2013 College Basketball New Mexico vs. UNLV Picks & Predictions
By ATSSportsline.com
LAS VEGAS, NV (ATS Consultants) – New Mexico has won seven of its eight games but will the Lobos struggle tonight when it takes on UNLV at 9:00PM ET?
ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed UNLV as a 5.5-point favorite over New Mexico for tonight’s game, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 133 points. The Lobos are 20-3 overall and 5-2 on the road, while the Runnin' Rebels are 17-6 overall and 13-1 at home.
LINE MOVEMENT: UNLV opened as a 4.5-point favorite but the spread has been bet up to 5.5 at most sports books, while the over/under total opened at 133 and has stayed at that number.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers placed on tonight’s game, 51% of college basketball public bettors currently favor New Mexico. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.
NCAA FREE PICK: Take New Mexico. According to latest college basketball trends, Lobos are 4-1 ATS last 5 on the road in series, 5-2 ATS last 7 in series. Dog is 7-3 ATS last 10 in series, Road team is 7-3 ATS last 10 in series, 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. Mountain West, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games, 39-13-1 ATS in their last 53 games following a SU win of more than 20 points, 29-11-2 ATS in their last 42 games following a S.U. win and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games. UNLV is 10-25 ATS in their last 35 Saturday games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. Mountain West, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
The 15th-ranked Lobos will look to take advantage of a struggling UNLV Runnin' Rebels squad on Saturday night. New Mexico (7-1) and UNLV (4-4) opened league play against one another Jan. 9 in a matchup of Top 25 teams. The Lobos set the tone for the conference season, shutting down Rebels star freshman Anthony Bennett in a 65-60 win. Bennett, who averages a league-best 18.3 points and ranks fifth in rebounding at 8.5 per game, finished with 12 points and six boards and went the final 16:48 without scoring. Alex Kirk had a season-high 23 points to go with nine rebounds for the Lobos, whose game plan coming in was to take it at Bennett, coach Steve Alford said. New Mexico enters this one after beating Air Force 81-58 on Wednesday, its third win in a row. All five starters scored in double digits, with Kirk, Cameron Bairstow and Tony Snell each getting 14 as the Lobos racked up their most points since beating Davidson 86-81 in their season opener. New Mexico maintained its one-game lead over second-place Colorado State and dropped the Falcons into a third-place tie with San Diego State. New Mexico is allowing an average of 58.5 points over the last four games.
UNLV is in fifth place and fading. It had its worst offensive showing of the season in Wednesday's 64-55 loss at Fresno State, finishing with season lows in scoring and field goal percentage (35.0). It also shot a season-worst 19.0 percent (4 of 21) from 3-point range. They take on a Lobos team that is 8-2 away from Albuquerque.
SATURDAY COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: NEW MEXICO +5.5
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