King Creole
2* OVER TORONTO / BALTIMORE
1* UNDER ATLANTA / FLORIDA
1* OVER WASHINGTON / SAN FRANCISCO
Marco D'Angelo
STL (+130) vs MIL
So how fun was last night's easy winner on the White Sox! Well today it's time for my Upset Shocker as we are going to go with St. Louis as they stop the streaking Brewers. CC looks to be the missing link for the Brewers but today he tastes defeat for the first time in a Brewer uniform. St. Louis starter Looper is 14-5 when the total is 8.5 or less. Also note that Milwaukee is 2-11 following 2 straight wins vs division opponents. TAKE ST. LOUIS as MARCO'S UPSET SHOCKER PLAY and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.
Stan Sharp
BAL (-110) vs TOR
Stan notes that Toronto starter Burnett is just 3-13 on the road in the month of July. He also notes that when he pitches on the road following a Toronto win he is just 13-32. TAKE BALTIMORE as STAN'S AL BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.
Greg Shaker
ATL (-110) vs FLA
3 UNIT "NL GAME OF MONTH"
There are a lot of things going on in this contest that I like very much and first and foremost in the Atlanta Hurler today. Hudson is one of the toughest Mound Competitors in the Major League's and he is coming off a poor performance. That gives him the desire need to throw a good game today and suspect that he will. He has had great success at this Park but he did not have that success earlier this year. He took the loss at Dolphin Stadium in his only start against the Marlins this season, allowing four runs and six hits in three innings of a 6-5 defeat. That was his first career loss at Florida after going 4-0 with a 2.27 ERA in six starts here. That is motivation enough for this guy. Nolasco has been a huge surprise this year but he will be Under the Gun today. Nolasco has had no luck against the Braves this season, as hes been pounded for 13 runs and 21 hits - including seven home runs - in losing both of his starts against them. Chipper Jones must be licking his chops The All-Star third baseman will look to get things turned around Wednesday, as hes batting .643 with three homers and three doubles lifetime against Mr. Ricky. This is a Big Series for the Braves and they cannot afford to lose this last game. They have the right guy on the mound and they have the right situation. That is why this is My NL GAME OF THE MONTH.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
BAL / TOR Under 8.5
A low total was posted on this game and many will be jumping on the over because of the recent results for these two clubs. However, the key here is the pitching match-up as the old adage is true that good pitching stops good hitting. The Orioles have scored 40 runs in their 6 games since the All Star Break. All but one of those has gone over the total. As for the Blue Jays, they have scored 26 runs in their last 4 games and all four games went over the total. However, all this slugfest activity comes to an end on Wednesday evening courtesy of AJ Burnett of the Jays and Jeremy Guthrie of the Orioles. Burnett has allowed three earned runs or less in 13 of his last 18 starts. He has been fantastic in each of his last two starts and those came against the Yankees and Rays in AL East action. On Wednesday, Burnett gets a shot at redemption against another AL East foe as he seeks revenge after the Orioles roughed him up earlier this month. In fact, the Orioles have hit Burnett hard in both of his appearances against them this season even though he got the win in the most recent outing. Burnett has some interesting numbers that tell the real story about how hes fared against the Orioles. Even though he has a 5.26 ERA against Baltimore, theyve only hit .234 against him in his career and, from that standpoint, his 6-1 lifetime record against the Orioles is deserved. Look for him to come up with another strong effort on Wednesday evening. The key to the Under in this match-up is that Burnett will be matched by his counterpart, Guthrie, pitch for pitch tonight. The Orioles Guthrie is undefeated in his last six starts and he has also pitched at least six innings in 12 of his last 13 starts. This is key to giving the Baltimore bullpen some much needed rest. Guthrie has also fared well against the Orioles as hes 1-0 with a 2.65 ERA in his five career starts against the Jays. Guthrie has looked very sharp in his last two starts against the Jays and one of those came earlier this month and the other came in June. Overall, Toronto is only hitting .217 against Guthrie and we expect more domination tonight. With the bats finally quieted in his series, tonights Game Three stays well UNDER the total thanks to a pitchers duel between Burnett and Guthrie, two very capable workhorses.
WAYNE ROOT
Chairman- Brewers
Millionaire- Marlins
Insiders Circle- Orioles
NSA
20* Boston
10* Detroit
10* WhiteSox
10* NY Mets
10* Colorado Under
10* Arizona
VEGAS RUNNER
BAL/TOR Under 8.5 3* BEST BET of the DAY
ATL (-108) vs FLA 2* ML WAGER
SFG (-120) vs WAS 1* ML WAGER
KELSO
10 Unit - Milwaukee
5 Unit - Phillies
BIG AL's 100% PERFECT DIVISION GAME OF THE YEAR!
