DAVE COKIN
MILWAUKEE BREWERS / FLORIDA MARLINS
Take FLORIDA MARLINS
Manny Parra hit the skids in the second half last season and he's been awful for the most part so far this year. No one doubts the caliber of Parra's stuff but his terrible control continues to be a huge problem. Anibal Sanchez is back from the DL and not likely to go deep here, but if he's ready to go, he should have an excellent chance to leave the game with a nice lead. I'm giving the nod to the Marlins in this game.
JIM FEIST
TEXAS RANGERS / NEW YORK YANKEES
Take TEXAS RANGERS
There aren't many offenses that have the thump to keep pace with the Yankees, but the Texas Rangers are one, tops in the AL in slugging. Starter Vicente Padilla has been hot, at 2-0 with a 1.57 ERA his last three starts. Texas Rangers relief pitcher Frank Francisco has been outstanding, with 17 2/3 scoreless innings in his first 17 games this season, the most in the majors without giving up a run. A.J. Burnett has a 4.78 ERA trying to adjust to this hitter-friendly park, walking 31 in 64 innings, a poor ratio. A great spot for the big dog. Play the Rangers.
Matt Rivers
For Tuesday take the Phillies at this ridiculous number.
If I knew more about this Antonio Bastardo kid then just a few solid starts at AAA Lehigh then I may have made this a pay play because the number is just silly. Unfortunately though I don't and all the research in the world at this point still can't fully convince me. But with that said are you kidding me with the weak hitting Padres laying such a number to the World Champions led by studs in Utley, Howard, Rollins and Ibanez!?!?!? This is just silly!
No doubt Jake Peavy is awesome and has been awesome over his last few starts. When the righthander is on he is as dominant as any Human Being around but come on!?!?
Charlie Manual's lineup has as much pop and potential as any in the game today and to ever get a number like this back is just a no-brainer with whoever they are throwing out to the mound, Bastardo or no Bastardo.
PETCO is obviously a pitcher's park and can help the Phillies' Rookie starter like no other ballpark around. I'm not at all saying that we are going to be backing a guy that will dazzle but besides Adrian Gonzalez the Friars do not exactly boast much with the bats and I can therefore see this young guy do enough to keep his team in the game.
Win, lose or draw, unproven hurler against stud, this number is stupid and too good to pass up, period!
Scott Spreitzer
Milwaukee Brewers at Florida Marlins
I'm playing the Marlins on Tuesday night. Florida has rocked southpaws in home night games this season, averaging 6.5 rpg while cashing three of four tickets. Tonight, they take on one of the weakest lefties in the league in Manny Parra. The Brewer hurler owns a 1.73 WHIP this season, overall. He's been smacked for a 6.32 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in night starts...and get this -- a 2.02 WHIP and 7.22 ERA in six road starts this season. The Marlins should have a "field day" on Tuesday night, and I expect them to give Anibal Sanchez all he needs to grab the win. Sanchez is returning from a right shoulder strain, making his first start since May 7. The righthander owns a lifetime, 1.26 WHIP and 3.36 ERA at this venue and I expect more of the same tonight. I'm backing the Marlins on Tuesday.
Play on: Florida
VEGAS EXPERTS
Texas Rangers at NY Yankees
This will be the Texas Rangers first trip to the new Yankee Stadium and they may find it more likeable than the original. Teams have been hitting the ball all over the new stadium and a team like Texas who can certainly hit; it will make it difficult for Yankees starter AJ Burnett to keep them in the yard. The Rangers have hit a MLB-leading 83 homeruns this season. Burnett has had some trouble at home as he has allowed six homeruns in five starts there as well as an ERA of 4.78. Texas will go with righty Vicente Padilla who has been fantastic in the underdog role with a 17-6 TSR and even better as a road dog with a 13-3 TSR. Go with the Rangers here.
Play on: Texas
LT Profits
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Danny Haren is having his typically fine season for the Arizona Diamondbacks, while Randy Wolf has matched him pitch for pitch thus far for the Los Angeles Dodgers, so look for a pitching duel tonight not unlike the 3-2 D-Backs win here last night.
Haren may be 4-4, but he has obviously been hindered by the inept Arizona offense. In actuality, Haren remains one of the best pitchers in the National League, as he had a sparkling 2.54 ERA and a fantastic 0.90 WHIP in 10 starts covering 71 innings. Haren has nine Quality Starts in those 10 starts this year, including his only outing this season against the Dodgers where he allowed just two runs and four hits in six innings, albeit in a frustrating 3-1 loss.
Now Wolf has also been pitching out of his mind, and his numbers are surprisingly similar to Haren, except for his 3-1 record. Wolf has a 2.84 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 69.2 innings over 11 starts, and he has allowed three runs or less in eight of his last 10 outings. He also gets to take advantage of a struggling Diamondbacks offense here that as been particularly awful vs. left-handers lately, batting an anemic .200 vs. southpaws as a team over the last 10 games.
It is not a surprise that the Under is 7-3 in every game that Haren has started this year and 6-4-1 in all Wolf starts, and given the current state of the Arizona offense and the absence of Manny Ramirez, look for yet another Under tonight.
Pick: Diamondbacks/Dodgers Under 7.5
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Angels/Blue Jays UNDER 8 Runs
I'll bet the Under here with aces Roy Halladay and Joe Saunders set to face off. First of all, this matchup have been an Unders machine as the Under is 40-13-5 in the last 58 meetings in this head-to-head series and 22-5-3 in the last 30 meetings in Toronto. Plus, the Under is 4-0-1 in Halladay's last 5 home starts vs. the Angels and 8-3-1 in his last 12 starts vs. the Angels overall. The Under is also 9-3-2 in Saunders' last 14 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 in his last 5 starts overall. I'll take the Under in this pitcher's duel.
