the Day is the LA Dodgers/San Diego Padres Under the posted total. Terrific pitching matchup here as Brad Penny squares off against Jake Peavy in the pitchers friendly park PETCO field. Each starter looked strong in their first meeting with Penny going 6.2 innings with 0 ER’s and Peavy 7 innings and 0 ER’s. Peavy faced the Dodgers 5 times last year, 3-0, 34.2 IP, 2.08 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP while Penny faced the Padres once going 7 IP, 1 ER, and a 1.00 WHIP. The Dodgers have been part of some very low O/U numbers and for good reason as they really don’t present a ton of pop in this lineup. They will have to manufacture runs for the most part outside of Jones and will stand behind some strong pitching. Their bullpen has been terrific which has been no surprise as Broxton sets up Saito for one of the best 1-2 punches. The bullpen has combined for 11.1 innings, a 1.06 WHIP and a 1.59 ERA. The Padres have gone under in 2 of their 3 games thus far and have also been a part of some very low lines. Outside of their game on 04/02 in which Maddux and Rodriguez got shelled they were in a 3-2 game, a 2-1 game and a 4-0 game. Their bullpen outside of that particular game has been very good with Heath Bell doing a terrific job setting up the veteran Hoffman. Two small ball teams that don’t present a ton of power, two stud starters, a pitchers park, a very low line and two very solid bullpens should give us a nice low scoring affair for this one. I currently have this line at 6.5 with plus juice. My 5* MLB Total of the Day is the Dodgers/Padres Under the posted total. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.
Teddy June’s College Basketball UCLA/Memphis Winner (10-3 Last 13 All Sports Selections)
My 10* College Basketball UCLA/Memphis Winner is the Memphis Tigers minus the points over the UCLA Bruins. A lot of experts have argued this week that the difference in this game is going to be UCLA’s defense and Kevin Love down low. As far as UCLA’s defense is concerned there is no question they will bring pressure both around the perimeter and in the paint but they are not as athletic as the Tigers and I really think Memphis’ speed is going to surprise this Bruins group. They also don’t bring the kind of depth the Tigers have off the bench. Memphis is very quick and they are led by a floor general who may just be a freshman but plays like a senior in Derrick Rose, Rose is a kid that rarely forces a bad shot, is a terrific passer and is the ultimate point key as he makes quick good decisions and takes high percentages shots. The big advantage in the back court is going to be the length of the Tigers with Rose over Collision and CDR once again being a guy that defenses really can’t do much to stop. I have really yet to see someone really shut down CDR this season as his length and ability to get the basket is unparallel to anyone in the nation, while all the attention is on Love, CDR is the best player on the floor in my opinion. In the front court Memphis is very talented and I think all this Kevin Love talk this week is a bit ridiculous. The Tigers have Dorsey, Dozier and Taggart all of which are pretty good defensively and are having strong NCAA tournaments. While all the talk has been about UCLA’s defense, Memphis is a team that has played incredible defense in this tournament and has been very good defensively all season long. They ranked 8th in FG% against at 38.8, 8th in 3PT% against at 30.3, 13th in the country in offensive rebounding and 10th in the country in defensive rebounding. They held Michigan State to 20 first half points, they held Texas to 28 first half points and 36.2% shooting including 32.1% from the 3 point line. I have seen a team in Memphis all tournament that wants this more than any other team in the country, a team that steps out on the floor with a swagger and a confidence they will not only beat you but do it convincingly. Coach Cal has these kids buying into the underdog role of the remaining 4 teams and I expect Memphis to get the job done here and advance to the Championship game. I currently have this line at -2 and have this rated at 10* up to -4. My 10* College Basketball UCLA/Memphis Winner is the Memphis Tigers minus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.
Teddy June’s Private Players Club
My 10* Private Players Club Selection is the Kansas Jayhawks plus the points over the North Carolina Tar Heels. I currently have this line at +3 and have this rated at 10* down to +1. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.
The Killer Move's
10* Orlando/Cleveland UNDER
10* North Carolina
WINNERS EDGE
Memphis - 2 3 units
Johnny Guild
Memphis Tigers - 2
North Carolina Tar Heels - 3.5
GINA
Toronto Raptors (38-38) at New Jersey Nets (31-45)
The struggling New Jersey Nets have dropped four in a row, but have split the last six meetings versus Toronto at the Izod Center. Go with the Nets at home tonight in a needed win to keep their playoff possibility alive. The Raptors have been awful away from home, dropping seven of their last eight on the road, just 16-22 this season. New Jersey is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall at home.
New Jersey Nets
3:00 p.m. Orlando (47-28) at Cleveland (42-34) Orlando Magic + 2
7:30 p.m. Toronto (38-38) at NJ Nets (31-45) New Jersey Nets + 4
MLB
San Francisco Giants (1-3) at Milwaukee Brewers (3-1)
San Francisco's right-hander Kevin Correia went 3-1 with a 2.54 ERA in eight starts at the finish of last season. Correia is 1-0 with a 4.32 ERA in nine appearances, including two starts against the Brewers.
