VEGAS RUNNER
FLA / NYM Over 9 1* TOTAL
ARI (-135) vs SDP 2* ML WAGER
PHI (-130) vs WAS 3* BEST BET of the DAY
CHC (+105) vs 910 MIL 2* ML WAGER
FLA (+106) vs NYM 2* ML WAGER
TEX (+140) vs SEA 1* MLB PARLAY of the DAY
TM 1 : TEXAS -180
TM 2 : LA DODGERS -185
KELSO
High Rollers Club
15 units - Colorado
Best Bets Club
10 units Cleveland
5 units Philly
4 units Arizona
Steve Zukiel Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2008
$60.00 Guaranteed: My Second Ever Guaranteed 80 Unit MLB Game Of The Year Goes Wed! Win Or You Pay Nothing! My First 80 Unit Play Won 7-0! This One Is Even Easier! First Pitch Goes After 8:00 PM EST! 7/29/2008
Major League Baseball
Seattle vs Texas
Wednesday, July 30th, 2008
8:05 pm est 5:05 pm pacific
Line: Texas(-170)
Rating: Second Ever Guaranteed 80 Unit MLB Game Of The Year
In this contest, my money is on the Texas Rangers.
This game was written before last night's game was finalized.
Texas can flat out mash a baseball. They are averaging 5 1/2 rpg, which is pretty damn good, but folks, when they are playing at home it goes up to 6.17 and when they are made the favorite, it's all the way up to 6.88. That's almost 7 rpg. That doesn't bode well for Seattle's starter Miguel Batista, who has been getting lit up like a Christmas tree all season long, especially as of late. Batista is just 3-9 on the yeaer and owns an ERA close to 7.00. Things are even worse over his last three starts as he has lasted just 9 1/3 innings and his ERA is at 10.61. He pitched against Texas already once this season and if that outing was any indication, he and the Mariners are in for a very long night. He allowed six earned runs in just 2 1/3 innings of work. Now Texas has Vincente Padilla on the hill and his ERA might be a little high, but folks, he gets a ton of run support. Hence why his won/loss record is at 12-5 and the team has won 15 of his 20 overall starts. His ERA isn't high however when he has been facing the Mariners this season. He has faced them three times, and he is a perfect 1-0, the team has won all three outings and his ERA is at 2.00. Look for another rout on Wednesday. Take the Rangers in this one.
STEVE ZUKIEL TAKES THE TEXAS RANGERS OVER THE SEATTLE MARINERS AS MY SECOND EVER GUARANTEED 80 UNIT MLB GAME OF THE YEAR
INDIAN COWBOY
Indians RL (+131) (POD)
Yesterday: 1-0: Twins: (POD - Winner)
PODs
35-19 Last 54 PODs (65%)
72-44-4 (62%), Normally doing 1 POD Per Day. (Last 121 Days)(4 Months)
Baseball
Over 60% in Baseball Last 2 Months (66 days): 42-25 (61%)
20 of 28 baseball winners (71%) (8 Dogs)
I nearly took Cleveland yesterday but I laid off and glad I did as Cleveland took it up the chin with the Detroit bounce-back which is what I feared as Detroit ended up winning 8-5. I didn't trust Ginter enough as he was only making his 3rd start so that is the reason why I laid off the play and it worked out, just goes to show when you've been doing this for the 5th year, you pick up a few things and that was a play that I would have played as early as 2 years ago, but am glad I laid off. Robertson is 3-5 with a 6.83 era on the road, he hasn't won a game since June 21st, the Tigers come off a nice win on the road yesterday, not sure if they can repeat it today with Lee on the mound for the Indians, Robertson has yet to face Cleveland this year, his team lost all 4 games that he pitched against cleveland last year as they were outscored 11-19, the run-line cashed in 3 of those 4 games. Lee is remarkable at home as he is 6-0 with a 1.71. He beat Detroit in his last start 8-2, tough to take run-line on any given day, but it is worth it here in my opinion with Lee given his strength at home.
A's -132 (3 unit, standard)
KC and Oakland are tied at 0 as I write this in the 3rd currently. Bannister faces Gallagher here. Bannister had 4 straight terrible starts, but finally bounced-back with a quality start at home against TB only to lose, he is 2-5 with a 8.6 era on the road this year, he had a 9 era against Oakland last year on the road, this play is worth even more value if KC manages to win today as Oakland will be on the bounce-back against a non-quality pitcher, Gallagher has faced some tough lineups and has done well this year with a 2.57 era against the Angels at home, 3.6 era against the Yanks on the road, and a 1.69 era against Texas at home, but Texas had rocked him for 9 hits and he gave up 5 walks in that ballgame, and the A's went on to lose that game 4-16, although his earned run average was good for that game, overall, it was a ****ty game for him and consequently he should bounce-back today. To be brutally honest, the fact that it is only -130 makes me nervous with Oakland at home so that itself might be enough for me to lay off but Gallagher is on a bounce-back which brings me back to this play.
