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Jimmy the Moose
Washington Nationals at NY Yankees
The Nationals are the worst team in baseball but tonight they'll catch a break facing one of the games worst pitchers this season. Washington sends Lannan to the mound tonight and the Nationals have won his last 2 starts. His ERA over his last 3 starts is 1.80. The Yankees counter with Wang, 0-4 with a 14.34 ERA. Over his last 3 starts Wang's ERA is 17.65. The Nationals have some big bats in their lineup and they are a good play as a big dog in this one. Play on the Washington Nationals +.
Play on: Washington
VEGAS EXPERTS
Florida Marlins at Boston Red Sox
Boston and Florida pushed on last night’s contest as they combined for 10 runs. Before that, the Marlins have gone OVER the total in 16 of 19 interleague games, including all six this season. Over the past two seasons Florida is 24-12 OVER in the month of June. Boston has gone OVER in nine of their 10 Wednesday games this season. Red Sox starter Brad Penny has gone OVER in all seven starts against the NL East over the past three seasons. Go with the OVER
Play on: OVER
Craig Trapp
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies
Play: Tampa Bay Rays
RECORDS
Tampa Bay Rays 35-31, 14-19 away (Price 1-0, 2.37 ERA)
Colorado Rockies 31-33, 12-15 home (Cook 5-3, 4.26 ERA)
Betting Trends
-Rays are 4-1 in Prices last 5 starts.
-Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
-Rockies are 1-5 in Cooks last 6 interleague starts.
-Rays are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
The Rays ended the Rockies long winning streak yesterday and today look to extend there own 7 game winning streak. They turn the ball over to there best pitcher right now Price. Even though he only has one win he should be at least 3-0 but the bullpen let him down twice. The Rays are twice as talented as COL and will put up a minimum of 7 runs today in hitter friendly Coors Field. Pitching for COL is Cook who at times can be good but today will struggle with one of the best lineups in the major leagues. This one will not be close and having underdog value here makes it even better!! SCORE TB 7 - COL 3
LT Profits
Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Trevor Cahill of the Oakland Athletics has not pitched well when away from the spacious dimensions of home, and while Kiroki Kuroda has pitched well at home for the Los Angeles Dodgers, this total is low enough where the Dodgers may approach this Over by themselves.
Now Cahill is a highly regarded prospect with a bright future ahead of him, but his home/away splits in his rookie year suggest that while he has learned to pitch to the dimensions of his home stadium, this has not translated well on the road. He is winless in five road starts with a high 5.18 ERA and a horrible 1.81 WHIP, and he is facing an LA lineup that is batting a nice .283 as a team at home, and that has continued to play well here even without Manny Ramirez.
As for his counterpart, Kuroda is 1-2 but with a 2.86 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Keep in mind though that he has made only four starts, with three of them coming since June 1 when he was activated. What is somewhat alarming is that he is coming off of the worst outing since he comeback, as he was roughed up for five runs and eight hits in 5.1 innings by the Texas Rangers last Friday.
Besides, as mentioned earlier, Kuroda may only need to give up two or three runs to secure this Over, give the current road form of Cahill and the fact that the Oakland bullpen has imploded with a collective 5.40 ERA over the last 10 games.
Pick: Athletics/Dodgers Over 7.5
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Tampa Bay Rays -105
The Rays ended Colorado's 11-game winning streak with a dominant 12-4 win last night to improve their winning streak to 6 games. I give the edge to the Rays again tonight behind David Price, who has been sensational since getting the call up. The Rays have won each of Price's last 3 starts and he has posted an ERA of just 1.72 in those games. The Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. the American League East and they send Aaron Cook to the hill who is 0-4 against the money line in his last 4 starts vs. the American League East and 0-8 against the money line in his last 8 starts with 5 days of rest. The Rays are also an impressive 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. I'll back Tampa Bay tonight.
Jr Tips
DETROIT vs. ST. LOUIS
The Detroit Tigers (34-30) began its series in St. Louis losing to the Cardinals (35-30) in an 11-2 loss. The Tigers will start Jackson (6-3, 2.24 ERA), who is 5-1 with a 1.61 ERA in his past seven starts and have the best ERA in the AL. Jackson also has an AL-best 1.55 ERA on the road. The Cardinals have won four of six after losing five in a row although before last night, St. Louis had averaged 3.7 runs in losing seven of 10 games heading into this series.The Tigers' offense has also struggled of late scoring three or fewer runs in their past six games.Detroit will look to break out against Todd Wellemeyer (5-6, 5.50) who is St. Louis' worst starter this season. Wellemeyer is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in his last three starts and gave up 11 hits and five runs in six innings of the Cardinals' 6-5 victory in his last start. Jackson will bring the St. Louis offense back to earth after last night and Detroit will have no problem scoring at least 5 runs against the struggling Wellemeyer to get the win.
