SPORTS GAMBLING HOTLINE
We will stick with the surging Phillies tonight, as Philadelphia has taken advantage of the Mets current 3 game slide to reclaim first in the NL East thanks to wins in 6 of their last 7 games.
Tonight the Phils look for the series win against a Cardinals team that is still quite suspect in the bullpen department if you ask us. Philly is a solid 9-5 the last 2-plus season's of play in the Gateway City, and we see them adding to that mark tonight with the win in the series "rubber game".
Starter Brett Myers should be brimming with confidence, as the righty was able to notch his first road win of the year his last time out with 7 shutout innings of work in a win at Washington.
Todd Wellemeyer counters for St. Louis, and the righty is a respectable 8-4 for the year, but a closer look shows that all 4 of the losses have come at home where his season ERA is near 5.
Play on Philadelphia in this one.
2♦ PHILADELPHIA
TONY MATHEWS
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
Selection: Cincinnati/Washington Over 9
The Cincinnati Reds will use starting pitcher Johnny Cueto. Johnny Cueto has struggled as of late. In fact, Johnny Cueto has a 7.27 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Johnny Cueto pitching another bad game today.
The Washington Nationals will use starting pitcher Collin Balester. Collin Balester has also struggled as of late. In fact, Collin Balester has a 5.17 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Collin Balester pitching another bad game today.
To say the least, we should see a high-scoring game!
Take the Cincinnati Reds/Washington Nationals Over 9!
BEN BURNS
Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Redskins
Prediction: Indianapolis Colts
I'm taking the points with INDIANAPOLIS. As the general betting public becomes better educated about betting on the preseason, it's become relatively common knowledge that the Colts haven't been a very good bet during the preseason during the Dungy era. This has been partly due to Dungy not taking the exhibigtion games quite as seriously as some of his peers but also largely due to the fact that the Colts have always been a popular 'public team.' I've also fared extremely well by going against the Colts in the preseason in recent seasons, including a 1-0 mark last year, winning my big "GOY" play when they lost vs. Cincinnati in Week 4. However, all good things must come to an end and with everyone and their dog now 'jumping off the Indianapolis bandwagon, in large part due to the fact that Manning won't be playing as well as their recent NFLX success, I now feel that it's the Colts which are providing us with excellent line value. Keep in mind that the Colts have never been this big a dog during the preseason under Dungy. Last year, they were favored by -7.5 points in their opener and they were never bigger than a +5.5 dog (although the Bengals did get steamed up to -6 at some shops in Week 4 last year) in any preseason game during the Dungy era. Also note that five of their preseason losses in the last three years, including a six-point loss in the "Hall of Fame Week" (at Tokyo) in 2005 and a 2-point loss in Week 1 of 2006, came by a touchdown or less. In regards to Manning, even if healthy, he was going to see very little playing time in Week 1 anyway. In fact, his injury could easily prove to be a blessing in disguise, as backup Sorgi is liklely to get more time than Manning would have gotten and he will have been able to get a lot more practice time than he normally does, in the days leading up to this game. Yes, the Redskins have a new coach and yes, they've just had a couple of former stars (Green and Monk) enshrined into the Hall of Fame. Once again, in my opinion, this has only served to provide us with added line value. New coaches do typically like to win in the preseason a little more than established ones. However, Zorn is under no immediate pressure and he's more likely to emphasize winning the "home" preseason games, particularly next week's home opener vs. the Bills. Additionally, it should also be noted that the Skins also have both a new offensive and a new defensive coordinator. In other words, they'll be learning some new schemes on both sides of the ball, not always an easy task for a veteran team, and can't be expected to have mastered them for at least several more weeks. Looking at the Hall of Fame Game itself and we find that three of the last four H.O.F. games have been decided by six points or less, two of those being decided by just a field goal. Don't be surprised when this one comes down to the wire once again. *Main Event
BEN BURNS
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
Prediction: San Diego Padres
I'm laying the price with SAN DIEGO PADRES. I won with the Giants in the opener of this series but I look for the Padres to have a significant advantage in this afternoon's series finale. Maddux finally got back into the win column in his last start. I played the Padres in that game and noted that, despite his long winless streak, Maddux was still pitching very well at home. He continued that strong pitching at Petco, delivering another strong start which saw him give up two runs through six complete innings. He allowed just five hits and didn't walk a single batter, recording five K's along the way. For the season, he now has a stellar 2.84 ERA and 1.055 WHIP in a dozen home starts, averaging better than six innings in those games. The Padres seemed determined to provide Maddux with some run support in that game, as they scored a whopping eight runs. Given Kevin Correia's struggles on the road (and in the afternoon!) this season, the Padres should be able to provide their future hall-of-famer with some offense once again this afternoon. While Maddux has been extremely solid at home, Correia has been extremely bad on the road. In fact, he's 1-3 with an ugly 6.39 ERA and 1.774 WHIP in six road