The Fat Jack
Charlotte +3
The Charlotte Game To Go Over The Total Of 209
The New Orleans Game To Go Under The Total Of 198
Ferringo
.5-Unit Play. Take #951 Arizona (-130) over San Francisco
San Francisco won yesterday despite not scoring an earned run. If they can scum out a second win in a row against the best team in the N.L, well, we’ll pay for it. But I think they are pathetic and I don’t think they’ll do it again. I have seen every one of their wins this year and other than one W against the Cardinals they have been the flukiest, cheesiest, most garbage wins you will find. This is a 90+ loss team and I’ll be betting against them a lot this year.
3-Unit Play. Take #962 St. Louis (-125) over Milwaukee
Dave Bush is a mess. The Cardinals have been playing well and will be amped for this home series. The Brewers are 4-17 in Dave Bush’s starts as a road underdog and 8-23 in his starts against N.L. Central teams. Bush is 3-9 in his career in April and is 1-3 with a 7.61 career ERA against the Cardinals.
3-Unit Play. Take #957 Atlanta (-110) over Florida
Jair Jurjens isn’t any good. And the Marlins will score against him. But Atlanta’s offense has more punch and will get to Scott Olsen, who is always one inning away from an implosion. Atlanta is 21-5 after an off day.
3-Unit Play. Take #959 Cincinnati (-105) over Chicago
Aaron Harang is 9-1 in road games against teams with a winning record. He is also 12-3 in his career in April, 8-3 in his career against the Cubs, and 4-0 at Wrigley Field.
3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Kansas City at Seattle
We have an 'over' ump, a team that beats up lefties, and a veteran pitcher that is ripe to get rocked. I'm looking for double digits in runs here.
2-Unit Play. Take Boston (-105) over Cleveland
I think Boston was able to break Cleveland's spirit a bit yesterday. they have taken three in a row and if they can get just a decent outing out of Wakefield today I think they're in business.
1-Unit Play. Take #955 Washington (+150) over New York Mets
1-Unit Play. Take #953 Houston (+135) over Philadelphia
1-Unit Play. Take #975 Minnesota (+125) over Detroit
Sports Profit Systems
Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trail Blazers
PICK: Portland Trail Blazers
REASON FOR PICK: “We want Beasley! We want Beasley!”… We can hear the chants ringing out across sports bars in Memphis right now. Although the Heat and Sonics already have the top spots for the lottery balls the Grizz still should try to finish ‘ahead’ of the Knicks and Clippers, who are closing fast. So it might be a good idea for them to ratchet down the effort a bit and think long term, in the best interests of the franchise. Everybody will understand. They’re 8-31 on the road, and this season was over long ago. So they should just do enough to put up some decent individual stats for contract incentives, etc. And tonight it should be easy for the Grizz to lay down whether they’re trying to or not! Because they’re facing a fired up Portland team who’s publicly stated their goal is to finish with a winning record. Considering that they’re 40-40 and playing at Phoenix in the season finale, this is a ‘must win’ game along those lines. It’s also their final game at the Rose Garden, where they’ve been solid all season (27-13) and have put up back-to-back wins against Western Conference playoff teams (Mavs and Lakers). On the other side of the coin, when you look at the Grizzlies recent results on the surface it appears that they’re still fighting. They’ve alternated wins and loses (SU) since April 2nd. However a closer look reveals all you need to know. The wins were against a bunch of disinterested, non-playoff teams, none of whom have more than 25 wins on the season. The Grizz managed to beat the Heat (14-67), the Knicks (23-58), and the T-wolves (21-59), and two of the three were at home (they beat the T-wolves on the road, but to put that in perspective, they lost to them in their last game at Fed Ex Forum). The Grizzlies also lost to the Clippers, which tells you everything you need to know. And against GOOD, motivated teams they’ve been routed. They lost to Phoenix by 14, Golden State by 31 and Atlanta by 17, and all three of those games were in Memphis. So with tonight’s game in Portland, how are they even coming CLOSE? We see no significant injuries posted for the Blazers so we just don’t understand the number. Normally we avoid big favorites like the plague, but in the closing days of the NBA season there can be some great opportunities if you can spot potential blowout situations. And this is definitely one of them. The last time these teams got together at the Rose Garden in November the Blazers won 110-98. They would’ve covered a 12-point spread back then with the Grizzlies in a much more competitive mental state. Tonight the score will be much worse. We’ve got the Blazers going full bore and closing out strong in their home finale; 115 – 92. In any case, best of luck with all of your sports investments tonight.
Ethan Law
2% CLEVELAND +$100
2% CINCINNATI +$103
1% SEATTLE -$128
1% SEATTLE +$165
L Ness 20* game of month
Cardinals
Parlay King
Boston Red +100
Cin/Chic under 11
Marc Lawrence Final NBA Perfect Revenge Play
Play On: Memphis
Note: Grizzlies take on the Trailblazers at the Rose Garden in Portland tonight in a matchup of two teams that will be viewing the playoffs from their family room next week. Portland enters off a revenge win over the Dallas Mavericks with a season ending revenger up next tomorrow night at Phoenix. Meanwhile, Memphis seeks revenge while playing off a 4-point upset loss in its last game. That sets the table for this 'perfect revenge sandwich'. With the Blazers 0-5 ATS in Last Home Games against non-division opponents, look for the Grizzlies to improve to 8-0 ATS as a dog at Portland with a win percentage of less than .285 here tonight.
