Tom Freese.
San Francisco at San Diego
San Diego is 57-27-6 UNDER their last 90 home games. The Padres are 5-1 UNDER their last 6 games as home favorites and they are 6-2-1 UNDER vs. an opponent that has a road winning percentage of less than 40%. San Francisco is 9-2-1 UNDER the last 12 road starts made by Matt Cain on the mound when the total is 7.0 to 8.5. The Giants are 29-14 UNDER after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 8-2 UNDER with Cain if they allowed 5 or more runs in their last game. PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Nelly
Chicago (Hill) - over Colorado (Morales)
The Cubs are red hot, off to a 14-6 record and winners of five straight games. Chicago is crushing left-handed pitching with a .314 team average and the Cubs are in position to continue to have success on the road, already 4-2 this year. Franklin Morales was a superb rookie for the Rockies late last season but he has struggled considerably in 2008. He allowing a great deal of walks and hitters appear to have him figured out. Cubs left-hander Rich Hill is pitching well enough to win and he has only allowed six runs in his three starts. Unlike the Cubs, the Rockies struggle against left-handers with a .215 team average and Colorado is just 3-5 in home games this season, including losses in the last two games. The Cubs have advantages in every area of this match-up and this is a cheap price on a Chicago team off to one of the best starts in baseball.
KM Sports Computer Sheet San Diego Padres
Keith Martin Colorado Rockies
jokers sports Atlanta Braves
KingTSports Tampa Bay Rays
Wager Index Atlanta Braves
BaseballTotals Detroit Tigers
JEFF MONEY Tampa Bay Rays
MIKE L Boston Celtics
Handicappers Edge Detroit Pistons
Vegas Insider Capping Detroit Pistons
seeyouinthewinnerscircle Lakers
Priceless Picks
1 Unit on St. Louis Cardinals +100
(listing Wellemeyer and Snell)
Wellemeyer has been a pleasant surprise for the Cards this season. The Cardinals are 8-1 in Wellemeyer's last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 9-2 in Wellemeyer's last 11 starts as an underdog. The Cardinals are an unbelievable 46-17 in the last 63 meetings in Pittsburgh. Now that's domination. Keeping in mind that the Cardinals are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss, I really like them to bounce back here after going down in extras to the Brewers yesterday. The Pirates are 0-5 in Snell's last 5 starts as a home underdog and 3-11 in Snell's last 14 starts as an underdog period. The Pirates are also just 3-14 in their last 17 vs. the National League Central. Take the Red Birds.
Purelock
Premium Play
PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE
PLAY: MILWAUKEE
Ferrall
NATIONAL LEAGUE FREE B's for WEDNESDAY
PIRATES -110 on ML over St.Louis--Bucs win their second straight--stop the press ! Ian Snell moves to 3-1. He's got 17 K's in his last 3 starts, going 2-1 in those games.
Marlins +130 on ML over Braves--I'll take the lefty Aaron Miller over Bennett in Atlanta even thouhg he's looked shaky at 0-2 with an ERA over 9
PHILLIES -145 on ML over Brewers--Cole hamels wins in Brew Town. His ERA is 1.86 and you can't score a lot of runs against him. He's allowed only 5 earned in his last 3 starts, going 2-1 in those. Milwaukee's BUSh has been getting lit up with his 7.02 ERA and 0-3 record.
AMERICAN LEAGUE FREE B's for Wednesday
CLEVELAND -150 on ML over Royals--Indians get another one in KC behind Carmona. He's been brutal to beat lately, going 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA. He's 3-0 lifetime vs Kansas City. Tomko gets roughed up for Royals. Lay 1.5 Runs to KC at +120
OAKLAND -130 on ML over Twins--My boy Chad Goudin gets the W for the A's over Bonser, who's 1-3. Goudin has struck out 15 in his last 3 starts
Baltimore +120 on ML over Mariners--Cabrera upsets Silva in Seattle. He's 5-1 lifetime vs the Mariners. It will be Silva's first loss. He's been toughh to handle lately, going 3-0 with a 2.79 ERA. He's struggled against the Orioles in the past, going 1-4 in his career vs Balt
Larry Ness
AL Game of the month
Mariners
Erin Rynning
20 * Playmaker Dodgers/DBacks under 8
Bob Balfe
NBA Basketball
Pistons -10.5 over Sixers
Philadelphia is a much improved team, but Detroit is the #2 seed for a reason and will be more focused tonight. If Detroit puts their foot on the gas this could be a blowout. I like how this line has moved over 10. This will get a lot of late money on Philly. In a game like this you pick the team that you think will win and let the spread take care of itself. Take Detroit.
Atlanta +15 over Boston
Last game the Celtics crushed Atlanta, but they did shoot 50% from three point land while Atlanta shot only 21%. I doubt those numbers will repeat themselves tonight. The Hawks are a young team with a lot of energy and have play the Celtics enough times already this year to fix what they have been doing wrong and to make it a closer game. The Celtics still win this game, but not by 15.
