Info Plays
3* on San Francisco Giants -135
Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season, after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games. This is a 58-21 ML System hitting 73.4% over the last 5 seasons. (+30.8 Units) $100 bettors have won $3,800 when betting on home favorites in this spot the last 5 years. Mike Hampton is not the same starter he used to be for Atlanta. Plus, no Mark Teixeira or Chipper Jones in the lineup clearly makes the Braves a team to fade here. Bet the Giants at home.
Chris James
Cincinatti Reds -125
Tuesday brings another dismal day for the Milwaukee Brewers, as they send Dave Bush to the mound, the day after a fight in the dugout between two team mates. The Brewers are sinking and sinking fast and Bush on the mound away from home isn't going to make it any better. Dave Bush is 5-9 with a 4.69 ERA on the year. He is 0-1 against the Reds this year with a 6.75 ERA. In that game he pitched 5.1 innings and gave up 6 hits and 5 runs. Those numbers aren't impressive at all but it doesn't compare to how bad Bush is overall on the road. Bush is 7-22 in his last 29 road starts and 5-22 in his last 27 starts as a road underdog. I wish I could say that all 29 of those games were against top notch teams...but he is 5-17 in his last 22 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. This guy is just awful on the road, no matter who he faces. On the other hand, the Reds send Edinson Volzquez to the mound who is 13-4 with a 2.71 ERA on the year. He has struggled of late posting a 5.87 ERA in his last 3 games. But tonight is the perfect situation for him to get back his confidence. He should have plenty of support from his offense against Bush and it should help him settle in and return to his early season form. Look for the Reds to pick up a much needed win at home!
KELSO
High Rollers Club 15 units - Twins
Best Bets Club 10 units - White Sox
PAUL LEINER
25* Tex/NYY Over 11
10* Reds -115
Players of America
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
The Play: Chicago White Sox -135.0
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)
Right back to how things should be, 2-0 yesterday +22 units. Cleveland led the entire game and cashed with ease and the OVER in Colorado was handed to us early in the game. Time to glance at Tuesday's action...
At 8:10PM EST on Tuesday, the White Sox rise and shine in their own home as they host the divisional rival Detroit Tigers. Chicago comes in after a rest day and a rather shaky performance out in Kansas City along with a lot of chaotic brawling action.
Guillen and the Sox staff elect to put righty Gavin Floyd on the mound to face that explosive line up of the Tigers. Floyd comes in at a solid 11-5 overall with a WHIP of 1.21 and an ERA of 3.43. He's 1-1 his last three outings with a very attractive ERA of just 2.28 in over 19 innings. Gavin is a competitor. If you've ever watched this kid, he loves to win games and he gives it all each and every time out...not something all pitchers do in this league. Gavin simply has Detroit's number. He has faced this squad three times already this season winning each and every match up. Chicago has a slight edge in the heads up battle between these two at 7-5, but don't think these guys don't open up the newspaper every morning and see themselves right next to the Twins. It's a close knit battle for both teams, and both were never expected to be in the position they are now. From a roster standpoint, the White Sox are pretty healthy all the way around with the only injury being Joe Crede who is dealing with a back injury and is listed on the 15 day DL.
The Tigers come into this one and they should be a little scared...especially putting this guy on the mound. Nasty Nate Robertson has been nothing short of a go-off this season. He is incredibly streaky and that's not a good thing against a potent line up like Chicago's. Nate is a meager 6-8 on the year giving up over 165 hits in 127 innings and flaunting a weak ERA of 6.06. Even more eye catching, Robertson HAS A WHIP OF 2.56 AND AN ERA OF 14.29 IN HIS LAST THREE GAMES! This guy has been getting shelled left and right, and we truthfully expect that to carry over in Chicago. Another concern for Detroit comes after Nate finishes his show. The Tigers are without a reliever and a closer as Joel Zumaya is out with a sore shoulder and Todd Jones has been placed on the 15 day DL with tendinitis in his pitching shoulder. Detroit's available bullpen has an averaged ERA of 5.06 tonight, and a WHIP of 1.46 on the season.
Chicago comes out firing on all cylinders. These guys are in a big time hunt in this division and they are going to be a prime time money making team come the post season. We're not backing away from that Detroit offense here. Chicago is just as solid all the way around, and we're willing to put some cash on the line with the Sox Tuesday night. 10 units on the Chicago White Sox as they steam roll the Tigs at home.
TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The Tigers are 16-36 in Robertson's last 52 road starts.
- The Tigers are 2-7 in Robertson's last 9 starts versus the White Sox.
Chicago 8, Detroit 2
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers
The Play: New York Yankees -155.0
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Next, we're going to jump back on the Yankee train tonight as they play Game #2 of their set with Texas. The Rangers stole one late from New York last night in a shoot out and the Yankees come into this one looking for some revenge...and more importantly, playoff hopes.
Left hander Andy Pettitte will start for New York. Andy comes in at 12-8 on the season with an ERA higher than normal at 4.18. Despite his ERA, his games are commonly low scoring this year. Pettitte is 2-1 in his last three starts. The Yankees pen has been spectacular, even without closer Mariano Rivera as of late. They've got an ERA of just 2.75 in over 200 innings thrown. The Yankee line up is healthy for the most part and waiting to explode tonight.
Matt Harrison gets the ball for Texas. Matt has been a weak spot in this Texas rotation all season at 2-2 so far. His ERA is skyrocketing at 7.40 and his WHIP of 1.85 is a joke too. Harrison is 1-2 in his last three starts with an ERA up over 8.00 in just 14 short innings. The Rangers will be without all-star Milton Bradley tonight as he is listed as doubtful with a quadricep injury.
Neither pitcher has seen their opponent so far on the season, so this one is wide open. We realize the number is relatively high here, so a run line wager would not be a dumb play. HOWEVER, despite the high total on this one...we have a strange feeling it could come down to a run. We're going to go ahead and lay the chalk here with New York on the money line. The Yankees need to get things back on track, and it starts right here in Texas on Tuesday night. Let's lay 10 more units on Andy and the crew.
TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The Yankees are 21-7 in their last 28 meetings with Texas.
- The Yankees are 6-2 in Pettitte's last 8 starts versus Texas.
New York 10, Texas 4
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
The Play: Under 8.5
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Our next release takes place in Kansas City at 8:10PM EST. The Red Sox return to the home of the Royals where they lost as big favorites last night, and really struggled to get anything going. We're confident Boston wins this one, but with the inconsistency of these guys on the road lately...we're looking deeper into the match up to pull something out.
Josh Beckett and Brian Bannister are the scheduled starters for tonight's game. Both have been par at best all season long, but both were touted as possible aces for each respective squad in the preseason. Combined, these two have gone UNDER the total 21 times this season, and four of the last six times out too. Boston and KC both have respectable bullpens, and the available heavers are fully capable of keeping games in line and holding on to a lead. These teams have met five times already this season, and the total has a catchy trend of staying UNDER the quoted total four of those games.
With the above being said, something here has to give. This one seems a little high, so we want to throw 10 units on it and put it to the test. Look for a hard fought battle by both sides, with one team squeaking out the win in the late innings.
TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The UNDER is 11-2 in the Royals last 13 overall.
- The UNDER is 4-1 in the Red Sox and Royals last five meetings.
Boston 4, Kansas City 2
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
The Play: Under 8.0
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
There is another attractive total on the board tonight. This one comes to us from the NL where the Cardinals host the Dodgers in St. Louis. First of all, LA loves to play some defense, keeping their match ups under the total 63 times already this season. The Cards, likewise, have done so 53 times.
This is a show for the ages. Two very, very solid pitchers are scheduled to start and we could see both go deep. We bet against Chris Carpenter of the Cardinals last week and he bit us in the butt. He's recouped better than expected from his injuries and really seems to have recovered nicely. Chris will start for St. Louis tonight, and right hander Chad Billingsley for LA.
Chad has thrown 21 games this year. 15 of those games have stayed UNDER the total number. His ERA is impressive at 3.05 and Carpenter comes in at 2.25. This isn't going to be some slugfest like in Texas tonight. The Dodgers bullpen has a combined ERA of 2.92 all season long-one of the best in the majors. STL's isn't that bad either at just over three and a half. These two squads have met up three times this year, each and every game staying wayyyyy under the total with scores like 4-0, 4-3, and 2-1. Nothing changes here...let the trend continue. LA has gone UNDER eight of their last ten heading into tonight's game.