TAKE DETROIT-125
Rocketman
Seattle @ San Diego
Play: Seattle
Seattle is 31-33 on the season while San Diego comes in with a 28-35 overall record this year. San Diego is 9-28 last 3 years and 0-4 this year in Interleague games. San Diego has lost 4 games in a row heading into tonight. Seattle bullpen has a 3.28 ERA overall this year. San Diego is scoring only 3.4 runs per game against Left Handed Starters this year and has a .226 batting average. San Diego only has a .210 batting average as a team at home this year. Garrett Olson is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA his last 3 starts. Chad Gaudin is 2-5 with a 6.16 ERA in all games this year, 2-5 with a 6.42 ERA in all starts this year and 1-2 with an 8.79 ERA his last 3 starts. Seattle is 10-3 overall vs San Diego last 3 years including 7-0 at San Diego last 3 seasons. We'll recommend a small play on Seattle tonight!
Tommy Gill
Seattle ML +105 for 2 units
As being a rivalry game with Seattle and San Diego this has been a one sided affair for a few years now with Seattle beating San Diego on a consitant basis. First we are getting some great value in this spot with the better team with Seattle going 9-0 in SD there last 9 games. Also we will be getting the better pitcher tonight in a good spot. We have Olson (1-1 4.26 ERA) vs Gaudin (2-5 6.16 ERA). Gaudin has been struggling to say the least getting destroyed in 3 out of his last 4 games giving up 22 runs in 19.2 innings pitched. Olson is in only his 5th start this season with 2 good outing and 2 bad outings against Boston and the Angels. San Diego has had a very difficult time in hitting lefites this season hitting .221 overall and only .193 at home. The Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter. Also the Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Mariners are 18-6 in the last 24 meetings against SD and I believe that they will win this game tonight because they have the pitching mismatch, historical trends and a lefty on the hill tonight in this game.
Fantasy Sports Gametime
MLB Baseball
100* Play Minnesota (-185) over Pittsburgh (TOP MLB PLAY)
Pittsburgh has lost 11 of the last 13 road games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and they have also lost 62 of the last 84 inter-league road games. Ian Snell has lost 14 of the last 16 road games when pitching in the 1st half of the season and he is also 1-7 in all starts this season with an ERA of 5.25.
50* Play Kansas City (-165) over Arizona (MLB Bonus Play)
Arizona has lost 6 of the last 8 games and they have also lost 23 of the last 36 games when playing on a Wednesday. Max Scherzer has lost 6 of the last 7 games when the total posted is 7 to 8.5 runs and he has also lost 8 of the last 10 road games. Kansas City has won 18 of the last 25 inter-league games and Zack Greinke is 6-0 in home games this season with an ERA of 1.37.
25* Play San Francisco (-170) over LA Angels (MLB Bonus Play)
San Francisco has won 5 of the last 8 games and they have also won 10 of the last 13 home games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less. Tim Lincecum has won 14 of the last 17 home games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less and he is also 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 1.59.
Personally speaking
I know no one that would Invest
In Favorites Over - $1.50
Let alone 3 Games
BioTrends
Let me show you Value
Devil Rays Price + $ 1.12
This is a Typical Write Up in MLB
ERA Reports over 3 Games
This is not My Write Up
______________________
MLB: Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies - 8:40 P.M. EST
Pick: ML - Colorado Rockies (-115) / 1 Unit
Analysis: The Rockies winning streak finally got snapped last night but I expect them to get right back at it tonight and start a new one. On the hill for the Rocks is right hander Aaron Cook. Cook started shaky this season but has turned it on giving 7 quality starts in his last 10 outings. In his last 2 starts Cook is (2-0) allowing just 1 ER in each start. Tonight he'll be facing a Rays offense that is hitting just .262 on the road against right handed pitching. On the hill for the Rays is youngster David Price. Price has been decent this season but hasn't gone very deep into games. Price has really struggled with his control allowing 18 walks in his last 4 starts including 11 walks in his last 2 starts. That's pretty bad and against a team that is hitting the ball well that is a recipe for disaster. This will be Price's 5 start of the season and although he has a good ERA he really hasn't pitched all that well. Tonight he'll be facing a good Rockies offense that is hitting an amazing .322 against left handed pitching at home over the course of the season. They're also averaging over 7 runs per 9 at home against left handed pitching as well. In their last 5 games they're batting .333 against left handed pitching as a team. Bottom line is this Rockies lineup loves to face left handed pitching. Combine that with them being in the comforts of their own home and a lot of base runners due to Price's control issue should equal a lot of scoring opportunities. Rockies are (8-1) in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Rays are just (2-7) in their last 9 road games including a (1-4) mark on the road against teams with a losing record. All in all I expect the Rockies to bounce right back with a win tonight.