starts with the Giants losing five of those games. The win came in his last start (his first since April) but Correia still didn't pitch particularly well, allowing six runs (4 earned) while lasting 5 1/3 innings. In his previous road start, he gave up seven runs in just 3 2/3 innings! Overall, the Giants are just 3-9 in his 12 starts on the year. It should also be noted that Correia is 0-3 with a terrible 9.00 ERA in his four daytime starts. Maddux, on the other hand, has a better ERA (3.26) in the day than he does at night. Maddux has always dominated the Giants and that's continued to be the case the past couple of seasons. In fact, his teams (Padres and Dodgers) are 8-1 in his nine starts vs. San Francisco since 2006! Maddux went six or more innings in ALL nine of those starts. He allowed two earned runs or less in seven of them and just three and four runs in the other two. Look for him to outpitch Correia as the Padres deliver a highly motivated effort en route to avoiding the sweep. *NL GOM
DUNKEL
Arizona at LA Dodgers
The Dodgers look to salvage a split in the series and take advantage of Arizona's 8-15 record on the road when the total is listed between 8 and 8 1/2. Los Angeles is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120). Here are all of today's games.
SUNDAY, AUGUST 3
Game 901-902: Colorado at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Rusch) 16.526; Florida (Olsen) 15.505
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120); Over
Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 14.258; Atlanta (Campillo) 13.283
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Under
Game 905-906: Cincinnati at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.022; Washington (Balester) 13.641
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-120); Over
Game 907-908: NY Mets at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Perez) 15.737; Houston (Wolf) 14.135
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-130); Under
Game 909-910: Philadelphia at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Myers) 15.137; St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 16.211
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-105); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-105); Over
Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 14.957; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.781
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-230); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-230); N/A
Game 913-914: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Correia) 13.527; San Diego (Maddux) 14.915
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-150); Under
Game 915-916: Arizona at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Davis) 15.814; LA Dodgers (Johnson) 16.991
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120); Under
Game 917-918: LA Angels at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Lackey) 17.522; NY Yankees (Rasner) 16.456
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-125); Over
Game 919-920: Oakland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 14.618; Boston (Matsuzaka) 14.430
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-240); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+220); Over
Game 921-922: Detroit at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 15.572; Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.743
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+145); Over
Game 923-924: Cleveland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Ginter) 15.532; Minnesota (Liriano) 16.684
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-170); Over
Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Richard) 16.563; Kansas City (Greinke) 15.247
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+105); Under
Game 927-928: Baltimore at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Cabrera) 15.125; Seattle (Silva) 15.748
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100); Under
Game 929-930: Toronto at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Purcey) 13.819; Texas (Mendoza) 15.473
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 12
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Under
SPORTS ADVISORS
NFL
Indianapolis vs. Washington
(at Canton, Ohio)
The Redskins take the field for the first time under new coach Jim Zorn when they battle the Colts in the annual Hall of Fame Game at Canton, Ohio.
Zorn takes over for Joe Gibbs, who retired last year after leading Washington to a wild-card playoff berth. Washington was 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS in the preseason last year, but went just 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS over Gibbs’ final three exhibition campaigns, including 1-5 SU and ATS on the highway.
The Colts, who will be without injured star quarterback Peyton Manning in the preseason, have not taken August very seriously over the past three seasons, losing 11 of their last 13 preseason games since 2005. Indianapolis is just 3-10 ATS during this three-year stretch, including 2-4 ATS on the road (1-5 SU) and 1-6 ATS as an underdog.
Redskins quarterback Jason Campbell and the several members of the first-string offense and defense are expected to play three series or 12 to 15 plays, whatever comes first, though many Washington veterans won’t suit up, including No. 1 running back Clinton Portis. Campbell is expected to be followed by veteran backup Todd Collins and rookies Colt Brennan and Sam Hollenbach.
With Manning sidelined after offseason knee surgery, Indianapolis will go with Jim Sorgi at quarterback to start the game. Quinn Gray and Jared Lorenzen, who were acquired during the offseason, will relieve Sorgi. Along with Manning, several other Colts starters will sit this one out, including defensive end Dwight Freeney, safety Bob Sanders and wide receiver Marvin Harrison.
