Jimmy The Moose
Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays
Reason: Prior to last night's game the Jays had won 7 of their last 8 games. Toronto has won 8 of their last 10 road games. Toronto is 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Blue Jays send Marcum, 5-3 with a 2.74 ERA, to the mound tonight. The Jays are 7-4 in the 11 games he's started this season. Toronto has won 5 of his last 6 starts overall and 7 of his last 9 road starts. The Angels counter with Lackey tonight who will be making his 3rd start of the season. Lackey's pitched pretty good but the Angels have lost 2 of his 3 starts. The Angels are 2-5 in Lackey's last 7 starts vs. Toronto. The Blue Jays are the hotter team right now and look for Marcum to outpitch Lackey in this one. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays +.
Jim Feist
CLE Indians and KC Royals.
Take CLE Indians
A pair of struggling veteran pitchers here, but one has quietly turned things around. Cleveland ace C.C. Sabathia is 3-6 on the season with a high ERA, but look what he.5?s done lately: a 1.17 ERA his last three starts. He fanned 24 in 23 innings with just 5 walks. KC starter Brett Tomko also has 6 losses and few wins, but he's getting worse: A 6.11 ERA for the season and a 7.16 ERA his last three starts. Last place KC averages just 3 runs per game at home! A much better spot for the visitors. Play the Indians!
Jeff Benton
Bad call Friday with the Marlins, who jumped out to a 3-0 first-inning lead against the Phillies, then got blitzed from there in a 12-3 loss. For Saturday’s free play, we’ll switch over to American League action on the West Coast and play the Tigers against the Mariners in a virtual pick-em contest.
Great matchup of ace pitchers in this one, with Detroit’s Justin Verlander going up against the Mariners’ Felix Hernandez. However, it is Verlander who is in better form; although he’s just 1-1 over his last three starts, he has a 1.89 ERA, yielding just four runs in 19 innings. That includes a 12-8 home victory over the Mariners on May 20, in which Verlander went six innings and surrendered just a single run on four hits and one walk with seven strikeouts.
That makes Verlander 5-0 with a 2.43 ERA in five career starts against the Mariners – and those five wins have come by a combined margin of 42-23, all multi-run victories.
As for Hernandez, he’s been wildly inconsistent over the past month, posting just two quality starts in his last six trips to the hill. During this six-start stretch, Hernandez has a 5.54 ERA, and the Mariners are just 1-5. Also, even though Seattle was victories in Hernandez’s two starts against Seattle last year, it’s not like the big right-hander was all that effective; he got rocked for nine runs (eight earned) and 20 hits in 11 1/3 innings.
Finally, Detroit is 4-0 against the Mariners this year, 7-1 in the last eight meetings overall and 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Seattle. Play Verlander and the hard-hitting Tigers here.
Matt Rivers
For Saturday take the Braves in Cincinnati.
Bobby Cox' Bravos have been nothing less than brutal on the road and in one run games. This trend has got to stop for the law of averages alone and today very well could be another rare Atlanta road win.
Josh Fogg is extremely mediocre. The former Rockie and Pirate righty could be good, he could be bad. Fogg does not scare me in the slightest and to be able to grab the hottest hitter on the planet in Chipper Jones along with Mark Teixeira, Brian McCann, Jeff Francouer, Yunel Escobar and the rest of the Braves in the hitter friendly Grat American Ballpark makes me believe that Fogg will not last more than four or five innings.
Jair Jurrjens has been a rock for the Braves so far this season. The righty has had a blister issue but this kid has been extremely impressive and I don't see him doing anything but competing hard and looking good once again. No doubt the Reds at home have been pretty good and this team does have an upside with Dunn, Griffey, Phillips and others but Atlanta swept Cincinnati at Turner Field in the beginning of May and are the flat out far superior club.
Better hurler, better offense (probably) and overall a better everything makes me all about the visiting Bravos!
Valley Sports
MLB Baseball
Oakland Over Texas
Arena Football
Orlando Over Arizona
Locksmith Sports
1 Unit on D-backs/Nats OVER 8
With Webb on the hill one would think that the UNDER would be the call, but oddsmakers have set the bar too low here and the numbers also suggest otherwise. The Over is 5-0 in Webb's last 5 home starts. The Over is 16-6 in the Diamondbacks last 22 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 6-1 in the Diamondbacks last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, and 27-13-1 in the Diamondbacks last 41 home games vs. a team with a losing record. These teams totals 11 runs in yesterday's game and with the D-backs in bounce back mode, I expect them to put some more runs on the board today to send this one over the total.
Jeff Alexander Sports
1 Unit on Nationals +204
The Snakes have hit a rough spot and I don’t think that even Webb can pull them out of it here. The Nats are a great wager at this price as the D-backs are clearly being valued higher than they should be with the way they’re playing. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter, 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series, 0-4 in their last 4 overall, and 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games. The Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. I like the Nats here.
Black Magic Sports
1 Unit on Boston Red Sox -125
You won’t find Boston as a small favorite like this very often. Jon Lester has shown his potential this season by throwing a no-hitter against the Royals just a few weeks back. Lester has allowed just 5 earned runs over his last 3 starts for a nice 2.25 ERA during this run. He is coming into his own as a starting pitcher on this already solid starting staff in Boston. Lester is 3-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 4 career starts against Baltimore. Garrett Olson is 0-2 with a 7.63 ERA in 3 career starts against Boston. You can see why this free play is a solid choice just from those lifetime numbers alone. But then you consider that Boston is 16-3 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season and you know this is the right play. Cash in with Boston as the favorite.