Vegas thinks their adjusting to the trend by setting this line at 8, but it should be lower. This one will be a star-studded event as both pitchers shine. Expect a one or two run game with a late long ball to decide the winner here. We're laying 10 units on this UNDER as well.
TREND OF THE GAME:
- The UNDER is 4-0 in the Dodgers and Cardinals last four meetings.
Los Angeles 2, St. Louis 1
WINNERS EDGE
Atlanta Braves + 125 , 2 units
Cleveland Indians + 115 , 1 unit
Brewers/Reds over 9 -110 , 1 unit
Sports Pro Unlimited
5 Units TB
5 Units CWS
5 Units Sea
STAN SHARP
TRIPLE DIME REVENGE BIG BET
Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Plus10Club
Ethan Law
Pick: DETROIT TIGERS
Opposite Action Plays
Pick: TEXAS RANGERS
Sunday Selections
Pick: MILWAUKEE BREWERS
LT Profits
Pick: Brewers / Giants UNDER 8.5
Mike Rose
Pick: BOSTON RED SOX
Rocketman Sports
Pick: OAKLAND A'S
Alex Smart
Pick: CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Andre Gomes
Atlanta at San Francisco
The Giants won yesterday in Atlanta by 4-2 in the first game of this series and having now won 3 of their last 4 games, the team has now a chance to gain some momentum.
Today they will send Jonathan Sanchez (8-7, 4.61 ERA), who has been terrible lately. On his last 3 outings, he is just 0-2, 10.50 ERA and 2.25 WHIP, which shows the lack of quality of his recent outings. His sequence of runs allowed is also terrible: 4-6-4-3-3. This situation can be terrible today, having in account the Giants are struggling in the offense and in their last 6 matches, the best offensive performance was 4 runs and it was yesterday.
On the other side, the Braves will use today Mike Hampton, who will make his 3rd outing this season, after an injury, Hampton wasn't great on his first two outings, as he has allowed 4 and 6 runs against the Cardinals and the Phillies, which shows that he is far from his best right now.
For this game, I don't trust neither SP at all. Maybe Hampton sooner or later will show some form, but I remember the Braves are 3-11 vs LHP this season and 1-8 if those games are at night.
NY Yankees at Texas
The Rangers defeated yesterday the Yankees by 9-5, while being a +145 dog, but it was just in the 9th inning that the game was solved. This team has been amazing in the offense and if they continue like that, the bookies better be careful with the prices they give to this team.
Today the Yankees will send Andy Pettitte, who is looking to bounce back after a terrible performance against the Angels, where he allowed 9 runs, 11 hits and 2 HR in less than 6 innings.
On the other side, the Rangers will send Matt Harrison and if we look to his season numbers, it's good for Texas to continue to be hot in the offense, as if this doesn't happen, then they will struggle a lot today. Harrison on his last 3 outings is just 1-2, 7.98 ERA and 2.045 WHIP.
The Yankees have an edge today in the pitchers matchup, however they are short-handed and that's important, as both teams are globally worse vs LHP and honestly taking the Yankees on the road to win at -150 against a team like the Rangers is just too risky.
Boston at Kansas City
How many times have you seen Josh Beckett losing 4 games in a row? Don't try to remember, as it has never happened and the pressure on him tonight is going to be huge, so huge that the Red Sox are just -165 to win in here.
Yesterday Boston lost by 3-4 against the Royals and today they will send Beckett to bounce back. However, Beckett is coming from a terrible performance against the Angels, where he allowed 8 runs and 11 hits in 5 innings, so we all expect a bounce back from him today.
However, the Royals are playing very well lately, having won their previous two series against the A's and the White Sox and yesterday they confirmed their good moment. Today they will send Bannister (7-9, 5.33 ERA), who hasn't been great recently, but whose numbers at home are better: 5-4 and 3.56 ERA.
Today Boston has everything to comeback to the wins, however the Royals are in a good moment and Boston seems to be too heavy chalk for a game which won't be easy for them.