The under is 3-1 in Washington’s last four exhibition games and 5-0 in Indy’s last five preseason road contests. Also, the last two Hall of Fame games have stayed under the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE:UNDER
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Arizona (57-53) at L.A. Dodgers (55-55)
The top two teams in the N.L. West conclude a four-game series in Los Angeles with the D-Backs sending veteran southpaw Doug Davis (4-5, 3.86 ERA) to the mound against the Dodgers’ Jason Johnson (1-0, 1.38) at Dodger Stadium.
Los Angeles scored a 4-2 victory Saturday night thanks to home runs from newly acquired Manny Ramirez and Casey Blake, after back-to-back 2-1 losses Thursday and Friday. The D-Backs are 7-4 in 11 series meetings with the Dodgers this season and have won three of five in Los Angeles.
It’s been an outstanding road trip through California for the D-Backs, winning seven of nine with visits in San Francisco, San Diego and Los Angeles. The Dodgers have won six of nine on this 10-game homestand that concludes today.
Davis is coming off his best start of the season Tuesday when he blanked the Padres on two hits for 7 2/3 innings of a 3-0 win in San Diego. The D-Backs had dropped four straight Davis starts before Tuesday. He’s faced the Dodgers twice this season and allowed seven runs (six earned) in nine innings as Arizona has split the two games. He is 4-2 with a 2.06 ERA in seven career starts against Los Angeles.
Johnson made a great first impression with the Dodgers on Tuesday, blanking San Francisco on five hits for six innings of a 2-0 victory. It was Johnson’s first start since 2006 when he was in the rotation with Boston and Cleveland. In four career appearances against Arizona, Johnson is 1-2 with a 2.74 ERA in 23 innings of work.
The Dodgers have stayed under the total in nine of their last 10 games and the under is also on streaks of 28-9 when they are favored, 19-7 for them on Sundays and 27-10 in their last 37 home games. Arizona has topped the total in 13 of its last 19 overall and nine of its last 13 on the highway. With Davis on the hill, the over is 7-3-1 for Arizona on the road and 11-5-1 when he starts as an underdog.
In this rivalry, the over is 6-5 in 11 meetings this season.
ATS ADVANTAGE:NONE
Philadelphia (60-50) at St. Louis (62-51)
It’s the rubber match of a three-game series between these two National League contenders as the Phillies send Brett Myers (4-9, 5.46) to the mound in St. Louis to take on the Cardinals’ Todd Wellemeyer (8-4, 4.13) at Busch Stadium.
Philadelphia rebounded from a 6-3 loss on Friday night with a 2-1 victory Saturday thanks to the pitching of Joe Blanton who held the Cardinals to one run on four hits through seven innings. The Phillies have won three of the last four meetings against St. Louis this season to deadlock the season series at 4-4.
Both teams are playing well lately, with the Phillies having won six of their last seven overall and the Cardinals having won five of their last eight.
Myers has been a disaster on the road for Philadelphia, going 1-6 with a 6.98 ERA and the opposition is hitting .405 against him on the road this season. The Phillies had lost six straight Myers’ starts until Tuesday when he held the Nationals to one run on four hits through seven innings of a 2-1 win in Washington. He is 3-2 with a 5.43 ERA in his career against the Cardinals and back on June 15 he gave up six runs on eight hits in six innings of a 7-6 loss in St. Louis.
Wellemeyer pitched well in his Tuesday outing, giving up two runs in six innings of an 8-3 win in Atlanta. But the Cardinals are just 2-6 in his last eight starts dating back to a June 13 start against these Phillies when he gave up eight runs on eight hits in 3 1/3 innings of that 20-2 home drubbing. In six career appearances against Philadelphia, Wellemeyer is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in just 11 innings of work.
The Phillies are just 7-21 in Myers’ last 28 starts and 3-13 when he starts on the road, but the Cardinals are just 1-4 in Wellemeyer’s last five at home and 0-4 when he faces a team with a winning record.
The under is 20-8-2 when Myers pitches on Sundays and 9-3 when the Phillies face a team from the N.L. Central. For the Cardinals, the over is 7-1 in their last eight overall and 7-2 the last nine times they’ve been favored.
In this rivalry, the over is 5-3 in the last eight meetings in St. Louis and 4-1 in Myers’ last five starts against the Cardinals. .
ATS ADVANTAGE:OVER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
L.A. Angels (69-41) at N.Y. Yankees (60-50)
The red-hot Angels wrap up a four-game set at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx with John Lackey (9-2, 2.93) on the hill facing the Yankees’ Darrell Rasner (5-8, 4.92).
