Scott Ferrall
BASEBALL LOCKS FOR WEDNESDAY
FAVORITES IN BOLD
Houston +150 at Milwaukee--Wandy Rodriguez over Parra
Philly -260 over the Nationals--I can't bet on the Nationals, even though they are facing Mayers
Pelfrey -160 and the Mets over the Braves and Jurrjens
Cubs -230 and Lilly over the Reds and Arroyo
Wellemeyer -210 and the Cards over the Pirates at Busch 2
Millwood and Texas -125 over the Tigers and Nate Robertson
Garza and the Rays -130 over the Angels at the Trop
Pettitte -145 and the Yanks in Toronto over the Jays
Baltimore +105 in an upset over the Red Sox--Buchholz struggles every time out these days
BASEBALL OVER-UNDERS FOR WEDNESDAY
TEX-DET OVER 11.5
ANGELS-RAYS OVER 8.5
NY-TOR UNDER 9.5
BOS-BALT OVER 11
KC-CLEV OVER 9
SEATT-CHISOX OVER 10
OAK-MINN OVER 7.5
FLA-SF UNDER 7.5
COLO-LA DODG OVER 7
SD-ARIZ UNDER 7
PITT-CARDS OVER 9
ATL-NY METS UNDER 8.5
WASH-PHIL OVER 9
HOUS-MILW UNDER 9
BASEBALL FREE B's FOR WEDNESDAY
KC -110 with Gil Meche actually winning a game for once over the Tribe in Cleveland
White Sox -215 over Seattle and RA Dickey, who can't get anybody out and throws lots of wild pitches because he's a sloppy knuckleballer
Twins -260 over the A's at the Homerdone--Liriano over Braden
SF and Matt Cain -115 over Olsen and the Marlins in the Bay
Colorado +165 and Francis over Billingsley and the Dodgers at Chavez Revine
SD +145 and the Padres over Arizona as Jake Peavy comes through again and tops Dan Haren in a good one in the desert
GATOR
70% Super Situation
Play Against MLB home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 in a game involving two teams with a win percentage between 38% to 46%, in August games 34-12 SU (73.9%) last five seasons.
PLAY: Kansas City -110
Top Angle
Buchholz (Boston) is 0-6 SU as a road favorite of -110 or more the last two seasons.
Doc's Sports
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona D-Backs
Play:San Diego Padres +1½
A match-up of aces takes place in the middle game of this series between the Padres and Diamondbacks. It is hard to imagine Jake Peavy this big of an underdog and thus we will side with the pointspread creating great value. Peavy has a better E.R.A. this Haren and has allowed just six runs in his last four starts. In three of them he has allowed just one earned run. He is coming off a victory against the Brewers and they are a much better line-up then what he will see from Arizona on Wednesday. Dan Haren will keep this score low put the Fathers take this one down to the wire and we collect with whomever comes out on top by a run. Doc’s Sports has a hot card going on Wednesday and would like you aboard for the winning ride.
Nelly
New York – over Toronto
Toronto has not hit left-handed pitching well this season with a 13-19 record against southpaw starters and a .231 team batting average in home games. The Jays put together back-to-back successful series with wins against Detroit and Boston but the Yankees have had great success in this series. Andy Pettitte has been an excellent road pitcher this season with a 7-4 record and a solid ERA and he pitched well in a loss against Toronto earlier this season. David Purcey has been hit hard in short major league career with a 5.93 ERA and walks have been a big problem. A patient lineup like the Yankees can eat up pitchers with suspect control and Purcey has allowed 19 walks in just 30 innings. The Yankees struggled on the last road trip but the travel was extremely difficult going from Texas to Los Angeles to Minnesota. This will be a much easier trip and a familiar environment and the Yankees should dominate tonight.
Jimmy The Moose
Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Kansas City Royals
The Royals are 7-2 in their last games vs. a team with a losing record. Kansas City is 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. In their last 18 games overall vs. a lefty the Royals are a profitble 13-5. The Royals have won Meche's last 12 starts. KC is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. The Indians are 11-26 in their last 37 games vs. NL Central opponents. Cleveland is sending Zach Jackson to the mound and in his first start ge went 5 innings giving up 8 hites and 3 ER's. Look for the Royals to get to him tonight. Play on the Kansas City Royals -.
Chris Jordan
Oakland at MINNESOTA
Francisco Liriano has been dynamite since returning to the rotation, and has been especially sharp this month. In facing three American League weaklings, the southpaw has given up just three earned runs over three starts, spanning 19 innings, versus the Mariners, Royals and Indians.
Now he gets a weary Athletics team that has been virtually terminal since the All-Star Break. Minnesota has won five of Liriano’s last six starts against losing teams, so we’ll lay the run line and cheap chalk that comes with it in this matinee blowout in the Homer Domer.