Milwaukee's left-hander Manny Parra went 0-1 with a 3.76 ERA in nine appearances last season including two starts. The rookie had a 3.38 ERA in three appearances against the Giants last year.
San Francisco has dropped seven of their last 9 games on the road and is 2-10 in its last 12 against the Brewers in Milwaukee.
Milwaukee Brewers - 180
Mr A's
Philadelphia 76ers - 5
Sacramento Kings + 11
DOC'S
4 Unit Play.Take Memphis -2 over UCLA
The JV contest features a stark contrast in style and I fully believe the Bruins luck is about to run out. They played their first four tournament games at favorable sites (Anaheim & Phoenix) but now must travel to Texas to take on the Tigers. Memphis played two outstanding games in the Regionals to earn a trip to the Final Four pounding two big name programs in Michigan State and Texas. That is in stark contrast to beating Western Kentucky and Xavier two programs from mid-major conferences. UCLA may have the best player on the floor in Kevin Love, but the Tigers are more athletic and quicker and the Bruins have had problems scoring points all season long. Memphis marches onto the finals denying UCLA the championship plaque for the third straight year.
6 Unit Play.Take North Carolina -3 over Kansas
It’s the Roy Williams gave as his worlds collide in the nightcap of Final Four Saturday. The Jayhawks cleared a major hurdle on Sunday knocking off Davidson to reach the Final Four for the first time in the Bill Self era. Kansas played not to lose against Davidson and I question how hungry they will be in this contest since they already have gotten their monkey off of their backs. Carolina has been explosive throughout the tournament winning all four of their games by double digits including three blowout in the first three rounds of the NCAA tournament. Tyler Hansbrough has been a beast inside and has hit numerous big shots to propel his squad to victory numerous times this season. Carolina has yet to lose a game on the road this year and that streak will continue right into Monday night’s title game.
Vegas Runner
UCLA / Memphis Under 135 2* TOTAL WAGER **
Throughout the Tournament, we have not been worried of losing sales to guarantee that we not only put in as much work as possible, but more importantly, also have a chance to use all the sources that we have access to...and that is why we have waited to Upload our Selections into the Package until not only the day of the game, but also, until only hours to Tip-Off....and that approach has allowed us to go "30-14" so far in this Tournament on these Heavy Hitters and an even more impressive "13-4" on our Biggest Bets....and although we are still Confirming the rest of the card...we see a number up now that we feel the need to take advantage is now...
We definately believe that it is possible that with all the Public Money coming in on the Over in this contest, that the chance of this Total going up is definately present...but with Bodog offering it up at 135, I just can't leave it to chance that the Wiseguys come in and blast this Total Under and then have us looking at a 132....
The Botttom Line here is the fact that as you know by know, our Totals are primarily based on our Numbers being different from what is offered and then after more work is done to see if the perceived error is justified, we make a decision on whether or not, the Value is still present...and in this case it definately is...
LVSC sent this number out to the books at 133 and the only reason for that is because of the public perception surrounding the Memphis Tigers, as well as the fact that they have seen UCLA be able to adapt when forced to pick up the pace...but I will tell you that their ratings did not show this Total to be this high...and neither did ours...I made this one 130.5 and that was with the adjustment for public perception...and it wasn't until I was informed that Head Linesmaker and CEO of LVSC, Ken White had actually brought his number out at "128", that I know I didn't miss seeing something....
If there is one thing that we have learned from this Tournament, its the fact that it is much easier to force the opponent to slow it down, than it is to make them speed it up...and I believe that UCLA will look to their defense and insist on making this a half-court game where Memphis will have more of a problem using their athleticism as an advantage...and Calipari being the excellent coach that he is, he is definately aware of this and I believe has definately worked on the 1/2 court offensive sets and is willing to grind it out and play D to try and move on...more importantly, when it comes to playing basketball in a dome, like they will be for this Final Four....depth perception is just such a huge factor and should lead to lower scoring with just that fact alone....but then when you factor in the nerves that these kids will have with so much on the line...this number of 135 is just way to high in my opinion...even though I can easily understand why the oddsmakers sent it out higher than they should have, and why the books have continued to raise it...because lets tell it like it is...the money will continue to flow on the Over...
Lets go ahead and take advantage of this number now, because I was actually even ready to go Under anything 133 and above...and this will be our first wager for the Final Four...with the rest to follow.
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
MONSTER $500,000 BASEBALL WINNER
Cleveland w/Sabathia -150
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
$500,000 FINAL FOUR PLAY OF THE YEAR
816 North Carolina -3
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
$500,000 NBA EASTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
807 Toronto -5.5