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Betting News and Notes - Mar. 5

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(@mvbski)
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What bettors need to know: Pistons at Celtics
Covers.com

Recent meetings

This is the season’s rubber match between the Celtics and Pistons, who have split the first two games. Detroit beat the Celtics in Boston in December by a bucket as 8-point underdogs and Boston returned the favor a few weeks later with a 92-85 win at the Palace at Auburn Hills as a 2-point underdog.

Detroit’s appetizer

Before the main course, Detroit hosts the lowly Seattle Super Sonics Tuesday night at the Palace as huge 15-point favorites. The Pistons are 9-4-1 against the spread in the second game of back-to-backs this year.

Billups is back

Chauncey Billups is back with the Pistons after missing Saturday’s 30-point pounding of the Clippers to deal with a personal matter. No further details about his absence were released by the team.

Home-court advantage

The Pistons can pull within three games of the Celtics and home-court advantage in the playoffs with a win Tuesday, not that they’d say it makes much difference.

Since 2003, the Pistons have played in five Eastern Conference finals and two NBA Finals. In those seven series, they are 0-3 when they have home-court advantage and 3-1 when they don't.

"We're close," Chauncey Billups told reporters, when asked about catching Boston. "But I don't really think about it. One thing we learned around here from the last couple of postseasons is that the only thing that matters is that we're playing the right ball at the right time."

Sam I am

No official word yet from the Celtics, but Sam Cassell is expected to sign with Boston for the remainder of the season.

“Obviously I’m thrilled to get Sam,” coach Doc Rivers told the Boston Herald. “He’s coming in with the right frame of mind. He understands that he’s just coming in to fit in and be another piece of the puzzle that we’re trying to put together to do something special.”

Don’t expect Cassell to be in the mix against Detroit, or to steal Rajon Rondo’s starting point guard job. Cassell received a buyout from the Clippers last week and cleared waivers yesterday, paving the way for his move to Beantown.

Home sweet home

Detroit plays 14 of its last 23 games in front of its home crowd at the Palace at Auburn Hills, where the Pistons have lost just five times (17-10 ATS) all year.

"We're on the other side of the hill now, we're on our way down," captain Chauncey Billups told Free Press Sports. "So we've just got to take care of business the best way we can. The games that we should win, we've just got to take care of business and win them, and the other games we've just got to try our best to win. I'm happy where we're at, I'm happy with what the future hopefully holds for this team, and it feels good to be sitting where we're at right now."

Big Ticket a big problem for bettors?

The Celtics may be happy Kevin Garnett’s back, but Boston bettors aren’t thrilled. The Celtics have won five straight after dropping the first two games KG played after recovering from an abdominal strain, but are just 2-5 against the spread over that stretch.

However, Garnett played his best game since returning on Sunday in a win over the Hawks, posting 20 points and 16 rebounds in just over 35 minutes.

“He’s all the way back,” Paul Pierce told reporters following the game. “Didn’t you all watch the game tonight? When he’s going to the basket inside-outside and dominating the rebounds, that’s the Kevin Garnett I like to see.”

“His rhythm is coming back on the post,” Celtics coach Doc Rivers added. “He’s starting to drive the ball more, and that’s really nice to see. We need it.”

D-up

Everybody knows all about Detroit is defense, but the Celtics can play a bit of ‘D’ too.

Detroit owns the league’s best scoring defense allowing just 90.2 points per game, while Boston allows 90.6 points a night.

 
Posted : March 5, 2008 7:27 am
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NBA Today

Cleveland at Chicago (7 p.m. EST). LeBron James scored 37 points in the Cavaliers' 95-86 victory over the Bulls on Sunday.

STARS

-Kobe Bryant and Pau Gasol, Lakers. Bryant scored 17 of his 34 points in the fourth-quarter and Pau Gasol added 31 points in Los Angeles' 117-105 win over Sacramento.

-Baron Davis, Warriors, scored 35 points to lead Golden State to a 135-118 over Atlanta.

-Tim Duncan, Spurs, had 29 points and 12 rebounds in San Antonio's 81-70 victory against New Jersey.

ROAD WARRIORS

Golden State won its fourth straight victory, 135-118 over the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday night. The Warriors improved to 16-12 on the road, its most victories away from Oakland since 1993-94.

STREAKING

Detroit overcame a slow start to beat Seattle for the seventh straight time Tuesday night, 100-97. ... Chicago beat Memphis 112-97 to extend the Grizzlies' losing streak to nine games. The Grizzlies are on their longest losing streak since an 0-13 start in 2002-03 and have dropped 15 of 16.

