Priceless Picks
1 Unit on Colorado Rockies +160
The Giants have lost four in a row and have lost 5 straight Tuesday games. The Rockies , meanwhile, are 11-5 in their last 16 overall, 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series, 7-3 in their last 10 games following a win, and 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record. The Giants are just 2-5 in the last 7 meetings. We'll pound the Rocks at a nice price here.
Mike Rose
3* Col
3* Dodgers -1.5
2* CWS
2* Yanks
2* Pitt
MONEYLOCKOFTHEDAY
PHILLES -190
We understand that Nationals have won 7 games in a row and have been hitting the ball quite well. Fact of the matter is the Phillies have their ACE on the mound and are in a must win situation. They are 2 games back of the Mets and must win whenever their ACE takes the mound. Hamels has been lights out his last 5 outings allowing only 8 runs in those 5 games while pitching an average of 7 innings per contest. Opposing Mr. Hamels tonight will be Jon Lannan. Lannan has had an up and down year going 8-12 with a 3.92 ERA. The last time he faced the Phillies this season he was hit hard for 9 hits and 8 runs over 5.2 innings of work.
This is a big line vs a hot team but remeber that the Phillies are a far better team and know they must win every night to stay with the Mets. Pay the juice and go big on the Phillies tonight as they cruise past the Nats and end their 7 game winning streak!
Stat: The Phillies are batting .256 vs left handed pitching and lead the majors with 223 runs scored vs left handed pitching!
3Daily Winners
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia was asleep on Labor Day and bounces back against Washington team who is playing over their heads. In this spot; Play Against home teams like the Nationals allowing 4.8 or more runs a game on the season (NL), after scoring six runs or more five straight games. The Phillies Cole Hamels cools of Washington, having 2.25 ERA lifetime against the Nats. This system is 34-10, 77.3 percent, including being on 9-1 run.
HIGH PROFIT SPORTS
TOTAL OF THE WEEK
3* CARDS / DBACKS UNDER 9
Matt Foust
Orioles / Red Sox Over 10½
The Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox square away in game two of their three game set tonight at Fenway Park in Boston. The Red Sox took game one 7-4 and look to post some more crooked numbers on the scoreboard this evening. In case you had not guessed it, we are going with the OVER 10.5 tonight. Baltimore is sending lamb Radhames Liz to the slaughter tonight. Liz, to say the least, has not fared well against the Red Sox. In two career starts against Boston (both at Fenway) Liz has allowed 10 earned runs in a little over five innings of work. In reality, Radhames has not fared much better against other opponents. In his last five starts, he has yielded 4.4 earned runs per game and has averaged just less than five innings pitched. The Red Sox lineup is salivating because it should be Fat Pitch city tonight. Boston lefty Jon Lester will be working against the Orioles. Lester is having a great season, sporting a 12-5 record and a 3.41 ERA, but he has fallen off pace a little of late. He has still been effective but his ERA is 5.06 in his last three starts. In his last five starts at home he has allowed almost three earned runs for every seven innings pitched. Not bad, but if he does that tonight, it will be more than enough to get this game over the total. Things to consider: Baltimore is averaging 7.2 runs per game over their last 10 away games and 5.1 runs per game over their last 10 at any location. Boston is averaging 7.2 runs per game over their last 10 home games and 5.9 runs per game over their last 10 at any location. The OVER is 10-0 in Liz’s last 10 starts (average game score 14.40) and 7-1 in his last eight away starts (average game score 14.25). The OVER is 4-1 in Lester’s last five home starts (average game score 11.20). The OVER is 25-9 this season when Baltimore faces a lefty. Baltimore’s clean up hitter, Aubrey Huff, is .412 (7-of-17) lifetime against Lester with three doubles and a home run.