Major League Baseball
Rockies -105 over Cubs
WUNDERDOG
Game: Denver at Los Angeles Lakers
Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -8
In game two games thus far we have seen a few teams with a distinct skill advantage repeat their game one wins and covers (Cleveland, Utah, New Orleans). We put the Lakers in this same category and we like them again here vs. Denver. We pounced on the Lakers in game one noting how Denver really struggles on the road, especially vs. elite teams. That same dynamic is in play here tonight and despite any desire to even the series, they just can't keep with Kobe, Gasol and the rest of this high-flying Lakers team. They don't have the committment to defense. This will eventually be the downfall of George Karl who has done an admirable job with the Nuggets. But, he will never make it deep into the playoffs with a team that doesn't care about defense. We don't expect a letdown by LA as every team in the West has been conditioned to never take a night off this year. Unlike the east where a couple of teams absolutely dominated, in the West it was a dogfight all year and as a result the mindset is for no team to ever feel overconfident or safe. Kobe said after game one, "We played good enough to win the game, but I don't think we are completely pleased with the way we played." This tells us he is not resting on his laurels. Denver is now 2-11 ATS on the road the past two seasons vs. elite teams that outscore their competition by 6+ ppg. This season they own a 4-12 ATS mark on the road vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 3+ ppg and they are 5-13 ATS vs. great offensive opponents (those averaging 103+ ppg). In contrast, LA is 18-4 ATS in their last 22 vs. teams averaging 100+ ppg and 13-5 ATS overall this season vs. teams scoring 103+ppg. Denver can outscoure weaker foes and roll over them. But, when they face a great team that can also score, they are in deep trouble. Lakers to make it two in a row.
WUNDERDOG
Game: New York Mets at Washington
Pick: Washington +180
Yes, Johan Santana goes tonight. But can he fix all that ails this slumping Mets team? They have been outscored 20-6 over their last three games. The Mets are 4-6 on the road this season and 2-7 vs. right-handed pitchers. Santana is great but he's been average thus far this season (2-2 with a 3.25 ERA). The bullpen has been horrendous on the road (6.07 ERA) and they are getting a lot of innings. We think this line has value on the home team as a result. Yes, Washington has their own problems but this team has done well against lefties (4.2 runs per game vs. 3.3 vs. rightites). Over the past two seasons the Mets are a sub-.500 team to a line of -175 to -250. Santana is just 17-18 when the total is under 9. Will Washington win this game? Not likely if Santana has a great game and goes deep. But if he is off or the Nats can score runs late vs. this suspect bullpen, they have a shot. Either way they have a much better shot than what this line dictates and as such there is betting value on the Nats here.
BIG AL
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Philly. In Game 1, Rasheed Wallace & Co. broke out to a 51-38 halftime lead over Maurice Cheeks' young 76ers, yet inexplicably collapsed in the 2nd Half, and wound up losing 90-86. But I expect the Pistons to rebound in a big way on Wednesday night, as teams that open the Playoffs with a SU/ATS loss, in which they scored less than 88 points, are a terrific 69% ATS since 1991. Last season, for example, the Dallas Mavericks opened up the Playoffs with a 97-85 home loss to Golden State, and then rebounded to win Game 2 by a 112-99 count. I look for a similar result tonight. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my 1st Round Game of the Year or my Baseball Winner tonight.
At 10:05 pm ET our selection is on the Oakland Athletics over the Minnesota Twins. Each division in the American League has a surprise team doing much better than expected so far in 2008. In the East, it's the Baltimore Orioleswho many were picking to finish last. In the Central, it's the Chicago White Sox who are not only in first place, but are the only team in the division with a winning record. And in the West, it's the Oakland A's who many were expecting to have one of their worst records in years for this storied franchise. But 20 games into the season, the A's are 12-8 and tied for first place in the division. The biggest reason for this surprising performance as been their pitching as the A's are currently leading the league in team ERA at 3.36 and opposing batting average at .236. Oakland has not been a particularly friendly place for Minnesota to play, as the Twins have lost six of their last nine games at McAfee Coliseum. Righthanded starter Boof Bonser has lost three of his four starts in '08, and the Twins have given him absolutely no run support, scoring a total of only seven runs in those games. Take the Athletics. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks plus the points over the Boston Celtics, as Atlanta falls into 31-3, 17-0, 29-7 and 46-17 ATS systems of mine. Let's take a look at our 29-7 angle. What we want to do is play on any double digit underdog off four SU/ATS losses, if it is playing with at least two days' of rest, and its foe is not playing with more than two days' of rest. And if our double digit dog is matched up against a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins, then our 29-7 stat zooms to 10-1 ATS. With Boston off five SU/ATS wins, and Atlanta off four SU/ATS losses, we'll grab the large number with the Hawks tonight. First Round Game of the Year on Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my two other big winners in the NBA + Baseball tonight.
Las Vegas Sports Advisors
MLB 4/23/2008
Toronto/Roy Halladay -150
Play of the Day 5*
MLB 4/23/2008
Cleveland/Fausto Carmona -150
FREE PICK 5*
MLB 4/23/2008
Seattle/Carlos Silva -125 5*
Gold Key
3 Over 8.5 Total Runs, Cleveland at KANSAS CITY
3 Under 230 Total Points, Denver at LAKERS
Karl Garnett
Denver at LA Lakers -8
Tonight another OVER the total play goes out in Denver-Los Angeles.These teams easily sailed OVER the total on Sunday, and I just don't think the Nuggets are capable of playing an under at this time of the year! 3 of the last 5, and 5 of the last 9 in this series have gone OVER the total, and the Lakers have been an offensive OVER machine of late, as 3 in a row, and 7 of their last 11 games have found the OVER mark. Not a whole lot of defense is played when the Nuggets hit the court, and Denver knows full well if they are to hang in this game, they are going to have to put up a ton of points.
G-Man is playing Game Two OVER the total.
2* OVER