SNAPPED

Charlotte snapped a nine-game road losing streak with a 109-89 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday night. The Bobcats won for just the fifth time on the road this season and first since a 107-100 victory over the Clippers on Jan. 28.

STRONG IN DEFEAT

Joe Johnson had 38 points, 29 of them in the first-half, but Atlanta fell to Golden State 135-118 on Tuesday.

REINSTATED

The NBA reinstated Chris Andersen from a drug suspension on Tuesday, and the New Orleans Hornets will have the first chance to sign their former player. Andersen was kicked out on Jan. 27, 2006, for violating the league's drug policy. Since he was ``dismissed and disqualified'' for a specific violation, he was forced to wait two years to apply for reinstatement.

SPEAKING

``It's better than hearing cowbells. That was a trip. It felt great, though. I don't got to worry about nobody poisoning my burger now. I can eat in peace.'' - Kobe Bryant, who received MVP chants amid boos during the Los Angeles Lakers' 117-105 win at Sacramento on Tuesday night.

 
Posted : March 5, 2008 7:35 am
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Wednesday's top NCAA bets

COVERS.com
Tennessee vs. Florida (+3, -155)

The Volunteers can clinch the outright SEC East title with a win and can secure the outright regular season league championship with a win and a Mississippi State loss at Vanderbilt tonight.

Tennessee is 5-1 overall and 2-0 on the road against Florida with Chris Lofton in the lineup. The senior has averaged 20.3 points on 53.4 percent shooting against the Gators in his career. He had 26 points on 6-of-11 3-point shooting in the Vols' 104-82 win over Florida in Knoxville on Feb. 5. Tyler Smith and JaJuan Smith each added 23 points in that game.

Florida likely needs to win at least one of its last two games to earn an NCAA tourney berth and after tonight, they end the regular season at Kentucky on Sunday.

Pick: Tennessee -3

Minnesota vs. Indiana (-9, 140)

The 18th-ranked Hoosiers look to bounce back from their worst defeat in four years when they host Minnesota tonight. Indiana (24-5, 13-3 Big Ten) lost 103-74 at then-No. 19 Michigan State on Sunday for its most lopsided defeat since losing 79-45 at Wisconsin on Jan. 6, 2004.

The loss snapped the Hoosiers' four-game winning streak and was their first in three games since Kelvin Sampson resigned as coach on Feb. 22 amid NCAA allegations of major rule infractions.

We might expect another lax effort, but this is senior D.J. White’s last college game at home and you can expect him to keep the Hoosiers’ energy level high.

The Gophers are 0-6 versus Top 25 teams this season and have lost their last 11 games versus ranked opponents.

Pick: under 140

 
Posted : March 5, 2008 8:57 am
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Wednesday's best NBA bets
COVERS.com

Orlando at Washington (+2½, 202)

Sure, the Wizards have pulled up their socks lately and finally figured out how to win without Gilbert Arenas and Caron Butler. If you’ve been riding this team lately, you’re probably pretty happy with the way Antawn Jamison has put the team on his shoulders, the toughness of Brendan Haywood in the paint, and the maturation of Nick Young. And you’re obviously pleased with their 8-2 ATS record in the last 10 games too. But here’s a caveat: the Magic are even hotter. They’ve covered in five of their last six games and a win over Toronto last night further entrenched their hold on third place in the Eastern Conference. This is a young team that isn’t slowed by playing back-to-backs (10-5 ATS) and they love road games (22-11 ATS), so I wouldn’t worry too much about laying points on the road against a rested team.

Pick: Wizards

Seattle at Milwaukee (-9, 208½)

Excuse me, but could someone please tell me what the Bucks have done lately to justify a pointspread like this? It couldn’t be a 22-point loss to the 11th-place team in the Eastern Conference in their last game. I doubt it’s the 111 points they’ve been giving up over their last five games against such "offensive powerhouses" as San Antonio (20th ranked offense), Cleveland (17th), and New Jersey (27th).

Really though, its probably got more to do with the fact that they’ve covered the spread in their last five home games, but don't forget they were dogged in every one of those. They haven’t been favored by anywhere close to this much all year – actually, they haven’t been favored much at all, but in games they were, they have a 3-9 ATS record. In spite of all this, it’s still not easy to lay your money down on the Sonics, but would it help if I told you Seattle has covered in its last seven road games and four straight against the Bucks?