Los Angeles took the first two games of the series before New York scored an 8-2 win Saturday to end the Angels’ five-game road winning streak. The Angels are 7-2 on this East Coast swing that has taken them to Baltimore, Boston and New York.
The Yankees won eight in a row after the All-Star break but dropped five of six before Saturday’s home victory. New York has trouble with the Angels, losing eight of 12 dating back to last season, including six of nine in the Bronx.
Lackey is 3-0 in his last three starts and 5-1 on the road with a 2.36 ERA. He tossed a complete-game two-hitter at Boston on Tuesday, beating the Red Sox 6-2, to improve the Angels record to 11-3 with him on the hill this season. Los Angeles has won three of his last four against New York, but for his career Lackey is just 4-7 with a 4.81 ERA against the Yankees. Los Angeles is 40-16 in Lackey’s last 56 starts and 19-7 in his last 26 road outings.
New York is just 3-8 in Rasner’s last 11 starts and lost Tuesday when he gave up four runs on eight hits in six innings of a 7-6 loss to the Orioles in New York. The Yankees are 5-1 at home when Rasner faces a team with a winning record.
The under is 21-6-3 in Lackey’s last 30 road starts and 7-0 in the Angels’ last seven Sunday games. The over is 6-1-1 in Rasner’s last eight starts and 7-1 in the Yankees’ last eight overall, including 6-1 when they face a right-handed starter.
In this series, the over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings, but the under is 8-2 when Lackey sees the Yankees and 5-0 when he throws in Yankee Stadium.
ATS ADVANTAGE:L.A. ANGELS
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals
Play: Cardinals
Todd Wellemeyer has allowed three earned runs or less in 14 of his 21 starts this season. Dont be fooled by his 9.00 ERA against the Phillies in his career as hes only made two starts against them in his career and note that Philadelphia has only hit .267 against him. Wellemeyer is a solid 8-4 this season and he is 6-3 under the lights. His counterpart tonight is Brett Myers of the Phillies. The Phils right-hander can not be trusted here. Yes, hes looked a little better since coming back to the rotation but he did walk five in five innings against the Mets in his first start back. Then, in his second start back he only struck out two batters in seven innings even though he faced the punch-less Washington Nationals. Myers is 4-9 this season with a 5.46 ERA and hes produced some of his worst starts on the road. Away from home this season, Myers is 1-6 with a 6.98 ERA and opponents are pummeling him at a .322 clip! Even though the right-hander is 3-2 in his career against St Louis, he has a 5.43 ERA versus the Cardinals and the Cards have hit .319 against him. This series has been a 1-1 split so far but the Phillies have only produced five total runs of offense. Unless the bats pick up (and that is unlikely against Wellemeyer) than Myers is not going to get much run support and that will spell doom for the Phillies here in the series finale and that is precisely what were predicting. The Cardinals are the play on Sunday night!
Matt Fargo
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
Play: San Diego Padres
The Padres look to salvage the final game of this series after dropping the first two games to the Giants. San Diego has lost four straight and while that usually suggests either a play against or a no play, the pitching matchup is simply too good to pas up here. The Padres have lost seven of the 10 meetings this season but it is important to note that four of those losses were in extra innings by just a single run. The Padres are 25-8 in their last 33 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.
San Francisco has won the first two games but it was coming off losses in five of its previous six games so by no means is it playing exceptional right now. The Giants have scored just five runs in its last four games and while the Padres offense has been horrendous, the Giants are not far behind. The pitching has been a problem as they allowed 5.7 rpg during that prior six-game stretch. The Giants are now 3-12 in their last 15 games as an underdog.
Greg Maddux is still with San Diego as there were talks about him moving before the trade deadline on Thursday. His recent form has been shaky but a lot of that has to do with his struggles on the road. In 11 road starts, he has a 60.2 ERA and 1.57 WHIP but in pitcher friendly Petco Park, he has a 2.84 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 12 starts. Facing the Giants has been profitable as he is 5-1 with a 1.60 ERA in six starts since joining San Diego. His 29 career wins against the Giants are second most against any other teams.