Orioles +256 (JUST 1 UNIT)
This is meant to be just 1 unit:
After winning handily in the first game of this series as Baltimore got it done big time on the road scoring double-digit runs against the Yanks, they did it again on the road as Cabrera bounced-back with a win as the Orioles won 7-6 yesterday. Hell, anything can happen and I'm tempted to take the Orioles here at +260, why the hell not, they have won back to back ballgames on the road cashing as huge dogs, but the question is, do the Yankees lose 3 in a row at home with one of their new young studs on the mound? Sarfate makes his first start of the year at Yankee stadium, I actually expect him to pitch well as in 4 inns of work in relief appearances against the Yankees this year, he has yet to yield a run. Chamberlain has yet to give up a run to the Orioles in 4 inns of relief work this year as well, the Orioles are bats are rolling right now though, he does come off back to back quality starts at Oakland where he had a 1.5 era, he comes off 7 inns of brilliance in Boston where he didn't yield a run and the Yanks won 1-0 as he gave up just 3 hits and defeated Beckett as he struckout 9. To be honest, I'm tempted to toss 1 unit at the Orioles to yield +2.6 units, after all, normally I would toss 3 units to yield +2.73 net units and tossing 1 unit on the Orioles is not a bad idea at all here as frankly, I have this game at a 40% chance for the O's winning, sure they can get blown out, but the risk is worth it imo - after all, the Yanks haven't scored against Sarfate this year either.
Colt Peterson Sports
3 star Colorado/Pitt Under 8.5
3 star Seattle/Texas Over 11.5
5 Star Cincinnati +116
Elite Sports Circle Guaranteed Selections
5000* ELITE STEAM BASEBALL WINNER
Minnesota w/Hernandez +100
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
5000* BASEBALL BLOWOUT WINNER
Detroit w/Robertson +145
Erin Rynning
Playmaker: Colorado / Pittsburgh Under 9
Fairway Jay
4* Cubs/Brewers under 8.5
3* Chicago White Sox
3* Arizona Diamondbacks
LT Profits
3* Cardinals/Braves Under 8.5
Wildcat
LA Angels
Teddy Covers
4* Phillies/Nationals Under 9
Chris James Sports
Milwaukee Brewers -112
It's very early in the second half of the season for a "must win" situation but tonight is as close as it comes for the Milwaukee Brewers. After losing the first two games, with both of their Aces on the mound, the confidence and morale of this team will really hit a downward spiral if they don't salvage a win here in this game tonight! The Brewers must do with with Manny Parra on the mound who is 9-3 with a 3.72 ERA on the year. The Brewers are 7-3 in Parra's last 10 starts and 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. He is also 6-0 as a favorite of -110 to -150 which means he feels comfortable in pressure situations! The Cubs counter with Ryan Dempster who is 11-4 with a 2.99 ERA on the year. He is 2-0 so far this year against the Brewers with a 3.00 ERA. He has been spectacular in his last 3 starts posting a 2.18 ERA! However, he hasn't won back to back road starts in a season for the past 7 years! 7 YEARS! Which is why Dempster is 1-6 in his last 7 starts as a road underdog. Look for the Brewers to show some desperation tonight and pull together as a team to put a "W" on the board! My free play selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers!
Ben Burns
5* Atlanta Braves
4* SD Padres
Jeff Scott Sports
4 UNIT PLAY
TEXAS/ Seattle Over 11.5
The Over is 22-10-2 in Mariners last 34 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200 and 5-1 in Batistas last 6 starts overall, while the Over is 10-3-1 in Padillas last 14 starts vs. American League West and 20-8 in Padillas last 28 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, plus the Over is 6-1-1 in Nauerts last 8 games behind home plate vs. Seattle. I used this same play last night and it was an easy winner and I expect if to be just as easy tonight. Miguel Batista has been trully horrible this year, posting a 6.67 ERA overall, including a 5.24 ERA in his road starts and an 11.25 ERA in his last 4 starts. Miguela also owns a 5.43 ERA in his career vs Texas, including a 7.84 ERA at Rangers Ballpark. Vicente Padilla has had a good year for Texas, record wise, but his ERA is 4.56 overall, including a 4.00 ERA in his home starts and a 4.79 ERA in his night starts. Padilla's Starts overall have averaged 12 rp, while his home starts have averaged 14 rpg, and his night starts have averaged 12.6 rpg. Seattle's offense is not spectacular, but in this ballpark they have excelled as they are averaging 7 rpg in the 5 games at Ranger Ballpark this year and they have averaged 6 rpg in their last 10 played here, dating back to last year. The Rangers offense has put up 7.7 rpg in their last 7 overall and 6.3 rpg in their home games, plus they have hit .289 and scored 6.1 rpg vs righty starters on the year.Last night I said that I could see 15+ runs being scored and the teams put up 21 runs. Tonight I'll call for the same 15+ runs and another easy winner on the Over.