Pick: Sonics

New Jersey at Memphis (+3, 201)

There’s not much to like about the Nets, especially since Jason Kidd skipped town, but if there’s one thing the Nets like, it’s an easy target. And there isn’t a team in the NBA that more closely resembles a wounded animal than the Memphis Grizzlies. Even though they’re consistently on the receiving end of double-digit pointspreads, they haven’t covered in nine straight games. Since Memphis parted with Pau Gasol, they are 3-11 ATS and the biggest difference has been on defense. In their last five games, they’re averaging 115.4 points allowed opponents to shoot 54.2 percent from the field. Vince Carter & Co. were almost completely snuffed out by the Spurs defense in their recent home-and-home series, so the Memphis “D” should look like a wide-open country road by comparison.

Pick: Nets

 
Posted : March 5, 2008 8:58 am
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(6) Duke (25-3, 14-11-2 ATS) at Virginia (14-13, 12-10 ATS)

The Blue Devils, who have a Saturday home clash with archrival North Carolina looming, will first hit the road for an ACC matchup against surging Virginia, which has won three of its last four.

Duke (12-2 in the ACC) remained in a first-place tie with North Carolina atop the league standings with Saturday’s come-from-behind 87-86 victory at North Carolina State, winning on two DeMarcus Nelson free throws with 1:01 left to cap a 14-5 game-ending run. It was the 800th career win for coach Mike Krzyzewski, though his club failed to cash as a 10½-point road chalk, falling to 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven contests after going 6-0-1 ATS to start conference play.

Two days after falling just short at Miami in a 95-93 shootout Saturday as a seven-point pup, Virginia edged Georgia Tech 76-74 Monday night as a 4½-point road underdog, The Cavaliers (4-10, 7-7 ATS in the ACC) have cashed in five straight games, all in league play.

Duke is on a 9-1 tear in this rivalry, but is just 3-6-1 ATS in that span, including 1-5-1 ATS in the last six (all as a favorite). The Blue Devils rolled to an 87-65 home win on Jan. 13 laying 15 points, but in last year’s only meeting, Virginia posted a 68-66 overtime home win as a two-point ‘dog. The road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

The Blue Devils have a host of negative ATS trends, including 3-11-1 on Wednesday, 1-4-1 against teams with a winning SU mark and 0-5-1 in ACC play.

The Cavaliers, who were on an 0-5 ATS slide before their current 5-0 ATS uptick, are on positive pointspread runs of 6-1 at home against teams with a winning road record, 5-1-1 versus teams with a winning SU mark and 4-1 following a SU win. On the negative side, they are 1-4 ATS in their last five Wednesday outings.

The under is 5-2 in Duke’s last seven Wednesday games and is 5-2 after a non-cover. For Virginia, the under is on a 6-2 tear in ACC play and is 5-2 in its last seven on Wednesday and 14-6-1 in its last 21 following a SU win. Finally, the total has stayed low in four of the last five meetings in this series, with the January clash falling just short of the 155½-point posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: VIRGINIA and UNDER

Mississippi State (20-8, 13-12 ATS) at (16) Vanderbilt (24-5, 15-13 ATS)

The Bulldogs takes a three-game winning streak to Nashville for an SEC battle against Vanderbilt, which just had its seven-game winning streak snapped.

Mississippi State upset two-time defending national champion Florida 68-59 Saturday as a 3½-point road ‘dog, posting its sixth victory in the last seven games (4-3 ATS). The Bulldogs (11-3, 8-6 ATS in the SEC) have won and cashed on three of their last four SEC road trips.

Vanderbilt, coming off its biggest win of the season in beating then-No. 1 Tennessee 72-69 last week as a two-point home pup, couldn’t sustain the momentum in a 78-73 loss at Arkansas on Saturday. However, the Commodores (11-3, 8-4-2 ATS in the ACC) did cover as a 6½-point ‘dog, cashing for the third straight time.

These two teams have met just once each of the last three years, with Mississippi State going 2-1 SU and Vanderbilt going 2-1 ATS. Last year, the Bulldogs won 83-70 at home giving 6½ points, avenging an 80-52 blowout loss at Vandy as a 12-point underdog in 2006. The Commodores are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings.

The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight roadies, but they’ve failed to cash in four straight Wednesday affairs.

The Commodores are on a 6-1 ATS streak, but they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games versus teams with a winning road record.

