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(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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lasvegassportsadvisors

Philadelphia

Templer's Sports Picks

Philadelphia+1.5

The Sports Scholar

Philadelphia

JIM'S HOT PICKS

San Diego

CT Sports Picks

Tampa Bay

DutchMaster

Milwaukee

Jack Clayton

Brewers

Mighty Quinn

Giants

Armvin Sports

Philadelphia Phillies +115

Washington Nationals +130

Online Sports Winners

Toronto

floridabookybusters

Washington

Joe Wiz

Pirates
Giants

Gamblers Data

Brewers -130

Mike Wynn

San Diego/Pittsburgh Under 10.5

Huddle Up

Toronto/Baltimore Under 8

The Scout

TB/Kansas City Over 8.5

Big Time Sports

RAYS / ROYALS UNDER 8.5

Trace Adams

Philadelphia-Mets Under

Hawkeye

Houston -3.5

MVP

Phillies +120

Vegas Steam Line

Tampa Bay/Kansas City Under 8.5

#1 Sports

Pirates

Razor Sharp

Padres/Pirates Under

Totals 4 U

Padres/Pirates Under

Cappers Access

Blue Jays
Brewers

Glen Mcgrew

Mets

Arthur Ralph

Cardinals

Frank Patron

Toronto Blue Jays -140

Paul Leiner

10* Blue Jays -135

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 8:28 am
(@mvbski)
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Scott Spreitzer

Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals

I'm playing the Royals on Thursday night. Gil Meche has quietly thrown darts over his last seven starts. The Royals are 6-1 in those games and Meche has allowed just 16 earned runs and 53 base runners in 44 1/3 IP. That's a strong 3.25 ERA & 1.20 WHIP. The Rays will counter with Matt Garza, who has been "dog meat" in this situation. He's made four road night starts this season, Tampa has lost each game, and Garza has been smacked for a 7.26 ERA!

Play on: Kansas City

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 8:45 am
(@mvbski)
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Vegas Experts

St. Louis Cardinals at MIlwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee has really stuck it to St. Louis through the first three games of this series and for tonight they've saved their ace in the hole, Ben Sheets, who is 6-1 on the road this season to go along with a 2.84 ERA. The Cardinals have scored just six runs in this series so far while the Brew Crew hitters are on fire, having now homered in 19 consecutive games.

Play on: Milwaukee

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 8:46 am
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Tom Freese

Tampa Bay at Kansas City

Tampa Bay is 19-7 in Game 1 of a series and they are 36-15 their last 51 games as favorites. The Rays are 29-14 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30 and they are 8-3 their last 11 games vs. righty starters. Kansas City is 11-23 off a loss and they are 15-32 after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game. The Royals are 36-84 vs. AL East foes and they are 7-15 with Gil Meche on the mound as an underdog.

PLAY ON TAMPA BAY

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 8:47 am
(@mvbski)
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Gina

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

Philadelphia has won eight of the last 11 meetings in New York and lefty Jamie Moyer is 2-0 wuth a 2.75 ERA in his last three starts, 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA in three starts against the Mets this season. However, the hot Mets have won 12 of their last 15 games and eight of its last 9 at home.

Go with the surging Mets at Shea Stadium. New York has won four of the last 5 meetings versus the Phillies, including Wednesday's 6-3 victory and have won five of Perez's last 6 home starts.

New York Mets -135

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 8:48 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Indian Cowboy Comp

L.A. Sparks +206 ML (1 unit selection only)

This is mean to be a 1 unit selection btw as I do this in the NBA all the time and have cashed on as high money line as the Grizzlies +1100 ML on the road at the Lakers and the Kings +1130 ML on the road at Denver with revenge. The same rules apply here as given the research Connecticut truly should not be favored and I will always take a shot on the ML in the course of a season, I wouldn't be surprised to see Conn win this game but given what the 5.5 line means to me overall and the fact that I have the Sparks as 48% of winning this game outright, I'll tack this one with the other 2 standard 3 unit plays in looking for a cash, this is similar to any underdog in baseball out there and the value is there.

Research:

Both teams sit at 14-10, the Sparks beat this team in OT at home their last ballgame, the Sparks come off a massive win on the road at Detroit so possible let down here and Conn is facing the daunting -5.5 spread, the worst spread in sports for a favorite in my opinion, the same goes for the -3.5 spread in football, just a *ty spread always for the favorite and indicative that they expect the favorite to possibly lose outright, it's the worst spread in college basketball as well, whenever I see a -5.5 spread, I think Vegas believes there is a 40% chance that the underdog could win outright and that is usually the case. As per this game, Conn has revenge but they have been playing *ty basketball and have lost 9 of their last 10 covers, if anything a lean on the Sparks to win this baby outright, heck, even 1 unit on the ML is not a bad idea here imo. Heck, it sits at +208 from where I stand.