3 UNIT PLAY
Arizona -134 over SAN DIEGO
The Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 6-1 in Harens last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game, while the Padres are 14-40 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record and 5-17 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter. Danny Haren has been a solid starter for the D-Backs this year as he is 10-5 with a 2.56 ERA overall, Including a 6-1 mark with a 1.39 ERA in his last 10 starts and a 2-0 mark with a 0.90 ERA in his last 4 starts away from home. Danny is also 1-1 with a 1.73 ERA in 4 career starts vs the Pads, including a 1-1 mak with a 1.29 ERA in his 2 starts vs them this year. Danny also limits the amount of baserunners in a game as he allows team a .253 OBP and he has a 0.96 WHIP in his overall starts this year. That isn't good news for a Padres team that is 29th in scoring, 27th in BA and 24th in OPS. San Diego hits just .239 and scores just 3.6 rpg at home, plus they hit just .221 and score 3.6 rpg in divisional games on the year. The Padres have also scored just 3.7 rpg vs the D-Backs on the year, including 3.6 rpg vs them at home. Cha Seung Baek has not had a great year for the Padres, as he is 3-4 with a 4.86 ERA overall and 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA at home. Arizona's offense has really been good of late as they are averaging 6.4 rpg and are hitting .291 in their last 7 games, plus they hit .276 and score 5.6 rpg in their games vs the West this year. The Padres are really struggling right now at home, with a 3-13 mark in their last 16 games there, while the D-Backs have been excellent vs the West, going 26-13 in their 39 games vs division opponents this year. Another solid effort from Haren will give San Diego another tough home loss.
2 UNIT PLAYS
Philadelphia -129 over WASHINGTON
The Phillies are 21-6 in Moyers last 27 starts vs. National League East and 40-18 in their last 58 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game, while the Nationals are 4-17 in their last 21 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game and 10-25 in their last 35 games following a loss. At one point this year the Nats were 13-3 with Tim Redding on the mound, but they have since gone just 2-4 in his last 6 starts, with Tim posting a 1-2 mark and a 3.60 ERA in those last 6 starts. Overall Tim is 7-5 with a 3.98 ERA, including a 4-3 mark with a 4.14 ERa at home. Jamie Moyer has had a very nice year for the Phils, as he is 9-6 with a 3.76 ERA overall, including a 5-3 mark with a 2.93 ERA on the road. Jamie is also 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts overall and 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his 7 career starts vs the Nats. Jamie will be taking on a trully pathetic Washington offense that comes in having scored just 3 runs in thier last 5 games and 1.4 rpg in their last 7 overall, plus they average just 3.4 rpg and hit .231 at home on the year. The Phillies offense has been much more productive on the year, as they are averaging 4.9 rpg on the road, 5.1 rpg at night and 5.4 rpg in their last 7 games overall. The Phils have take 3 of 4 Washington at Nationals Park this year and have held them to just 7 total runs in the 4 games and with the way the Nats offense is going right now and the way that Moyer is pitching a see another low scoring output by Washington as the Phils offense puts enough on the board to get the win.
I ALSO LIKE
TEXAS RL (+100) over Seattle
1 UNIT PLAYS
MINNESOTA -102 over Chicago
The White Sox are 4-12 in their last 16 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and 6-20 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, while the Twins are 12-2 in their last 14 vs. American League Central and 10-2 in Hernandezs last 12 home starts. The Twins have really done well vs the Central Division this year, as they are 31-18 vsa division opponents on the year, scoring 5.1 rpg in the process. The Twins have also been on quite a run at home as they are 17-3 mark in their last 29 at home. In those 20 home games the Twins have scored an average of 6.7 rpg, while allowing just 2.7 rpg. Livan Hernandez is 8-1 with a 3.91 ERA at home, with the Twins going 10-2 overall in his home starts. The ChiSox have struggled in domes this year, going just 3-8 and scoring 3 rpg in them on the year, plus they have gone just 3-13 on field turf this year. Gavin Floyd has been solid overall for the Sox, but he comes in with an 0-2 record and a 6.14 ERA in his last 3 starts, and he has a 3-4 record with a 5.29 ERA on the road. Gavin is also 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in 2 career starts at Minnesota. The Twins are rolling right now and they have a chance of regaining their division lead with a win here. They will get it behind another solid home outing from Livan.