Karl Garrett
Oakland at WHITE SOX -125
Look for the White Sox to get a win tonight at home against an Oakland team that has won the first two of this holiday weekend four game set.
Keep in mind that even with those two losses, Chicago is still 30-13 at home this season, and a large part of that succes is because of Gavin Floyd.
Floyd takes the mound tonight with a 6-1 mark at US Cellular this season, and his ERA is a slender 2.87. The G-Man expects Floyd to get the Sox on board with another quality home start.
Oakland had been slumping prior to hitting the Windy City, as they had lost 4 of 5 before taking the first two this weekend. The Athletics will go with Greg Smith who is coming off a complete game win at the Angels, but it is questionable whether he can turn the trick again on the road.
The G-Man doesn't think he can!
Roll with the Pale Hose in this one.
2♦ WHITE SOX
Chris Jordan
Oakland at CHICAGO -130
Play the White Sox over the visiting Athletics Saturday night, as there shouldn't be any issue with Gavin Floyd toeing the rubber for us in this one.
The crafty right-hander comes in off a solid showing looked Monday against the Indians, much better than he had in either of his previous two starts, as he struck out a career-high 10 batters. Anyone who watched his quality start against the Tribe saw the return of his offspeed command, as he his changeup was hitting the zone with ease.
Also, Chicago comes in on winning runs of 5-0 in Floyd's last five home starts, 6-1 in his last seven starts overall and 7-2 in its last nine overall. On the other hand, the A's are 7-13 in their last 20 as an underdog and 1-4 in Greg Smith's last five starts as the pup.
Take the South Siders in this one, as they'll roll the A's tonight.
3♦ WHITE SOX
Bob Balfe
Phillies -115 over Mets
Moyer/Maine
Dave Cokin.
KC Royals and TB Rays
Take TB Rays
Zack Greinke is doing a stellar job for the Royals, and when he's on his game he's tough as nails. But there just doesn't seem to be a way to beat this Rays team at home these days, and they usually garner lots of support when Andy Sonnanstine takes the mound. Considering how dominating this team is at home, I see the number here being too low and I'll look for the Rays to win yet again.
Jim Feist
TOR Blue Jays and LA Angels
Take Under
A pair of aces on the mound here in Roy Halladay and John Lackey. Both are workhorses and on a roll. Halladay has a 1.99 ERA his last three starts and is leading the league in innings pitched. Lackey has a 0.74 ERA his last three starts and just 1.44 for the season. The Angels have been an under the total machine this season with that weak offense and great pitching, starting 52-29 under. Look for that trend to continue with these two aces throwing goose eggs. Play the Blue Jays/Angels under the total.
Dunkel Index
Today's MLB Picks
Cleveland at Minnesota
Minnesota starter Kevin Slowey is 3-0 with a 0.93 ERA over his last four starts and will look to take advantage of Cleveland's 4-13 record as a road underdog between +100 and +125. The Twins are the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has Minnesota favored by 3 1/2.
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120).
Here are all of today's games.
SATURDAY, JULY 5
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 15.788; St. Louis (Lohse) 14.866
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+105); Over
Game 903-904: NY Mets at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Maine) 15.101; Philadelphia (Moyer) 16.799
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Over
Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 16.799; Milwaukee (Bush) 14.704
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Under
Game 907-908: Houston at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Sampson) 13.465; Atlanta (Reyes) 14.782
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Over
Game 909-910: Washington at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Redding) 14.595; Cincinnati (Fogg) 13.590
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+115); Over
Game 911-912: Florida at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Tucker) 13.914; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.651
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); Over
Game 913-914: San Diego at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Peavy) 13.417; Arizona (Davis) 14.910
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-105); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-105); Under
Game 915-916: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Park) 15.160; San Francisco (Zito) 16.319
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+100); Under
Game 917-918: Boston at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Masterson) 15.188; NY Yankees (Mussina) 15.460
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Over
Game 919-920: Texas at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Hurley) 14.965; Baltimore (Burres) 14.763
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+110); Under
Game 921-922: Oakland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Smith) 14.890; White Sox (Floyd) 15.524
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-125); Over
Game 923-924: Kansas City at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 16.330; Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 15.556
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Under
Game 925-926: Cleveland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 13.904; Minnesota (Slowey) 17.210
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under
Game 927-928: Toronto at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 15.644; LA Angels (Lackey) 14.738
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+115); Under
Game 929-930: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 15.803; Seattle (Dickey) 15.598
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 9
JEFF BENTON
Playing the Rangers-Orioles contest OVER the posted price.
