ASA's NBA FINALS TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR
UNDER Game 6 Lakers @ Celtics
Tonight's Game 6 between the Lakers and Celtics is a dead under unless we see one or more overtimes. I've watched every game of this series more than once and have a great handle on both teams right now and what they are trying to do offensively and defensively.
Two games have played OVER the total while three have stayed UNDER. After a high scoring Game 2 these two teams traveled across the country on only one day rest and produced the lowest combined total points of the series just 168. Doc Rivers was even quoted as saying the travel really takes a toll on the teams especially this late in the season and in this setting. In Game 3 the Celtics shot just 34.9% as a team while the Lakers shot just 43.5%. Fatigue was even apparent at the free throw line as Boston hit just 68.2%, L.A. 61.8%. Now these two teams will really struggle to score points as the physical nature and pressure of the series sets in.
Boston is one of the best defensive teams in the league as they allowed just 87.2 ppg at home this season on 41.3% shooting by foes. The Lakers gave up a lot points this year but their field goal efficiency defense was outstanding as they ranked 6th in the league. In this series the Lakers are allowing just 43.2% from the field.
Boston has been an 'under' team all season long at home and now the Lakers have played 'under' the total in 8 of their last ten. This game will never approach 190 points and I feel it stays in the 175 range instead. Bet it.
DUNKEL INDEX
MLB
Detroit at San Francisco
The Giants took their first interleague game of the season last night after six straight losses and look to add to that against a Detroit team that is just 2-7 on the road when the line is between -100 and -125. San Francisco is the underdog pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105). Here are all of today's games.
TUESDAY, JUNE 17
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: LA Dodgers at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.090; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.026
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 10
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-105); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-105); Over
Game 903-904: Houston at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Backe) 14.566; Baltimore (Olson) 14.105
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Over
Game 905-906: San Diego at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Wolf) 16.021; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.195
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+145); Over
Game 907-908: Boston at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 16.706; Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.692
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+100); Over
Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Dempster) 14.986; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 15.668
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Over
Game 911-912: Atlanta at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 15.132; Texas (Padilla) 15.386
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-105); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-105); Over
Game 913-914: Toronto at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (McGowan) 15.559; Milwaukee (Parra) 13.786
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105); Under
Game 915-916: Washington at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 15.742; Minnesota (Hernandez) 13.867
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Over
Game 917-918: Pittsburgh at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 13.764; White Sox (Vazquez) 15.951
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-160); Under
Game 919-920: Kansas City at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 16.608; St. Louis (Pineiro) 14.715
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+130); Under
Game 921-922: Cleveland at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Byrd) 14.938; Colorado (Reynolds) 15.782
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Over
Game 923-924: Oakland at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Duchscherer) 15.303; Arizona (Webb) 14.653
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+125); Over
Game 925-926: NY Mets at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 14.232; LA Angels (Lackey) 15.311
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Over
Game 927-928: Florida at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Olsen) 14.896; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.252
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+130); Under
Game 929-930: Detroit at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Rogers) 14.666; San Francisco (Sanchez) 15.921
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105); Under
NBA
LA Lakers at Boston
The Lakers look to avoid elimination tonight and come into the contest with a 4-3 record as a road underdog with the line between 3 1/2 and 6 points. LA is the underdog pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by just 3. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+4). Here are all of today's games.
TUESDAY, JUNE 17
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 511-512: LA Lakers at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 126.530; Boston 129.446
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 3; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+4); Over
Stu Feiner
4,000,000 Dime Pick on the Lakers 😀
Steve Merril
New York Mets vs. LAA Angels
Play: New York Mets
The Mets fired manager Willie Randolph at 3 a.m. ET this morning, despite an impressive 9-6 win last night in Anaheim. Teams normally respond well to mid-season coaching changes and tonight’s game fits a long-term 60% winning situation based on that premise. New York’s offense remains red hot and has scored at least 7+ runs or more in 3 of their past 4 games and we get excellent value with the most dominant pitcher in baseball the past few seasons at an underdog price tonight. Johan Santana has a fantastic 2.85 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 14 starts this season with a 86-24 strikeout/walk ratio. He has been even stronger on the road with a 2.80 ERA and 1.15 WHIP with a 44-10 ratio, including an incredible 0.87 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in his past three starts overall. Play N.Y. METS
James Patrick Sports
Nationals vs. Twins
Livan Hernandez has turned into a run producing machine as his last six home starts have flown Over the Total and 11 of 12 overall have gone Over. Twins are playing Over the Total in 8 of 10 and our Tuesday selection in Major League Baseball is Washington-Minnesota OVER the TOTAL.
