WUNDERDOG
Game: Seattle at New York Yankees
Pick: Game Total UNDER 9.5
The Yankees bats have awoken after their slump, putting up 12 runs yesterday after 13 on Friday. But, let's not forget that this team needed 10 games to put up that same 25-run total prior to the past two games. We don't see that same kind of explosion for a third-straight game. As for Seattle, they are averaging 4.0 runs per game on the road and 3.6 per game in day-games and must face Wang. So, don't expect a lot of run production fromt the M's here. The Yankees are 14-10 UNDER at home this season, 10-5 UNDER vs. LHP and 11-1 UNDER in day games! They are also 20-7 UNDER vs. teams that score less than 4.8 runs per game. New York is also 17-5 UNDER in their last 22 at home after two straight games with 15+ total runs. We like this one to come in UNDER the total.
Erin Rynning
NBA Playmaker San Antonio -5
MLB Playmaker Pirates/Cubs under 9
MLB Colorado
TONY MATTHEWS
15 Stars: San Antonio Spurs -5
Ferrall
AL FREE B's for SUNDAY
Orioles +135 on ML over Rays--Cabrera tops Shield at the Trop
OAKLAND +105 on ML over Boston--might as well finish off the sweep of the Red Sox, as Blanton upsets Lester
Angels -105 on ML over White Sox--Take Lackey and the UNDER 8.5 RUNS
NL FREE B's for SUNDAY
PHILS -165 on ML over Astros--Hamels is their stopper when they need a W. He'll beat Sampson in the SCREWDRIVER (Minute Maid Park)
San Diego -135 on ML over Reds--Take Greg Maddux and the OVER 8 RUNS at Petco even though the Padres blow this year
DODGERS -115 on ML over Cardinals--Watch this Kershaw kid's curveball today at Chavez Revine in his debut in Lipstick City. The Cards won't know what hit them
David Malinsky 4*
Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals
PICK: Washington Nationals
We believe that the gap between Tim Redding and Michael Parra is a lot wider than what the betting markets are calling for, and as such the ability to play the Nationals as underdogs here gets us to the table, especially with Ryan Braun being given a day off for Milwaukee.
Redding is working far beneath the radar screens despite his 6-3/3.16, but we believe his most recent outings carry a lot of weight in terms of elevating his rating - in his last two starts he pitched the Nationals to wins over solid Met and Phillie lineups that were both getting their second look at him, after having also pitched them to a win over an Atlanta team that has been the N.L.’s best against right-handers in a second-look as well (he got a no-decision that day, but Washington won 6-3). So not only is Washington 7-3 in his 10 starts, but three times in his last five games the Nationals have won by multiple runs against quality lineups that had seen Redding before. Of the 68 N.L. pitchers that have thrown at least 40 innings so far, his difficulty of batters faced is #2. That is an indication that he is for real, and his style fits well into an overly aggressive Milwaukee lineup.
Meanwhile Parra’s base of 2-2/4.40 pales compared to Redding, and he is not as good as his base. Hist stuff is mediocre, with a bad home/way split (3.62 at home; 5.60 from opposing mounds), and his ERA has been kept afloat by a high strand rate. He has also completed only 17.2 innings over four road starts, and that creates real headaches for a make-shift bullpen that lacks anyone with the moxie to be a closer, particularly on the road.
The Nationals are an under-rated item - of their first 30 games, only six have come against teams that currently sport losing records, and they have not played a single game against a team that is currently more than two games under .500. They deserve far better than this price range with Redding on the mound.
Mr. A's
Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves
The Diamondbacks have won seven of the last 9 meetings in Atlanta, but at present are struggling, Arizona has lost four of their last five games and seven of their last eight on the road, including Saturday's 3-1 defeat against the Braves. Take the hot Braves at Turner Field with lefty Tom Glavine at the wheel. Atlanta’s surging run continues, the Braves have won six of their last seven games and Tom Glavine has won his last three decisions against the Diamondbacks. Atlanta is 4-1 in the veteran’s last 5 starts versus Arizona.
Atlanta Braves - 120
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers + 5
GINA
Los Angeles Lakers at San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 6-0 at home in this year's playoffs and the home team has covered the spread in the last 7 meetings. The Spurs back on their home court at the AT&T Center is definitely is a big advantage. But, the Lakers hammered the Spurs 101-71 in Game 2, taking a 2-0 lead in the series. Los Angeles controlled every facet of the battle, manhandling Duncan and his crew. Take the points in a close fight.
Los Angeles Lakers +5
Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City's Gil Meche (3-6, 5.58 ERA). The right-hander is2-2 with a 3.46 ERA in his last four starts. Meche is 4-5 with a 5.01 ERA in his career against the Blue Jays, 1-1 with a 4.66 ERA in four appearances, (3 starts) at Toronto.
Toronto's Dustin McGowan (2-4, 4.21 ERA). is 0-2 with a 7.80 ERA in his last three starts. McGowan is 0-1 with a 3.53 ERA in two career outings against the Royals.
The Kansas City Royals are playing poorly, bats are cold and have been pitiable away from home, dropping six straight on the road. Go with Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The Royals have lost 13 in the last 16 meetings in Toronto and eight of Meche's last 11 road starts.
Toronto Blue Jays - 150
Johnny Guild
Los Angeles Lakers at San Antonio Spurs
The San Antonio Spurs will be ready for Kobe and crew and they won’t be an easy opponent in front of their home crowd. On the other hand, the Los Angeles Lakers lead 2-0 and appears, following Game 1 and 2 to be too quick for the senior defending champions to manage. The Lakers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games on the road and 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games in San Antonio.
Los Angeles Lakers +5
Greg Shaker
2 Units Ariz/ Atl Under
Teddy Covers
MLB 3* Oakland A's
NBA 4* Lakers/Spurs Over 192
Bob Akmens
MLB 4* Royals/Jays Under 8
NBA 3* Spurs
Root
Chairman - LA Angels
Millionaire - SA Spurs
Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
5000* BASEBALL LATE STEAMER WINNER
Tampa Bay w/Shields -150
Vegas-Runner
MIL (-118) vs WAS 2* ML WAGER
ARI (-113) vs ATL 1* ML WAGER
TAM (-153) vs BAL 2* ML WAGER
OAK (-102) vs BOS 1* ML WAGER
ANA (-110) vs CWS MLB 3* ESPN BEST BET of the DAY
WAS / MIL Over 9 1* TOTAL
CIN (+122) vs SDP 1* ML WAGER
LT Profits
MLB 2* Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB 2* Oakland A's
MLB 2* LA Dodgers