Here is the Problem with this Game
Rockies Pitcher Aaron Cook has pitched
Back to Back Triple Down Games
The Trend this Year
All Triple Down Pitchers are
77 Wins & 131 Losses
Only 1 Pitcher out of All Triple Down Pitchers
This Season has Won back to Back Games
Let me show you Value
Devil Rays Price + $ 1.12
Reason
________
Rockies Pitcher Aaron Cook is Pitching Triple Up Today
His Record
Worst Pitching Situation
Aaron Cook Pitching Triple Up at Home
Rockies Aaron Cook 1999 thru 2009 Record
0 Wins 9 Losses ( 0 % Winning Situation )
Aaron Cook has given up 76 Runs in 9 Games
Aaron Cook has allowed 8.4 Runs Per Game
4/12/2009 Rockies Aaron Cook Pitching Triple High at Home
Rockies Aaron Cook 5 Phillies Chan Ho Park 7
4/12/2009 Rockies Aaron Cook Pitching Triple High at Home
Rockies Aaron Cook 1 Dodgers Eric Milton 7
6/20/2008 Rockies Aaron Cook Pitching Triple High at Home
Rockies Aaron Cook 2 Mets John Maine 7
8/4/2008 Rockies Aaron Cook Pitching Triple High at Home
Rockies Aaron Cook 4 Nationals Tim Redding 9
4/2/2007 Rockies Aaron Cook Pitching Triple High at Home
Rockies Aaron Cook 6 Backs Brandon Webb 8
7/3/2006 Rockies Aaron Cook Pitching Triple High at Home
Rockies Aaron Cook 6 Giants Lowry 9
7/30/2005 Rockies Aaron Cook Pitching Triple High at Home
Rockies Aaron Cook 7 Phillies Cory Lidle 8
6/6/2004 Rockies Aaron Cook Pitching Triple High at Home
Rockies Aaron Cook 4 Giants Dustin Hermanson 16
6/30/2004 Rockies Aaron Cook Pitching Triple High at Home
Rockies Aaron Cook 4 Brewers Ben Sheets 5
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David Banks
Toronto at Philadelphia
Last nights extra inning explosion pushed the game over the total, however these are two teams that are solidly trending under in recent weeks. The Jays head into tonight having gone under 8 of their last 11 games overall. Meanwhile the Phillies continue to trend under having only gone over the total 3 of their last 12 games.
SELECTION: UNDER
Frank Jordan
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
Play: Houston Astros
Last night Pudge Rodriguez tied Carlton Fisk with 2,226 games caught as a catcher and he hit a homerun, but that was the extent of the Astro offense as the Rangers pounded them 6-1 on two Kinsler homeruns. On Wednesday Rodriguez will break that mark and with that the Astro's will rally and win the game for him against the team he started with. Play Houston
Dave Malinsky
New York Mets @ Baltimore Orioles
PICK: New York Mets
It is not often that you get to take the better team as this big of an underdog, and usually when such a price range appears it means that there are pitching issues to overcome. We do not believe that is the case at all, and as such we are in play.
Yes, the markets can downgrade Tim Redding off of an 0-2/6.18 debut so far as a Met. But as is the case so often with a pitcher coming back from an injury the early numbers do not necessarily get etched in stone in our books, and when three of five outings since coming back are against the Dodgers, Red Sox and Phillies it is quite a challenge. But Redding has shown in his last two starts that he is finally back to both health and a proper pitching rhythm. He has allowed only four runs on 12 hits over 13 innings in that span, while issuing only two walks, working to an economical 13.8 pitcher per inning, but the fact that he did not record a win either time keeps him under the radar. And with no Met reliever carrying a fatigue rating, including having Franky Rodriguez (17 saves and an 0.56 allowance) available to handle the end game, the latter stages are in good hands.
Meanwhile Koji Uehara has pitched to some bad luck in his 2-4/4.37, but while his stuff is not bad, he could be the opposite of Redding in terms of where he is as opposed to what the numbers show. The Orioles did not give him a rehab start before bringing him back off of the DL, and his only outing since then was a rain-interrupted affair vs. Seattle in which he labored, allowing four runs on seven hits over just five innings vs. a weak offense. Manager Dave Trembely was blunt about that outing - "The guy hasn't pitched in two weeks and I think you could tell tonight." There is no special reason to believe that he snaps right back here, considering that his form was only average anyway. When a team is 10 games under .500, and has a question mark taking the mound, they absolutely do not deserve to be in this price range.