Robert Ross
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks at Florida Marlins
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks
Cheap price on the better team. Owings gives them an added bat in the lineup. ARIZONA is 52-38 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. FLORIDA is 22-44 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. Take Arizona!
Tony Mathews
Selection:Cincinnati/Los Angeles Over 8.5
Explanation: We expect a high-scoring game as the Cincinnati Reds face-off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in Tuesday's MLB contest.
The Cincinnati Reds will use starting pitcher Matt Belisle. Matt Belisle has struggled this season. In fact, Matt Belisle has a 7.45 ERA on the season. We see Matt Belisle giving up many runs today.
The Los Angeles Dodgers will use starting pitcher Chad Billingsley. Chad Billingsley has also struggled this season. In fact, Chad Billingsley has a 4.34 ERA on the season. We see Chad Billingsley giving up many runs today.
The "Over" has been a smart investment in Los Angeles Dodgers home games. In fact, the "Over" is 11-4 in the Los Angeles Dodgers last 15 home games.
Take the Cincinnati Reds/Los Angeles Dodgers Over 8.5
Rocketman Sports
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati bullpen has a 6.26 ERA on the road this year. LA Dodgers bullpen has a 3.10 ERA overall this year and a 2.79 ERA at home this season. Arroyo is 2-4 with a 6.08 ERA overall this year. LA Dodgers are 11-3 overall vs Cincinnati last 3 years including a perfect 6-0 at home vs Cincinnati last 3 seasons. Penny is 7-2 with a 3.00 ERA overall vs Cincinnati since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Dodgers tonight!
Brian Marshall
Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox
Play On: Cleveland/Chicago Under 8
Game Analyses: Tuesday's MLB game between the Cleveland Indians and Chicago White Sox will feature two starting pitchers who have been pitching very well as of late. With that said, we see very little scoring in tonight's game.
The Cleveland Indians will be lead by starting pitcher C.C. Sabathia. C.C. Sabathia has been pitching well as of late. In fact, C.C. Sabathia has a 2.01 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see C.C. Sabathia pitching another great game tonight.
The Chicago White Sox will be lead by starting pitcher Jose Contreras. Jose Contreras has also been pitching well as of late. In fact, Jose Contreras has a 2.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Jose Contreras also pitching another great game tonight.
The Under is 22-6 in the Cleveland Indians last 28 games, while the Under is 8-2 in the Chicago White Sox last 10 games as an underdog.
Take the Cleveland Indians/Chicago White Sox Under 8
Vegas Experts
Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros
Huge pitching mismatch in favor of the Cubs here. Ryan Dempster has emerged as the team's #2 man in the rotation behind Zambrano by allowing just two earned runs over his last three starts (0.89 ERA). He's opposed by Chris Sampson who has an ERA over 15.00 at home, yet somehow the Astros have won each of his last three starts. Not this time as the Cubbie build off yesterday's 7-2 win in the series opener.
Play on: Chicago Cubs
John Fina
Selection: Tampa Bay Rays -125
on Tuesday. Today the Tampa Bay Rays will be on the road as they take on the Oakland Athletics. We will side with the Tampa Bay Rays! One reason why we will side with the Tampa Bay Rays is because they will be sending to the mound the starting pitcher who has been pitching a lot better as of late. This says it all... The Tampa Bay Rays Starting Pitcher (Scott Kazmir) has a 1.69 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Oakland Athletics Starting Pitcher (Greg Smith) has a 4.32 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, Scott Kazmir is the much better starting pitcher. In addition, the Tampa Bay Rays have played solid baseball when playing the role of the favorite. In fact, the Tampa Bay Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite. We see the Tampa Bay Rays getting another win tonight.
Take the Tampa Bay
Rocco Spacamuro
75* Mets -125 GM 1
Jack Clayton
Indians
Templer's Sports Picks
Tigers
HotLocksports
Reds/Dodgers Over 8.5
Paul Leiner
5* Phi/Wash Over 8
Brandon Lovell
Detroit/Boston Under
MadduxSports
Colorado -135
Arthur Ralph
Clev/Chic Over 8
Mighty Quinn
Pistons
Gamblers Data
Tampa Bay -125
PlayByPlayInc.