The under is 9-2-1 in Mississippi State’s last 12 road games and 10-4 in Vanderbilt’s last 14 conference contests. However, the Commodores have topped the total in 34 over their last 50 starts at Memorial Gym.

ATS ADVANTAGE: VANDERBILT

(4) Tennessee (26-3, 14-11 ATS) at Florida (21-8, 11-9 ATS)

The Volunteers, whose first-ever stay atop the national rankings was brief, travel to Gainesville for an SEC clash with two-time defending national champion Florida, which is clinging to NCAA Tournament hopes.

Tennessee bounced back from last week’s 72-69 loss at Vanderbilt and barely edged Kentucky 63-60 Sunday, falling way short as a heavy 14½-point home favorite. The Volunteers (12-2, 8-6 ATS in the SEC) have won 10 of their last 11 (7-4 ATS), all in league play. However, they have failed to cash in consecutive league games for the first time all season.

Florida was dealt a 68-59 home loss against Mississippi State on Saturday as a 3½-point favorite, ending a two-game winning streak. The Gators (8-6 SU and ATS in the SEC) cashed in their first six SEC contests this season, but are just 2-6 ATS since.

Tennessee has had plenty of success against Florida, going 7-3 SU and ATS in the last 10 meetings, including a 104-82 home beatdown laying 9½ points on Feb. 5. Last year in Gainesville, though, Florida won 94-78, barely covering the 15-point spread. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and the home team is also 4-1 ATS. Finally, the SU winner is 10-0 ATS in the last 10 clashes, and the underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

The Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last five starts against teams with a winning SU record and are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 Wednesday contests. Meanwhile, the Gators are on an 0-4 ATS slide in Gainesville and are 1-6 ATS in their last seven against teams with a winning SU record.

The over is 4-1 in Tennessee’s last five Wednesday games and is 7-1 in Florida’s last eight following a SU loss. The over is also 5-2 in the last seven series clashes (3-0 in the last three) and 4-1 in the last five clashes in Gainesville.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TENNESSEE and OVER

Texas A&M (21-8, 11-12 ATS) at Baylor (20-8, 12-8 ATS)

The Aggies, coming off Saturday’s embarrassing offensive display at Oklahoma, travel to Waco for an instate Big 12 battle against Baylor, which has rebounded from a four-game losing streak to win three in a row as both squads look to enhance their NCAA Tournament resume.

One game after routing Texas Tech 98-54 at home, Texas A&M got flattened at Oklahoma 64-37 on Saturday as a one-point ‘dog, making just 13 of its 51 shots (25.5 percent) in finishing with a season-low point total. The Aggies (7-7, 6-8 ATS in the Big 12) are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five starts, scoring less than 60 points in all four defeats.

Baylor outgunned Missouri 100-89 Saturday laying five points at home, cashing for the fourth straight game. The Bears (8-6 SU and ATS in the Big 12) are 5-2 ATS in their last seven contests, all in league play.

These teams hooked up for arguably the most exciting game of the college hoops season to date on Jan. 23, when Baylor claimed a 116-110 victory in five overtimes, cashing as a nine-point road pup. Although Texas A&M is still 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, Baylor is 8-2 ATS in that span, all as an underdog. Also, the Bears are 7-1 ATS in the last eight clashes in Waco.

The Aggies are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 roadies versus teams with a winning home record. Meanwhile, the Bears are on positive ATS runs of 6-1 against winning teams, 18-6 after a SU victory and 19-7 following a spread-cover.

The under is 6-1 in Texas A&M’s last seven on the road. However, the over 13-1 in Baylor’s last 14 overall, all in Big 12 play. The over is also on streaks for Baylor of 19-7 overall, 7-0 at home, 5-1 on Wednesday and 36-17-1 in conference. Finally, the over is 5-2 in the last seven series meetings between these schools, with the five-overtime January contest obviously flying way over the 142½-point posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BAYLOR and OVER

Detroit (44-16, 34-25-1) at Boston (46-12, 33-23-2 ATS)

The top two teams in the Eastern Conference hook up for the final time in the regular season, with the Celtics looking to extend their five-game winning streak when they host the Pistons.

Boston began the week with Monday’s 98-88 rout of the Hawks for its five consecutive win overall and its seventh straight win at home. However, the Celtics came up short as an 11½-point home chalk, falling to 2-6 ATS in their last eight, including three consecutive non-covers.