1♦ TWINS RUN LINE
Ross Benjamin
Boston @ Baltimore
Pick: Baltimore +105
The Boston starter Buchholz has been a money burner in his starts on the road. Buchholz is 1-8 in his team starts on the road this season with a very lofty 8.18 ERA and 1.91 WHIP. Buchholz is 0-3 in his last 3-team starts with a terrible 8.22 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. The Orioles are 21-11 in night games at home this season versus a right-handed starting pitcher. The Orioles bats were red-hot until being cooled off last night by the Sox starter Matsuzaka. However in the previous 10 games they were hitting .332 as a team and scored 79 runs. Look for those bats to sizzle again versus a struggling starting pitcher. Play on the Baltimore Orioles.
PlusLineSports
Oakland vs Minnesota
Minnesota -1.5
Big Al
At 7:05pm our complimentary selection is on the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays 'under' the total. Two lefties will go to the mound in this Wednesday night divisional matchup. One is a well-known veteran in Andy Pettitte while the other is a virtual unknown in 26-year-old rookie David Purcey. Purcey really hasn't pitched that well for Toronto, but he saved his rotation spot with his last start, by far his best of the season (and of his short Major League career) as he threw six shutout innings while limiting a strong Detroit Tiger lineup to only two hits in Detroit. The Yankees have certainly had their share of problems this season, and one of the many issues has been their trouble hitting lefthanders. They are barely batting .260 against southpaws so far and that, combined with their many injuries is keeping them from contention as we head into the last month of the regular season. With last night's 2-1 pitchers' duel at Rogers Centre, five of the last six games played here between these two squads have gone a total of five runs or fewer. The under is also 14-3 in Toronto's last 17 home games and 15-5-1 in their last 21 overall as well as 11-3 in Pettitte's last 14 road starts. Pettitte has faced Toronto five times since coming back to New York at the beginning of 2007, and only one of those games has gone over five runs, and even that one last August, was only nine runs total. Take the 'under'.
Jim Feist
COL Rockies and LA Dodgers
Take Over
Colorado is playing better, winning 9 of their last 13 road games. And they've been doing it with offense, scoring 24 runs in a 3-game sweep at Washington, a tough hitter's park. LA is 8-5 over the total the last 13 games, with a vastly improved offense with newcomers Casey Blake and Manny Ramirez. They will score off Colorado lefty Jeff Francis, who is 3-8 with a 5.74 ERA. His last 3 starts he has a 6.23 ERA. The Rockies' offense has lit up LA starter Chad Billingsley, who has an 0-2 record and a 6.46 ERA against Colorado. These teams are 5-3 over the total when they've met this season. Play the Rockies/Dodgers over the total.
Dave Cokin
HOU Astros and MIL Brewers
Take MIL Brewers
The Brewers need to get right back on track after Tuesday's upset loss at the hands of the Astros. That shouldn't be a problem. Wandy Rodriguez continues to rack up high pitch counts early, and the Astros lefty can't get past the middle innings. It sure doesn't hurt that the Brewers can be pretty rude to visiting lefties, and I like Manny Parra to have a strong game here. I'll spot the odds with Milwaukee.
JEFFERSONSPORTS
MLB EARLY RELEASE
LA DODGERS -184
MINNESOTA -1.5 -120 (play small)
Nostradamus
Parlay (Milw/St Louis) 100/134
Baltimore +115
Texas -120
San Francisco -115
Alex Smart
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles Over 11.0
The Boston Red Sox starting pitcher today against the Baltimore Orioles ,Clay Bucholz (2-8, 6.35 ERA) will make his first start since August 10 . In his last outing the big Texan went just 3 innings , allowing 3 Hrs in an eventual 6-5 loss to the White Sox. This kid has been a real train wreck this season, and I don't think the extended rest will help him. In my humble opinion he should really be down in the minors honing his skills. The 24 year old right hander during a current nine game run ( eight starts) has garnered a 0-6 record along with a ugly looking 8.62 ERA. I think the BoSox coaching staff, has allowed him to go this far, because of the no hitter he pitched in his first major league start last season ,against todays opponent the Baltimore Orioles. That was than and this now, and considering his current form, Im expecting the Os explosive offense to unload on him in this spot, much like they did back on July 11, when they compiled 5 hits, four runs and five walks i n 5 innings for a 7-3 win. Meanwhile, the Orioles will return fire, with a struggling hurler of their own, southpaw Chris Waters (1-0, 4.32 ERA). The Florida native also started out with a great effort in his mlb debut, shutting out a potent Angels lineup, but since than has not faired so well, failing to get past the fifth inning in his last two starts. The 5th round pick has allowed 15 hits and eight runs in his last 8 2/3 innings of work, and here today against a Boston offense that has averaged 7.2 RPG in their L/10 games I expect his problems will continue.
I know the linesmakers have attached a fairly high number to this tilt, but rightly so, as two efficient offenses, tee off on two very hittable throwers and bullpens here in the launching pad known as Camden Canaveral. Look for an expect a big time slug fest here this evening.
Final notes & Key Trends; Bucholz owns a 8.18 ERA in 9 road outings this season. Over is 5-1 in Buchholzs last 6 road starts . Waters in his one home appearance has garnered a 13.50 ERA. Over is 44-18-4 in Orioles last 66 overall . Over is 10-1 in umpire Alfonso Marquezs last 11 apperances behind home plate. Play OVER
SAPKOWSKI
Best Bet
Minnesota over 3.5 in 1st 5IN