Sports Advisors
Chicago Cubs (86-58) at St. Louis (78-66)
Ted Lilly (13-9, 4.43 ERA) will try to bounce back from a bad outing when he leads the struggling Cubs against the Cardinals and Braden Looper (12-11, 4.09) as this three-game series between division rivals continues at Busch Stadium.
Chicago blew yet another lead on Tuesday, going up 3-0 early on only to give up four unanswered runs in a 4-3 loss, the team’s eighth setback in its last nine games. Despite that result, the Cubs are still 14-4 in their last 18 road games and 9-2 in their last 11 on Wednesdays, and they lead the N.L. Central by 4½ games over Milwaukee.
St. Louis has followed up a 1-6 slump with three straight victories. The Redbirds are 9-5 in their last 14 games at Busch Stadium, but on the downside, they’re mired in skids of 2-4 against division rivals, 1-4 against lefty starters and 3-14 when Looper faces a winning team.
The Cubs are 15-8 in the last 23 series meetings in this rivalry, but the clubs have split the 10 meetings so far this year.
Lilly got rocked for five runs on four hits and three walks in just two innings on Friday at Cincinnati, losing 10-2. Prior to that outing, the southpaw had pitched at least six innings in nine consecutive starts, giving up three earned runs or fewer in eight of those outings. Lilly has yielded 12 earned runs in his last three road starts totaling 14 innings (7.71 ERA), bringing his season-long road stats to 7-4 with a 4.42 ERA.
Looper bounced back from a horrific outing at Houston (eight runs, 11 hits allowed in 4 1/3 innings of an 8-5 loss) with Friday’s dominating home effort at Florida, as he scattered four hits and no walks in 7 1/3 scoreless innings for his seventh quality start in his last eight trips to the mound. Yet he wasn’t involved in the decision, as the Redbirds lost 4-1, dropping to 2-5 in Looper’s last seven starts overall and 4-10 in his last 14 home efforts. For the season, the right-hander is 5-7 despite a solid 3.86 ERA at Busch Stadium.
Lilly is 4-2 with a 2.98 ERA in nine career starts against St. Louis, including 1-0 with a 3.10 ERA in three outings this season, two of which Chicago has won. Meanwhile, Looper has faced the Cubs 34 times in his career (six starts), going 3-4 with a 2.40 ERA and four saves. In his six starts over the last two years against the Cubs, Looper has pitched seven innings five times and six innings once, while yielded one or two runs in every single contest and posting a 1.98 ERA. Still, the Redbirds are 0-4 in Looper’s last four starts against Chicago (0-3 this year).
The under is 11-5 in Looper’s 16 home starts and 5-1 in his six starts against the Cubs since the start of last season, but the over is 11-5 when Lilly works on the highway and 4-2 in his last six against St. Louis. Also, the under is on runs of 5-0 for the Cardinals overall, 5-1-1 for the Cardinals at home and 7-2-1 when these teams face off in St. Louis. Conversely, Chicago sports over streaks of 16-6 on the road and 20-7 on the road against right-handed starters.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Tampa Bay (86-57) at Boston (85-59)
The Rays, who got a much-needed come-from-behind victory at Fenway Park last night, send Andy Sonnanstine (13-7, 4.66) to the mound opposite Boston ace Josh Beckett (12-9, 4.20) in the finale of a crucial three-game set between the top teams in the A.L. East.
Tampa Bay scored twice in the top of the ninth inning Tuesday to steal a 5-4 victory, snap a five-game road losing streak and move back to 1½ games ahead of Boston in the division race. The Rays have still dropped six of their last eight overall, five of seven against A.L. East rivals and they’re 1-5 in Sonnanstine’s last six starts as a visitor.
Despite Tuesday’s results, the Red Sox are still on runs of 6-2 overall, 56-21 at home, 7-2 against the A.L. East and 5-0 versus right-handed starters.
The season series is once again knotted up at 7-7, and last night’s win by Tampa Bay snapped a 13-0 run by the home team in this rivalry this season and also halted the Rays’ nine-game skid at Fenway dating to last season. The Red Sox are still on runs of 99-46 against Tampa overall and 46-10 against Tampa at home.
Sonnanstine has made four straight trips to the bump without a quality start, allowing 16 earned runs in 21 innings during this stretch (6.86 ERA). Still, the Rays are 18-10 this year when the right-hander pitches, including 8-6 on the road, where Sonnanstine sports a 4.47 ERA. Sonnanstine has missed the Red Sox all season, but he did face them four times as a rookie in 2007, going 1-1 with a bloated 8.85 ERA.
Beckett returned from a three-week stint on the disabled list and dominated the Rangers on Friday, giving up just four hits and no walks while whiffing seven over five scoreless innings en route to an 8-1 victory. The veteran right-hander, however, got bombed in his last two home starts against the Blue Jay sand Angels, yielding 15 runs and 19 hits in 7 2/3 combined innings, making him 5-4 with a 6.02 ERA in 10 starts this year at Fenway Park.
Beckett has faced Tampa Bay five times over the last two seasons, going 4-1 with a 2.73 ERA, including 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA in three outings in 2008.
For Tampa Bay, the over is on runs of 9-2 against the A.L. East, 9-2 overall, 6-3 on the highway, 4-0 behind Sonnanstine overall and 4-0 in Sonnanstine’s four career starts against Boston. For the Sox, the under is on runs of 8-3-1 overall and 5-2-1 at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
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Chris Jordan
Kansas City +210 at MINNESOTA
Tonight we play another huge underdog, as we're taking the Royals in Minnesota.
We're also listing both Kyle Davies and Kevin Slowey in this pitching rematch from Aug. 8, when the Twins and Slowey took the win. But the fact is Davies hasn't given up more than three earned runs in his last three starts against this team, and has battled on the road all season. He pitches well enough to win, or at least good enough to put the Royals in a position to win.
Slowey allowed three runs and 10 hits over 5-2/3 innings of a 9-0 loss at Toronto on Thursday, and he comes in with his team mired in a 2-5 skid and a 2-7 slide against right-handers.
The Twins have also lost five straight after a win, meaning they haven't even been able to string together consecutive victories in a while. Take the money here.
