JEFFERSONSPORTS
MLB EARLY RELEASE
MINNESOTA-189
Bobby Maxwell
L.A. Angels +110 at TAMPA BAY
Los Angeles can't seem to find the answer to the Rays this season but we've still got faith in the best road team in baseball. We're going to play the Angels and starter Ervin Santana (13-5, 3.49 ERA).
Tampa has won four straight against the Angels in Florida and beaten them five of seven times this season. Regardless, the Angels still lead this series 48-21 in the last 69 matchups.
Santana is 2-0 in his last three starts with a 2.95 ERA and he is 9-2 on the road this season with a 3.45 ERA. Santana allowed three runs in 6.1 innings but his bullpen let him down and the Mariners got the 10-7 victory. In his last road start he blanked the Yankees for eight innings on five hits as the Angels got a 1-0 victory.
James Shields (10-7, 3.75 ERA) has a 4.50 ERA in his last three outings. He gave up four runs in five innings at Oakland on Thursday but the Rays got a 7-6 victory. He's faced the Angels twice already this season and got drilled back on June 10 when he allowed six runs on 10 hits in a 6-1 loss. But in May he threw a complete-game, one-hit shutout against Los Angeles as the Rays won 1-0.
These are the best two teams in the American League and I gotta believe the Angels are tired of getting beaten in these matchups. We're playing them to snap that slide in Tampa with a win tonight.
4♦ L.A. ANGELS
Nostradamus
Toronto -140
Tampa Bay -125
St Louis -185
White Sox -105
JB's COMPUTER PICKS
Toronto Blue Jays -135
Milwaukee Brewers -240
St. Louis Cardinals -200
JEFF BONDS
WASH/PHILI OVER 9 (2 DIME)
HOUSTON ASTROS +230
TEXAS RANGERS +109
Black Widow Sports
1* on Boston Red Sox -157
The Boston Red Sox have owned the Baltimore Orioles. The Red Sox are 40-14 in the last 54 meetings overall. Boston is 58-25 in the last 83 meetings in Baltimore. The Orioles are just 2-9 in Daniel Cabrera’s last 11 starts against Boston, and 1-6 in Cabrera’s last 7 home starts against them. Daisuke Matsuzaka hasn’t lost on the road all year, going 6-0 with a 2.04 ERA in nine road starts overall. Take the Red Sox on the Money Line.
Dustin Hawkins
Florida Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants
Pick : Marlins - 132
Here is a good matchup of A quality young pitcher going against a very bad team and a not so good pitcher. The Marlins can score and should get a good night on the mound by Nolasco!!! The Giants just dont have the offense or the pitching to compete in the League this year.
Info Plays
3* on Oakland A’s +183
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - starting a pitcher who gave up = 7.50 over his last 3 starts. This is a 43-30 ML System hitting 58.9% since 1997. The A’s are showing too much value here to pass them up, so we’ll take a shot at Oakland as our Free Play Tuesday. Bet the A’s on the road.
WILD BILL
Phils RL -110 (5 units)
Mets-Braves Over 9½ (5 units)
Mets RL +105 (5 units)
Astros +220 (5 units)
Astros-Brewers Under 8 (5 units)
Reds +280 (5 units)
Pirates +185 (5 units)
Padres +185 (5 units)
Padres-Dbacks Under 9½ (5 units)
KC-Cleveland Over 9 (5 units)
Boston -170 (5 units)
Toronto -135 (5 units)
Detroit -125 w/Galaraga (5 units)
Tigers-Rangers Under 11 (5 units)
Angels +110 (5 units)
A's +190 (5 units)
DUNKEL
Colorado at LA Dodgers
The Rockies have won four of their last five and look to take advantage of LA's 11-13 record when listed as a home favorite between -125 and -150. The Rockies are the underdog pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has Colorado favored straight up by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130). Here are all of today's games.