DETROIT/BOSTON Over 174
Tokay Sports Picks
DETROIT/BOSTON Under 174
Sharp Sports Advisors
FLORIDA MARLINS
ARMVIN SPORTS
REDS
floridabookybusters
Kansas City/Boston Over 9.5
PlusLineSports Daily Baseball Pick
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
Play By Play
Pistons/Celtics Over
Totals4u
TB/Oak Over
Scott Spreitzer
Mariners/Tigers Over
Joe Wiz
Pirates
Astros
Computer Sports
Mets Gm 1
Glen Mcgrew
Pirates
NICK JONES
Detroit Pistons +4.5
Insider Sports Report
Arizona -120
Mike Wynn
Baltimore +140
Nevada Sharpshooter
DIAMONDBACKS -120
SCOUT
Milwaukee/Pittsburgh over 9
BIG TIME SPORTS
TEXAS / MINNESOTA OVER 9.5
HUDDLE UP
Cleveland -120
TV HOTLINE
ARIZONA -120
RAZOR SHARP
NY METS - Game 1
PLATINUM PLAYS
YANKEES - 145
The Super Scout
Phillies -153
Alex Smart
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres Under 8.0
The San Diego Padres veteran starting hurler, Greg Maddux has pitched very well at home this season, as is evident by a stingy 1.42 ERA in 3 starts at PETCO. His Cardinals pitching opponent Joel Pineiro (2-2, 4.46 ERA) has been fairly consistent this season, and in this forgiving park, should be able to hold a light hitting Padres offense , that averages just 3 RPG , on a ugly ,215 BA at home, in check. With two capable throwers , on the hill tonight, look for another sleeper in San Diego , as this contest fails to eclipse the total. Final notes & Key Trends: Pineiro is 3-0 along with a tight 3.21 ERA in 5 career starts vs San Diego . Six of the L/7 meetings here in SD have gone under the Total. Play UNDER
LT Profits
Atlanta Braves +120 Gm 1
Now there is no question that John Maine of the New York Mets is a much better pitcher than Top Glavine of the Atlanta Braves at this stage of their careers. However, there are other factors pointing us to the Braves as nice home underdogs in this spot.
First of all, Atlanta has been one of the best home teams in baseball so far this season, going 16-5 here for +8.71 units. It is not often that you can catch the Braves as home underdogs either, as they have only been in this role three times this season. Well, they are a perfect 3-0 in those games, with one of the upsets coming over these Mets when they bested Johan Santana at a whopping +146.
Getting back to this game specifically, there is no disputing Maine’s talent, as he is 5-2 with a spiffy 2.81 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. However, he was not impressive in his first start here in Atlanta this year, when he surrendered four earned runs and 11 baserunners while lasting just four innings of an 11-5 Braves victory. Then again, Maine struggling against the Braves in Atlanta should not be surprising when you consider the Bravos are batting an impressive .309 vs. right-handed pitching at home.
Now Glavine is obviously past his prime, although he has still allowed two earned runs or less in four of his six “real” starts this year. This does not include his seventh outing where he was lifted after just 16 pitches with a strained hamstring. Even is Glavine is in need of early relief here, Atlanta has now moved up to seventh in the Major Leagues with a 3.37 bullpen ERA, making them a play under our Bullpen System that has averaged +97 units the last three years.
We think that all of those factors are enough to offset the Mets’ starting pitching advantage at this price at home for Atlanta.
Pick: Braves +120 (Game 1)
Toronto Blue Jays -115
John Lackey of the Los Angeles Angels pitched well in his first start off of the Disabled List, but after throwing 99 pitches in seven innings, he is a prime candidate to regress in his second start tonight vs. the Toronto Blue Jays.
Besides, this is not the best pitching matchup for him, as Dustin McGowan has pitched much better than his 4.38 ERA and 1.44 WHIP would indicate. Both of those figures ate skewed by one horrid outing in Cleveland where McGowan was roughed up for nine runs while allowing 10 baserunners in just 3.2 innings. The truth of the matter however is that he has allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his other eight starts, and he allowed just four runs in the other outing. McGowan was also a perfect two for two in Quality Starts vs. the Angels last season.
Now if Lackey does indeed pitcher fewer innings tonight, that would certainly be bad news for the Halos given that the rank 29th out of 30 Major League teams with a 4.87 bullpen ERA, ahead of only the Texas Rangers. By comparison, the Blue Jays lead the American League with a 3.14 pen ERA, making Toronto a strong Bullpen System play here.
Finally, the Jays are 8-2 in the last 10 head-to-lead meetings with the Angels here north of the border, and we look for Toronto to prevail again here.
Pick: Blue Jays -115
Sportsbettingstats
Arizona Diamondbacks at Florida Marlins
In their last game the Diamondbacks beet the Detroit Tigers 4-0, while the Marlins lost to the Kansas City Royals 9-3 in their last game. This game is a battle between two teams that are leading their respective divisions, as the Marlins are in 1st place in the NL East and the Diamondbacks are in 1st place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 6-4 in their last 10 games and the Marlins are 5-5 in their last 10 games. Both teams did not receive a lot of press in the off season, as they were not picked to win their division, but the MLB season is ¼ over and they are both in 1st place. Taking the mound for the Diamondbacks is Micah Owings (5-1 3.81 ERA), who has been a pleasant surprise in the Diamondback rotation. In his last outing he went 6 innings giving up 0 earned runs in the win. In their win over the Tigers in their last game the Diamondbacks scored 4 runs on 8 hits and left 8 men on base. On defense the Diamondbacks gave up 0 runs on 7 hits to the Tigers. Taking the mound for the Marlins is Mark Hendrickson (5-2 3.91 ERA), who has been solid this year but has lost 2 games in a row. In his last outing he went 5 innings giving up 4 earned runs in the loss. In their loss to the Royals in their last game the Marlins scored 3 runs on 10 hits and left 7 men on base. On defense the Marlins gave up 9 runs on 14 hits to the Royals.