1♦ ROYALS
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Bobby Maxwell
L.A. Dodgers at SAN DIEGO +160
Today we've got another one on the diamond as we play the Padres to get a win at home over the Dodgers.
The Padres have made things kind of tough on the Dodgers the last couple nights, breaking the Dodgers' eight-game winning streak on Monday and then leading until the eighth inning Tuesday before they rallied for a vicotry.
Tonight San Diego has veteran lefty Shawn Estes (2-1, 2.97 ERA) going to the hill against the Dodgers' Derek Lowe (12-11, 3.53). Estes is making just his second start after coming off the DL. He pitched on Thursday and held the Brewers to one run in six innings of a 5-2 San Diego victory.
Estes has battled through injuries the past three seasons, starting just six games since September 2005.
Lowe is just 3-6 on the road this season with a 5.06 ERA, but he has pitched well lately, going 2-1 in his last three starts with a 0.82 ERA. He's faced Arizona both his last two starts and didn't allow a run in 14 innings of work.
The Padres are 16-8 in their last 24 against the Dodgers at Petco Park in San Diego. They always seem to get up for Los Angeles in San Diego. Play the plus-money Padres in this one.
3♦ SAN DIEGO
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Marc Lawrence
Play On: Florida w/Nolasco vs Myers
Marlins wrap up a three-game visit to Philadelphia this afternoon when they send Ricky Nolasco to the mound against Brett Myers. Nolasco remains in terrific KW form with 4 walks and 63 strikeouts in his last 8 starts (6-2 in those games). More importantly, he's also in commanding KW form on the road with 6 walks and 57 strikeouts in his last 8 road outings (7-1 in those starts). With Myers just 6-14 in his 20 career team starts against the Fish, we'll back Nolasco and the Marlins here today.
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Jimmy The Moose
Florida Marlins at Philadelphia
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies
The Marlins won last night but have still lost 3 of their last 4 games. The Marlins are 7-18 in their last 25 games vs. a right-handed starter. Florida is 2-4 in their last 6 road games and in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Philadelphia has won 6 of their last 8 home games. Philadelphia has won Meyer's last 4 starts. Over his last 3 starts his ERA is 0.82. Florida is 8-16 in the last 24 meetings between the clubs. Both starting pitchers have been very good of late but give the nod in this one to the home team. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies -.
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Matt Fargo
Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Seattle Mariners
Seattle dropped the first game of this series last night with a rare rough outing from Felix Hernandez and while the season has been long gone, it has not thrown any towel in as it is now on a 9-5 run over the last 15 games. The offense has been hitting the ball better with a .277 average over the last 10 days but it has been the pitching that has made the difference as it has allowed four runs or fewer in nine of those 15 games. Over the last 10 games, the ERA is at 3.84.
Even with the win last night, the Rangers are 11-20 over their last 31 games and a possible playoff push has turned into another losing season. While the pitching was the problem early on in this stretch, the hitting has been the problem of late as Texas has scored four runs or fewer in eight of its last 13 games. Not to worry as the pitching is still bad as Texas has a 5.01 ERA over its last 10 games, pushing the season ERA to 5.31 on the season, which is worst in baseball.
Kevin Millwood is as inconsistent as they come. He started the season strong, faded badly, came back with some good efforts and is now coming off a horrible effort last time out. He allowed seven runs in six innings in a loss to the Red Sox as his September has started off the same way August did. He did rebound after his first poor start last month but he faces a team he has struggled against the last tow years. In his last seven starts against Seattle, he has a 5.36 ERA with Texas going 2-5.
The Mariners will go with a bullpen by committee on Wednesday as Brandon Morrow will be given an extra day of rest after shutting down the Yankees last time out. Cesar Jimenez will get the start and likely go four innings maximum before giving way to Randy Messenger, Mark Lowe, Sean Green, Jake Woods, Jared Wells and R.A. Dickey to finish up. It is far from a concern considering that the Mariners have a 3.97 bullpen ERA on the year, 12th best in baseball, including 3.31 at home. Play Seattle Mariners 1.5 Units
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Tony Stevens
Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers
Play: Detroit Tigers -1.5
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Scott Ferrall
HALLADAY -130 at White Sox--JAYS are smoking right now
Minnesota -240 and Slowey over the Royals in the Twin Cities
Detroit -230 and Galarraga over the A's
Angels -105 over the Yankees--Pettitte is toast and isn't winning these days
Texas EVEN ODDS over Mariners at Seattle with Millwood on the hill
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Frank Jordan
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers came back strong on Tuesday scoring two in the 8th and 3 in the 9th on their way to a 6-2 win at San Diego. Derek Lowe is pitching well of late with a 4-1 record over his last 6 starts and is 1-0 in two starts against San Diego with an era of 1.29. Look for the Dodgers to have an easier win on Wednesday with Lowe on the hill. Play LA Dodgers
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PlusLineSports
Detroit -1.5
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JEFFERSONSPORTS
MLB EARLY RELEASE
ATLANTA -150
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Brandon Lang
10 Dime Cardinals
FREE - Dodgers Run Line
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Dave Cokin
FLA Marlins @ PHI Phillies
Take FLA Marlins
Brett Myers has been great for the Phillies and he's actually the single biggest reason this team is still in the playoff hunt. Without the exceptional stretch Myers has put together since going back into the rotation following a trip to AAA, I'm pretty sure they'd be out of it by now. But Ricky Nolasco has been equally brilliant for the Marlins, and he's established himself as the top gun in the Florida rotation. The game means more to Philly and fading Myers is definitely not an easy thing to do. But I can't resist taking odds this substantial.
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Jim Feist
COL Rockies @ ATL Braves
Take Over
Have to wonder how much more Livan Hernandez has in the tank. The 6-foot-2 right hander has not had a good season, now sitting at 11-11 but sporting a 6.16 era. The Rockies picked up the 33 year old pitcher off waivers from Minnesota, but the change of scenery hasn't resulted in a change of fortune. Since arriving in Colorado, Hernandez is just 2-3 and has allowed 27 earned runs in just 23 innings. Both lefties and righties are hitting well over .300 against Hernandez. We don't really even care who the Rockies face in this spot because we just want to take the over here with Hernandez on the mound. He's going to give up runs, that's a given, and Colorado will get it's share against the rookie for Atlanta. Take the over and enjoy the show!