Detroit is coming last night’s surprisingly difficult 100-97 victory over the Sonics, never threatening to cover as a 15-point home favorite. The Pistons are 15-3 in their last 18 games, but only 9-9 ATS. Tonight marks the team’s fifth road game in its last six contests, and it is 3-1 SU and ATS in the previous four on the highway.

The Pistons handed Boston just its third loss of the season back on Dec. 19, as Chauncey Billups hit a pair of free throws with a second to play to earn an 87-85 victory as a six-point underdog. However, the Celtics got revenge in Motown two weeks later, scoring a 92-85 upset win as a two-point road underdog.

The ‘dog has cashed in five straight meetings and eight of the last 10 in this rivalry, while the visitor is on a 7-0 ATS tear.

Boston is 26-4 at home, but just 16-13-1 ATS, including 5-8-1 ATS in the last 14. Tonight, the C’s face one of the NBA’s best road teams, as Detroit is 21-11 as a visitor (17-14-1 ATS).

The Pistons are on ATS streaks of 13-4 against the Atlantic Division, 11-4-1 when playing on back-to-back nights and 10-4-1 on Wednesdays.

The Celtics are on a 4-1 ATS roll against Central Division foes, but 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight Wednesday outings.

Boston has followed up a 12-6 “over” streak by staying under the total in three of its last four. The under is also 7-2 in Boston’s last nine against the Central Division and 9-3 in Detroit’s last 12 against the Atlantic Division. Finally, the under is 6-1 in the last seven series meetings, including 2-0 this year, and 4-0 in the last four battles in Boston.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DETROIT and UNDER

Phoenix (40-20, 27-31-2 ATS) at Denver (35-24, 29-30 ATS)

The Nuggets and Suns, two teams in a freefall in the Western Conference playoff standings, look to turn things around when they clash at the Pepsi Center in Denver.

Denver is just 3-5 in its last eight games, including Sunday’s ugly 103-89 loss at Houston. The Nuggets failed as a five-point road underdog in that contest, dropping to 2-7 ATS in their last nine games, including back-to-back non-covers at home.

Phoenix comes into this one off of last night’s 97-92 win at Portland as a two-point road favorite. The win snapped a two-game slide for the Suns have, who are still just 4-5 SU in their last nine and 5-8-1 ATS in their last 14 (3-2 ATS on the road).

In the only previous meeting between these teams this year, the Suns rolled to a 137-115 victory, cashing as a 7½-point home favorite. Phoenix is 8-2 in the last 10 clashes (6-4 ATS), but 2-2 in its last four trips to Denver (1-3 ATS). In fact, the home team is 8-2 SU and ATS in the last 10 in this series, including 5-0 ATS in the last five.

The Nuggets have been solid at the Pepsi Center, going 23-7 SU and 17-13 ATS, including 9-4 ATS in the last 13. George Karl’s club is also 8-1 ATS in its last nine when favored by 5 to 10 ½ points (6-0 ATS in the last six), but it has negative ATS streaks of 10-22 on Wednesdays, 2-5 when playing on two days’ rest and 0-4 against the Pacific Division.

Phoenix is stuck in ATS ruts of 2-5 on back-to-back nights, 3-7 against the Northwest Division and 1-6-1 on Wednesdays.

There doesn’t figure to be much defense played in this contest, as the Suns rank second in the NBA at 109.5 points per game, while the Nuggets are fourth at 107.3 ppg. Also, both give up nearly 105 ppg.

Although it stayed well under the total last night in Portland, Phoenix has still topped the total in four of its last five outings and eight of the last 10, while Denver has gone high in 10 of its last 14 overall, including five of six at home. Finally, the over is on additional streaks of 6-1 when the Nuggets are favored, 6-0 for Phoenix on Wednesdays, 6-1 for Phoenix on the road and 3-0 in this series.

ATS ADVANTAGE:DENVER and OVER

Gametimepicks.com

 
Posted : March 5, 2008 11:00 am
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Boston College at Miami Florida, 7:00 EST ESPNU
Boston College: 8-1 Over off ATS win
Miami Florida: 6-0 ATS after scoring 80+ points

Duke at Virginia, 7:00 EST ESPN
Duke: 12-1 Over after allowing 80+ points
Virginia: 7-0 Under off road win

Minnesota at Indiana, 7:00 EST
Minnesota: 10-20 ATS as an underdog
Indiana: 22-11 Over vs. conference

Kentucky at South Carolina, 7:00 EST
Kentucky: 11-3 Under vs. conference
South Carolina: 0-6 ATS off SU win as underdog