Mr East
Florida Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
Jamie Moyer will be 46 in November, but if you watch him pitch, you'd never believe it. Moyer has made a career out of beating the Marlins. he has been 3-0 this season, and over his long career stands at 10-0, with a 3.30 ERA against them. Moyer has been at his best in his last 10 starts allowing 3 runs or less in every one of them while pitching to a 2.84 ERA. The Phillies are also a hot team, winning 7 of their last 8, scoring over 6 runs a game in the process. Florida has had trouble with LHP this season where they sit 2 games under .500. Josh Johnson has had reconstructive elbow surgery and may have difficulty with this Philly lineup, where he has just 1 career win in 5 decisions against them. Like the Phillies to make some noise in this one.
Lenny Del Genio
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Chicago White Sox
This is a big series in the AL Central as the Sox now trail the Twins in the standings, while the Tigers are rapidly falling out of contention. Sox starter Gavin Floyd is 3-0 against Detroit and is coming off one of his stronger outings, allowing one run over 7 and 2/3 innings in a big win over Minnesota. Tigers four straight losses have them below .500 and Nate Robertson has an ERA of 14.30 over his last three starts. Earlier this year, when Floyd and the Sox hosted Detroit, he limited the Tigers to just one hit over seven and a third (7-0 Chicago win). Take Chicago White Sox.
VERNON CROY
Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Play: Over
1 Unit, Take the Over 8.5, Greg Smith (5-10, 4.04 ERA) has struggled over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 8.10 walking 9 batters and giving up 5 homeruns and I look for the Jays to hit him hard tonight at home. Smith has allowed 39 walks on the road over 70.3 innings and I look for the Jays bats to stay hot tonight after getting 10 hits last night. Scott Richmond (0-1, 5.06) allowed 7 hits and 3 earned runs in his 1st major league start and I look for the A's bats to come alive tonight against this rookie. The Jays have scored 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games and this pick falls into one of my MLB total systems. Take Over.
SCOTT RICHENBACH
Play the New York Yankees Money Line (-) @ Texas
This line is pricier than I like to use as a star rated pick but the Yankees are a strong enough value that this is why you're reading about them here. In a match-up of southpaws we'll gladly take experience over young talent because right now Andy Pettitte of the Yanks is pitching like the perfect combination of veteran guile and phenomenal talent. The Yankees came up short last night so this is a big bounce back game for them and Pettitte gives them a big edge on the mound. Harrison of the Rangers is going to struggle with the veteran, patient approach of the Yankees hitters and that is going to be a key difference in this game as well. Also, let's not forget that the Yanks have a big bullpen edge in this game as well. This one will be all Yankees so lay the price and win big with the Bronx Bombers one the money line as your Free Pick for Tuesday!
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAYS
Oakland/ Toronto Under 8.5
The Under is 21-5-1 in Athletics last 27 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 11-2 in Athletics last 13 road games, while the Under is 40-16 in Blue Jays last 56 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 18-7-1 in Blue Jays last 26 vs. American League West. Greg Smith's ERA hasn't been the greatest this year at 4.04 overall and 4.61 on the road, but his games have been low scoring as his overall starts have averaged just 6.9 rpg and his home starts have also averaged 6.9 rpg. Greg has struggled in his last 3 starts, wityh an 8.10 ERA, but those games have still averaged just 7.3 rpg. Greg has faced the Jays twice in his career (both this year) and he has a 1.42 ERA in those starts this year. Here are a couple of Totals Trends for Greg: The Under is 12-0-1 in Smiths last 13 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 15-1-1 in his last 17 starts overall. Greg will be taking on a Jays squad that hits just .246 and scores only 3.4 rpg vs lefty starters. Toronto comes in scoring just 4.4 rpg at home, with their home games averaging 8.1 rpg and the Jays have averaged just 3.8 rpg in their last 8 games overall. The Oakland offense has really been struggling of late as they have averaged 1.9 rpg in their last 7 games and have not scored more than 3 runs in any of those 7 games. Oakland scores just 4.2 rpg on the road and 3.8 rpg at night, with their night games averaging 7.7 rpg. Scott Richmond is making his second career start and he allowed 3 ER in 5.1 innings of work in his first start, with just 5 total runs being scored in that start. Both teams are struggling to score right now and with Greg Smith being an UNDER machine it should easily be another low scoring affair north of the border.