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Scott Spreitzer
Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves
I'm laying the price with the Braves on Wednesday. Livan Hernandez has been Atlanta's personal "Slump-Buster" over the years. He's made 24 career appearances against the Braves, including 23 starts. The veteran righty is 3-15 in those outings, with a hefty 5.44 ERA! Making matters worse, or better for us, is the way Hernandez has struggled on the road. He's made 12 away starts this season and has been knocked all over the field for a 6.98 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, and unbelievable, .366 BAA! The Rockies have not fared well in road night games against righties and won't here either. I'm laying it with Atlanta on Wednesday.
Play on: Atlanta
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Ross Benjamin
Pittsburgh @ Houston
Play On: Over 9.5
The Pirates have gone under the total in just 25 of their 73 road games this season. In 10 starts on the road this season the Pittsburgh starter Tom Gorzellany has posted a horrific 9.33 ERA. Gorzellany has seen just 2 of his last 18 starts on the road go under the total. The Pittsburgh bullpen won’t be much help considering their cumulative 7.53 ERA in the last 10 games. The Houston starter Moehler has posted a very lofty 9.72 ERA in 2 starts versus the Pirates this season. Only 1 of the last 7 games at Houston between these two clubs has gone under the total. Play over the total.
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Scott Delaney
Brett Myers is red hot right now, and we'll take hime tonight against the Fish. The veteran right-hander has won six of nine decisions over 11 home starts, and has a 2.77 ERA to go along with it.
Things are tightening up in the NL East, and Philly needs wins right now.
Look for the bats to come alive against right-hander Ricky Nolasco, who will leave one too many up in the zone tonight, and will struggle once the Phillies rattle him in the early innings.
2 DIME PHILLIES
JOHN FINA
Seattle Mariners -130
ARMVIN SPORTS
CHICAGO CUBS -103
Templer's Sports Picks
Arizona
Online Sports Winners
NY Mets
TONY MATHEWS
Rockies +135
JAMES PATRICK
RANGERS
Insider Sports Report
Florida/Philadelphia UNDER 9
JOE WIZ
Philadelphia -165
SOUTHSIDE SPORTS
MARLINS
MIKE WYNN
Minnesota -230
PLATINUM PLAYS
ROCKIES + 135
TOTALS 4 U
NATIONALS/METS UNDER
BIG TIME SPORTS
DODGERS/PADRES UNDER
#1 SPORTS
RAYS + 170
NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER
BALTIMORE
DARK HORSE
Atlanta -150
ARTHUR RALPH
STL CARDS
CAPPERS ACCESS
Tigers -1.5
Cubs
MIGHTY QUINN
Phillies
Jack Clayton
Dbacks
Bob Donahue
Mets
Glen Mcgrew
Astros
Investment Playmakers
Arizona
JerseySteveWins
Toronto
Charlies Sports
St. Louis Cardinals
DUNKEL
Kansas City at Minnesota
The Royals look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that has dropped five of its last seven and build on their 3-2 mark as a road underdog between +200 and +225. Kansas City is the underdog pick (+205) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+205). Here are all of today's games
WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 10
Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.775; Milwaukee (Sabathia) 14.141
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-285); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+245); Under
Game 903-904: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 13.799; San Francisco (Hennessey) 13.936
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+150); Under
Game 905-906: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.735; Philadelphia (Myers) 14.607
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+150); Under
Game 907-908: Washington at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Perez) 14.614; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 16.375
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-260); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-260); Over
Game 909-910: Colorado at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hernandez) 14.444; Atlanta (Parr) 13.563
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+145); Over
Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Gorzelanny) 13.791; Houston (Moehler) 16.253
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Houston (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-185); Over
Game 913-914: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Lilly) 15.867; St. Louis (Looper) 14.689
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); Under
Game 915-916: LA Dodgers at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lowe) 16.085; San Diego 16.572
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+175); Under
Game 917-918: Oakland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gallagher) 15.520; Detroit (Galarraga) 14.766
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+190); Under
Game 919-920: NY Yankees at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.420; LA Angels (Moseley) 15.943
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+105); Under
Game 921-922: Texas at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 16.359; Seattle (Jimenez) 15.542
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 16.216; Boston (Beckett) 17.714
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-215); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-215); Over
Game 925-926: Cleveland at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lewis) 14.303; Baltimore (Waters) 14.811
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 11
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+105); Under
Game 927-928: Kansas City at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 15.070; Minnesota (Slowey) 14.097
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-225); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+205); Under
Game 929-930: Toronto at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 16.530; White Sox (Buehrle) 16.887
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+125); Over
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Vegas Experts
Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals
Look for the Cubs to gain a measure of revenge for last night's loss in the series opener as St. Louis starter Braden Looper has a TSR of 3-9 at home in night games. Also, the Cardinals are averaging just 4.0 runs per game against lefties this season, so it should be rough going against Ted Lilly, who has allowed three runs or less in all three starts vs. St. Louis this season.
Play on: Chicago Cubs
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JB's Computer Picks
New York Mets -235
Minnesota Twins -230 * * *
Toronto Blue Jays -135
Best Bet ***
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LT Profits
Tampa Bay Rays +180
The Tampa Bay Rays recorded the biggest win in the history of their franchise in dramatic fashion last night, and we look for them to ride that momentum to a second straight upset of the Boston Red Sox tonight.
The Rays scored two runs in the ninth inning off of Jonathan Papelbon last night, and we would not be at all surprised if this game tonight turns into another battle of the bullpens. That is an area where Tampa Bay has the edge, as they rank second in the American League with a 3.45 pen ERA.
Boston starter Josh Beckett is obviously not at full health right now, and he was limited to just five innings in his last start despite not allowing a single run and only four hits with seven strikeouts. Still, Beckett has not pitched well at all here at Fenway Park this year, where he had a whopping 6.02 ERA. The combination of a shaky Beckett and a demoralized bullpen does not bode well for laying this huge price tonight.