Oscarxena Sports
St. Louis/Arizona Under 9 (4 Unit Play)
Two pitchers who are on top of their games meet tonight and both teams are desperate for some rest from their depleted bullpens. Adam Wainwright will make his third start for the Cardinals since being activated from the DL and he has went 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in those two starts although they were both at home. The encouraging sign about those two starts was that he was able to pitch 6 innings but only threw 89 and 72 pitches and should be ready to go deeper into the game this evening. The Diamondbacks will respond with Yusmeiro Petit and he has also been solid in his past three starts going 2-1 with a 2.50 ERA and he has had success in his career against the Cardinals going 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA. Tonight's HP umpire is Ron Kulpa and so far this year he is 16-8 for the Under so although we have to lay some juice here tonight I still like this one Under as a 4*
Larry Ness
15* NL Game of the Week (won 12 of L17 weeks)
My 15* play is on the Cin Reds at 7:10 ET. The Pirates traded OFs Xavier Nady and Jason Bay shortly before the end of July and promptly went 7-21 in the month of August, averaging a pathetic 2.93 RPG. When you own the NL's worst team ERA (5.23), as well as its worst bullpen ERA (4.71), not scoring runs is a 'death sentence!' The Pirates open the month of September on a 10-game losing streak (outscored), the longest active one in MLB and the team's longest since losing 13 straight in June 2006. Now let me give you the "quote of the year." Pittsburgh's general manager Neil Huntington said, "We don't tolerate losing. It's not OK." I wonder if anyone reminded him that the Pirates have not had a winning season since 1992, the longest drought in MLB? If the Pirates don't tolerate losing, than who does? Pittsburgh opens the new month with a three-game series at Cincinnati and the Reds are hardly world-beaters themselves. They are coming off a three-game home sweep of the Giants (scored 27 runs in the three wins) but they are only 61-76 for the season, including just 35-33 at home. The Pirates have won seven of the 12 meetings this year but let's remember that Pittsburgh is just 23-42 away from home this year, losing by the average score of 4.75-to-6.12. Ian Snell gets the start and he's been a huge disappointment this year. He won 14 games in '06 and despite going just 9-12 last year, owned a team-best 3.76 ERA. No much has gone right for him in '08 though, as he'll take a 5-10 mark with a 5.77 ERA into tonight's game. He's been dreadful on the road, going 2-7 with a 7.07 ERA in 14 starts (team is 5-9). He's 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA in three starts against the Reds in 2008 and 3-6 with a 5.58 ERA in his 10 career starts against them (team is 3-7). Starting for the Reds is Aaron Harang. Harang won 16 games in both '06 and '07 for the Reds and last year, the Reds went 24-10 (plus-$1,347) in his starts, making him MLB's biggest "money-maker." How quickly things can turn. Harang is just 4-14 with a 5.27 ERA in '08, as the Reds have gone 9-14 (minus-$602) in his starts. Harang has pitched well in his last two starts though, with a 2.08 ERA plus 13 Ks and just three walks. The Reds are off a good series vs the Giants and as for the Pirates, they are just the Pirates. NL Game of the week 15* Cin Reds.
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-MLB (46-26 w/MLB Insiders since May 26)
My Las Vegas Insider is on the Min Twins at 7:05 ET. The Twins have been on the road for quite some time and will begin the final leg of their 14-game trip tonight in Toronto. The Twins have gone 5-6 so far, playing the Angels, Mariners and A's. They now face the Blue Jays who have beaten them SIX straight times, including a three-game sweep in Minnesota back on May 13-15. The Twins enter this game at 77-60, tied with the White Sox for the AL Central lead and three games back of the Red Sox in the wild card chase. As for the Jays, their 70-66 record leaves them an impossible to make up 14 1/2 games behind the Rays in the AL East and also some 9 1/2 games behind the Red Sox. Tonight's starting pitchers are both rookie left-handers with one of them, Minnesota's Glen Perkins, making a run at this year's rookie-of-the-year award. Perkins had made just 23 relief appearances (less than 35 innings) in '06 and '07 before starting this year in the minors. He was called up in early May and the Twins promptly lost his first two starts. However, the team is 14-5 in his 19 starts since, making them 14-7 (plus-$925) in his 21 starts this year, which makes him MLB's 10th-best "money-maker" among starters. Perkins has pitched at least six innings in his last 11 outings, going 8-1 with a 3.56 ERA (team is 8-3). He's won his last five decisions and is 2-0 on Minnesota's current road trip. Toronto lefty David Purcey hasn't seen nearly as much action this year as Perkins. He made a start in Aril and another in May before joining the team for good in late July (this will be his seventh straight start). He's 2-5 with a 5.53 ERA in eight starts, with the Jays going 2-6. He is off his first career complete game though, losing a pitcher's duel with Matt Garza of the Rays 1-0 at Tampa last Wednesday (11 Ks / no walks). Incredibly, Purcey will be the SEVENTH straight lefty the Twins have faced and while they are just 3-3 their last six games, they are 27-19 vs left-handed starters this year, averaging a healthy 5.4 RPG. As for the Jays, they have really struggled vs lefties in night games in '08, going 7-18 while barely averaging above three runs per game. Las Vegas Insider on the Min Twins.
