Black Widow Sports
1* on Milwaukee Brewers -144
(List Fogg and Bush)
Milwaukee looks to improve on the league’s best record today with another win over the Cincinnati Reds. One thing is certain, they will definitely put up enough runs on Josh Fogg to get the job done. On Friday, Fogg gave up six runs and five hits over four frames in an 8-4 loss to Philadelphia. His huge 13.50 ERA has Brewers’ hitters licking their chops heading into this one. Milwaukee is 22-6 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Milwaukee is 24-7 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Take Milwaukee here.
Ferringo
1.5-Unit Play. Take Washington (-135) over Florida
After a roller coaster opening week I think the Nationals needed a day off. Hopefully it cooled off the Marlins bats. Florida took game 1 but the home team in this series is 13-4 and the Marlins are just 1-7 in their last eight in Washington. Scott Olsen is one the hill and he is incredibly unpredictable. The Nats have been hitting lefties well so we’ll look for that to continue.
3-Unit Play. Take San Diego (-130) over San Francisco
Last night’s win by the Giants was an absolute fluke. The Padres outhit San Fran and stranded 28 total runners in the extra-inning defeat. Now the Padres are going to get their licks in against rookie Jon Sanchez, who got lit up for seven runs in four innings against the Brewers last week. Sanchez throws a ton of pitches and isn’t very accurate. I think the Padres will exploit that and get two of three in this series. They are still 11-2 in the last 13 meetings and 16-6 in the last 22 meetings.
1-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (+125) over New York Mets
Philadelphia owns the Mets right now. They have won seven straight in Shea and have won nine straight overall in this series. I have very little faith in Mike Pelfrey, as the Mets went 4-11 last year in his starts. We’re getting good value on the better team here, and in a game where either teams’ bullpen can meltdown at any time I think the value is on the plus-money.
1.5-Unit Play. Take Toronto (-155) over Oakland
Note: Listed pitchers should be Litsch and Smith.
The Blue Jays hammer left-handed pitching and they are getting a crack at a kid making his MLB debut today. That’s bad news for him, especially considering that Jerry Crawford and his tight zone are behind the plate. The Blue Jays are 43-22 in their last 65 home games and after dropping the first game of the series I look for them to bounce back strong.
Josh Dean
**System 100-500**
*200 San Fran +120
Gambler's Data
MLB
1* NYY -120
5* Brewers -150
NHL
5* Penguins Under
Bob Balfe
NBA Basketball
Nets +7.5 over Cavs
Major League Baseball
A's +135 over Bluejays
Smith/McGowan
Savannah Sports
2 Units on Arizona Under 9
2 Units on Houston Under 9.5
2 units on Washington Over 9.5
Wild Bill
Under 9 AZ-Dodgers (5 units)
Over 10 Reds-Brewers (1 unit)
Braves -120 (5 units)
Over 8 1/2 Padres-Giants (5 units)
Over 9 1/2 Indians-Angels (1 unit)
Under 10 Tigers-Red Sox (2 units)
Tigers +110 (5 units)
Texas -150 (3 units)
Vegas Runner
1* TOTAL (POSSIBLE HEAVY HITTER UPGRADE)
ORL / CHI Over 206.5
ARI / LOS Over 9 2* TOTAL
ANA -115 vs CLE 1* ML WAGER
Wolkosky Milan
10* DETROIT +3½
10* NJN/CLE UNDER 195
10* MIL/TOR UNDER 204
Drew Gordon
1. 300,000* Chicago White Sox
2. 50,000* Orioles
3. 50,000* Spurs
1. Chicago White Sox- A lot of things to like about the surging White Sox in this one, but let's start with their recent play, winners of 5 straight, including Monday's 7-4 comeback win over the Twins. The hero of Monday's game was clearly red-hot Joe Crede, who's grand slam lifted the Sox to victory. Sox got 11 hits Monday, as Pierzynski and Dye (among others) have started the season hot, a big part of the reason they'll get the win here once again tonight.