Now granted, Andy Sonnanstine has not pitched nearly as well as his 13-7 record would indicate. However, he does usually keep the Rays in games and he does have a decent 1.25 WHIP on the road. Look for Andy to do his thing for five innings or so and for the fine Rays pen to take over from there.
Finally, one cannot put a price on the emotional high the Rays are on after last night, and we would not be surprised if some of their fringe players continue to step up in the absence of Crawford and Longoria.
Pick: Rays +180
New York Yankees -110
Now these teams are on the opposite side of the spectrum this season, with the New York Yankees about to miss the playoffs for the first time since 1994 and the Angels owning the best record in baseball, but this game looks like a pitching mismatch in favor of the Yankees.
Dustin Moseley is a fill-in starter for the Angels, and he has been simply brutal in seven starts this season. Moseley is 1-4 with a ridiculously high 7.90 ERA and 1.92 WHIP, and he has yet to record a Quality Start. As bad a year as the Yankees are having, they are still potent offensively and should feast on Moseley here.
Now Andy Pettitte is nowhere near the pitcher he used to be, but he still looks like a stud when compared to his mound opponent here. Pettitte has done his best pitching on the road, where he is 8-5 with a very nice 3.68 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, and he recorded a Quality Start in his only other start at Anaheim this season.
Take the Yankees as modest chalk today.
Pick: Yankees -110
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Matt Rivers
For Wednesday take the price back with the Rays.
If on his game Josh Beckett could easily shut us down today and look far superior than a semi struggling Andy Sonnanstine. But the Boston rigththander has not done a whole lot over the past month except be injured and with first place on the line how can you not snatch this price with the struggling but still talented Rays?!?!?!?
Tampa is a little banged up and it is asking a lot for them to prevail in this spot but Upton, Pena, Baldelli and the Rays do have enough to compete and grabbing this price is a total no-brainer. Sure Big Papi and the home boys should win this game as they are the better team overall but I'm not at all convinced right now that Beckett is right and therefore he is laying a bit much and frankly too much.
We may not win this game but we can and that is enough for me with a solid team against a banged up pitcher at a quality price.
Gina
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
The Twins have won eight of their last 11 games at home and three of the last four versus the Royals at the Metrodome, including Tuesday's 7-2 victory in the home opener of a three game series. Kansas City continues to struggle on the road, dropping eleven of their last 13 games away from home, just 28-41 this season.
Go with the Twins at home to outscore a dreadful road team. Minnesota is 6-1 in its last 7 games against Kansas City and the Twins have won six of Slowey's last 7 starts at home. Whereas, the Royals have lost five of the last 7 in Minnesota and four of Davies’ last 5 starts.
Minnesota Twins -230
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Tom Freese
Colorado at Atlanta
We will go against Atlanta starter James Parr who is off his first ever big league win in his last start. Parr figures to be flat off his first win. The Braves are 7-16 their last 23 games vs. righty starters and they are 10-27 off a win. The Braves are 5-21 after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 0-7 their last 7 Wednesday games. The Rockies are 9-3 their last 12 Wednesday games and they are 6-2 in Game 2 of series. PLAY ON COLORADO +
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Sports Gambling Hotline
Toronto -135 at WHITE SOX
All set for a pitcher's duel tonight on the South Side?
That is exactly what we think is going to happen tonight when Roy Halladay, and Mark Buehrle toe the rubber.
Halladay is a rock-solid 10-5 on the road this year, with a 2.61 ERA, and his last 3 starts against Chicago dating back to last season show 22 innings of 3 run ball.
His counterpart Mark Buehrle just worked 6 scoreless innings at home against the Angels, and is now 9-3 at US Cellular with a scant home ERA of 2.85.
Last night's game was a rare OVER between the teams, as 5 of the 6 meetings this season have held UNDER the total, and 4 of the last 5 played between the clubs on the South Side have also played LOW.
Plenty of goose eggs lighting up that scoreboard tonight.
Play on the UNDER.
5♦ UNDER
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Karl Garrett
Cubs at ST. LOUIS
Can't make a case for the Cubbies these days, as Chicago is wilting down the stretch. Last night they blew a 3-0 lead, as they lost for the 8th time in their last 9 games.
Starter Ted Lilly has dropped his last pair of starts, allowing 8 runs in just 9 innings of work. Hardly numbers to get inspired by!
St. Louis is making a late surge, as the Redbirds have won their last 3, and starter Braden Looper just worked 7 scoreless in a home no-decision against the Marlins.
The Cards have taken 4 of the 7 season meetings at Busch, and with Lou Piniella's team sure looking like they are gagging with less than 20 games remaining, the G-Man will ride the Redbirds to another win this evening.
Take St. Louie!
4♦ ST. LOUIS
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Michael Cannon
Florida +145 at PHILADELPHIA
Philadelphia will start Brett Myers and he’s been on one heck of a run. The right-hander is 3-0 with a 0.82 ERA in his last three starts. However, he’s just 9-10 on the season and 6-8 in his career against the Marlins.
Florida will counter with Ricky Nolasco, who is a pretty fair pitcher himself. The right-hander is 13-7 on the year with a 3.56 ERA. He’s 1-0 with a 2.66 ERA in his last three starts. In three starts versus the Phillies this season he’s 2-1 with a 2.75 ERA.
Take the Marlins as they grab the road win.
3♦ FLORIDA
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David Malinsky
Diamondbacks (RL) @ Giants (RL)
PICK: 4* SAN FRANCISCO +1.5
The betting markets are doing what they often do here – chasing a slumping team and a slumping pitcher because they “need” to win the game. So now we have an Arizona squad that has lost nine straight road games, and five straight games overall, as a solid road favorite, with Danny Haren and his 6.19 ERA over his last six starts taking the mound. The push to the straight side here now has the Run Line brought down into the pick’em range, and to get +1.5 into an offense that is having this much trouble producing is difficult to pass up.
