FRANK ROSENTHAL
954 PIRATES-115
955 DBACKS-155
UNDER 8
957 GIANTS+105
UNDER 7.5
961REDS UNDER 9.5
963 FISH+105
OVER 8
966 DODGERS-140
970 BOSOX-170
971 RAYS EVEN
978 KC OVER 9
Jeff Alexander Sports
1 Unit on Cardinals/Phillies UNDER 9
The Under is 22-10 in the Phillies last 32 overall, 10-4 in the Phillies last 14 home games, and 6-1 in the Phillies last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The Under is also 9-3 in Hamels' last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 8-3 in Hamels' last 11 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The Under is 5-1-1 in the Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter, 7-2-1 in the Cardinals last 10 games following an off day, and 5-1 in Pineiro's last 6 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Bet the UNDER in Philly tonight.
LT Profits
Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays Under 8.5
Daniel Cabrera of the Baltimore Orioles seems to have recaptured his fine early-season form, while Dustin McGowan of the Toronto Blue Jays has pitched much better at home, so runs should be hard to come by tonight.
Cabrera tailed off after a great start for the Orioles this season, but he rounded with a Complete Game 5-2 victory over the Kansas City Royals in his last start, allowing seven hits while tossing a very reasonable 105 pitches over the nine innings. Cabrera has also posted Quality Starts in each of his last three starts in Toronto, including allowing two runs on just three hits in eight innings in his last appearance here last season.
Now McGowan may be a shaky 6-7 with a 4.36 ERA overall, but he has been a different pitcher in his own stadium, going 3-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in seven home starts, with the Under going a virtually perfect 6-0-1 in those starts. He has posted Quality Starts in each of his last two outings against Baltimore.
In fact, the Under is 13-4 in all McGowan starts this season, as well as 11-5 whenever Cabrera has taken the mound, and we see no reason why this contest should be any different.
Pick: Orioles, Blue Jays Under 8.5
Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7.5
The Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Atlanta Braves 3-0 here last night, as the Braves were held hitless for seven innings by Hiroki Kuroda, and we expect another light-hitting affair tonight.
Both of these clubs are struggling offensively lately, particularly against right-handed pitching. The Braves are hitting just .211 overall and a pathetic .202 vs. right-handers over their last 10 games, while the Dodgers are batting .226 overall and .219 vs. righties over this same period.
This is not to say that the starting right-handers tonight need any help! Atlanta starter Jair Jurrjens is 8-4 with a 3.09 ERA for the season, and he has allowed three earned runs or less in 14 of his 17 starts. Jurrjens is a pronounce ground ball pitcher, with a GB/FB ratio of 1.54, and he has allowed a total of four earned runs in his last four starts.
Dodger starter Chad Billingsley should be a lot better than 8-7 given his 3.12 ERA in 17 starts, but like most LA pitchers, he has suffered from a lack of run support. Billingsley is more of a power pitcher, as he has an impressive 107 strikeouts in 104 innings.
The bottom line here is that we have two very good starters and two offenses that are sorely lacking lately, and both bullpens are in the top 10 in the majors to boot. This sounds like a nice recipe for an Under.
Pick: Braves, Dodgers Under 7.5
The Miller Group
San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets
PICK: Over
By our estimation, this total has been set about a run short of where it should be. Yes, Tim Lincecum is one of the best young pitchers in the game today, but with the way the Mets have been hitting, we're not sure anyone on the Giants can slow them down.
The Mets have scored 36 runs over their last five games, and they should be supremely confident after taking the final three games of their weekend wraparound series in Philadelphia. This will be the second look at Lincecum for many of the Mets hitters. They pulled out a 5-4 victory against Lincecum and the Giants at Shea Stadium last season.
Mike Pelfrey will get the nod for the Mets this evening. We look for him to struggle a bit in his first start back home after four in a row on the road. He was excellent over seven innings in his last start, but that only sets him up for a letdown on Tuesday. Remember, this is a guy that is 6-6 with a 4.23 ERA on the season. Positive results haven't been sustainable for him this year. The over has cashed in three of his last four outings.
Lincecum has had a tough time since getting off to a red hot start to the season. Over his last four starts he has been tagged for 12 earned runs over 25 innings of work. He is also coming off back-to-back 110+ pitch performances so fatigue could be a factor tonight. Note that the over is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.
With a short number to work with, all we really need is a strong offensive effort from one team. Keep in mind, the Giants do hit better on the road, where they average over four runs per game. Both teams do their part and this one sails over the total. Take the over.
Stephen Nover
Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays
PICK: Baltimore Orioles
Let's face it the Toronto Blue Jays aren't very good when Roy Halladay isn't on the mound.
Today we find the Blue Jays a home favorite against Daniel Cabrera and Baltimore. Cabrera is a streaky pitcher off a complete game victory against Kansas City on Wednesday where he allowed just two earned runs and seven hits. Most important for Cabera, he didn't issue a walk. Cabrera is a very dangerous pitcher when his control is on.
Most of this handicap, though, is simply a fade against the sagging Blue Jays, losers of four of their last five and 19 of their past 29 games.
Toronto is batting just .233 in its last six games. Except for the magnificent Halladay, their pitching has started to slip. This brings us to today's Blue Jays starter, Dustin McGowan. He's allowed 15 earned runs and 27 hits in his past four starts, spanning 18 1/3 innings.
