Charlies Sports
Minnesota @ Cleveland Under 8½ (500*)
Boston-120 (30*)
Cincinnati-125 (20*)
Pittsburgh-115 (20*)
Mets-135 (10*)
Cleveland-125 (10*) free play
SAPKOWSKI
Best Bet
Colorado vs. CIN over 5 in 1st 5 IN
Premium
Colorado
Milwauke
Free
Pass
Gamblers World Tip of the Day
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates
PlusLineSports Daily Baseball Pick
LA Angels vs Baltimore Orioles
LA Angels -1.5 +125
Michael Cannon
NY Yankees at BOSTON
Yes, I'm jumping ship and siding with the Yankees today.
I just can't see Andy Pettitte losing to Tim Wakefield right now with the way the Yankees are playing.
New York has won three straight over Boston and seven in a row overall. In fact, the Yankees have yet to lose since the All-Star break and are a whopping 24-12 since June 11.
And they just got tougher with the acquisition of Xavier Nady and Damaso Marte from the Pirates.
Nady gives them an outfielder who has been knocking the cover off the ball this year and Marte is one of the best left-handed relievers in the game.
Like I said, I don't see Wakefield getting the better of Pettitte today, especially with the additions the Yankees made.
Take the Yankees as they grab the road win.
3♦ NY YANKEES
EZ WINNERS
5 STAR: (905) SAN DIEGO (-$105) over Pittsburgh
(Action) (Risking $525 to win $500)
2 STAR: (901) FLORIDA (+$220) over Chicago
(Action) (Risking $200 to win $440)
2 STAR: (919) NY YANKEES (+$103) over Boston
(Listing Pettitte only) (Risking $200 to win $206)
2 STAR: (905) CINCINNATI (-$120) over Colorado
(Listing Baily and De La Rosa) (Risking $240 to win $200)
2 STAR: (907) HOUSTON (+$153) over Milwaukee
(Action) (Risking $200 to win $306)
2 STAR: (925) MINNESOTA (+$113) over Cleveland
(Listing Baker only) (Risking $200 to win $226)
2 STAR: (927) CHICAGO (+$138) over Detroit
(Action) (Risking $200 to win $276)
The King Maker
MIN (+105) vs CLE 2-Units
I am almost certain that we will see Fausto Carmona for only 5 innings tonight.
If you knew this, for certain, then I think you would pound the Twins tonight, am I correct?
There are several reasons why I'm taking a position on Minnesota and it begins and ends with Fausto.
Fausto had control issues, even before his hip injury, and his splits show that he walked 38 batters and only struck out 23 before he went down. So, even at his best, he was faltering in the zone.
He is a candidtate for juiced bags right from the start.
extended pitch counts and deadly hitter's counts are a distinct possibility today EVEN WHEN YOU DON'T FACTOR IN TWO VERY IMPORTANT ISSUES FOR FAUSTO TONIGHT.
#1 Jim Joyce is calling the game: Fausto had one of his worst starts of the season, this year, in the Joyce strike zone. I'm sure most of you understand that Fausto needs the low zone in order to be successful. IT'S JUST NOT THERE TODAY FOR FAUSTO.
In fact, Fausto LOCATES his pitches in many of the same zones that the following pitchers locate, so lets do a COMPARATIVE ZONE ANALYSIS for Carmona. Who throws like him, and what did they do in Joyce's Strike Zone:Aaron Laffey: Lost 9-6 on July 5th
John Maine: Lost 9-5 on June 10th
Johan Santana Lost in this zone 5-2 Last year.
Fausto Carmona couldn't get to the 6th inning against KC on April 24th in this strike zone. So let's start there:
He gave up NINE HITS, FOUR WALKS, and even coughed up a HOME RUN in that KC game!
Here are your splits from that game:
Cleveland Indians
Pitchers IP H R ER BB SO HR PC-ST ERA
F Carmona (W, 3-1) 5.0 9 4 4 4 1 1 98-59 2.89
Clearly, the walks and hits are a teling set of splits here, but the Home Run may be just as compelling! This set of splits shows a man that was forced to leave the low-zone and play ball in the meat of the plate.
And this is what Jim Joyce does to a Low Ball pitcher like Fausto. He elevates the ball, elevates the pitch count, and he elevates the likeihood of seeing a horrible bullpen by the 5th inning!
Fausto reached 98 pitches in that game against lowly KC. He left at the end of 5 innings.
Why is that high pitch count important?
Because..........
#2 Fausto is on a pitch count
Investment Playmakers
20* Guaranteed Game - TWINS
Jeffmoney
DBacks -110 (pod)
Twins +105
Frank Rosenthal
902 CUBS-225
OVER 7.5
904 PHILLY-230
912 NYM-130
913 DBACKS-105
919 YANKS+110
923 ANGELS-115
OVER 9.5
925 TWINS+110
927 CWS+140
Elite Sports Circle Guaranteed Selections
5000* ELITE STEAM BASEBALL WINNER
Detroit w/Verlander -150
Locksmith Sports
1 Unit on Twins +102
There's usually no doubting Carmona's stuff, but he'll be rusty in his first start in two months. The Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 Saturday games and 6-1 in Baker's last 7 Saturday starts. The Twins are also 8-2 in their last 10 vs. the American League Central and 9-3 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series. The Indians are a terrible 3-12 in their last 15 during game 2 of a series and 7-20 in their last 27 vs. American League Central. Take the Twins to break out of their slump here.
Wunderdog
Seattle at Toronto
Pick: Toronto -1.5 runs +144
The Mariners are back at what they have done best this season and that is losing! The latest streak has reached six games, and with it, the dubious distinction of becoming the worst team in baseball. A bad team playing at its worst presents a good opportunity to play the runline. Specifically against a hot and cold team that has turned hot as the Jays have now won four straight themselves and 10 of 14. The M's have churned out even poorer performances on the road turning out a 34% win rate, so we will back the Jays to win comfortably here.
Black Widow Sports
1* on Colorado Rockies +110
Colorado is making a run at the NL West title just as they did late last season. Only this year they are starting much sooner at that run. The Rockies are 7-1 in their last 8 games overall heading into Saturday’s match-up with the Reds. Cincinnati starter Homer Bailey is 0-2 with a 9.49 ERA in three home starts this season. Colorado is 33-16 (+20.0 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Rockies are 35-17 (+23.0 Units) against the money line after batting .290 or better over a 20 game span over the last 2 seasons. Look for the bats to stay red hot against a struggling Bailey Saturday. Take the Rockies on the Money Line.
The Parlay King
NY METS - 1.5 + 145
PARLAY
NY METS -1.5 + 145
LA ANGELES - 1.5 + 130