There is no simpler formula in baseball than the fact that a team that is struggling at the plate is not going to get many easy wins. The Diamondbacks have been held to two runs or less nine times in their last 15 games, and as a result could go only 2-13 as -1.5 in that span. Their last road win came on August 16, and in those nine defeats since then they scored a combined 19 runs. Now they have to take on a starter in Brad Hennessey that they lack scouting reports against, and we get the San Francisco right-hander with the right focus, knowing that he is auditioning for a spot in next year’s rotation. He brings the right form to the table, with a 2.70 over his last three starts in the Minor’s, with a solid ratio of 12 strikeouts vs. two walks allowed in that span. And while there was a rare hiccup from Brian Wilson in the 9th last night, the Giant bullpen is well-positioned, with only Keiichi Yabu bringing a fatigue rating.
Haren still gets respect from his 14-8/3.41 for the full season, but take those numbers with a grain of salt. There are 129 pitchers that have worked at least 100 innings so far, and he rates 121st in difficulty of batters faced (as always, we use On Base + Slugging as our barometer). And it is not a coincidence that his recent slump has come largely against division opponents (his last four starts were two each against the Padres and Dodgers). He opened brilliantly this season against a league that was not accustomed to his stuff, but as the hitters get more looks he is much less imposing. Now it is the third go-round for San Francisco, and Haren was only 1-1/4.50 in the first two, allowing 18 hits in 14 innings. It will be one thing for Arizona to merely win here, but another matter entirely to get a margin.
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BEN BURNS
Getaway Day GOW
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Game Time: 9/10/2008 3:45:00 PM Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks Reason: I'm laying the price with ARIZONA. After dropping the first two games in this series, this afternoon's contest has almost reached 'must win' status for the Diamondbacks. While that certainly doesn't guarantee a victory, it should guarantee that the entire team gives us a highly motivated effort. More importantly, I expect the Diamondbacks to enjoy a significant advantage on the mound. Dan Haren admittedly hasn't been as sharp lately as he was earlier in the year. However, he insists he's still healthy and he's still got an excellent 3.29 ERA and 1.049 WHIP on the road for the season. The last time he faced the Giants he beat them by a score of 10-2, striking out nine in eight innings without walking a single batter. That was here at San Francisco. His previous start here came in 2007, when he was still with the A's. Once again, Haren was dominant. He went seven shutout innings and the A's won 6-0. Haren had six K's without walking a batter. In addition to the fact that Haren has pitched extremely well his last two visits to San Francisco, another reason I expect him to bounce back with a huge effort is that he has been outstanding when pitching during the afternoon. In fact, in seven daytime starts, he's gone 3-1 with a 1.72 ERA, holding opposing hitters to a mere .199 batting average. Brad Hennessy gets the call for the Giants and he hasn't made a major league start in nearly two years. His last start wasn't exactly memorable. That came vs. the Cardinals in 2006 and he lasted just two innings. Hennessy allowed three home runs and six runs overall, en route to suffering a 14-4 loss. Hennessy was absolutely terrible out of the bullpen for the Giants this season, recording a 12.46 ERA and 2.775 WHIP. He was sent down to Triple-A and was just 7-10 with a 4.83 ERA in 21 starts. Hennessy has also struggled against Arizona, going 0-2 with 4.73 ERA in 13 games, three of them starts. Look for Haren to get the better of Hennessy as the Diamondbacks bounce back with a much needed victory. *Getaway Day GOW
Blue Chip
Oakland/Detroit Under
Game: Oakland Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers Game Time: 9/10/2008 1:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Tigers and A's to finish UNDER the total. After 22 runs were scored in the series opener, these teams combined for just five yesterday. I expect that good pitching to carry over into this afternoon's series finale. Galarraga has been Detroit's best pitcher all season. He's also been nearly unhittable when pitching during the afternoon. In fact, in eight daytime starts, he's a perfect 5-0 with an outstanding 1.38 ERA while holding opposing hitters to a mere .198 batting average. Of course, Gallagher's numbers aren't nearly as good as Galarraga's. It's also true that he recently missed a few starts due to shoulder fatigue. However, I believe that he's got a few things working in his favor here. For starters, he's never faced the Tigers which gives him an early advantage over the hitters. As for the 'tired arm,' Gallagher made a rehab start and tossed five shutout innings. Afterwards he was quoted as saying: "I feel good. I felt good going out there and was able to locate my pitches and pitch how I wanted to pitch and how I know I??m able to." Additionally, the Tigers have struggled to hit during the afternoon all season long. In fact, they're averaging just 4.2 runs per game during the day while hitting only .258. Those numbers are significantly lower than what their nighttime stats. Not surprisingly, they've seen the UNDER go a profitable 29-19-4 when playing during the daytime. Look for this afternoon's game to prove lower-scoring than expected once again. *Blue Chip (Note that this line may go from 9 to 9.5. Therefore, I suggest waiting to see if this happens for the chance to play at a better line)
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Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on LA Dodgers -168
The Dodgers are 9-1 in their last 10 overall which also makes them 9-1 in their last 10 versus the NL West. They are an awesome 10-3 in their last 13 game 3's of a series as well. Lowe is dealing and the Dodgers are 6-1 in his last 7 starts vs. the National League West and 4-0 in his last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. The Dodgers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings and 4-1 in Lowe's last 5 starts vs. the Padres. The Dodgers have overtaken the D-backs in the West with this nice run and they don't want to give up any ground, especially when playing teams they know they should beat. Take the Dodgers.
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Larry Ness
Daytime Delight-MLB (won 12 of L18 MLB weeks!)