Beat your Bookie
100-LA Dodgers
50-Milk.
50-Fla.
Plus10Club
Ethan Law
Pick: MINNESOTA TWINS
Opposite Action Plays
Pick: CINCINNATI REDS
Sunday Selections
Pick: CHICAGO WHITE SOX
LT Profits
Pick: Angels / Tigers OVER 10
Mike Rose
Pick: NEW YORK YANKEES
Rocketman Sports
Pick: CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Alex Smart
Pick: CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Charlies Sports
Philly / Wahington Under 7½ (500*)
Reds -150 (30*)
Mets +130 (20*)
Twins -120 (20*)
Yankees +120 (10*)
Cleveland +115 (10*) free play
BOB BALFE
Whitesox -115 over Indians
Savannah Sports
2 units on Cincinnati -145
Mike Wynn
Heavy Hitter Lock
Angels
Anyone seen IndianCowboy's POD today? Thanks alot.
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
LA Angels/ Detroit Over 10
The Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games following an off day and 4-1 in Angels last 5 games following a loss, while the Over is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and 5-0 in their last 5 Tuesday games. Jon Saunders has been struggling of late for the Halos, as he has a 16.19 ERA in his last 2 starts. Jon does have a nice 2.64 ERA on the road, but he has a 9.00 ERA in 1 start vs the Tigers on the year. Chris Lambert has made 1 start for the Tigers this year and he allowed 6 runs (2 ER) on 5 hits (2 HR) and 1 walk in just 2.2 innings of work. That start produced 14 runs. The Angels offense has been struggling a bit of late, but I do see them getting their fair share of runs vs Lambert and the rest of the Detroit staff that has allowed 7.7 rpg in their last 7 games. The Detroit offense scores 5.5 rpg at home and 5.1 rpg vs lefty starters on the year, plus they score 5.6 rpg at night. Detroits home games and night games average the same at 10.8 rpg, whle their last 7 games overall have put up 12.8 rpg. I see another high scoring game in Comerica Park tonight.
2 UNIT PLAYS
NY Yanks +101 over TAMPA BAY
The Yankees are 13-3 in Mussinas last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 13-3 in his last 16 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, while the Rays are 0-5 in Garzas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 1-4 in his last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Mike Mussina has had a nice year for the Yanks as he is 16-7 with a 3.47 ERA overall, including a 6-1 mark with a 3.34 ERA on the road. Mike has also have a very nice carrer vs the Rays, as he is 18-7 with a 3.38 ERA vs them, while the Yanks are 8-2 in his last 10 starts vs them, with Mike posting a 2.76 ERA over that stretch. Mike is also 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in 2 starts vs the Rays this year. Matt Garza has pitched really well for the Rays, especially at home where he is 7-2 with a 2.47 ERA, but he is going up against a Yankees squad that has scored 8.8 rpg in their last 4 games away from home. The Rays may be leading the East, but the Yanks have had their number of late as they have won 7 of the last 10 vs them and I see this as a perfect spot for the Rays 5 game win streak to come to an end.
I ALSO LIKE
Boston RL (-140) over Baltimore
St Louis/ Arizona Under 9
1 UNIT PLAY
NY Yanks/ Toronto Under 8.5: The Under is 17-5 in Yankees last 22 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, while the Under is 12-2 in Garzas last 14 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and 12-3 in Garzas last 15 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game, plus the Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings, including 5-0 the last 5 meetings in Tampa bay. Low soring Yanks win tonight.