Info Plays
3* on Seattle Mariners -106
Play On - Home teams (SEATTLE) - starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing against opponent starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest. This is a 122-73 ML System hitting 62.6% over the last 5 seasons. Felix Hernandez always brings his best stuff against the top opponents in this league. Justin Verlander has failed to bring his best stuff all season. The Tigers are just 2-9 in Verlander’s 11 starts this year. Detroit is 4-15 against the Money Line in day games this season. King Felix has a career 3.86 ERA against the Tigers through 4 starts. He will come to play Saturday, and this time he will finally get the run support he needs to come out with the victory. Bet Seattle at home.
Gator Report
MLB 70% Super Situations (MLB Record 16-11 +472 units)
MLB (16-11 +472) Saturday:Play Against MLB (NL) road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse on the season. 66-16 since 1997 (80.5%)
PLAY: San Francisco -110
Alex Smart
Cleveland -163
CC Sabathia the Cleveland Indians ace and stater today against the struggling KC Royals , is currently in top form after some early season inconsistencies, and has now reverted back to last years Cy Young award status. The lefty stopper, is 2-1 along with a minuscule 1.20 ERA in his L/4 starts .With momentum and a great deal of talent on his side , I expect he will be one of the catalysts behind a Indians road victory tonight. Final notes & Key Trends: KC is in a free fall having lost 12 straight games. Indians are 9-3 in Sabathias last 12 starts vs. Royals . The Tribe have won 5 straight road games in this series. Play on the Indians
Brandon Lang
15 Dime - Cubs Run Line
5 Dime - Tigers
5 Dime - Blue Jays
DUNKEL
MLB
Boston at Baltimore
After losing in extra innings last night, the Orioles look to bounce back and come into the contest with 7-3 record when listed as a home underdog between +100 and +125. Baltimore is the underdog pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120). Here are all of today's games.
SATURDAY, MAY 31
Game 951-952: Colorado at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Rusch) 13.785; Cubs (Dempster) 15.800
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-250); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-250); N/A
Game 953-954: Atlanta at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 14.847; Cincinnati (Fogg) 15.161
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+125); Under
Game 955-956: LA Dodgers at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.639; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.917
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Over
Game 957-958: San Diego at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Banks) 15.302; San Francisco (Misch) 15.066
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under
Game 959-960: Houston at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 14.967; Milwaukee (Sheets) 14.595
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170); Under
Game 961-962: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.611; Philadelphia (Hamels) 17.384
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-215); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-215); Over
Game 963-964: Pittsburgh at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.963; St. Louis (Parisi) 15.033
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Over
Game 965-966: Washington at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Bergmann) 13.575; Arizona (Webb) 15.021
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-220); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-220); Over
Game 967-968: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 14.368; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.523
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-105); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-105); Under
Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Vazquez) 14.593; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 16.172
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-145); Over
Game 971-972: Boston at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 14.249; Baltimore (Olson) 14.953
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120); Under
Game 973-974: Cleveland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sabathia) 14.509; Kansas City (Davies) 14.822
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+150); Under
Game 975-976: NY Yankees at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Wang) 16.231; Minnesota (Bonser) 14.410
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-155); Over
Game 977-978: Oakland at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Blanton) 16.477; Texas (Feldman) 14.846
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-105); 10
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-105); Under
Game 979-980: Toronto at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 16.583; LA Angels (Lackey) 15.609
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+125); Over
NHL
Pittsburgh at Detroit
The Penguins look to tie up the series and come into the contest with a 6-2 record at home when the total is listed at 5 or less. Pittsburgh is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120). Here are all of today's games.
SATURDAY, MAY 31
Game 7-8: Detroit at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.369; Pittsburgh 13.571
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Over
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)
REDWINGS / PENGUINS OVER 5
We pushed our last time out on the total but we have yet to lose a NHL play - off selection. We'll stick with the same reasoning as the last game played for this over. Detroit has basically owned Pittsburgh other than the last game out which not for a mental error, Detroit could have won. We know Detroit can score on Pittsburgh. The Penguins did win last time out but nothing changes the fact they will be down 3-1 tonight if they lose. That's not a good position to be in as history is not on your side going down by that number. It's of the most extreme importance that Pittsburgh gets this win tonight to even this series up to 2-2. As we have stated in the past, this type of situation brings a sense of desperation and that equates to elevated play or a bulk of mistakes. Either situation leads to elevated scoring production by either team. With a line of 5, we figure at worst we see a push. It keeps value on the game and helps to lower your at risk. Pitt should be in a comfort zone on home ice and Detroit just continues to plow as the big red machine.Take Over 5
TONY WESTON
Tonight Im sticking with some more American League action as Im going with the red hot Tampa Bay Rays over the Chicago White Sox.
The teams have split the first two games of this series and for the year the Sox hold a 3-2 advantage over the Rays.
But Tampa is still 22-10 at home this year and is 18-3 its last 21 in front of the home crowd, including a 6-2 mark this current home stretch.
Scheduled to make the start for the Rays tonight is Scott Kazmir, who is 4-1 this year with a 1.50 ERA. He is undefeated his last four starts and has allowed only one earned run in 19 innings of work his last three home starts.
Kazmir will once again shut out his opponent in front of the home fans and be impressive once again.
Pencil in Kazmir as your starting pitcher and take the Rays at home.
3* RAYS