My Daytime Delight is on the Arz D'backs at 3:45 ET. After dominating NL West foes for most of the year (34-16 against division opponents through August 24), the D'backs have now lost 10 of their last 11 games against division opponents. Arizona has lost 12 of its last 15 overall and EIGHT straight to division foes and will take losing streaks of five straight overall and nine straight on the road into this game. Is there ANY reason to take Arizona here? Actually, I think there are more than a few. Last night's loss (and LA's win) has dropped the D'backs a season-high 2 1/2 games behind the Dodgers, with 18 games remaining. The time to turn things around is NOW! Arizona couldn't ask for a better pitching matchup in this game, as Dan Haren (14-8, 3.41 ERA) squares off against Brad Hennessey (1-1, 12.46 ERA). There are some 'whispers' that Haren is not 100 percent but I'm not ready to "buy into that" after just two poor starts. Arizona's ace Brandon Webb has been 'rocked' in his last three starts (12.51 ERA) and the D'backs have lost Haren's last three outings as well. However, Haren pitched very well in the first of those three straight team losses, allowing on two ERs over seven innings, while striking out 11 batters. He has been bad in his last two starts (10 IP / 16 hits / 10 ERs / 9.00 ERA) but it's only TWO starts! What's the big deal? The bigger deal is of course, Arizona's recent collapse. Arizona has an off day tomorrow and then returns to Chase Field to host the Reds (66-79) and Giants (64-80) for seven games. The team couldn't ask for a much better schedule than that and getting a win here would be an enormous boost. I see no reason for Haren to NOT pitch well here vs a San Fran team batting just .261 and averaging 3.94 RPG (3.91 at home). Also, why WON'T the D'backs bats get to Brad Hennessey? Hennessey went 10-14 with a 4.47 ERA in '05 and '06 for the Giants, making 55 appearances (33 starts). He then was used exclusively out of the bullpen in '07, going 4-5 with a 3.42 ERA in 69 appearances, getting 19 saves (24 chances). He began the '08 season in the bullpen but was so bad with 40 hits and 24 ERs allowed in 17.1 innings (12.46 ERA), that he was sent to the minors on May 7. He's hardly been dominant in Fresno, going 7-10 with a 4.83 ERA in 21 starts. This marks his first major league start in nearly two years. Daytime Delight on the Arizona D'backs.
Oddsmaker's Error (won 12 of L18 MLB weeks)
My Oddsmaker's Error is on the Chi White Sox at 8:10 ET. Current form is always important in handicapping but so is "playing the percentages." Those two theories collide tonight as the Blue Jays meet the White Sox in Chicago. Toronto swept a day-night doubleheader at Chicago on Tuesday, 3-1 and 8-2. Chicago's lead in the AL Central was cut to one game and the two wins give the Blue Jays 10 consecutive victories, the team's longest winning streak in 10 years. The Blue Jays are 6-0 against the White Sox this season (outscoring them 23-8) and will send Roy Halladay to the mound, who is 18-9 with a 2.64 ERA on the year. He's won his last five starts (2.25 ERA) but Halladay is a modest 3-3 with a 3.06 ERA in nine starts and three relief appearances against the White Sox in his career, with the Blue Jays going just 3-6 in those nine starts. Believe it or not, U.S. Cellular Field is the only current AL park in which Halladay has never won in, although he hasn't pitched poorly, going 0-1 with a 2.35 ERA in three previous starts there. Surely current form favors the Blue Jays but let's look at these set of stats, all of which greatly favor the White Sox. Mark Buehrle (12-11, 3.98 ERA) is set to oppose Halladay and he's been one of the AL's best pitchers this decade, especially at home. While he's 3-8 on the road in '08 with a 5.34 ERA, he's 9-3 with a 2.85 ERA at home, as the White Sox are 12-3 in his 15 home starts (they've on 11 of his L12!). The lefty will face a Toronto team which was only 3-11 in road night games against lefties in '08 (averaging a pathetic 2.6 RPG), before beating Clayton Richard last night. As the famous saying goes, "Clayton Richard is no Mark Buehrle!" Then there is Chicago's home record in '08, which is 48-25, as the White sox have outscored opponents 5.74 RPG-to-4.12, while the Blue Jays are only 35-37 on the road. Let's also note that while Halladay is a dominant pitcher, the White Sox (even after yesterday's two losses), are 32-18 at home vs righties this year, averaging 5.9 RPG. At this price, the White Sox are "well worth the gamble." Oddsmaker's Error on the Chi White Sox.
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Andre Gomes
MIN -1.5 (-120) vs KAN
The Twins have to be very happy with their win yesterday, because not only they finished a losing streak of 2 home defeats, but also in just one day, they saw the White Sox losing twice and so, they will very close from the lead on the AL Central.
Today the Twins will send Kevin Slowey, who comes from a rare defeat on his last outing against the Blue Jays. Slowey allowed 3 runs and 10 hits in 5 innings, while the Twins lost by 0-9 in that game. I believe that game was just an accident, as Slowey has been extremely solid lately. Just look at his number of runs allowed on his 5 outings before that game: 2-2-2-1-1. The Twins are 6-1 on Slowey's last 7 home starts and today I expect him to bounce back.
On the other side, the Royals will send Kyle Davies, who after 4 consecutive non-quality starts, where he allowed 6-4-3-3 runs, comes now from a win on his last outing against the A's, where he allowed 1 run and 3 hits in 5 innings. However a deep look on that game allows us to see that he wasn't as impressive as at first sight it may seem, as his P/IP ratio wasn't impressive at all: 20.2! So, in just 5 innings, Davies threw 101 pitches! An extremely high count for just 5 innings. This can be dramatic for him if his opponents are a good team when they have the bases loaded and the Twins are clearly one of those teams.
The Twins have a good chance to build some momentum, as Slowey is a tough guy in bounce back mode and he is 2-0 against Kansas with an ERA of 1.23 and 0.886 WHIP this season and given the fact that KC is just 1-8 in their last 9 road games and Davies hasn't been impressive at all lately, I expect a good win for the Twins today. Take them on the runline today
EZWINNERS
3 STAR: (901) CINCINNATI (+$230) over Milwaukee
(Action) (Risking $300 to win $690)
3 STAR: (927) KANSAS CITY (+$207) over Minnesota
(Action) (Risking $300 to win $621)
John Ryan
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
Play: New York Mets
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Mets – Washington can’t hit period – at least over a consecutive period of games. Suddenly, the Mets bullpen has come together in a very big way and that with the news that Wagner will out for the remainder of the season and perhaps next. He has obviously been a cancer of sorts in the bullpen with his outrageous statements made to the press about teammates. Now he is the guy looking in on this team that may make the World Series. The bullpen has posted an amazing 0.34 ERA and a 0.862 WHIP and allowed ZERO home runs and recorded 25 k’s in 26.7 innings over the past 7 games. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 178-44 for 80% making 76.6 units in the process since 1997. Play against road dogs with a money line of +175 to +250 after allowing 9 runs or more facing an opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more. Back in June, Pelfry was fighting to stay in the rotation and prevent being sent to the minors. He answered the call posting an 11-3 mark since. Take the Mets.