At 7:10pm our selection is on the New York Mets over the Philadelphia Phillies. Philadelphia righthander Brett Myers is back from his "vacation" to the Minor Leagues and will get his first start with the big league club in close to a month. While Myers believes that his time down on the farm has been beneficial and has helped boost his confidence, it doesn't help his cause that, despite a 3.00 ERA down there, he only managed a 1-3 record, which is pretty much in line with his W/L record during his time in the Majors this season before being sent down. For his teammates and fans, it certainly isn't too hard to remember just how bad Myers was for most of May and June. He was easily one of the worst starters out there but would occasionally (very rarely in fact) throw a gem in among all of his horrible outings. The team apparently still believes in Myers as a member of its rotation. However, it also felt the same way about Adam Eaton for a long time (despite many starts that would rival the worst of Myers' performances), but that didn't stop Philadelphia management from reaching out and bringing in veteran Joe Blanton from Oakland and moving Eaton to the bullpen. A similar fate may await Myers if he doesn't make the most of this latest opportunity. Unfortunately, a trip to Queens to face the red-hot Mets and John Maine is not exactly the easiest assignment with which to signal your return to the big league club, especially when you consider that New York is 7-1 in Maine's last eight starts vs. the Phils, and Maine is a perfect 4-0 with a 2.36 career ERA vs. the Phillies. NL East Game of the Year on the Mets.
Teddy June
My 5* MLB Package Play #1 is the Seattle Mariners over the Boston Red Sox. Last game of a 3 game set here with the Red Sox having won the first two. After this series the Sox will return home to face the Yankees and Angels in what will be two exciting series’. Before that however this afternoon they have to face off against King Felix. Hernandez is having a very solid year thus far posting a 2.95 ERA overall including 109 K’s in 119 innings of work. Over his career he has had good success against the Red Sox posting a 3-1 record in 5 starts with a 3.06 ERA. He should be helped by a Red Sox squad today that just flat out has not been that great on the road this year posting 23-32 overall road record including a 2-10 run their last 12 ball games on the road versus a right-handed starter. On the other side Clay Buchholz will get the start and he has really struggled this year. He has not made a quality start since April 26th and has given up at least 4 runs in four straight starts. His road woes have been the big problem posting a 0-4 mark with an 8.49 ERA in 29.2 innings of work. He has allowed 43 hits and 13 walks during that span and the Red Sox as a team are 0-6 in his 6 road starts on the season. I expect the Mariners to grab the win here this afternoon as the Sox get set to finally travel back home. It is noteworthy that the Mariners are 6-2 in Hernandez’s last 8 starts versus a team with a winning record. I currently have this line at -130. My 5* MLB Package Play #1 is the Seattle Mariners.
My 5* MLB Package Play #2 is the Baltimore Orioles over the Toronto Blue Jays. 3rd game of a 4 game set here with A.J. Burnett taking the hill for the Blue Jays and Jeremy Guthrie for the Orioles. Burnett probably woke up this morning and said to himself no not the Orioles again! He has faced the birds twice this year and gotten absolutely smashed in both outings combining to pitch 9.2 innings and he has given up 16 hits and 15 ER. Burnett overall on the year has been very inconsistent as he just has not been able to put together consistent stretches where he pitches well. I don’t expect that to change against a team that has really smashed the ball against him this season. Even though Burnett has been a bit better on the road this year his team win loss record is actually worse at 4-7. This is due to the Blue Jays inability to score behind him on the road only putting up 3.36 runs per game. Toronto overall on the year have had their road struggles posting a 22-31 mark while on the other side Baltimore has been a very consistent solid home squad posting a 28-19 mark. Guthrie will start for the Orioles and he has been very serviceable this season. He has posted a 3.6 ERA and 1.24 WHIP and has alternated quality starts for now 8 straight appearances, if following the trend today he should be expected to throw a quality start. He has terrific career numbers versus the Jays in 36 innings of work he has posted a2.65 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. That includes two very quality starts this season in which he has combined to pitch 14 innings, 2 ER’s and 8 K’s. Blue Jays should help with their anemic road offense, especially after last night’s outpour of offense. The Jays only hit .255 on the road and only score 3.97 that much lower than their home numbers and much lower than the Orioles at home who hit .278 and score 5.49 runs per game. I expect a solid effort from Guthrie tonight and for the Orioles to once again rough up Burnett. I currently have this line at -110. My 5* MLB Package Play #2 is the Baltimore Orioles.
LT Profits
2* Phillies/Mets Over 9
2* Nationals/Giants Under 8.5
2* SF Giants
Mike Rose
2* Baltimore Orioles
3* Florida Marlins
3* Milwaukee Brewers
Fairway Jay
3* Phillies/Mets Under 9
4* Washington Nationals
kbhoops
5 units SF/Wash OVER 8.5
5 units Kansas City -105 **POD** 63-42 on POD selections
5 units Cincinnati Reds -136
5 units Oakland/Tampa UNDER 7.5
5 units NY Mets -127
5 units Twins +1.5 -135