Tom Stryker
3* LA Dodgers
3* Seattle Mariners
Wayne Root
Chairman------Boston
Mill-------------LA Dodgers
NL--------------Seattle
Tony George
NL Game of the Month
LA Dodgers
bettingasabusiness
MLB: 6/2
Under 9.5 Runs (Even) Milwaukee (Parra) / Florida (Sanchez) 7:10 ET 1 Unit
St. Louis (Thompson) -1.5 Runs (+160) / Cincinnati (Arroyo) 8:15 ET 0.5/Unit
Over 9 Runs (-115) St. Louis (Thompson) / Cincinnati (Arroyo) 1 Unit
We're basing these plays on Bronson Arroyo having a poor outing. He's been pitching lights out lately (0.96 WHIP last 3) but has gotten smacked around multiple times earlier this season as recent as 5/6 when Milwaukee tagged him for 9 runs, 7 hits and 3 walks before getting a batter out in the second inning! If we're right we stand to make 1.67 units for our 1.5 units risked and even if we're wrong and Arroyo has another good start we can still get bailed out with the game going over the 9 (0.37/unit profit overall).
Texas - NYY 3 Plays Total Risk 2.5 Units
Texas (Padilla) +1.5 Runs (-115) / NY Yankees (Burnett) 7:05 ET 1 Unit
Over 10.5 Runs (Even) Texas / NY Yankees 1 Unit
Parlay: Texas (ML) +180 & Over 10.5 Runs (Even) Risk 0.5/Unit to win 2.3 Units
Here we're at risk for a total of 2.5 units with an upside of 4.17 units as we look for both of these starter to have just average outings. Padilla and Burnett have pretty much identical numbers this year (ERA's just under 5 and WHIP's of 1.41 each) as do the Yanks and Rangers W/L records. (30-21 and 30-20), so we can't justify this huge price. A Texas win with the game going over the 10.5 is obviously our optimal outcome, but the way we've structured our plays, our risk is minimal as long as the Yankees don't win a low scoring game by 2 runs or more (mathematically the most unlikely of outcomes). With a NYY 1 run win (or Texas win) and under, our loss is limited to 0.63/Unit, and with a Yankees 2+ run win and over, our loss is only 0.5/unit. On the winning side though, a Texas 1 run loss and over yields 1.37 units profit while a Texas outright win and over makes us 4.17 units. So as long as we at least split our over play and run line play, we're risking no more than 0.63/unit to win 4.17 units (over 6 to 1 on our money).
Rocky Atkinson
Double Dime Underdog
KC Royals
C-Stars Sports
1000 Units Philly +150 over San Diego
1000 Units Atlanta/Cubs UNDER the total
1000 Units St Louis/Cincy UNDER the total
Big Al
St Louis Cardinals
Mets/Pirates Under
Nick Parsons
Red Wings/Penguins Under
Red Sox/Tigers Under
Tom Freese
10* SF Giants
10* Dodgers/DBacks Under
Ben Burns
Penguins
Opposite Action Plays
Detroit Tigers
Lenny Del Genio
Detroit Tigers
Stephen Nover
SF Giants
Marc Lawrence
Arizona Diamondbacks
Bob Balfe
Giants -145 over Nationals
Lincecum/Stammen