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Nelly
Tampa Bay + over Boston
The home teams have had great success in this series but Tampa Bay broke through yesterday for a huge ninth inning win. Look for that momentum to carry over into this series finale and this is incredible value on a Rays team that owns the superior record at this point in the season.
Josh Beckett is a big-name, big-game pitcher but he is just 3-4 in his last seven starts. His ERA is 5.32 in the last eight games and in four of those games he allowed four or more runs. Due to the steep lines with him on the mound Boston has been a solid losing proposition as they are just 13-11 when Beckett starts.
Tampa Bay is hitting .316 against right-handed pitching in the last ten games and although Boston has a great lineup the Rays have been able to keep pace. Boston owns a great home record but the Red Sox are just 4-9 in the last 13 home games against teams with winning records. Boston swept the first two series at home against the Rays but a lot has changed in the three months since the last series and Tampa Bay is a more complete team with confidence.
The Rays are 18-10 when Andy Sonnanstine starts and he actually owns a lower ERA in road games. Boston has actually not faced Sonnanstine this season and we expect the Red Sox to struggle against them. With this type of value the Rays are hard to pass up.
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PowerPlayWins
Diamondbacks -155
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WiseGuyHandicapping
3 UNITS Blue Jays/White Sox Under 8
2 UNITS Baltimore Orioles
1 UNIT Diamondbacks -175
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Info Plays
3* on New York Yankees -115
Andy Pettite has been on top of his game all season when pitching away from home. Pettite has gone 8-5 with a 3.68 ERA on the road this season. He faces Dustin Moseley who is 1-4 with a 7.90 ERA this season. The final score of this contest will be similar to the Yankees’ 7-1 beating of the Angels last night. The Yankees are 23-12 after a win by 4 runs or more this season. New York is 50-20 in all games played on a Wednesday over the last 3 seasons. Pettite is 12-7 with a 4.49 ERA over 24 career starts against the Angels. Bet the Yankees on the road.
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Yankee Capper
3 Units - Pittsburgh Pirates +160
3 Units - New York Yankees -120
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WILD BILL
Reds +260 (5 units)
Arizona -165 (5 units)
Phils -155 (5 units)
Phils-Florida Over 8 1/2 (5 units)
Colorado +145 (5 units)
Cubs-Cards Under 9 (5 units)
Cubs -110 (5 units)
A's +200 (5 units)
Rays-Red Sox Over 9 1/2 (5 units)
Red Sox -210 (5 units)
White Sox +120 (5 units)
Royals +210 (5 units)
Rangers +110 (5 units)
Angels +110 (5 units)
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Sebass
20* Yanks over
20* Mets -1.5
20* Houst -1.5
20* Arizona
20* Det under
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Investment Playmakers Guaranteed Selections
Reds vs Brewers Under 7.5
The Hitman Guaranteed Selections
5000 LARGE DIAMOND BASEBALL WINNER
Toronto w/Halladay -135
Wise Guy Insider Guaranteed Selections
QUADRUPLE BASEBALL RUN LINE WINNER
Boston w/Beckett -1.5 -105
The Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections
92% HIGH ROLLER BASEBALL WINNER
Houston w/Moehler -175
William Kidd Guaranteed Selections
QUADRUPLE DIME BASEBALL WINNER
Chicago White Sox w/Buehrle +130
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Teddy Covers
5* GOW - Cleveland
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Oscarxena Sports
LA Angels +1.22 (3 Unit Play)
The Angels are trying to clinch the inevitable AL West Division title today and they can do it with a win here and a Texas Rangers loss. The Angels will hand the ball to Dustin Moseley who has been pitching poorly but you have to figure that the Angels see something in him because they have called him up so that he can possibly be put on the postseason roster. Moseley has one career start against the Yankees and he was able to pitch five effective innings and winning that game 7-6. The Yankees will hand the ball to Andy Pettitte and he is struggling right now as he is 0-3 in his last three starts with a 7.50 ERA and has pitched poorly in two starts against the Angels so far this year. HP umpire Ed Hickox has also not been Andy's friend as he has lost both career starts with Hickox behind home plate. I will gladly take the underdog Angels in this game today.
Wildcat
Toronto Blue Jays
NSA
20* Toronto
10* LA ANGELS
10* ST LOUIS
10* CLEVELAND
10* BOSTON OVER
10* DODGERS UNDER
Stan Sharp
Double-Dime Bet
Cubs -105
Opposite Action Plays
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Sunday Selections
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Mike Lineback
Boston Red Sox OVER 5
Mike Rose
Indians / Orioles OVER 11
Rocketman Sports
ATLANTA BRAVES
Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
5000* INSIDE STEAM RUN LINE BASEBALL WINNER
Minnesota w/Slowey -1.5 -120
Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
5000* INSIDE STEAM BASEBALL WINNER
Atlanta w/Parr -147
Marc Lawrence
3* Florida
3* Toronto
AntonWins
3 units Texas +110
Mr East
Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago White Sox
Pick: 3 units Toronto Blue Jays -132
The Jays hot streak has lifted them over the Yankees into 3rd place in the AL East. They have now won 10 straight, steam rolling opponents to a score of 59-28 in these 10. Tonight they have Roy Halladay on the mound, who has led the Jays to 5 staright wins while he has been on the mound, and he hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 9 starts. The White Sox have turned cold, victorious just 4 times in their last 11 outings. Mark Buehrle has had a lot of suspect starts, as he has allowed 5 or more runs in 3 of his last 7, and could be suspect against a hot Jays team. I will back the Jays to make it 11 straight.
