Scott Spreitzer's CBB 25* Wednesday SLAM DUNK! *78-36, 68% ATS!
I'm laying the points with Georgetown on Wednesday. The last time these two hooked up was almost a year ago. Georgetown rocked the Red Storm in a 72-48 blowout. I believe this one could end in the same manner. The Johnnies got out to a 4-0 start this season playing a very soft early schedule. But they enter tonight's tilt on a 3-11 slide, including a current five game losing streak. The problem is offense, or lack thereof. St. John's is averaging just 59.4 PPG during the losing skid. They can't shoot, hitting just 106-286, or 37-percent from the floor in their last five games, and they can't hang onto the ball. During the same stretch, the Red Storm is dishing out less than 12 assists per game, while turning it over 16.2 times per game. To think they could turn things around here would be more than wishful thinking. The Storm now faces the nation's top-ranked defense in FG percentage allowed. The Hoyas give up just 20.3 made FGs per game at 35-percent shooting. On the other end of the court, G'town cans 50.6-percent of their attempts, good enough for the 4th best mark in college baskets. It's a complete mismatch as far as I'm concerned. I expect a 20-point road win by the visitor. My 25* Slam Dunk is a play on Georgetown, minus points. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Scott Spreitzer's CBB Conf. Game of the Month! *53-26, 67% GOM Run!
My A-10 GOM is a play on St. Joseph's, minus points over George Washington. The Hawks are in revenge for last March's tourney loss to GW. This Colonials' squad is a far cry from the last few editions. First of all, GWU is basically a team that comes down the court and fires up their first look. That explains their horrible average of just over 11 assists per game. Shooting too quickly in a possession is not always bad, unless you can't shoot. That describes GWU, making just over 40-percent of their shots. On the other end of the floor, look for the Hawks to be able to score from the perimeter and pound the ball inside whenever needed. Calathes and Nivens go 6'10 and 6'9 and will have their way against the Colonials. The two combine for over 33 points and over 15 rebounds per night. Then, the Colonials have to deal with Ferguson and Govens, who attempt 4.1 and 5.8 treys per game, respectively. If they get guard Tasheed Carr back tonight from an ankle sprain, it will be an added bonus. If he doesn't play, I expect it to be no big deal. After all they have won three straight games without Carr, who is their third leading scorer. The Hawks enter tonight's game, winners of eight of their last nine, while GWU enters having dropped four in a row by an average margin of over 14 PPG. St. Joe's gets their revenge and we get our A-10 GOM victory. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Alex Smart
Today's Pick: CLEVELAND CAVALIERS +3
The Cleveland Cavaliers enter into this contest in top form, having won, 10 of their L/12 games, while their hosts, the Portland Trailblazers ,after a hot December, have cooled off considerably losing 5 of their L/8 overall . LaBron James and company have even played well on the road and will be going for their 5th straight road victory. With these teams performing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, Im predicting the Cavs will not easily be refused in this spot , and recommending taking the points. Final notes & Key Trends: The Cavaliers are 18-0 ATS L/18 with at least one day of rest during the regular season off a win of four points or fewer in which they held a double digit lead, which happened last time out against the LA Lakers on Sunday. Play on Cleveland to cover
INDAN COWBOY
Timberwolves -4.5 (5 units): Game of the Month.
(10-2 on 5* selections year to date).