Staff Pick: This game features a couple of pitchers with almost identical numbers. In his last outing the Marlins Hendrickson had his worst start of the season and will look to get back in the win column at home. The Diamondbacks are hitting .267 as a team and are 2nd in the NL (238) in runs scored, while the Marlins are hitting .264 as a team and are 7th in runs scored (213). Florida can beat teams with the long ball, as the Marlins are 2nd in the NL in home runs (63). The pitching match up has to go the Diamondbacks, as Hendrickson has lost 2 starts in a row, while Owings had a strong outing in his last game. The Marlins are still in 1st place but have come down to earth after a very strong start and are now only 1 game ahead of the 2nd place New York Mets. The Diamondbacks have a comfortable 5 game lead on the L.A. Dodgers in the NL West. Look for Hendrickson to bounce back and have a good start and for the Marlins to win a close game in a pitcher's duel.
Marlins 4 Diamondbacks 3
EZWINNERS DAY BASEBALL
1 STAR: (931) NY METS (-$127) over Atlanta
(Listing Maine and Glavine)
(Risking $127 to win $100)
Larry Ness Insider
Celtics
JB's Computer Picks
Washington Nationals +140
Florida Marlins +105
Chicago Cubs -130
Chicago White Sox + 105
David Malinsky
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Florida Marlins
PICK: Arizona Diamondbacks
One of the real keys to finding value in any sport is to be ahead of the curve on emerging performance patterns. We believe that we are there with Mark Hendrickson tonight, and since we can exploit him by playing the far better team at a short price, there is no hesitation to get involved.
Hendrickson was only invited to Florida this season because he had been born left-handed. A six year run through the Major League’s with three different teams had produced a combined 43-55/5.02, including a 4-8/5.21 with the Dodgers LY. With his 34th birthday coming up in a month, those are not the kind of numbers that keep you an active member of the MLB Players Union, but left-handers are such prized commodities that opportunities are seemingly always available. But when the marketplace sees his 5-2/3.91 performance as a Marlin so far, they begin to believe, and this price certainly reflects that. Our inclination, instead, is that Hendrickson is a correction waiting to take place, and we believe that is already happening. The key is that it has happened far off of the radar screens.
The Florida left-hander got a no-decision and a loss in his last two outings, and his ERA only rose from 3.71 to 3.91 in the process. That does not raise any eyebrows. But take a closer look. He lasted only 9.1 innings across those two performances, throwing 203 pitches. It was 25.2 pitches per inning against Milwaukee from this mound, and 18.8 at Cincinnati, which contrasts poorly to his previous high of 17.8 per inning through seven games, that one being all the way back on March 31 vs. the Mets. In those two games Hendrickson allowed only five runs, but he did that with mirrors - there were 15 hits, seven walks, and one HBP. Of the 50 batters that he faced he only retired 27, an alarming .460 on-base. But of the 23 batters that reached over 9.1 innings, 18 did not score. That is a strand rate that has run the pendulum out to a major extreme, and when you play with fire, eventually you will get singed. That happens tonight against a solid Arizona lineup.
Micah Owings brings base numbers almost identical to those of Hendrickson at 5-1/3.99. The comparison ends there. While Hendrickson is a journeyman hanging on to a job, Owings is an outstanding prospect. He not only has had better control than Hendrickson, but in terms of the best measurement of “stuff” it is a mismatch - Owings has 42 strikeouts to go with 42 hits allowed, while Hendrickson has struck out only 24, while allowing 54 hits. And as always Owings also brings added value because of what he can do at the plate - he is at .341 through 88 career at-bats, with nine doubles, five home runs, and 18 runs batted in.
JEFF SCOTT
NY YANKS -147 over Baltimore
The Orioles are 9-20 in Cabreras last 29 starts as a road underdog and 4-10 in his last 14 meetings with NY, while the Yankees are 41-19 in their last 60 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and 19-7 in Mussinas last 26 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Orioles have a been a surprise team this year, but they have struggled on the road going 9-13, while scoring just 3.7 rpg and hitting only .235. Now they face a hot Mike Mussina, who is 6-3 overall, but 4-0 in his last 5 starts with an ERA of 2.76 over that span. Mussina is also 10-6 in his career vs the O's, even though his ERA is 4.62 against them. Daniel Cabrera has had a nice season for the O's, but has struggled vs the Yanks, going just 4-6 with a 4.80 ERA in 14 career starts. The O's are hot right now but the Yanks need to start winning now and with Mussina on the mound they will take game 1 of this series in a close one.