Ted Sevransky
3* Yankees vs Rays UNDER 9.5
LT Profits
2* Cardinals vs DbacksOVER 9.0
2* Action Oakland Athletics -105
FairWay Jay
4* New York Yankees +100
Oscarxena Sports
Houston/Chicago Cubs Under 7 1/2 -1.14 (3 Unit Play)
The wind is blowing directly in from CF at 14 MPH and it should be a rainy and colder night this evening at Wrigley Field. The Cubs are on a four game losing streak and will turn to Ryan Dempster to turn their fortunes around and he has a very good chance of achieving a win tonight as he has a 2.84 ERA at home this year and a 1.23 WHIP but in his last 10 starts against the Astros he has went Under the posted total 6 times with a push and it should be hard to generate much offense tonight. The Astros will have Randy Wolf on the mound and although he has not been pitching well the wind blowing in will really help him as well and in his last 10 starts against the Cubs has went Under 5 times with 2 pushes. HP umpire Jim Reynolds has been an Over umpire so far this year but the wind supersedes that in my opinion and in four career starts with Reynolds Wolf has went Under 3 out of 4 times while Dempster is 1-0-1 Under in his two career starts with Reynolds. The Astros have went Under the total 6 times with a push in their past 10 games with Reynolds while the Cubs are 4-4-2 on the total over the same period. When the wind is blowing in like this at Wrigley you are better off taking the Under any time and as long as the pitchers do not walk a lot of batters this should cash easily.
BOB BALFE
Major League Baseball
Royals -110 over A's
Plus10Club
Opposite Action Plays
Pick: TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Sunday Selections
Pick: KANSAS CITY ROYALS
LT Profits
Pick: OAKLAND A's
Mike Lineback
Pick: Parlay: Phillies / Cubs
Mike Rose
Pick: Padres / Dodgers OVER 8
Black Widow Sports
1* on Toronto Blue Jays -141
The Minnesota Twins are just 9-24 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Jays are now 20-4 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. The Jays behind A.J. Burnett will shut down a Twins’ team that lacks power again tonight. Burnett is 10-2 as a starter when pitching at home this season. Toronto has now won 6 of their last 7 home meetings with the Twins. Take the Blue Jays on the Money Line
Info Plays
3* on Houston Astros +210
We’ll Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (HOUSTON) - after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, with a winning record on the season. This is an 80-76 ML System that has gained 100/unit clients 57.9 Units over the last 5 seasons. The Astros are a legit team and should not be this big of a dog Wednesday. Houston has now won 7 straight games entering tonight’s match-up with the Cubs. The Cubs are just 4-10 in Ryan Dempster’s 14 career starts against the Astros. Bet Houston on the road.
Root
Chairman- A's
Millionaire- Tigers
Billionaire- Rays
Larry Ness
Oddsmaker's Error-MLB (won 12 of L17 MLB weeks!)
My Oddsmaker's Error is on the TB rays at 7:05 ET. The Rays have made a HUGE turnaround this year, as with less than a month to go in the '08 season, the team which has finished last in its division in NINE of its first 10 seasons, leads the AL East with an 84-52 record. The Rays lead the defending champs (Red Sox) by four games and are up by 11 games over the Yankees, who have been to 13 consecutive postseasons. No pitcher on this team, which ranks second in all of MLB with an ERA of 3.67, has made a bigger turnaround than Edwin Jackson. Jackson was a bust in LA (with both the Angels and Dodgers) and last year went 5-15 with a 5.76 ERA for the Rays. Tampa went 8-23 (minus-$1,101) in his starts, ranking him in the top-10 (or bottom-10, if you will?) as one of MLB's biggest "money-burners." However, Jackson takes an 11-8 (3.81 ERA) mark into this game, as the Rays are 15-11 (plus-$467) in his 26 starts in '08. He's 6-1 over his last seven starts, posting a 2.79 ERA. He'll be opposed by Carl Pavano, who has made a spectacular return to the Yankee's rotation. Pavano made his first start this year on August 23 at Baltimore, which was only his fourth start since July of 2005. He's 2-0 with 3.27 ERA after a win last Friday over the Blue Jays and hopes to continue his surprising effectiveness tonight. However, let's note that the Yankees are hitting just .274 this year (led MLB last year at .290) and are averaging only 4.9 RPG (led MLB last year at 6.0 per). They are a mediocre 17-14 in night road games vs right-handers in '08, averaging just over four runs per game. Meanwhile, the Rays are 52-20 at home, making more money (plus-$2,267) than any team in MLB in their home park. Tampa is 37-12 at home vs right-handed starters and I just don't believe Pavano "can keep it up!" What a bargain of a price on the Rays at home! Oddsmaker's Error on the TB Rays.
