Fairway Jay
5* Mariners/Angels Under 8
Bob Balfe
Major League Baseball
Tigers -150 over Bluejays
Savannah Sports
2 Units on CWS -1.5
Jeff Benton
30 Dime: BREWERS -1 1/2
10 Dime: DIAMONDBACKS
KELSO
High Rollers Club
10 unit - Baltimore
10 unit - Oakland
10 unit - 2 team parlay
Best Bets Club
10 unit AL GOW - Angels
3 unit - Marlins
2 unit - Pirates
John Ryan
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
Pick: Money Line: 134 Washington Nationals
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Washington - Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 44-33 making 29.8 units since 2002. Play on home dogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities and with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games. The Mets bullpen is offering up near batting practice pitching while the Nationals have a strong and confident pen right now. Here is a second system that has produced a record of 72-56 making 46.4 units since 2002. Play on home dogs with a money line of +125 to +175 after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games and is a terrible team winning 38% or less of their games on the season. Nationals starter Bergman has had strong success against the Mets. He is 2-1 when starting against NYM with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.054. Washington is in a strong role too to exploit the weak Mets bullpen. They are 39-33 (+19.2 Units) against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. Mets in a weak role noting they are 30-37 (-24.3 Units) against the money line versus NL teams allowing 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take the Nationals.
Larry Ness
Daytime Delight: 66-40 s/Jun 30
Minnesota Twins
Weekly Wipeout Winner: 13-3 run
Detroit Tigers
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider (36-21 run)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Weekly Wipeout Winner
Toronto got swept over the weekend at home by the Indians, getting outscored 13-4. However, the team's bats have awoken here in Detroit, beating the Tigers 7-2 on Monday and rallying (had a four-run 7th) for a 6-4 win last night. The Tigers lost for the NINTH time in their last 12 games, as once again the bullpen fell apart. Detroit's bullpen is 1-5 with a 4.22 ERA since the All-Star break and has converted just THREE of its last 12 save opportunities. Detroit's hoping it will not have to rely on its bullpen tonight and that's very likely. Rookie lefty David Purcey (1-3, 7.40 ERA) makes his sixth start of the season and his fourth since being recalled from the minors on July 25. The numbers speak for themselves. He's allowed 23 hits, 16 walks and 20 ERs over 24.1 innings for a 7.40 ERA. In his two lone road starts, he's allowed eight hits, six walks and 13 ERs in only eight innings for a 14.63 ERA. He'll be facing a Detroit offense which has been wildly inconsistent this year, EXCEPT when facing a left-hander. Detroit dominated lefties in '07 (28-15, averaging 5.9 RPG) and is doing so again in '08, going 23-11 while averaging 5.3 RPG. Detroit also sends a lefty to the mound in veteran Kenny Rogers. Of course, this is not the dominant Kenny Rogers of 2006 (he's 8-9 with a 4.92 ERA this year / Tigers are 11-13 in his starts) but he's 15-9 with a 3.77 ERA in 29 starts and 27 relief appearances against in his career vs Toronto, going 13-9 with a 3.98 ERA as a starter. Rogers should be just fine against this Toronto lineup which is a disappointing 13-20 vs left-handers in '08, including a DISMAL 2-11 mark in road games at night, while averaging just 2.5 RPG. Weekly Wipeout Winner on the Det Tigers.
Tom Freese
10* GAME OF THE WEEK
Houston Astros
Matt Fargo
76.8% Pitching Mismatch of the Week
Houston Astros
Plus10Club
Ethan Law
Pick: SAN DIEGO PADRES
Opposite Action Plays
Pick: KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Sunday Selections
Pick: DETROIT TIGERS
LT Profits
Pick: Mets/Nationals UNDER 8
Mike Rose
Pick: WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Rocketman Sports
Pick: ARIZONA D'BACKS
Alex Smart
Pick: BALTIMORE ORIOLES
BEAT YOUR BOOKIE
100-Boston
50-Milw
50-White Sox
Anton Wins
3 units San Diego +180
Southcoast Sports
Pittsburgh Pirates -158
Pittsburgh's Paul Maholm has been in a groove of late. He has allowed 1 or less runs in 3 of his last 4 starts, while notching 21 strikeouts over his last 3 games. He faced Cincinnati once this season, giving up 2 earned runs over 7 innings of work, but failed to receive a decision because of a lack of run support. He should have no such problems tonight. Josh Fogg toes the rubber for the struggling Reds. Fogg has given up 16 earned runs over his last 3 games, and opposing teams are hitting .311 against him on the season. He has faced the Pirates 3 times over his career, giving up 22 hits and 18 earned runs over 14 innings of work. Paul Maholm is a solid 5-1 in his home starts on the season, and should get win number six tonight.
Take the Pittsburgh Pirates -158 for 3-Units!