GINA
Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles' Joe Saunders (6-3, 3.26) is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA in his last three starts. The lefthander is 1-2 with a 3.62 ERA in four career starts versus the Blue Jays.Toronto's Roy Halladay (8-1, 2.63 ERA) is 1-0 with a 1.71 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 7-5 with a 4.35 ERA in career 15 outings against the Angels.Go with Toronto at home. The struggling Blue Jays have dropped ten of their last 12 games overall, but have won six its last 7 games at Rogers Centre and nine of the last 13 contests against the Angels in Toronto.
Toronto Blue Jays -170
Mr A
San Francisco Giants -150
Minnesota Twins -170
MLB Computer Picks
New York Yankees -200 * * *
Atlanta Braves -120
Chicago White Sox -145
Best Bet ***
Free Selection from Totals4U
Tuesday's free selection:
Philadelphia/San Diego over 7
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
271 - 177 run 60 % Tues Minn Twins
current pick track record: 16-6 run
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EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION
Game: San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals
(953) San Francisco Giants -$150
(Listing Lincecum and Stammen)
In fourteen innings against the Nationals, the Giants
starting pitcher Tim Lincecum has thirteen strikeouts
and and ERA of only 1.29. I look for that dominance to
continue as the Nats see him for the first time this
season. Rookie pitcher Craig Stammen will be making
his third career start for Washington and the Giants
should be able to provide enough run support for
Lincecum and the Giants to pick up the win.
Lay the juice with San Francisco.
2009 Free Selections Record 82-67 (55.0%) 8)
IndianCowboy
Take Under 9 Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves
I've taken the under before with Wells and it has panned out and here is another opportunity for us to take the Under as well. Wells continues to pitch well for the Cubs, but still has yet to pick up the "W". He has pitched in 4 straight unders and is 0-2 but has a 1.80 era as the Cubs just can't give him any run support. Wells was originally listed as a reliever, but the 6'5 Illinois native has been providing great innings for the Cubs. He looks to continue to pitch strong against the Braves as he looks for his first W. Kawakami is 3-6 with a 4.73era but he has come a long way of late. His last 4 of 5 starts have been quality and usually after a start where he picks up the loss, he bounces back and does well the next start. He gave up 9 hits in a little over 5 innings at San Fran and the Braves lost that game 3-6 and I expect him to put forth a better effort today as he looks to stay in the rotation. The Under is 4-0-2 when the Braves have a total set between 9 and 10.5 and the Under is 7-1 for the Cubs of late when they face a right handed pitcher.
Nick Parsons
Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners UNDER 8
Despite some hamstring tightness last month, Bedard has remained healthy and not allowed more than three runs in any of his nine starts. He gave up one run and five hits while striking out five in 6 2-3 innings of a 6-1 victory at Oakland on Wednesday. A lack of run support, however, has plagued Bedard and the rest of the Mariners' staff this season. Seattle's 197 runs are the fewest in the AL and its 1-0 loss to Baltimore on Monday marked the fifth time it was shut out. David Hernandez (1-0, 1.59) looks to build off a solid major league debut when he takes the ball for the Orioles. The right-hander allowed one run and five hits while walking four in 5 2-3 innings of a 5-1 home win over Detroit on Thursday. Hernandez became the fourth Baltimore rookie to win his major league debut this season. The Orioles have seen the total go under the posted number in 9 of 14 games against left-handed starters; play on the UNDER!
John Ryan
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals
Play: Washington Nationals
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Washington as they host SF. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 98-69 making 61 units since 2003. Play n home dogs with a money line of +100 or higher after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games and is a terrible team winning 38% or less of their games on the season. SF not in a good role noting that they are 7-21 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after 6 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. Washington is 19-7 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games after having lost 12 or more of their last 15 games since 1997. The Nats have had a horrid start to their 2009 season, but TV ratings are up 56%. Ok, wait a minute. Only 12,000 households are watching, which is more than half the 2nd lowest viewership of any MLB baseball team. Hey, at least it is up. For today though, the Nats will give their viewers and attendees something to chear about; if only for one day. Take the Nats.
Craig Trapp
LAA Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Play: Under 8
Betting Trends
-Under is 4-0-1 in Halladays last 5 home starts vs. Angels.
-Under is 40-13-5 in the last 58 meetings.
-Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
-Under is 5-2 in Blue Jays last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
These two pitchers both have been pitching well and historically the under is a huge trend play. Today Halladay tries to keep up his great pitching his last three starts has gone 21 innings and only gave up 4 runs. Going for LAA is Saunders who has been very good this year and his last 6 starts has pitched 40 innings and only gave up 14 earned runs. In fact when Saunders pitches the under is 4-1 his last 5 starts. Toronto has not scored over three runs but once in the last 7 games. These two pitchers will be in a low scoring pitchers duel today and can't imagine this total getting over 5 runs. Love the unders in game 1 of series when west team has to travel to the East. SCORE TOR 3 - LAA 1
Tom Freese
Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres
Prediction: Under
San Diego starter Jake Peavy has a better than 4-1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. The Padres are 6-1-1 UNDER their last 8 home games and they are 9-2-2 UNDER their last 13 games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of over 60%. San Diego is 8-1 UNDER at home in Peavy's last 9 starts vs. winning teams. Antonio Bastardo makes his first ever start tonight which is always an advantage to the pitcher as nobody has seen hid stuff. The Phillies are 8-1-1 UNDER their last 10 games and they are 4-0 UNDER vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of under 1.30. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Peavy vs. Bastardo)