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 8:51 am
(@mvbski)
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Winners Edge

NY Mets -135 , 4 units (game of the week)

KC Royals + 110 , 1 unit

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 9:08 am
(@mvbski)
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Charlies Sports

Tampa Bay @ Kansas City Under 8½ (500*)

Toronto-120 (30*)

Pittsburgh-110 (20*)

St. Louis+120 (20*)

San Francisco-140 (10*)

Mets-130 (10*) free play

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 9:11 am
(@mvbski)
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Wunderdog

Chicago at San Antonio
Pick: Chicago +9

If you look at the road-loss column for the Sky, it doesn't offer much as they have been just 2-9 on the season, matching a league-low two road wins with lowly Atlanta. What it doesn't say is this team is not getting blown out as they have dropped just two of the 11 by double-digits and none in their last six games. San Antonio has been one of the best teams in the WNBA all season and has had similar results at home where they stand 11-2. After starting the home schedule with three double-digit wins in their first four games, they have not beaten anyone by 10+ since as their largest home margin has been just eight points. This looks like a considerable overlay on the part of the odds-makers and we'll scoop up the value and take the Sky and the bundle of points here.

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 9:16 am
(@mvbski)
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Jorge Gonzalez

American League East Game of the Month

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Play: Toronto Blue Jays

Roy Holiday (11-7, 2.89) has owned the Orioles over his career with a record of 16-4 and eight straight wins. Meanwhile Daniel Cabrera has cooled off considerably after a fast start to the season. Over his last three starts he has an ERA of 6.32. The Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last four games as a favorite while the Orioles are 1-7 as an underdog. I look for the Blue Jays to win this one on the road

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 9:18 am
(@mvbski)
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Mike Handzelek Rare O/U Game Of The Month

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
Pick: Under

We're on the Under here as these teams will feel the high anxiety of a pennant race with their bats as sole possession of first place takes center stage this afternoon. We expect a tight hard fought battle with little runs on the board. The Phils with Moyer are 7-1 Under & 6-0 Under when Moyer is up against a winning team. The Phillies have been closing out Game 3's of a series going 7-1 Under. When Moyer hits the road with the total 9.0 to 10.5, he's 7-2 Under. The Mets as a home favorite of -110 to -150 are 7-0-1 Under. Perez has taken the hill the last 5 as a favorite of -110 to -150 and has gone a perfect 5-0 Under! Our Thunder is all on the Under for our Rare O/U Game Of The Month.

Strongest Play On The Board with Strong 8-0

Florida Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
Pick: Chicago Cubs

We're on the Cubs & Mexico City in Mex. Baseball. The Cubs have been beat up like a rag doll the L10 games by Florida. Expect the tide to turn here with Zambrano hurlin' BB's! The Cubs have hit LHP @ home for an amazing .325 average. The L10 games, Fla. comes in @ .231 vs. righties. Fla. has been a money-burning 14-37 when a dog in this +200 price range. The Marlins are 1-4 Thursdays & Olsen is also 1-4 as a road dog. Olsen is 0-5 when his opponent is off allowing 5+ runs. The Cubbies are a solid 10-2 @ home vs. winning teams & 40-11 @ home vs. teams with a losing road record. After allowing 5+ runs, Chicago is 36-16. Zambrano is king as a favorite in this -200 price range going 9-0. Carlos is 12-1 as an overall favorite & 5-0 starting off Game 1's. We're singin' Ha-de-ha-de-ho Sweet home Chicago!

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 9:20 am
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Brian Hansen

Florida Marlins at Chicago Cubs
Prediction: Chicago Cubs

The Cubs are in too expensive of a price range to use as a pay play but we are recommending them tonight as Thursday's Member Pick. Why? Because even in the price range their in they're worth considering a small play on! Chicago is an amazing 37-12 at home this season. They're hosting a Marlins team that is sub-.500 on the road. This is why, even though Florida has won ten straight against the Cubs we don't foresee that streak continuing here! Want more? The return of Alfonso Soriano is huge for the Cubs. He came back last night after a long stint on the disabled list and he will inch closer to 100% with each game he gets under his belt! Carlos Zambrano is 10-4 with a 2.98 ERA this season. The Big Z is also 3-1 with a 2.54 in seven career starts against the Marlins. He'll be taking on a Marlins club that is coming off of a disappointing 3-3 home-stand where they averaged less than four runs per game! Dan Uggla and Hanley Ramirez are mired in bad slumps and that doesn't bode well for tonight's game. This is especially true with southpaw Scott Olsen on the mound for the Marlins. Even though he is 2-0 in his last five starts he's compiled a 4.78 ERA in those outings and the Cubs offense is lethal at Wrigley Field. That said, the Cubs should win this one in a ROUT!