Bonus Play: Orlando - Magic is 15-2 ATS with same season revenge this season
EZWINNERS
MLB
1 STAR: (979) NY YANKEES (-1.5)(+$139) over Tampa Bay
(Listing Pettitte and Jackson)
(Risking $100 to win $139)
1 STAR: (973) TORONTO (-1.5)(+$120) over Baltimore
(Listing Marcum and Trachsel)
(Risking $100 to win $120)
6:05PM Central Time
1 STAR: (959) CINCINNATI (-$110) over Chicago
(Listing Harang and Dempster)
(Risking $110 to win $100)
1 STAR: (958) FLORIDA (-$105) over Atlanta
(Listing Olson and Jurrjens)
(Risking $105 to win $100)
NBA
1 STAR: (705) MINNESOTA (+7) over Detroit
(Risking $110 to win $100)
SPORTS LOCK
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Detroit Pistons
Tonight's game features the 26th ranked Timberwolves offense against the number 1 ranked Pistons defense. The Pistons are an impressive 25-15 against the spread at home this season. Offensively the Pistons at home are averaging 99.4 points per game ranking 17th in the NBA. The Pistons allow the third least field goal percentage against in the league at 43.8%. The Pistons also are second in three points made allowed in the league at 5 per game.
The Timberwolves are 20-20 against the spread on the road this season. Defensively they are giving up on the road 103.7 points per game ranking 19th in NBA play. With the Timberwolves having a bad road offense as well as giving up a lot of points defensively they odds will be well against them. Detroit is one of the leagues best teams and they win their games by being the best defense in the league. Detroit's defense tonight will be too much for a young inexperienced Timberwolves team to handle. Take The Pistons to win this game by double digits.
Lock = Detroit Pistons -7
INDIAN COWBOY
Magic -1 (POD)
Note*: I've had some winning streaks in the past, and this is not yet as big as January was, but it is certainly getting close. Wanted to say thanks for sticking with me as I turned the ship around from an up and down March as the April records are as follows. I've always said I have the best clients of any handicapper bar none. I'm not into the whole Game of the Week, 50* plays etc...I simply work hard on my research, my write-ups, take my time with the tedious spreadsheets and make my selections. It's a "boring" way to approach handicapping in the tedious process of research, but that has what has worked for me. No drama, stay honest, be reasonable, work hard and produce profits.
1-0 Yesterday (Giants +112)
Winning 7 of 8 Days.
Winning 6 of 7 Days Last Week.
Great April Underway (25-18): +21.0 Units (many ML underogs included).
Winning 9 of 13 Days in April (Passed on Sunday)
Last Week: 10-6 (62.5%), +9.2 units and 20% ROI.
Week Before: +10.48 Units and 34.93% ROI.
Winning 11 of 14 NBA POD's (74%).
Winning 14 of 19 POD's Overall (74%).
Magic Write-up:
Bottom line here is while the Hawks might look into resting their players accordign to Coach Woodson as reported in the AJC, the Magic are not relenting, going full force as Van Gundy wants them to be sharp heading into the playoffs as he remembers what happens when this team was swept by the Pistons last year, they want to remain on top of their game as evidenced by a 20 point blowout win at Chicago where they really came on late, not to mention the Magic love revenge which they have against the Hawks here in an earlier season loss. These teams do not like each other and look for the Magic to make a statement irrelevant of the fact that they don't need this game. Van Gundy is a stud, I love the fat ass as he gets on his players, regardless of who they are to play hard the entire game. The Hawks are just 1-5 ATS when facing a team with a winning % of greater than 60% meaning when they are playing better teams, they are failing to cover the spread.
Timberwolves +7
I nearly took the moneyline here but decided I will simply take the 7 points and ride it as I like the baby Pistons given how hard they play. However, the Timberwolves have revenge from losing by 4 points at home to the Pistons starters, Billups will be limited as well as other Pistons starters in minutes, plus this is the same twolf team that went on the road to beat Orlando and Memphis, do not underestimat this team as of course, they have no playoffs so this is their playoff season before some house cleaning is done through the summer and players clearly want to leave a good impression. Look for a possible outright here but more importantly a cover. The Timberwolves are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 against the Eastern Conference.
Clippers +16
The line has not budged and there is a reason for that here. Whenever you can get Elton Brand to play 40 minutes, that is always a plus and I like the fact that this team came off that brutal loss to the Lakers at home in an embarassing way. Brand played the most minutes since returning roughly the early part of this month with over 40 minutes, with Thomas, Mobley, Magattee and Thornton all in the mix. Sure the Hornets are upset coming off a poor road trip, sure they will win this game, but at the same time, I will take a shot on Dunleavy getting his boys ready for their last game of the season in which they have a long off-season to look forward to and I see them showing some great effort tonight to close the season. Tack on some revenge of losing by 20 points or more to this Hornets team with no Brand, tack on the fact they are 5-1 ATS as road dogs off 11 points or greater and tack on the fact that the Hornets are just 1-4 ATS as favorites off 11 points or more, give me the Clippers to close out the season strong.
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
500,000 HOME RUN BASEBALL WINNER
Detroit w/Robertson -130
$500,000 HOME RUN BASEBALL CRUSHER
St Louis w/Looper -125
VEGAS RUNNER
SD PADRES -118 (1*) ML WAGER...Here is an MLB Wager from the Subscriber's Card Tonight since we did an NHL Play on MON and an NBA Play on SUN....so lets see if we can keep it going with a 1* in Tonight's MLB...Good Luck, Vegas-Runner...
TEXAS SPORTS WIRE
4* BOSOX
3* ST. LOUIS
3* OAKLAND A's
Erin Rynning
New Jersey Nets
Phillies/Astros over 10
Will Sykes
2* La Clippers +16