He doesn't have a good history against Baltimore either, 0-3 with a 6.84 career ERA versus the Orioles.
I'll take the hotter pitcher against a disappointing, struggling Blue Jays club at a 'dog price.
WILD BILL
Boston -165 (5 units)
Detroit w/Verlander (5 units)
A's -185 (5 units)
BEN BURNS
Sea/Oak Over
Phil
Tor
FAST EDDIE SPORTS
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Houston
Florida
Baltimore
JIM FEIST TWO FOR TUESDAY, $2!!
HOU Astros vs PIT Pirates
Take over
Two pitchers meet up here on Tuesday that have both been struggling. Brandon Backe is 2-6 on the road this year with a 5.43 era. Moreover, Backe has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 12 innings of work. In his one start against Pittsburgh this season, Backe gave up nine hits and four earned runs in just six innings. Ian Snell hasn't faired much better for the Bucs. Snell also has allowed 11 earned runs in his last two outings (8 innings). Snell is just 3-7 overall this year with a 5.99 era. Don't expect much pitching in this matchup as both teams will likely have little trouble scoring runs. Take the OVER
BAL Orioles vs TOR Blue Jays
Take TOR Blue Jays
The Jays Dustin McGowan has been one of those pitchers you stay away from on the road, but look to play at home. At home, McGowan is a very nice 4-2 on the season with a very respectable 2.20 era. On the road, 2-5! The O's have had their problems on the road, posting a 19-27 mark on the season. Now they face one of the better pitching teams in the AL. The Jays have allowed the third fewest runs in the A.L. Jays always tough at home and we'll take them here on Tuesday with McGowen who has had success North of the border.
Mr A
Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics
The struggling Mariners are a horrible 35-54 this season, the worst record in the American League, but have been successful versus Oakland. They have won ten of the last 12 meetings, including Monday's 4-3 defeat against the A's in the opener at McAfee Coliseum.
Seattle's Carlos Silva (4-10, 5.85) is 1-10 with a 7.02 ERA in his last 14 games and is 4-2 with a 2.92 ERA in 10 outings, including nine starts against the Athletics. Seattle has lost eight of Silva's last 9 starts.
Oakland's Justin Duchscherer (9-5, 1.96 ERA) is 5-1 with a 1.62 ERA in his last six starts, but is 0-5 with a 4.17 ERA in 30 career appearances, including three starts against the Mariners. Oakland is 5-1 in Duchscherer's last 6 starts.
Seattle is 5-2 in its last 7 road games and 8-1 in its last nine in Oakland. Nevertheless, Seattle’s right-hander Carlos Silva has struggle, 1-2 with a 6.19 ERA in his last three starts and just one victory in his last 15 starts. The Mariners are 1-4 in his last 5 on the road. Contrary, Oakland's Justin Duchscherer has pitched outstanding. The right-hander’s 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA in his last three starts and Oakland has won six of the right-hander’s last 7 starts at home.
Take the A’s with Duchscherer on the hill.
Oakland Athletics -200
JEFFERSONSPORTS
MLB TUESDAY
DETROIT-180
Chad Jordan
Minnesota at Boston Under 9 Runs
The Parlay King
SD -1.5 +180
Kyle Baugues
Rays/Yankees Over 8
SILVER KEY PLAY
BOSTON -170
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If anyone like to risk play all 3 premium picks as -1.5 RL and LAA and CHWS as premium
Stevie Y
Florida Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
Play: Florida Marlins
We're all OVER the Marlins who traditionally don't hit lefties well, but the Padres are a terrible .212 average vs lefties at home , looking at @ the Padres losing stretch it has reached the LONGEST for San Diego at Petco, The Padres bats have been silent the last 14 days & Randy Wolf has been getting tuned up big time , Looking @ San Diego they have has been outscored 49-22 during its home losing streak. Fla Marlins Hurler Andrew Miller has been getting it done lately & he get's it done tonight !!
Larry Ness
Florida Marlins @ San Diego Padres
PICK: Over
The Marlins beat the Padres last night 3-1, handing San Diego its NINTH consecutive home loss. The low scoring game was nothing new for the Padres, who own the third-lowest team batting average in MLB (.246) and are the majors' second-lowest scoring team (3.67 RPG). However, no team in MLB played more 'overs' than the Marlins did in 2007 (90) and in '08, the Marlins check in at 52-30-7 to the over, second to only Pittsburgh's mark of 53-30-5. The Marlins are 26-12-5 to the over in road games this year, scoring 5.63 RPG and allowing 5.16. There's little reason NOT to expect Florida to score tonight (Marlins lead MLB with 127 HRs), as Randy Wolf checks in on a four-game losing streak, while posting an 8.31 ERA. He's NEVER had any success against the Marlins, going 3-12 with a 6.24 ERA in 19 career starts (teams are 6-13). Now the Padres don't hit much (or often) but Andrew Miller should give them some 'relief.' Miller enters with a 5.51 ERA over his last three starts (he's 0-2 and the team is 0-3) and has allowed 106 hits in his 94 innings this year with a 4.98 ERA. The Padres are kind of desperate for a win these days (haven't lost 10 in a row at home since dropping 12 straight back in 1972!) and they know they'll have to score to win with Wolf on the hill. I'm taking a shot here and going 'over' the low number with the Marlins and the Padres.