Oscarxena Sports
Seattle/LA Angels Under 7 1/2 -1.04 (4 Unit Play)
These two pitchers have been pitching pretty well lately and I think that this game will go under here tonight. Felix Hernandez takes the ball for the Mariners and so far this year on the road he has a 2.47 ERA in 58 1/3 innings of work with a 1.25 WHIP. To show how well he is pitching right now he is 0-1 in his last four starts with a 2.88 ERA and with Seattle playing out the string right now he is showing that he still cares about his personal stats. Hernandez will be opposed on the hill by the Angels Ervin Santana who is looking to tie his teammate Joe Saunders for victories this evening and has had great success against Seattle this year going 2-0 with a 1.72 ERA in two starts against them. Tonight's HP umpire Gerry Davis is a slightly Over umpire at 12-11 but Hernandez has worked one great game with him which went Under and while Santana also has a career appearance with Davis which went Over he has really matured and I think runs will be at a premium here tonight. Under is the play for me.
Cleveland +1.04 (3 Unit Play)
The Indians have been able to hit almost everyone lately and will certainly need to bring their bats to the forum tonight as they take on red hot Jeremy Guthrie and the Orioles to try and take the first three of this four game series. The Indians will hand the ball to Anthony Reyes who was obtained in a trade with the Cardinals on July 26th and he held the Blue Jays in his first start for the Indians to to one run in 6 1/3 innings of a 5-2 win on Friday. Reyes had been throwing very well in the minor leagues before that start and I think his starting on a new team will bring out his good stuff and it certainly helps that the Indians are hot right now. As mentioned the Orioles will have Guthrie on the mound and he has been outstanding lately but I am just worried that the Indians have a lot more momentum right now and the Oriole bullpen is a complete wreck right now. I will take a shot with Cleveland as tonight's HP umpire Mike Estabrook has a wide strike zone which should benefit both pitchers but has went 11-6 so far this year for the home team.
Washington +1.27 (3 Unit Play)
My last play today will be on the Nationals who I know are struggling but have some decent numbers against the Mets in this game tonight. The Mets will have John Maine back from the DL but he has been rumored to be sent into the closer's role but the Mets are deciding to start him here tonight. Maine has struggled to go deep into games all year and with coming off the DL I am sure the Mets will be careful with him which brings into play their horrible bullpen. The Nationals are countering today with Jason Bergmann who is off a great game in Colorado and has been pitching fairly well all year but just does not seem to have any luck. Bergmann has excelled against the Mets going 2-1 with a 2.55 ERA against them in four career starts. I think that Washington is a nice live dog at home tonight and I will take a shot with them here today.
ROOT
Chairman- Indians
Millionaire- DBacks
Insiders Circle- Marlins
NICK PARSONS
DIVISIONAL GOY (17-3 RUN!) DBL GUARANTEE
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies
Prediction: Colorado Rockies
Yes, with last night’s 4-2 win the Diamondbacks have now won four straight over the Rockies. However, the key to a Colorado victory tonight is the pitching match-up. Jeff Francis of the Rockies should hold the upper hand, in a big way, over Doug Davis of the Diamondbacks! Overall, Arizona’s win yesterday was their second straight but let’s not forget that they had previously lost four straight games! The Diamondbacks are now 9-1 against the Rockies this season and this includes a perfect 4-0 at Coors Field. However, removing that from the records note that the Dbacks are 24-32 in all their other road games this season and Colorado is 33-24 in all their other home games this season. As you can see, the Diamondbacks success at Coors Field is a bit of a fluke and we don’t foresee it continuing tonight! Francis has struggled against Arizona this season in his three starts against them. However, last season the Rockies southpaw excelled against the Diamondbacks with a 2.84 ERA in his three starts against them. Francis did struggle in his most recent start, which came against Washington, but that was his first outing after a five week stint on the disabled list. He will be much stronger in his second start since coming off of the DL. That is often how it works for most pitchers and we expect the case with Francis to be no different! Note that Francis certainly should be the beneficiary of plenty of run support today as he’s opposed by Davis of the Dbacks! The Arizona southpaw has been struggling badly and is unlikely to fare well in this spot! Davis has lasted a total of just six innings in his two August starts and he’s been pounded for 12 runs and 15 hits in those two short outings! Davis is 2-3 with a 3.00 ERA in his career against the Rockies but the low ERA is certainly deceiving! Davis has a 1.73 WHIP against Colorado and the Rockies have hit .322 against him in his career so you can see that the damage certainly could have been much worse for Davis against Colorado. Davis stats versus Colorado were also impacted by an outing at Coors Field where he allowed three runs (but none were earned) in five innings of work. He walked five and allowed eight hits in that start (his only career appearance at Coors Field) and he easily could have given up a lot more damage in that poor effort at Coors. We look for another rough outing from Davis on Wednesday night in Colorado. That’s why this one, behind a strong start from Francis, will be all Rockies!