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 10:13 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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EZWINNERS

MLB
1 STAR: (903) WASHINGTON (+$124) over San Francisco
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $124)

1 STAR: (910) ST. LOUIS (+$115) over Milwaukee
(Listing Wellemeyer only)
(Risking $100 to win $115)

CFL

3 STAR: (404) WINNIPEG (+6.5) over Calgary
(Risking $330 to win $300)

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 10:15 am
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Chris James Sports

Mets/Phillies Under 9.5

This afternoon is the final game of a 3 game set between the Mets and Phillies and it's also a battle for the first place spot in the National League East. The first two games have been full of excitement but look for this afternoon's game to be a very well pitched, slow-paced game. The Phillies send veteran left-hander Jamie Moyer to the mound who is 9-6 with a 3.9 ERA on the year. In his last 3 starts he is 2-0 with a 2.75 ERA. So far in 08' Moyer is 1-0 against the Mets with a 3.37 ERA and he is 7-4 in his career vs the Mets. Moyer has been a cash cow for the under going 7-1 in his last 8 starts. The Under is 9-2 in his last 11 starts as an underdog, 5-1 in his last 6 starts with the total set between 9-10.5 and 5-0 in his last 5 road starts. Moyer doesn't over power anyone, but strategically hits the corners and makes it tough for hitters to get extra base hits and keeps a lot of balls on the ground! The Mets send Oliver Perez to the mound who is 6-6 with a 4.36 ERA on the year. He has performed much better recently though with a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 starts. Perez has pitched four times against the Phillies this year but only getting one win. However, that isn't because of his pitching, he just hasn't gotten any run support. He currently has pitched 18 1/3 scoreless innings against the Phillies this year and looks to extend that today. He has only given up 11 singles, no extra base hits, those 18 1/3 innings pitched this year. Overall, the Under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts, and 5-1 in his last 6 starts as a favorite. Head to Head match-ups have gone under 4-0 in Moyer's last 4 road starts vs. the Mets, 6-1 in his last 7 overall starts vs. the Mets, and 5-1 in Perez's last 6 starts vs the Phillies. Chris James Free Play Selection today is on the Mets/Phillies to finish under the posted total!

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 10:23 am
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LT Profits

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Under 9.5

Oliver Perez of the New York Mets has simply owned the Philadelphia Phillies recently while the ageless Jamie Moyer has turned back the clock and is in excellent form. Expect both offenses to struggle in this very early matinee.

Perez has faced the Phillies three times this season, and incredibly, he has yet to allow a run against them, tossing 18.1 scoreless innings while allowing just 11 hits and recording 15 strikeouts. This makes six straight times that Perez has held Philadelphia to three earned runs or less going back to last year. He is also in sizzling current form, allowing two earned runs or less in his last four starts overall, with just 15 hits allowed and 27 strikeouts in 26 innings.

All that Moyer has done is allow three runs or less in eight consecutive starts. In a year where Kyle Kendrick has struggled and Brett Myers has spent part of the season in the minors, it is the steady Moyer that has been the second best pitcher on the staff after ace Cole Hamels. Moyer is also a perfect three for three in Quality Starts vs. these Mets this season, and he is an amazing seven for seven in Quality Starts against them since the start of last year.

Throw in the normal lethargy that come with these 12 Noon starts, and runs should be hard to come by today.

Pick: Phillies, Mets Under 9.5

Tampa Bay Rays -120

Matt Garza of the Tampa Bay Rays has pitched as well as any pitcher in the American League over the last month or so except for one bad start in Cleveland, and with the Rays winning both of their series since the All-Star break, they get the call as small road chalk in this series opener vs. the Kansas City Royals.

The Rays certainly stumbled into the break, losing seven straight games including getting swept by the New York Yankees and the Cleveland Indians. However, the break appears to have done them good, as they have taken two out of three games from both the Toronto Blue Jays and the Oakland Athletics. Meanwhile, the Royals were just swept here at home by the Detroit Tigers.

Now Garza has been brilliant, and he is coming off of an outing vs. the Blue Jays where he tossed 7.2 scoreless innings and allowed just two hits and walked nobody. This marked his seventh Quality Start in the last eight starts, and it was also the fourth time in seven starts that he allowed one run or less, and the second time in five starts that he allowed two hits or less. He also posted a Quality Start in his only outing vs. the Royals this year.

Gil Meche was supposed to be the ace of the Kansas City Staff, so he must be considered a disappointment at 7-9 with a 4.48 ERA. Most disturbing is the fact that he has been even worse here at home, where he owns a poor 5.25 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. The last time he faced the Rays here, he was lit up for six earned runs and nine baserunners in six innings.

Finally, if some relief is needed, the Rays also have the superior bullpen, ranking sixth in the majors with a collective 3.39 ERA while the Kansas City pen is sputtering along with a 4.20 ERA. This seems like a reasonable price, all things considered.

Pick: Rays -120

 
Posted : July 24, 2008 10:25 am
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