Syracuse at Seton Hall, 7:00 EST ESPN2
Syracuse: 6-1 Under vs. Seton Hall
Seton Hall: 2-9 ATS off road game

Fordham at Richmond, 7:00 EST
Fordham: 0-8 ATS after playing BB games as favorite
Richmond: 8-1 ATS off SU loss

Duquesne at Temple, 7:00 EST
Duquesne: 1-8 ATS off SU loss
Temple: 11-3 ATS vs. conference

Dayton at St Bonaventure, 7:00 EST
Dayton: 8-1 Over off ATS win
St Bonaventure: 6-0 Over off Under

La Salle at Massachusetts, 7:30 EST
La Salle: 8-0 ATS in road games
Massachusetts: 6-0 Over as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

St John's at Notre Dame, 7:30 EST
St John's: 0-6 ATS after a win by 3 points or less
Notre Dame: 13-1 Over off BB conference games

Mississippi State at Vanderbilt, 8:00 EST
Mississippi State: 22-11 ATS off SU win
Vanderbilt: 14-6 Over as a favorite

Central Florida at Houston, 8:00 EST
Central Florida: 1-7 ATS off home win
Houston: 22-10 Under as home favorite

Iowa State at Missouri, 8:00 EST
Iowa State: 16-4 Over Away off ATS loss
Missouri: 0-8 ATS as DD home favorite

Memphis at SMU, 8:00 EST CSTV
Memphis: 22-6 Under after scoring 75+ points BB Games
SMU: 8-24 ATS at home off home win

Alabama at LSU, 8:00 EST
Alabama: 6-0 Under on Wednesdays
LSU: 1-7 ATS as a favorite

Tulsa at UAB, 8:00 EST
Tulsa: 6-0 ATS off win by 15+ points
UAB: 22-10 Over in home games

(TC) Penn State at Wisconsin, 9:00 EST
Penn State: 12-22 ATS as underdog
Wisconsin: 6-0 Under at home playing with 5 or 6 days rest

Oklahoma at Oklahoma State, 8:00 EST
Oklahoma: 3-12 ATS Away vs. conference
Oklahoma State: 11-3 Under revenging road loss

Georgia at Auburn, 8:00 EST
Georgia: 6-17 ATS as an underdog
Auburn: 16-3 ATS off ATS loss

Marshall at Tulane, 8:00 EST
Marshall: 1-9 ATS off loss by 15+ points
Tulane: 11-3 Under vs. conference

South Florida at Villanova, 8:00 EST
South Florida: 8-2 ATS off SU win
Villanova: 0-6 ATS off DD loss

East Carolina at Rice (at Leonard E. Merrell Center), 8:30 EST
East Carolina: 0-7 ATS in road games
Rice: 10-0 ATS revenging a DD loss

TCU at Air Force, 9:00 EST
TCU: 1-10 ATS after a game with 9 or less assists
Air Force: 24-9 ATS off loss by 15+ points

Tennessee at Florida, 9:00 EST
Tennessee: 2-12 ATS Away off Under
Florida: 11-1 Under at home off SU conference loss as favorite

Texas A&M at Baylor, 9:00 EST ESPN2
Texas A&M: 1-8 ATS at Baylor
Baylor: 13-1 Over vs. conference

Wyoming at BYU, 10:00 EST
Wyoming: 11-1 Over as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points
BYU: 6-0 Over in March

Pacific at Cal Riverside, 10:00 EST
Pacific: 7-0 ATS Away if the total is 129.5 or less
Cal Riverside: 4-15 ATS at home off BB road losses

Sun Belt Conference Tournament
Opening Round
Bottom Team Is Home

Florida Intl. at Florida Atlantic, 7:00 EST
Florida Intl.: 8-0 Under when the total is 140 to 149.5
Florida Atlantic: 15-3 Over in home games

(TC) Troy at UL Lafayette, 9:00 EST
Troy: 2-9 ATS in road games
UL Lafayette: 8-2 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games

Denver U at New Orleans, 8:00 EST
Denver U: 11-0 Under when the total is 120 to 129.5
New Orleans: 10-2 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less

Arkansas State at North Texas, 8:15 EST
Arkansas State: 10-24 ATS revenging same season loss
North Texas: 6-0 Under as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

UL Monroe at Middle Tenn. St., 8:30 EST
UL Monroe: 12-4 Under as underdog
Middle Tenn. St.: 7-0 Under off home win

 
Posted : March 5, 2008 3:51 pm
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