These teams pounded out 14 runs and 21 hits yesterday, and with the pitchers scheduled in this one, I wouldn?t be surprised to see those numbers get eclipsed here. First off, Baltimore's Brian Burres sports a 5.09 ERA in his 15 starts this season, and that ERA jumps to 6.18 in his eight outings at Camden Yards (six of which have gone over the total).
As for Rangers Scott Feldman, he is coming off three straight decent starts. But the fact remains he's got a 6.00 ERA in six road starts this season. Also, he hasn't lasted a full six innings in any of his last three starts. You have to figure that trend will continue tonight, and if it does, that means the Rangers bullpen one of the worst in baseball with a 5.06 ERA will be called upon for extra duty. And as it is, Feldman is going up against a Baltimore offense that's cookin right now (the O's have tallied five runs or more in the first five games of this current homestand, scoring 34 runs in all over this stretch).
And of course, the Rangers, with Josh Hamilton, Milton Bradley, Michael Young, Ian Kinsler, etc., certainly know how to make it around the bases. In fact, no team in baseball has scored more runs than Texas. Finally, with yesterday's game easily topping the posted total, nine of Baltimore's last 12 games at Camden Yards have gone over. Make it 10 of 13!
5♦ Rangers-Orioles OVER
ARMVIN SPORTS
HOUSTON ASTROS +146
CLEVELAND INDIANS +110
Black Widow Sports
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
1* on Detroit Tigers -130
Detroit is 13-1 (+11.9 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.700 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is 17-3 (+13.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or worse over the last 3 seasons. As you can see, the Tigers clearly don’t feel sorry for the worst starting pitchers in this league. Instead, they pound ‘em like the pussies they are. R.J. Dickey is 0-3 with a 10.80 ERA in all home starts this year. Dickey will get pounded by a hot Tigers’ lineup scoring 5.5 runs per game in night games this season. Detroit is 44-17 (+19.4 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 3 seasons. Take the Tigers on the Money Line.
Info Plays
Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins
3* on Cleveland Indians +117
Cleveland got it handed to them by Minnesota yesterday. The Indians threw one of their worst starters in Paul Byrd, but they come back today with one of their better starters in Aaron Laffey to try and revenge that loss. Laffey’s 3.24 ERA in 12 starts this season ranks up there with the best on the Indians staff. Eric Wedge is 46-23 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season as the manager of Cleveland. The Indians know that if they are to get back into the AL Central race, they cannot afford to lose today’s game to the Twins who are well ahead of them already. Bet Cleveland on the road.
John Martin
Toronto Blue Jays vs. LAA Angels
1 Unit on L.A. Angels -123
John Lackey has been virtually un-hittable this season. Yes, Roy Halladay has more than a handful of complete games, but his numbers don’t match up with Lackey’s. Lackey is 6-1 with a miniscule 1.44 ERA this year, 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA at home, and 3-0 with a 0.74 ERA over his last 3 starts. Lackey just keeps getting better as the season progresses. The Angels are 18-5 against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span this season. Anaheim is finding ways to win games by manufacturing runs and throwing another great starting pitcher each time out. Lackey is their Ace and he won’t lose at home to the Blue Jays. Cash in with the Angels as the favorite.
Jimmy Boyd
Florida Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies
1 Unit on Colorado Rockies -135
After a wild 18-17 win in game 2 of this series, I like the home Rockies to out slug the Marlins again today. The Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games as an underdog, 1-4 in their last 5 road games, and 9-24 in their last 33 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. The Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite, 10-4 in their last 14 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher, and 37-15 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockies are finally starting to play some baseball. I expect them to put a lot of runs on the board again today on their way to victory.
SPORTS KINGZ
MINNESOTA -125
DETROIT -135
DODGERS -110
TAMPA BAY -130
WILD BILL
Mets +105 (5 units)
Brewers -150 (5 units)
Nationals +120 (5 units)
Florida +130 (5 units)
Dodgers -125 (5 units)
Under 8 1/2 Dodgers-Giants (5 units)
White Sox -135 (5 units)
Detroit -130 (5 units)
BEN BURNS
Div. GOY Yankees