TUESDAY, AUGUST 19
Game 901-902: Washington at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Bergmann) 12.281; Philadelphia (Blanton) 14.857
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-205); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-205); Under
Game 903-904: Atlanta at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Reyes) 13.200; NY Mets (Perez) 14.790
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-215); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-215); Under
Game 905-906: Houston at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 14.749; Milwaukee (Sheets) 16.370
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-250); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-250); Under
Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.463; Cubs (Harden) 16.949
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-315); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-315); N/A
Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 13.877; St. Louis (Looper) 15.648
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-205); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-205); Over
Game 911-912: San Diego at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Banks) 16.654; Arizona (Davis) 15.703
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-205); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+190); Over
Game 913-914: Colorado at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 15.329; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.294
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130); Under
Game 915-916: Florida at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.215; San Francisco (Correia) 14.463
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-135); Over
Game 917-918: Kansas City at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.870; Cleveland (Reyes) 14.578
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+165); Under
Game 919-920: Boston at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 16.975; Baltimore (Cabrera) 15.784
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-165); Under
Game 921-922: NY Yankees at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Rasner) 15.354; Toronto (Burnett) 16.483
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-145); Over
Game 923-924: LA Angels at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 16.067; Tampa Bay (Shields) 17.153
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Under
Game 925-926: Detroit at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Galarraga) 15.541; Texas (Padilla) 13.789
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 12
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 11
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120); Over
Game 927-928: Oakland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gallagher) 14.479; Minnesota (Slowey) 17.107
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-210); Under
Game 929-930: Seattle at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.552; White Sox (Richard) 15.158
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Mr A
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles
The Red Sox have won eight of their last 11 road games and has beaten the Orioles in five of the last six meetings, four of the last five in Baltimore.
Boston's Daisuke Matsuzaka (14-2, 2.74 ERA) is 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander allowed four hits and five walks with seven strikeouts in six shutout innings of a 2-1 victory in his only start against the Orioles this season on July 13.
Baltimore's Daniel Cabrera (8-7, 4.78) is 1-1 with a 4.58 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 1-1 with a 4.63 ERA in four starts against the Red Sox this season, 2-10 with a 6.81 ERA in 15 career starts versus Boston.
Take Boston! The Red Sox are currently playing well away from home and Daisuke Matsuzaka has been terrific on the road, 6-0 with a 2.04 ERA in nine road starts. Boston has won eight of Matsuzaka's last 10 road starts. Contrary, the Orioles have dropped seven of their last 10 games at Camden Yards and six of Cabrera’s last 7 starts versus the Red Sox at home.
Boston Red Sox -170
Tony Karpinski
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins
Play: Minnesota Twins
Getting the Twins at this price at home coming off a loss is pretty tasty. The A’s lost 13-1 on Sunday to the team Minnesota is competing with in the AL Central, the White Sox. It was their 23rd loss in 29 games. The Twins are now 27-11 in the home favorite role and just couldn't get the key hits last night. Making matters more difficult, Oakland has dropped 9 of their last 13 in the Homerdome. Play on the TWINS
Tom Stryker
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Play: New York Yankees
Currently resting 5 1/2 games back in the American League Wild Card standings behind Minnesota and Boston, New York knows it must start playing with a sense of urgency. The Blue Jays are 7 1/2 games back in the Wild Card Standings and a series loss would be costly for the Yankees.
To get things started on the right foot, the Pinstripes will turn to No. 27 Darrell Rasner. In his last two starts both on the road against the Twins and Angels, Rasner pitched well. In 9.1 innings of work, Darrell was touched for five earned runs and nine hits. Unfortunately, New York dropped both battles.
Toronto will send flamethrower A.J. Burnett to the bump. Respect is certainly given to Burnett's 9-3 overall home record. However, A.J. has been hit hard at Rogers Centre. With 51.0 innings completed north of the border, No. 34 was cracked for 42 earned runs and 80 hits. That adds up to a lofty 5.13 ERA. Burnett's last three starts haven't been that great either. Matched up against Detroit, Oakland and Texas, A.J. was tagged for 12 earned runs and 21 hits in just 17.2 frames. That breaks down to an elevated 6.11 ERA!
Yes, the Blue Jays are a spotless 7-0 in Burnett's last seven home starts. However, the Yankees bats came to life in Sunday's 15-6 victory over Kansas City and they'll keep that offensive momentum going tonight. Take New York.
Craig Trapp
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Play: New York Yankees
Not often do you get NYY as an underdog vs TOR. A great value play for today. Burnett (15-9, 4.67 ERA) is 9-2 with a 3.73 ERA over his last 11 outings, winning his last five to post his best win streak since reeling off a career-best seven in a row from July 19-Aug. 19, 2005 while with Florida. The right-hander has won a career-high seven straight home starts, posting a 2.89 ERA, since losing to Baltimore on June 7 at Rogers Centre. Burnett, however, has given up four runs in three consecutive outings. He allowed three homers and eight hits overall in six innings of a 6-4 victory at Detroit last Tuesday. Look for the Yanks to get to him early today. Score NYY 6 - TOR 3
EZWINNERS
5 STAR PARLAY: (906) MILWUAKEE (-$238) and (910) ST. LOUIS (-$191)
(Listing Sheets and Looper)
(Risking $500 to win $582)
2 STAR: (923) LA ANGELS (+$115) over Tampa Bay
(Listing Santana only)
(Risking $200 to win $230)
2 STAR: (916) SAN FRANCISCO (+$130) over Florida
(Listing Correia only)
(Risking $200 to win $260)