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Ben Burns
Game: Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Under
Halladay has a 2.61 ERA on the road. Buerhle has a 2.85 ERA at home. Buerhle's last three starts against the Jays have ALL finished with scores of 2-0. Two of those three starts came against Halladay. This should be another well-pitched affair. Consider the UNDER
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Larry Ness
GAME: Royals (RL) @ Twins (RL)
PICK: Twins (RL)
Tuesday was a good day for the Twins, as they beat the Royals 7-2 and the White dropped a day-night doubleheader against the Blue Jays. That series of events moved the Twins within one game of the White Sox in the AL Central. Minnesota continues its three-game series against the last-place Royals tonight, as Kyle Davies (6-6, 4.59 ERA) goes for KC and Kevin Slowey (11-9, 3.75 ERA) gets the start for the Twins. Davies stopped a personal four-game losing streak in his last outing but that win came over the 66-78 A's. Beating the Twins, who are 48-25 here at the Metrodome, is another story. Let's note that the Twins have outscored their opponents by an average of 5.40 RPG-to-3.79 at home this year, while the Royals are only 28-41 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 4.09 RPG-to-5.28. Let me also point out something that I've mentioned a number of times before, when playing against the Royals this year. The team's overall mark of 61-82 is unimpressive in and of itself but when one considers the Royals went 13-5 this year against NL teams, the team's AL-only mark is a rather pathetic 48-77 (.384). Minnesota's Slowey has allowed a total of just 10 ERs over his last six starts (2.45 ERA), so everything considered, laying the 1 1/2 runs is the way to go in this one.
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Stephen Nover
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants
PICK: San Francisco Giants
Brilliant in the first half, very disappointing in the second half. That's been the pattern of Dan Haren and it's holding true to form this season for the Arizona right-hander.
Haren has been Haren in name only during his past six starts. His ERA is a fat 6.19 during this span.
Yet Haren and the Diamondbacks are huge favorites. Sure the Giants are very weak offensivley and starting Brad Hennessey, up from the minors.
But the Diamondbacks are in their worst slump this year. They have dropped nine straight road contests, and their last five overall. They also are off a deflating 5-4 loss last night to the Giants.
The Diamondbacks aren't hitting, batting under .200 in their last five games. Arizona has scored two or less runs in nine of its last 15 games.
Sure on paper it's a mismatch. Hennessey, however, has a 2.70 ERA in his last three minor league outings with a 12-to-2 strikeout to walk ratio. He did save 19 games last season for the Giants. He's trying to salvage his major league career as a stater. This is a big start for him.
Considering how bad the Diamondbacks are playing and the bad form Haren is in, the Giants are worth a shot at this huge 'dog price.
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Black Widow Sports
1* on Philadelphia Phillies -141
The Phillies lost 10-8 to the Marlins last night, so we expect Philly to bounce back with red-hot starter Brett Myers toeing the rubber Wednesday. Myers has been brilliant since returning from the disabled list. Even though he recorded a no-decision in his return to majors on July 23, the righthander has been magnificent since, going 6-1 with a 1.55 ERA, second-best in the majors behind only the Brewers' CC Sabathia. Most significant in his stark improvement has been holding opposing hitters to a .227 batting average while cutting his walk rate nearly in half. During his four-start winning streak, the righthander has lasted at least seven innings and struck out eight in each outing. The Phillies are 30-9 (+14.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons. Take Philadelphia on the Money Line.
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Mr A
Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros
The hot Astros have won 12 of its last 13 games, and their last six at home. Meanwhile, the struggling Pirates have lost 15 of their last 18 games, 1-5 in its last five on the road.
Pittsburgh's Tom Gorzelanny (6-9, 6.64 ERA) is 0-2 with a 7.04 ERA in his last three starts. The lefthander is 1-4 with a 4.30 ERA in five career starts against the Astros.
Houston's Brian Moehler (10-6, 4.22) is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 4-4 with a 5.40 ERA in 12 career outings, including 9 starts against Pittsburgh. The Astros are 6-1 in Moehlers last 7 starts at home.
Let's ride the hot Astros again tonight against the plummeting Pirates. Houston has won 12 of their last 13 games at Minute Maid Park, 17-5 in their last 22 at home. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has lost 11 of their last 15 road games and is 1-4 in Gorzelanny’s last 5 starts versus Houston.
Houston Astros -185
Rocky Atkinson
Double-Dime Bet
Colorado @ Atlanta
Play: 3* Atlanta -145
Colorado is scoring only 4 runs per game on the road this year. Hernandez has a 6.16 ERA overall this year, 3-7 with a 6.98 ERA on the road and 0-2 with a 7.05 ERA his last 3 starts. Parr has pitched 2 games, 6 innings and has a 0.00 ERA in all games this year. Atlanta is 4-1 at home vs Colorado last 3 years. Hernandez is 5-15 with a 5.18 ERA overall vs Atlanta since 1997. Braves are 38-18 in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a losing record. We'll play Atlanta for 3 units tonight! Rockies are 3-13 last 16 games in Atlanta.
Rocky Atkinson
Dime Bet
Cleveland @ Baltimore
Play:1* Cleveland -110
Baltimore is 50-86 last 3 years against left handed starters. Chris Waters has a 5.40 ERA overall, 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA at home this year and 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA his last 3 starts. Cleveland is 12-2 their last 14 road games. Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 home games. Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 games on grass. Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Orioles are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Orioles are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a loss. Orioles are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. We'll play Cleveland for 1 unit tonight!
KBHOOPS
Cle/Balt OVER 11 *POD*
Tom Freese
No Brainer
TOR/CWS Under
Wise Guy Insider Guaranteed Selections
Cleveland/Baltumore OVER 11
Wayne Root
Chairman- Blue Jays
Millionaire- Cubs
KELSO
High Rollers Club
15 units - Toronto
Young Gun's
5* Pitt/Hou Over 9½
William Kidd Guaranteed Selections
QUADRUPLE DIME BASEBALL WINNER
White Sox
Robert Ferringo
6.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Colorado at Atlanta
Note: This is our Total of the Week.
2.5-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Kansas City at Minnesota
2-Unit Play. Take Over’9.0 Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
TOP RATED BASEBALL LATE STEAM WINNER
Toronto w/Halladay -138
Vegas-Runner
MIN -1.5 (-116) vs KAN 3* BEST BET of the DAY
CHC (-105) vs STL 2* ML WAGER
TOR (-140) vs CWS 2* ML WAGER