I had this card sipohned off yesterday depending on the fact if the Twolves lose and if the Raptors lose considering both teams are playing home and homes, However, with the given line in the Raptors game I laid off as the Wizards could show some bite as they did at Boston, but of course, they don't have Caron for this game. We have profited the last 2 weeks, the last month and this basketball season considerably, so I am laying the wood down down today to end off the month strong and likely taking it easy tomorrow. It amuses me when other touts, such as even my friend Brandon who claims, "Today is my largest card of this season!" - by the way I know many do not like Brandon as their handicapper, but then againk, he is neither my handicapper and I only know him as a friend when we used to work for Steve Budin at sportsadvisors.com. By the way, Steve Budin actually owns whowillcover.com - a company that I sold to him a year ago and that is how we became acquaitances and I merged with sportsadvisors before joining to head up capperslounge. We are all still good friends. But, when Brandon says, I have the biggest card of the season it amuses me - To me, if you bet for the "day" you are toast. But, if you bet for an entire season, and understand that it is a woven framework and that a game last month or in this case yesterday, intricately plays a role into a wager the following month or 6 weeks when these 2 teams meet again. Such is the case today. Thus, this a game in particular why I laid off yesterday simply to wait and see if the Bulls can pull of a surprising win as irrelevante of the fact they won yesterday, I still considered them to be an underdog to how the Twolves have been playing.
In short, the Wolves are in a great spot today. If you remember, this play has built up for 2 weeks. I noticed the Wolves showing a lot of heart a month ago and took the over in the game against the Warriors, showing that I belive the will be an "active underdog" and this game will go over - which it did. I then took the over when the Twolves played the Suns on the same basis, they were active again and that game went over with another Twolves outright win. This team also beat the Nets at home and had a tough loss on the road at Chicago and I believe they will be fired up to win here. Don't forget, the Bulls lost on the road to Memphis by 14 and Atlanta by 21. This team does show tinkers in the armor when they are on the road, and with Gordon still doubtful and Duhon out, I think this team will struggle in a revenge game for the Twolves on the road today. Kirk can't do all the work all the time. The Twolves are in a good spot as the Bulls are 0-6 ATS following a straight up which shows their inconsistencies and the Twolves are 4-1 ATS follwoing a straight up loss.
Sixers: -7.5 (3 units)
he Sixers need a big home win and I believe they get it here. I have them as a strong motivation to win this game in a big way tonight as if you remember this team lost on the road to Milwaukee earlier this year. Don't down play the Sixers, they won on the road at Charlotte and are a strong defensive team. I have said it over and over again that if the public is hounding a public underdog such as the Bucks, there is a reason for it and I believe they are on the wrong end. The Sixers remember the 4 point loss at home they took on their floor in January, they return home after their road trip and this is the same team that beat Toronto at home. I look for the Sixers to do very well tonight and the Bucks to have some lack of scoring without Redd and the Sixers to likely win by double-digits here. The Bucks have not covered their last 4 road ballgames while the Sixers are 6-2 ATS against teams with a straight up losing record meaning they win and cover the games against the teams they are supposed to.
Kings -7.5 (3 units)
You are well aware that I like the Kings and I get the off a small road win here as they return home after a 3 game road trip. The Kings face a Bobcat team that is making strides but beat a Clippers team that was banged up and a Bulls team that were banged up. The Kings are not banged up - anymore. They have Artest, Bibby, Martin, Miller and Moore who are all sound players and face a Charlotte team that has the ability to lose on the road and lose big - such as 28 by New Orleans. Are the Kings as good as New Orleans no - but at home, this team is dominant such as that 34 point win against the Nets. I look for the Kings to do well at home today where the home team is 6-0 ATS during these mathcups and the Bobcats are just 2-8 ATS as big underdogs on the road of this margin. Meaning if and when they lose, they lose big on the road.
Frank Rosenthal
NBA HOOPS
502 MAGIC-15
OVER 195
509 BULLS OVER 185
511 WARRIORS+9
OVER 217
514 BLAZERS-2
516 JAZZ-12.5
OVER 206
519 HAWKS-1.5
OVER 185
COLLEGE HOOPS
521 IOWA+10.5
525 UMASS OVER 169
530 MARYLAND-6
533 NOVA+7.5
OVER 142.5
553 CINCY+14.5
UNDER 134
574 MISSOURI-4
579 VANDY UNDER 167
591 ILLINOIS+10
OVER 125
594 AF+4.5
UNDER 122