Besides their winning streak, the White Sox also have a favorable pitching match up in this one, as they've had plenty of success against Minnesota's Scott Baker in the past. The Twins righty is 1-2 with an astronimical 9.14 ERA in 5 career starts versus the White Sox, and the way they've been swinging the bats lately... This one could get real ugly for Baker. True, the last time he pitched at U.S. Cellular he got the win, but in the process allowed 7 runs on 9 hits over 5 innings, so don't tell me he isn't vulnerable tonight!
Got to like the way southpaw Joe Danks started the season, allowing 1 earned on just 2 hits over 6 2/3 innings at Cleveland, despite not getting the decision. He held a formidable Indians lineup hitless for 5 innings, and all signs point to another strong start from the young lefty in this one. He had his troubles last season at home, but cut the youngster some slack, as you'll see a more mature and polished Danks this season.
Bottom line, not only are the White Sox playing great baseball right now, but they've got the pitching match up necessary to crush the Twins in this one. You can just hear the White Sox batters licking their chops thinking about Baker, who's been downright awful against the Sox in his career. While you can expect Danks will be looking to erase his woes at US Cellular with strong performance here tonight. White Sox roll!
Take the Chicago White Sox behind Danks over the Twins and Baker as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Orioles- This play is all about value, as the Orioles come into this contest being severely undervalued despite their hot start to the season. While many expected more of a rebuilding effort from this Orioles club, they've come out of the gate hot, losing their season opener, but then reeling off 6 straight wins, including a 4-game sweep of the Mariners!
I'll admit there's slight pitching edge for the Rangers with Gabbard on the mound, but not by nearly as much as you think. Veteran righty Steve Trachsel has been rock-solid for the Orioles, not giving up more than 3 runs in 7 straight starts for the O's. Not only that, but he was solid in his season debut, allowing 2 runs on 4 hits over 5 2/3 innings to the Mariners Friday.
Despite being terrible in the Spring, Gabbard started the season in impressive fashion, tossing 7 scoreless innings against a rock-solid Angels lineup. In two career starts against the Orioles, he's 1-0 with a 2.53 ERA, but let's not get carried away. Streaks are just as important in baseball as past history, what I mean is, the Orioles are rolling right now, and if you think Gabbard is just going to cruise to victory like he did against the Angels, you're dead wrong!
Finally, the Orioles most surprising/biggest edge has to be their bullpen, which has posted a minuscule 0.74 ERA, allowing just 2 runs over 24 1/3 innings this season! Texas's bullpen has been anything but consistent, posting a 6.61 ERA over their last 16 innings. Even if Gabbard can slow down the Orioles, when gets into the later innings, the Orioles have a huge edge in this one.
Bottom line, there's too much value to be had with this Orioles team right now, to side with anyone but Baltimore in this contest. Trachsel has been consistent, and their bullpen has been outstanding, all that's left is for the O's batting order to keep on delivering (note their batting .364 against lefties this season, in the early going).
Grab the plus money with the Orioles behind Trachsel over the Rangers and Gabbard in this MLB match up.
3. Spurs- Like clockwork every year, the Spurs finally decide its time to play, and they start dominating the opposition once again. Winners of 9 of their last 10 games, It all starts with defense, and right now, no one in the NBA is playing better D than San Antonio, allowing 86 ppg on 40% shooting over their last 11 games!
It gets even tougher in San Antonio, where the Spurs have won 12 of their last 13 games, and are absolutely thrashing foes. New Orleans, Dallas, Denver, Houston, and Golden State are just some of the teams they've beaten lately at home, and you can Phoenix to that list after tonight.
Let's use Golden State as an example, as they're the team that most resembles Phoenix's style of play. Think offense can trump defense? Well, the Spurs 116-92 destruction of the Warriors says otherwise! Note, not one opponent in their last 11 games has scored over 100 points, and if the Suns can't score, they can't win, plain and simple.
The last time these two teams played, the Suns took it to the Spurs 94-87 in Phoenix, but that was during a rough patch where San Antonio lost 6 of 7 games in mid-March. Since then the Spurs have regrouped and look like a championship team getting ready for an extended playoff run. With the top-seed in the West still up for grabs, there's little reason not to expect another "max-effort" from the Spurs in this one. Also, its important to remember the Suns have had trouble against the elite teams in the league on the road, losing at Detroit, at Boston, and at Denver in their last 10 games.