The Giants counter with Kevin Correia and like Maddux, he has struggled on the road. He is 1-3 with a 6.40 ERA in six road starts with San Francisco going just 1-5 in those games. In 12 starts this season, he has only one quality performance. He has gone eight straight games without a quality outing and he has made it past six innings only once in that stretch. Overall, the Giants are 3-9 in his 12 starts including a 0-4 mark in his four starts during the day. Play San Diego Padres 1.5 Units
Tony Karpinski
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Chicago Cubs
The Chicago Cubs have been one of the majors' best pitching clubs all season, but they were especially dominant in July behind staff ace Carlos Zambrano. Zambrano hopes to continue his winning ways in August and lead the Cubs to a series victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday at Wrigley Field. Chicago (66-45) pitchers posted a 3.64 ERA in July, second only to the Los Angeles Dodgers (3.44). Zambrano (12-4, 2.80 ERA) finished the month 4-1 with a 1.78 ERA, holding opposing batters to a .176 average in five starts. Look for a low scoring game and the under is be the best play here. Play on the UNDER
Brad Diamond Sports
Play on:Colts
Difficult game to handicap with QB Manning out of the rotation, but can't help leaning to the aggressive Indianapolis defense that should keep the Washington offense in check throughout the first-half. Both coaches have talked wholesaled substitutions in the second-half, so look for numerous scoring opportunities to be wasted.
Indiancowboy Comp
Bluejays/Rangers Over 12
The total keeps rising and these 2 teams just keep exceeding it typically as runs come a flurry in Texas over and over again, Purcey came back with a quality start in his last start and ended up helping his team win 8-3, Texas is on the bounce-back today as I think Purcey likely gets hit hard today, Mendoza is 4-1 to the over and he had a 1.8 era last time against Toronto but he also gave up 8 hits and 3 walks in just 5 innings, so I expect Toronto to have success today, Purcey has pitched in 3 straight overs as well since pitching in his 3 starts for the Bluejays, and there are some ridiculous trends favoring the over in Texas and this might be the first game that I actually feel comfortable in taking the over in Texas.
write-up:
The over is 9-2 for the Rangers as home favorites of late, the over is 6-1 in Mendoz'a last 7, and the over is 12-4 when Wend's is behnd the plate.
Scott Spreitzer
Indianapolis Colts at Washington Redskins
I'm taking the points with the Colts on Sunday. Normally, in the Dungy-era, I'd be looking to go against Indianapolis in their preseason tilts or simply pass the game. But the circumstances are a bit different for the Colts in this one. First of all, they're getting a generous amount of points, something we're not accustomed to, even in preseason action. There are two reasons for the big number. Public perception is that Washington will be "playing to win" for new HC Jim Zorn. But Zorn has said his defensive starters will be on the sideline the entire game. The Skins have numerous injuries to starters and veterans, and Zorn has made it clear his number-one priority on Sunday is to evaluate younger players while avoiding more injuries. The Colts are also a bigger preseason dog than normal due to Peyton Manning's injury. But that's a mistake. After all, Manning wouldn't play more than one series anyway in this contest. Instead, Jim Sorgi will get the nod. The veteran backup will reportedly get a longer look than normal in this one to see if he can handle the offense in case Manning has further injury problems when the regular season rolls around. The Colts will actually be running their regular playbook to give Sorgi a chance to prove what he can do. Advantage Colts. I believe we'll see Washington going through the motions with unproven talent against an Indy offense that will be directed by a QB who wants to show the coaching staff that he can lead the team if needed. I'll take the points with the Colts on Sunday.
Play on: Indianapolis Colts
Info Plays
3* on San Diego Padres -148
San Diego’s Greg Maddux has owned the Giants throughout his career. Maddux is 16-4 with a 2.68 ERA in his career against San Francisco. Maddux has faced the Giants three times this year, allowing just 3 earned runs on 12 hits in 20 innings of work. He is undefeated against the Giants this season and it will stay that way once this game is all said and done. Maddux flaunts a 2.84 ERA at home on the season as it is. Kevin Correia of the Giants is 1-3 with a 6.39 ERA on the road. San Diego is 15-2 in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Padres at home.
Steve Janus
New York Mets vs. Houston Astros
Play: Houston Astros
Something is definately wrong in the Met's camp. They've lost 11 of 13 as a favorite on the road and 4 of their last 5 on the road overall. Houston has been solid of late at home winning 8 of their last 10 overall including a 6-1 record at home against teams with a winning record and 4 of their last 5 as a home dog.
Black Widow Sports
1* on L.A. Angels -118
With John Lackey taking a no-hitter into the 9th inning against the Red Sox his last outing, we’re not about to pass up on this great price. Lackey will try and take down New York tonight at Yankee stadium. Lackey is 16-3 (+14.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. The Angels are 24-6 (+21.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. You’re looking at the best road team in baseball and one of the best road pitchers the game has ever seen with Lackey. Lackey has gone 5-1 with a 2.36 ERA over seven road starts this year alone. Take the Angels on the Money Line.