BeatYourBookie
Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots
Play: UNDER 33.5 50*
The Baltimore Ravens have stayed UNDER the total in 5 of the last 6 pre-season games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points and they have also stayed UNDER the total in 6 of the last 7 pre-season games when the total posted is 35 points or less. Meanwhile, New England ahs stayed UNDER the total in 14 of the last 17 pre-season games in the 1st two weeks of the pre-season.
Play on UNDER 33.5
Stephen Nover
Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies
PICK: Florida Marlins
At this high price, I have to make a small investment on the underdog Marlins.
Phillies starter Cole Hamels has been hit hard during his past two starts, surrendering eight earned runs in 9 2/3 innings. He has allowed eight homers in his last five games. The Marlins have hit the third-most homers in the majors.
Hamels hasn't had any luck against Florida this season. The Marlins are 3-0 versus Hamels this year winning as $1.45, $1.50 and $2.10 underdogs.
That's some nice profit, but can the string continue? Well, Hamels hasn't won in more than a month. The Marlins are loose. The pressure is all on the Phillies.
Florida starter 21-year-old rookie Chris Volstad has done the job on the road so far going 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA in 16 2/3 innings.
Bottom line at this price the Marlins are worth taking a shot on.
NSA
20* New England -3.5
10* New Orleans +2.5
10* Cleveland -3
10* White Sox -140
10* Tampa Bay +120
Comp
Yankees/Texas OVER 12
Priceless Picks
1 Unit on A's/Blue Jays UNDER 7
The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. The Under is a perfect 7-0 in the Blue Jays last 7 home games, 7-0 in Blue Jays last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, and 7-0 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite. The Under is 12-2 in the Athletics last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning record, 10-1 in Athletics last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter, and 22-7 in Athletics last 29 overall. Oddsmakers are begging for the over here, but we won't take the bait.
Yankee Capper
3 Units - New York Mets-RL
3 Units - New York Jets +3
The Hitman Guaranteed Selections
5000 LARGE PERFECT DIAMOND BASEBALL WINNER
NY Yankees w/Mussina -142
Sean Michaels
25 DIME PLAY
CLEVELAND BROWNS
Jeff Alexander Sports
1 Unit on Braves/D-backs UNDER 9.5
We'll make the call on the under here with a pair of teams matched up that have been unders machines of late. The Under is 5-1 in the Braves last 6 overall, 23-6 in the Braves last 29 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, and 41-17-1 in the Braves last 59 road games. The Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 8-3-2 in Diamondbacks last 13 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, and 5-1 in Petit's last 6 starts overall. Take the Under.
The Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections
92% HIGH ROLLER BASEBALL WINNER
Houston w/Oswalt -140
Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
TOP RATED BASEBALL PLAY OF THE DAY
Toronto w/Burnett -110
Wunderdog
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at St Louis
Pick: 3 units St Louis -129
The Dodgers are just 3-6 in Clayton Kershaw?s last nine starts, in spite of the fact he gave up no earned runs in three of them. Two still resulted in losses. That is because the underbelly of the Dodgers pen is just not big-time and Kershaw has yet to make it into the 7th inning in any start, failing to get past five innings in more than half of his 11 starts. Even when he pitches well the Dodgers have a tough time winning. Kyle Lohse has been brilliant for the Cards where he is 13-3 with a 3.73 ERA, and the Cards have now won 12 of his last 15 starts and seven of his last eight at home. This matchup is much more favorable for the Cards than the odds are allowing for, so we will take the value and grab the Cards as a home favorite of much less than what they should be.
Game: New York Yankees at Texas
Pick: 3 units New York Yankees -148
Mike Mussina has won 264 games in his career, but has yet to log a 20-win season. Could this be the year He is pitching big-time and this certainly looks like it could be his year. After starting 1-3, the Yankees have gone 13-6 in his last 19 starts, with Mussina allowing three runs or less in 16 of the 19, so he has been consistently good. Scott Feldman has only recorded eight decisions in 17 starts, meaning he has left most of the game outcomes subject to the Rangers pen, which isn't good news as their pen has been terrible this season. When Feldman doesn't get a decision, the Rangers pen is 2-7, for a combined 6-11 mark over his 17 starts. The Rangers are primarily a .500 team, but with Feldman have been significantly less, winning at a 35% rate in his starts. Mussina has it going and we will back the Yanks on the road here.
Investment Playmakers
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox
Pitching indicators are showing a strong signal for pitcher Vazquez coming into this game with a 21-8 record (+12.1 Units) when playing after coming off of a win. He poses a 5-6 record starting against the Tigers ERA of 4.66 but this is in comparison to Miner whom has a 8.53 ERA in this same situation. Our indicator shows Vazquez with a whopping .93 indifference in pitching strength so we take the White Sox.
10* White Sox -140
Vegas Sports Experts
The VSE NFL Power Play for Thursday
10* Take NY Jets (+3.5) over Cleveland (NFL Power Play)
New York
• 9-1 ATS in pre-season road games when the total posted is 35 points or less
• 7-1 ATS when playing on Thursday in the pre-season
• Only allowed an average of 11 points a game in pre-season road games last year
Bonus Premium NFL Play for Thursday
5* Take NY Giants (+3) over Detroit
Detroit
• 3-10 ATS as a pre-season home favorite of 3 points or less since 1993
• 0-4 ATS in pre-season when the total posted is 35 points or less the last 3 seasons
• 0-3 ATS in pre-season when playing on a Thursday the last 3 seasons
King Creole
DET -3.0 (-110) vs NYG
I came across this WEEK ONE tendency in the NFL pre-season while skimming through some of the online forums. It is not something that I researched myself. But it IS worth noting. And since we ALL have the common goal of 'taking down the MAN', the more information that we can share with each other.... the better (or BETTOR!) it is for all of us.
In week one of the NFL "X" season, play ON any team that missed the Playoffs last year.... when they are taking on a team that WON at least one Playoff game last year. If you had played this situation each of the last two seasons, you would have gone a PERFECT 7-0 ATS
Now, this shouldn't be your only reason to play ON these non-playoff teams. You must also factor in previous pre-season Systems, Trends, and Tendencies. And a sharp player will also address the Head Coach... the projected quarterback rotations... and the relative youth or experience of the two teams that are playing each other. At the very least, this Systems will PREVENT me from playing ON the Giants, Seahawks, Jaguars, Packers, and Patriots in GAME ONE.
So we'll take a possible look at the following "Play ON" teams in week one:
DETROIT LIONS over the ny giants
BALTIMORE RAVENS over the new england patriots
MINNESOTA VIKINGS over the seattle seahawks
CINCINNATI BENGALS over the green bay packers
ATLANTA FALCONS over the jacksonville jaguars
Oddswiz
New York Giants vs. Detroit Lions
Play: Under
I more than likely won't play any pre season NFL until week 3 or 4, or may not play at all. In the meantime, I'll offer some opinions and potential games to keep a close watch on. This opinion on the under comes strictly from watching a couple of super sharp books and the betting patterns on the total. There are still some 33's out there. opinion only - Under
New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns
Play: Under
Once again folks, this is an opinion only and similar to the Giant total opinion, comes from an observation. It's nice to find spots to go against the public, but you can't do it blindly. Various sites offer betting percentages these days. If you notice a game where there is a very high percentage of action one way, yet the line either hasn't budged, or has trickled the other way, you have a situation worth looking into. Such is the case with the total here. The world is on the over. The number has nudged under. Opinion Only - Under