Minnesota -136 over SEATTLE
The Twins are 17-4 in their last 21 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 13-5 in Bakers last 18 starts vs. a team with a losing record, while the Mariners are 5-24 in their last 29 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game and 0-7 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series, plus the Twins are 17-4 in their last 21 games with Winters behind home plate. I probably should have waited for tonight's game to play the Twins as they were in a a real flat spot last night and it showed late in the game. I feel they will bounce back tonight. Scott Baker has been solid for the Twins this year, going 7-3 with a 3.53 ERA overall, including a 4-2 mark with a 4.14 ERA on the road, plus he is 5-1 with a 3.71 ERA at night. Scott will be taking on a Seattle offense that has really come alive of late, but they are still scoring 3.9 rpg at home and just 3.8 rpg vs righty starters. Seattle will send out R.A. Dickey and he has been one of my favorite go against pitchers over the years. RA is 2-6 with a 5.56 ERA in his starts overall, including 0-4 with a 7.60 ERA in his home starts and 1-2 with a 6.63 ERA in his last 3 overall. He is also 0-1 with a 12.26 ERA in 2 career starts vs the Twins. The Twins offense has put 5.1 rpg on the board in their last 7 games and they score 4.9 rp vs righty starters, plus the Twins have averaged 7.1 rpg in their last 9 games in Seattle. R.A. has always struggled as a starter and he has not done well vs the Twins, plus he will be taking on an angry Twins squad that would like to erase last night's painful memory. The Best in the Central should get back on track vs the worst in the West.
2 UNIT PLAY
CINCINNATI -125 over Milwaukee
The 5-22 in Bushs last 27 starts as a road underdog and 1-9 in Bushs last 10 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5, while the Reds are 9-2 in Volquezs last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 9-3 in his last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Brewers have fallen on hard times of late as they come in with a 2-7 mark in their last 9 games and it won't get any better tonight. Dave Bush gets the ball for the Brew Crew and he has been horrible on the road, with a 1-6 record and a 6.95 ERA, plus he is also 2-7 with a 5.18 ERA at night. Dave is also 1-3 with an 8.38 ERA in 8 career starts vs the Reds, including 0-2 with a 14.24 ERA in 5 starts at GAB. In those 5 starts at GAB, Dave allowed 29 ER on 38 hits , 10 walks and 6 HR in just 18.1 innings of work. The Reds offense hasn't been great this year but I feel that these days the Reds Single A team could have success vs Bush at GAB. The Brewers offense comes in struggling as they have scored just 3.3 rpg and hit .216 in their last 7 games. The Brewers are struggle vs righties as they have .243 and scored 4.3 rpg vs them on the year. Edinson Volquez Has struggle bit in his last 3 starts, but he has still had a nice year, with a 13-4 record and a 2.71 ERA overall, including a 6-1 mark with a 3.34 ERA at home. The Brewers ar falling right now and with Bush on the mound for them the fall will continue tonight.
CHISOX -138 over Detroit
The Tigers are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record and 14-39 in Robertsons last 53 starts vs. a team with a winning record, while the White Sox are 12-2 in Floyds last 14 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game and 6-1 in his last 7 home starts. Nate Robertson Has really struggled for the Tigers this year, going 6-8 with a 6.06 ERA overall, including a 3-5 mark with a 7.62 ERA on the road. Nate has really struggled in his last 6 starts as he is 0-2 with an 8.61 ERA in those starts. Nate is 6-6 with a 5.07 EA in his career vs the Sox, including 2-2 with a 5.08 ERA at US Cellular. The Sox should have some success vs him tonight as they are hitting .273 and scoring 5.8 rpg at home on the year, plus they are scoring 5.6 rpg vs division opponets on the year. Gavin Floyd gets the ball for the Sox and he has had a good year. Gavin is 11-6 with a 3.43 ERA overall, including a 7-2 mark with a 2.49 ERA at home. Gavin has also done well vs the Cats in his career as he is 3-0 with 2.72 ERA in 7 career starts vs them. The Detroit offense has put up 5.1 rpg in their last 7 games, but they do score just 4.5 rpg on the road and they have scored just 5 total runs in 3 games at US Cellular on the year. The Sox are off two bad losses in KC, they are 7-0 in their last 7 after a day off and they need some wins to keep pace with the Twins. I say the Sox bounce back with a solid win tonight.
1 UNIT PLAYS
SAN FRANCISCO -136
NY Yanks/ TEXAS over 11