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-MLB (46-27 w/MLB Insiders since May 26)
My Las Vegas Insider is on the Tor Blue jays at 7:05 ET. Are the Twins starting feel some real fatigue from their 14-game road trip (began back on August 21)? Minnesota led 5-1 last night in Toronto after four innings, but Toronto came back to win 7-5. The loss dropped the Twins to 5-7 on their road trip, with the seven losses coming by a combined total of just 11 runs. The team's bullpen (like last night), has been responsible for five of those losses. The Blue Jays are going nowhere in the top-heavy AL East with their 71-66 record but they are 38-29 here at home and have now beaten the Twins in all four 2008 meetings, as well as owning SEVEN straight wins over the Twins, going back into last year. While the Twins are a dominating 46-23 at home in '08, the team is a less than spectacular 31-38 on the road, allowing opponents to average 5.26 RPG. I felt the Twins had a solid starting pitcher edge last night (Perkins over Purcey) and I was sure right about Purcey, who allowed seven hits and five ERs in just three innings. However, Perkins tired and then Bonser (what kind of a name is Boof?) allowed a two-run HR. Tonight, the pitching matchup clearly favors Toronto and I'm willing to admit that the Twins may have trouble winning ANY of these games vs Toronto. Rookie Nick Blackburn is 0-2 with a 4.70 ERA over his last four outings, with the Twins dropping all four games. He's 9-8 with a 3.75 ERA on the year but he's really had much more success at home. The Twins are 8-4 in his starts in the Metrodome (2.95 ERA) but just 5-10 in his road starts, where his ERA is 4.47. As for Burnett, he already owns a single-season high in wins, at 16-10 (4.48 ERA). Burnett's season turned around on the Sunday before the All Star break, He was asked to start on three days rest for the only time in his career on July 13 and beat the Yankees that day, 4-1. He went 8.1 innings, allowing six hits, one ER and struck out eight. That jump-started an eight-start stretch in which he went 7-1 with a 2.64 ERA. He did not pitch very well at home vs Boston on Aug 24 (got a no decision in a 6-5 loss) but had an excellent start in his last outing, going eight innings while allowing seven hits and two ERs in a 2-1 loss at Yankee Stadium last Friday. Las Vegas Insider on the Tor Blue Jays.
KELSO
Best Bets Club
10 units Phillies
4 units Angels
3 units Reds RL
SCOTT SPREITZER
AL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK!
I'm laying the price with the Rays and Jackson over the Yankees and Pavano. Tampa's win streak was broken last night, but they're right back at it with Yankee-killer Edwin Jackson on Wednesday. The righthander has faced the Yanks on four occasions this season alone, allowing only seven earned runs and 29 base runners in 24 1/3 innings pitched. That's a strong 2.59 ERA, and 1.19 WHIP, to go along with a .222 BAA! He'll face a Yankee lineup that averages just over four runs per game in road night games against righthanders. New York counters with Carl Pavano who will make his third start of the season. The veteran righty pitched well at home last time out, but was mediocre in his one road start on August 23. The Rays are used to winning in home night games against righthanders, now 30-9 on the season. They faced the ultra-tough Mike Mussina last night. On Wednesday, the competition drops a notch and Tampa Bay will be up to the task. The Rays are my AL Game of the Week.
Master Sports
4* LA Angels
Vegas-Runner
OAK (-105) vs KAN 2* ML WAGER
PHI (-150) vs WAS 2* ML WAGER
TOR (-144)vs MIN 2* ML WAGER
DET (-115) vs ANA MLB 3* BEST BET of the DAY