SPORTS KINGZ
GIANTS -105
CINCY -130
YANKEES -170
ARIZONA -140
WHITE SOX -170
Jack Clayton
Phillies
Jimmy Moore
Philadelphia -120
floridabookybusters
San Diego
Templer's Sports Picks
Tampa Bay
HUDDLE UP
Seattle -140
SCOUT
Boston +105
MIKE WYNN
Tampa Bay -135
RAZOR SHARP
SEATTLE -140
THE VEGAS STEAMLINE
BOSTON +105
MIGHTY QUINN
Lakers
Red Sox
Play By Play Inc.
LAKERS/BOSTON Under
TOTALS 4 U
DODGERS/REDS UNDER
BIG TIME SPORTS
BRAVES/RANGERS OVER
#1 SPORTS
CINCINNATI REDS - 110
PLATINUM PLAYS
PHILLIES - 110
TRACE ADAMS
Atlanta Braves
Insider Sports Report
Oakland/Arizona UNDER
NICK JONES
Baltimore Orioles -125
Cappers Access
Celtics
Cubs
VEGAS EXPERTS
Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles
Tonight's total is very high (10) likely because Astros starter Brandon Backe has posted an 0-3 team start record and 8.40 ERA in his last three outings, but consider the man's recent history. He is 13-2 Under as a dog, 12-1 Under in road starts and a perfect 8-0 Under off a Houston loss this season! Baltimore is 9-1 Under with a double-digit total this season and starter Garrett Olson has allowed just seven runs in his last three outings. Expect a low scoring affair this evening.
Play on: Under
Sportsbettingstats
L.A. Lakers at Boston Celtics
In the final game in L.A. the Lakers were able to extend the series with a 103-98 win over the Celtics. Oh, what could have been, as even though the series shifts back to Boston the Celtics had their chances in game 5. The Celtics are 47-7 at home this season and need to win only 1 of 2 games to win the title. The high scorer for the Celtics in game 5 was Paul Pierce, who was spectacular going for 38 points on 10/22 from the floor and knocked down 16 of 19 free throws. For the game the Celtics shot 33/77 for a field goal percentage of 42.9%. The Lakers used a team effort to win game 5, as even though Kobe Bryant was the high scorer, 25 points on 8/21 shooting, Pau Gasol (19 pts 13 rebs), Lamar Odom (20 pts 11 rebs 4 blks) and Jordan Farmer (11 pts off the bench) came up big for the Lakers. For the game the Lakers shot 36/79 for a field goal percentage of 45.6%. For the game the Lakers out rebounded the Celtics 40-37.
Staff Pick: Kobe Bryant said the series "aint over" after game 4's loss and he was right, as the Lakers played great team basketball to in game 5. Paul Pierce was unstoppable in game 5 and even though KG had a good game (13 pts 16 rebs) he missed an easy tip in at crunch time and was only 1-4 from the charity stripe. One of the Big 3 played great, but at least 2 have to for the Celtics to be successful. The Lakers have some momentum going heading to Beantown and even though no team in the history of the NBA has come back from a 3-1 finals deficit the Lakers still think they have a chance. The Celtics have a few issues to deal with such as the health of Kendrick Perkins (did not play in game 5), Rajon Rondo's ankle problems, and the health issues of Ray Allen's family so the Lakers have a chance to steal this game. If they play team basketball again and Odom and Gasol play like they did in game 5 the Lakers have a good chance to win. This is KG's game to take over, as if he shines the Celtics will win, but if not there will be a game 7. This one is a tough one to call, but the Lakers finally found their winning style in game 5 and if they use the same game plan and execute it they will in this game and force a game 7. Look for a close game, but for the Lakers to win by a slim margin.
Lakers 97 Celtics 96
Sapkowski
Premium:
BAL Orioles
MIL Brewers
Free picks
DET Tigers
CHI White Sox
Boston -4 (NBA)
Tips:
For Euro 2008 play Romania(as Draw no bet)
Lee Kostroski
San Diego Padres @ New York Yankees
PICK: Under
The Yankees offense put up big numbers in the last series but they were playing in one of the top hitting ballparks in baseball in Houston. Overall on the season the Yankees are a dramatic 'under' team with the 'under' going 41-26-2. On the season the Yankees are hitting just .265 against left-handed pitching and the 'under' is 9-3 in Andy Pettitte's last 12 home starts.