Bottom line, look for the Spurs to put the clamps on the Suns attack in this one, as they continue their run at the # 1 seed in the West tonight. Suns are a good team, but until they show they can win against tough competition on the road, I'm not convinced. Spurs get the solid home win and cover in this one!
Take the Spurs comfortably over the Suns in this NBA match up.
Scott Sprietzer
4* Magic
TKO Hornets
MLB
5* Tex
TKO: Seattle
Total Minn ov
Jim Feist
NBA
5* Horn
Inner Circle 76ers
Total Bulls over
MLB
5* gow SD
4* Stl
Inner Circle La Dod
Per Best Colo
Dave Cokin
NBA
Wind: Tor
MLB
3* Balt
Hat Clev
Wind Fla
Total Cubs ov
GINA
NBA
Phoenix Suns (52-26) at San Antonio Spurs (53-24)
Expect an intense battle when the Suns and Spurs collide tonight at the AT&T Center. Both are fighting for playoff positioning in the Western Conference. Go with San Antonio on their home court. The Spurs have won five straight home games, 12 of its last 13 and have taken 12 of the last 15 contests against Phoenix in San Antonio. San Antonio’s stingy defense will restrain the Suns.
San Antonio Spurs
New York Knicks - 2
San Antonio Spurs -6½
MLB
Philadelphia Phillies (4-4) at New York Mets (2-4)
(R) Kyle Kendrick (1-0) vs. (R) Mike Pelfrey (0-0)
Philadelphia has won ninth straight games against the New York Mets and have beaten them in the last 6 at Shea Stadium. Take the Phillies. The Mets has dropped 10 of its last 11 home games.
Philadelphia Phillies + 120
ROOT
Chairman - TBay Rays
Millionaire - Spurs
No Limit - Wizards
Seabass
100 (Vegas Steam) New Orleans Hornets
5 (Comp) Under Nashville Preds 5
FERRALL
ARIZONA -105 on ML over Dodgers--Micah Owings allowed 1 ER in his first start--a win. The D'Backs have won 5 straight and are scoring a lot of runs. They are winning by over 3 runs per game. It won't be as easy today as Kuroda is tough as hell for LA. He won his first start and alloweed only 1 run against San Diego last week.
San Diego -140 on ML over San Francisco--Germano over Sanchez in the Bay. Sanchez got lit up by Brewers for 7 runs in his first start. He's very average. Giants went 4-14 vs Padres last season.
Atlanta -125 on ML over Rockies--Chuck James gets the Braves back on track against Colorado. They've dropped the first two games of series, but James beats Redman, who got jacked in his first start
WASHINGTON -140 on ML over Marlins--Nats end their 5 gm skid. Olsen and Bergmann both stink, but this game is going to be wild and lots of pitchers are coming in to this one. Nats get it done stealing bases and taking chances. They can't afford to keep losing games, particularly at home.
GOLD SHEET LTS
Milwaukee-Toronto OVER
Charlotte-New York OVER
NEW ORLEANS over Minnesota
Psychicsportspicks
PSYCHIC
NBA
4 units Phoenix +6
MAJOR
MLB
1 unit Arizona -105
1 unit Washington -131
DA STICK
NHL
20 units Colorado +115
20 units San Jose -200
MLB
10 units Ny Mets -132
Vegas Runner
NHL Money Line MIN -125 vs COL
* 2* NHL PLAYOFFS PLAY of the DAY **
Guys, we will definitely be taking a stand on many of these post season match-ups, but as the series progress the opportunities to exploit the situation and lines becomes much easier...for Tonight, although we have a few 1* Subscriber Plays, this appears to be the only HEAVY HITTER Wager...
Huge Home-Ice edge in this one...Backstrom has been just lights out especially lately...and when you take a look at the advantage Minn has with the man-advantage as well as on the Kill...there just isn't any facet of the game that Colorado should be able to pose a problem for them Tonight...especially being the 1st game of the Post-Season and as I stated above, beging played at home.