Gator Report
MLB 70% Super Situations:
MLB Tuesday: Play On MLB (NL) home teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is >= 2.250 over his last 3 starts, 31-10 SU since 1997 (75.6%).
PLAY: San Francisco -125
MLB Tuesday: Play Over MLB (NL) road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season, in August games.38-13 Over the last five seasons. (74.5%)
PLAY: Milwaukee / Cincinnati OVER 9 (-120)
MLB Top Angles:
MLB Tuesday: Moyer (Phil) is 11-1 SU against the money line after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).
MLB Tuesday: Carpenter (Stl) is 40-7 SU against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs per game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record).
MLB Tuesday: Pittsburgh is 1-16 SU against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MLB Tuesday: Dickey (Sea) is 1-14 SU against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times per game since 1997. (Team's Record).
Jimmy The Moose
Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland is 1-11 in their last 12 road games. The A's are 8-21 in their last 29 games overall. Oakland is 8-25 in their last 33 games as an underdog. In their last 15 games vs. AL East opponents the A's are 2-13. The A's have lost Smith's last 3 starts. Oakland is 1-7 in his last 8 starts as an underdog. Toronto is 11-4 in their last 15 home games. In their last 12 games as a favorite they are 10-2. Toronto is 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The Jays Scott Richmond will be making his second career start and he looked pretty good in his first one. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays -.
Marc Lawrence
Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
The Twins take on the Mariners in Game Two of this three-game series tonight when Scott Baker battles knuckleballer R.A. Dickey in Seattle. Aside from being in rotten current KW form with 8 walks and 5 strikeouts in his last three stars, Dickey owns a sky-high 7.61 ERA in his home starts this season. Enter Baker who is in solid current form while cashing in 11 of his 17 team starts this season. With the Twins scoring runs on a consistent basis, look for Baker to improve to 5-1 on the road in August here this evening.
Lee Kostroski
Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners
PICK: Minnesota Twins
The Twins crushed Tim Wakefield earlier this season, posting seven runs in less than three innings. Facing another knuckleball pitcher should be a welcome sight in Seattle. The Mariners are just 4-15 in games that R. A. Dickey has pitched in and just 3-7 when he starts. Dickey has allowed 14 runs over his last three starts and at home he is 0-4 with a 4.78 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP. Seattle is also just 15-20 in games decided in the bullpen and facing one of the top hitting teams in baseball will be a difficult situation for Dickey and the Mariners.
The Twins are 11-6 in games that Scott Baker has started this season and 6-2 in his last eight outings. The Twins have won three of his last four road starts and he has strong overall numbers with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Minnesota also owns one of the strongest bullpens in the American League. Seattle is hitting just .251 against right-handed pitching at home and facing Baker will be a difficult challenge.
The Twins are 23-7 in the last 30 games as a favorite and this is still a cheap price for a team that quietly has one of the best records in the AL against a team with the worst record in AL. Seattle is just 21-34 at home this season and the Twins have won four of the last six road series. The road team actually won seven of nine meetings between these teams last season so the Twins should be able to deliver the victory despite long travel.
Scott Ferrall
Ariz -280 and Brandon Webb over the Pirates in the desert--Zach Duke will get jacked up
SF -125 over Atlanta--Dirty Sanchez over Mike Hampton in the Bay
Oakland +115 at Toronto--Greg Smith with a mini stunner on the road in T-Town
CLEVELAND +110 at Tampa--Carmona at the Trop over Edwin Jackson
TEXAS +150 over NY Yanks--I think Harrison and the homey's get it done over the Bombers and Pettitte in 105 temps in Dallas. Yanks wilt this week on the road
Nelly
Washington + over Colorado
The Nats have won four straight games and although the season has not gone well Washington is starting to see some of the production they expected with some of the key pieces finally back in the lineup. Washington has scored 28 runs in the last four games and playing in Colorado should allow the Nationals to continue at a strong pace. The Rockies have lost five of the last eight games and this could be a tough series for the Rockies as it follows a long road trip on the East coast. John Lannan has allowed three or fewer runs in eight of the last ten starts and he has much better numbers than his record indicates with a 3.61 ERA. Jorge De La Rose has allowed six or more runs in three of his last six starts and he owns a 6.94 ERA despite playing as a big favorite tonight. Look for Washington’s offense to stay hot and have a great chance for another win.
Dwayne Bryant
Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies
Pick:Colorado Rockies -167
I like the Rockies coming off last night's series-opening loss, 9-4, especially facing a lefty tonight. Colorado is batting .324 and scoring 7.2 runs per game at home vs. lefty starters this season. Washington's win last night snapped a seven-game losing streak for the Nats at Coors Field. Washington owns the worst offense in the league and I can't see them keeping up with Colorado's bats tonight after they plated nine runs last night.
Take Colorado
Great Lakes Sports
Cleveland at Tampa
Play : Cleveland Indians
The Cleveland Indians are an amazing 19-3 vs the Tampa Bay Devil Rays the last three years in this series including a perfect 5-0 vs the Tam Pa Bay Devil Rays this year. The Cleveland Indians is also 7-3 at Tampa Bay the last three years, and the Cleveland Indians are a respectable 36-30 when playing on Tuesday's the last three years. We look for the Cleveland Indians to beat the Tampa Bay Devil Rays in this key American League showdown for the road win tonight.
