TONY MATTHEWS
15 Stars Detroit / Philadelphia Under 178
Ethan Law
PIT: LHP Zach Duke (0-2, 5.34 ERA) @ WSH: LHP Odalis Perez (0-3, 3.31 ERA)
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON WASHINGTON -$130;
PLAY 1/2* UNIT ON WASHINGTON (-1.5) +$165
TOR: RHP A.J. Burnett (2-2, 6.07 ERA) @ BOS: RHP Tim Wakefield (2-0, 4.06 ERA)
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON TORONTO +$104
Bob Akmens
Detroit Red Wings -155 / 3 units
King Creole
Detroit vs. Philadelphia
In the last 4 years, in ALL Playoff games.... home dogs of +5 > points with an OU Line of < 180 points (SIXERS) are a PERFECT 0-4 O/U. ALL 4 of those situations were AGAINST the Detroit Pistons (like tonight's game).
In ALL Playoff "Game Sixes", teams playing off 2 SU losses in a row (SIXERS) are 2-8 O/U.
In ALL Playoff "Game Sixes", teams who scored 85 < points in EACH of their last two games (SIXERS) are 1-9 O/U.
In ALL Playoff "Game Sixes" if the OU line is 180 or less points, the results are 8-18 O/U in the last 17 years. Home DOGS in this role (SIXERS) are a PERFECT 0-5 O/U in the last ten years.
When researching the OU line range of 175 to 180 points, here's what I came up with:
3-13 O/U in ALL Playoff "Game Sixes" when the OU Line is 175-180 points.... and 1-6 O/U in the last 4 seasons. Take the Pistons/76ers UNDER.
Larry Ness
Seattle vs. Cleveland
Seattle and Cleveland are both 13-15 entering this game, the 'rubber' game of the three-game set. Miguel Batista (2-3, 5.26 ERA) gets the start for Seattle and so far in 2008, he's looked nothing like the pitcher who was 16-11 last year, with the Mariners going 19-13 (plus-$843) in his starts. He's had lower back and hip problems since the spring and in his last start (last Friday vs Oakland), left complaining of a groin injury after throwing 42 pitches (got three outs) while allowing two hits, five walks and three ERs in a 4-3 loss. His career numbers vs the Indians also don't bode for Seattle, as in eight appearances vs Cleveland (four starts), Batista is 0-3 with a 9.42 ERA. Paul Byrd starts for Cleveland and like Batista, has not matched his solid effort in '07 (Byrd was 15-8 for the Indians last year). So far this season, Byrd is 1-2 with a 4.85 ERA. That being said, I'm not sure Batista is anywhere near 100 percent and I'll take the Indians.
Black Widow Sports
1* on Rangers/Royals Over 10
(List Ponson and Greinke)
If the first two games of this series were any indication, we definitely can anticipate another high-scoring affair tonight. These teams combined for 14 runs in Game 1 and 20 runs in Game 2. Zach Greinke is in line for his worst start of the season against this dangerous Rangers’ offense. Sidney Ponson is washed up and will get burnt in only his second start of the season against the Royals. Ponson has allowed 16 earned runs through his last 13 innings against the Royals over the last 2 seasons. Texas is 7-0 OVER (+7.2 Units) against AL Central opponents this season. Texas is 8-0 OVER (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Ponson is 28-5 OVER (+22.6 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. Take the OVER 10 runs.
Dunkel Index
MLB
Pittsburgh at Washington
The Nationals have won five of their last six and will send left-hander Odalis Perez out to face a Pittsburgh team that is just 2-8 against lefties. Washington is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Nats favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120)
Game 951-952: LA Dodgers at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.712; Florida (Badenhop) 14.949
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 11
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over
Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.953; Cubs (Zambrano) 16.522
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-140); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-140); N/A
Game 955-956: San Diego at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Wolf) 14.204; Philadelphia (Eaton) 15.367
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Over
Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 13.470; Washington (Perez) 15.865
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120); Under
Game 959-960: Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Garza) 15.176; Baltimore (Burres) 16.622
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Under
Game 961-962: Kansas City at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 14.083; Texas (Ponson) 14.206
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+130); Over
Game 963-964: Seattle at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Batista) 15.481; Cleveland (Byrd) 15.865
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-155); Under
Game 965-966: Detroit at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Robertson) 15.926; NY Yankees (Kennedy) 15.772
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105); Under
Game 967-968: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Burnett) 13.237; Boston (Wakefield) 15.799
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Under
Game 969-970: Oakland at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Duchscherer) 17.015; LA Angels (Moseley) 16.556
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NBA
Detroit at Philadelphia
The Sixers find themselves facing elimination at home tonight and face a Detroit team that is a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games where the total is listed between 170 and 179 1/2. The Pistons are the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has Detroit favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5). Here are all of today's games.
Game 509-510: Detroit at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 121.684; Philadelphia 115.503
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 6; 173
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 5; 178
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5); Under
NHL
Pittsburgh at NY Rangers
The Penguins won Game 3 (5-3) for their seventh straight postseason victory and look to close out the series tonight against a Rangers team that was just 9-14 this season after allowing 4 or more goals. Pittsburgh is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115)
Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.338; NY Rangers 11.715
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Over
Game 3-4: Detroit at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.404; Colorado 12.570
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+135); Over
Wayne Root
Chairman- Nationals
Millionaire- 76ers
Bob Balfe
NBA Basketball
Detroit -5.5 over Philly
As a Philadelphia fan living in the area I can tell you that there has never been a time in my life that any Philly team needed a must win and has come through. It really is brutal. The Sixers had a great year and this team will only get better in the future. Detroit is too strong. They have four guys who have more experience in the playoffs then any of the Sixers players and really after halftime of Game 4 they have just crushed the Sixers. It took a while for the Pistons to get their groove on, but they now have it and will look to get a some rest for the next series with a win tonight.
GOLD SHEETS LTS
PHILADELPHIA over Detroit
Doc's NHL
4* NY
5* Detroit
Frank Rosenthal
NBA PLAYOFFS *
510 76ERS+6 SB
OVER 177 SB
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
955 PADRES+105 SB
965 TIGERS+105 SB
967 JAYS+105 SB
Bob Akmens
MLB: 4* BOSTON (WAKEFIELD) -116 vs Toronto (Burnett)
NBA 3* DETROIT -5.5 vs Philadelphia
NHL: 3* DETROIT -155 vs Colorado
Ben Burns
MLB Washington Nationals -127 / 4 units
NBA Philadelphia 76ers +5.5 -105 / 4 units
LT Profits
MLB Toronto Blue Jays +105 / 2 units