Pettitte is coming off one of the worst home starts of his career so this will be a key game for him to get back on track. He pitched extremely well in Oakland in his last start overall with one run allowed over eight innings. The 'under' is 10-4 in his 14 starts this season and he faces a San Diego offense that is hitting only .246 on the season. The Padres are scoring just 3.8 runs per game this season and the low output can not be simply attributed to the pitching-friendly home ballpark as San Diego is hitting only .250 in road games.
San Diego starter Randy Wolf has recovered from a rocky April to deliver great recent results. Wolf has made six consecutive quality starts with a 2.29 ERA in that span. Wolf is averaging nearly six strikeouts per game in those six starts and on the year the 'under' is 11-3 in Wolf starts, including 5-2 in his road outings. Wolf also rarely walks batters so he should have success against a patient Yankees lineup. Look for low numbers in this interleague match-up.
LT Profits
San Diego Padres +160
The San Diego Padres simply ooze value at this price with Randy Wolf on the hill tonight vs. Andy Pettitte and the New York Yankees.
Wolf is quite simply in raging form right now. He has recorded six straight Quality Starts, but that does not tell the entire story of just how hot he has been, as he has allowed exactly one run in each of his last three starts and exactly two runs in the two starts before that.
Pettitte is but a shell of his former self, and he has become rather inconsistent this season, seemingly alternating good and bad efforts. One constant for Pettitte though has been his poor pitching at home, where he is 1-3 with a 6.25 ERA and a1.47 WHIP. The last time he pitched in Yankee Stadium, he was torched for 10 earned runs in 6.2 innings by the Kansas City Royals.
Finally, the Padres have been playing much better baseball lately, going 8-3 in their ;last 11 games.
Pick: Padres +160
Atlanta Braves -115
The Atlanta Braves have suddenly become Road Warriors, and they have their ace Tim Hudson on the hill when they visit the Texas Rangers tonight.
Yes, the Braves are still a woeful 10-25 on the road, but they have now won three of their last four contests away from home after a 7-1 win at Colorado last night. They are also 7-2 all time vs. the Rangers, including 4-2 here in Arlington.
Hudson has been pitching extremely well with little to show for it, and he is due to accumulate some wins given his fine form. He has now reeled off five consecutive Quality Starts, allowing two runs or less in four of them and exactly one run in each of his last two outings. Yet amazingly, the Braves have lost his last four starts!
Texas starter Vicente Padilla has been the polar opposite of Hudson in that his record is better than it should be because the potent Rangers offense supports him so well. Padilla is 8-3 on the year despite a rather high 1.45 WHIP (compared to 1.14 for Hudson), and he has a 6.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his last three starts, yet the Rangers are 2-1 in those outings.
The outcomes for these two pitchers have to catch up to their key numbers eventually, and an Atlanta win tonight is a step in that direction.
Pick: Braves -115
Jeff Alexander Sports
1 Unit on Cubs/Rays OVER 7.5 Runs
I know we have two good pitchers on the hill tonight, but oddsmakers have set the bar too low bearing in mind the high caliber hitting teams we have here. The Over is 6-1 in the Cubs last 7 games following an off day, 5-1-1 in the Cubs last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter, and 4-1-1 in the Cubs last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 6-1-1 in the Rays last 8 games following an off day, 14-5-2 in the Rays last 21 interleague games, and 11-5-1 in the Rays last 17 vs. the National League Central. Bet the OVER tonight.
Priceless Picks
1 Unit on Chicago White Sox -170
We have a good home team in the Sox going up against a poor road team in the Pirates here. The Pirates are 12-42 in their last 54 interleague road games, 5-23 in their last 28 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record, 0-9 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series, and 0-4 in their last 4 Tuesday games. The White Sox are 16-5 in their last 21 home games, 13-4 in their last 17 games as a favorite, and 88-39 in their last 127 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The White Sox are a perfect 9-0 in Vazquez's last 9 starts during game 1 of a series and 13-3 in Vazquez's last 16 starts as a favorite. We'll follow the numbers to an easy winner on the Sox.
Tony Karpinski
New York Mets vs. LAA Angels
Play: New York Mets
Anyone in New York that is down on Santana is out of their minds. This is a pitcher that every season has performed much better in the second half of the season. It is not as if he has been bad at all. This is a pitcher is 7-4 on the season with a 2.82 ERA. He also has had three blown saves for him so far. There is no reason he shouldn’t be 10-4 and be a sure-fire All star. His second halves always are better. This is a guy that has won more games in the last five years than any pitcher not on the Yankees. This Angels team didn’t see much of him with him Minnesota and he dominates a line-up that hasn’t seen him. Take the Mets in game two of the series to get a big win on the road with their NEW manager. Play the NY METS