Scott Ferrall
BASEBALL LOCKS FOR TUESDAY
ChiCubs -245 over Astors at Wrigley--Wandy Rodriguez can't beat Harden on the North Side. You got to lay it to get it
Florida +140 at Philly--Johnson with the upset special in Citizens against Moyer
Twins -125 at Seattle--I still have to take Baker and Minney over RA Dickey in the Emerald City
ChiSox -145 over Detroit--Gavin Floyd is the man and he'll take out Robertson on the South Side
Cincy -110 and Volquez over Milwaukee in the Queen City--Bush isn't beating him on the road
METS -165 and Pelfrey over Chris Young and Padres at Shea
BECKETT -165 and Red Sox at Kansas City over Bannister
St.Louis -110 over LA Dodgers--I'm on Chris Carpenter in his second start since Tommy John surgery. I don't like Billingsley on the road
Washington +155 over Colorado--Taking a risk here with Lannan on the road in the Rockies den
BASEBALL OVER-UNDERS FOR TUESDAY
SEATT-MINNEY OVER 8.5 RUNS
DET-CHISOX UNDER 10.5 RUNS
BOST-KC OVER 8.5 RUNS
NY-TEX OVER 11 RUNS
CLEVE-TB UNDER 8.5 RUNS
OAK-TOR UNDER 8.5 RUNS
SF-ATL UNDER 8.5 RUNS
PITT-ARIZ OVER 8.5 RUNS
WASH-COLO UNDER 10 RUNS
CARDS-DODGERS OVER 8 RUNS
SD-NY METS UNDER 8 RUNS
MILW-CINCY UNDER 9 RUNS
FLA-PHILLY OVER 9.5 RUNS
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
Oakland/ Toronto Under 8.5
The Under is 21-5-1 in Athletics last 27 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 11-2 in Athletics last 13 road games, while the Under is 40-16 in Blue Jays last 56 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 18-7-1 in Blue Jays last 26 vs. American League West. Greg Smith's ERA hasn't been the greatest this year at 4.04 overall and 4.61 on the road, but his games have been low scoring as his overall starts have averaged just 6.9 rpg and his home starts have also averaged 6.9 rpg. Greg has struggled in his last 3 starts, wityh an 8.10 ERA, but those games have still averaged just 7.3 rpg. Greg has faced the Jays twice in his career (both this year) and he has a 1.42 ERA in those starts this year. Here are a couple of Totals Trends for Greg: The Under is 12-0-1 in Smiths last 13 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 15-1-1 in his last 17 starts overall. Greg will be taking on a Jays squad that hits just .246 and scores only 3.4 rpg vs lefty starters. Toronto comes in scoring just 4.4 rpg at home, with their home games averaging 8.1 rpg and the Jays have averaged just 3.8 rpg in their last 8 games overall. The Oakland offense has really been struggling of late as they have averaged 1.9 rpg in their last 7 games and have not scored more than 3 runs in any of those 7 games. Oakland scores just 4.2 rpg on the road and 3.8 rpg at night, with their night games averaging 7.7 rpg. Scott Richmond is making his second career start and he allowed 3 ER in 5.1 innings of work in his first start, with just 5 total runs being scored in that start. Both teams are struggling to score right now and with Greg Smith being an UNDER machine it should easily be another low scoring affair north of the border.
JEFFERSONSPORTS
MLB EARLY RELEASE FOR TUESDAY
TAMPA BAY-128
MINNESOTA-126
NEW YORK METS-160
ST. LOUIS-107
Jim Feist
SD Padres and NYM Mets
Take Under
Light hitting San Diego continues to be an under machine, at 5-2 under the last 7 games. Their offense won't score much in Shea stadium, a huge pitcher-friendly park. Southpaw Chris Young has excellent stuff, fanning 59 in 59 innings, and his last start went under the total (3 total runs), and the team is 7-3 under the total in his starts. Mets starter Mike Pelfrey knows how to throw strikes (44 walks in 126 innings) and has a 2.25 ERA at home. Don't look for many runs, play the Padres/Mets under the total!
Dave Cokin
MIN Twins and SEA Mariners
Take MIN Twins
The Twins really let one get away Monday night, blowing a 6-0 lead en route to an ugly loss at Seattle. The Mariners have actually won two straight after last night's heroics! But don't look for that to continue here. The Twins will be intent on rebounding quickly and Scott Baker has a commanding edge over R.A. Dickey in the pitching category. I'll spot the number with the Twins.
PlusLineSports
Detroit vs Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox -1.5 +132
EZWINNERS
2 STAR: (910) ST. LOUIS (-$107) over LA Dodgers
(Listing Carpenter only) (Risking $214 to win $200)
2 STAR: (929) MINNESOTA (-$124) over Seattle
(Listing Baker only) (Risking $248 to win $200)
1 STAR: (901) HOUSTON (+$205) over Chicago
(Listing Rodriguez only) (Risking $100 to win $205)
1 STAR: (917) OAKLAND (+$117) over Toronto
(Listing Smith only) (Risking $100 to win $117)
1 STAR: (913) PITTSBURGH (+$230) over Arizona
(Action) (Risking $100 to win $230)