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Milwaukee is 8-0 vs teams ranked #200 or lower, but three of the eight wins are by 5 or less points; Panthers are holding teams to an amazingly low 23.4% from arc, #1 in country, but they've lost three of last four on road, with red flag loss at Western Michigan. Youngstown State is 4-3 in Horizon play, winning both home games by 4-21 points. Milwaukee is 4-0 in last four series games, winning by 9-7-2-10 points. Horizon home underdogs are 5-4 vs spread.
Green Bay is 7-10 this year; 7-1 at home, 0-9 on road, losing three road games in Horizon play by total of 8 points- they turn ball over 23.5% of time (299th), make just 32% of 3's (263rd) which hurt in close losses. Three of Cleveland State's four losses are to teams ranked #146 or lower; they're #2 in country forcing turnovers (27.9%), but also put teams on foul line 3rd-most time in country. Horizon home favorites are 12-17 vs spread, 2-4 if they're laying double digits.
Vastly-improved Manhattan (12-7, 5-2 in league despite turning it over 24.5% of time) won last three games by 2-3-19 points; they're 9-3 in last dozen games, after a 3-4 start. Marist lost its last four games, all by 10+ points; Red Foxes shoot the ball well but are poor on defense (#283 in eFG%, and turn ball over a lot themselves (21.9% of time)). Marist has won six of eight at home, losing to Bucknell/Iona good clubs. MAAC home underdogs are 4-6 vs spread, 3-4 if they're getting single digits.
Rider is 5-1 vs teams ranked #281 or lower, 1-12 vs everyone else, with seven losses by 16+ points, but three of their last four setbacks were by 9 or less points. Broncs are playing fourth straight road game, losing last two by 4-9 points. Iona makes 56.6% of 2-point shots, so they're smart on offense- all six of its MAAC wins are by 11+ points. MAAC home favorites are 13-13-1 vs spread this season, 2-6 if they're laying double digits.
Games to Watch
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
Wisconsin Green Bay vs. Cleveland State
Green Bay snapped a four-game losing streak with a 57-56 win over Wright State on Saturday, but could not cover as a 5½-point home favorite. The Phoenix are now 7-10 SU overall and 7-7 ATS. They have yet to win a game on the road this season at 0-9 SU, but are 5-3 ATS.
The Vikings are coming off a 72-66 loss to Valparaiso this past Sunday as one-point road underdogs. They are 15-4 SU overall and 5-2 SU in the Horizon League. Cleveland State is 7-9 ATS and the total has gone ‘over’ in its last eight games after staying ‘under’ in its first eight.
WI-MILWAUKEE (13 - 6) at YOUNGSTOWN ST (9 - 8)
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in January games since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 137-101 ATS (+25.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
WI-MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
WI-MILWAUKEE is 4-0 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY (7 - 10) at CLEVELAND ST (15 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
WI-GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND ST is 40-80 ATS (-48.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND ST is 2-2 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 3-1 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN (12 - 7) at MARIST (7 - 11)
Top Trends for this game.
MANHATTAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
MANHATTAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
MANHATTAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 2-2 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
MARIST is 2-2 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
RIDER (6 - 13) at IONA (14 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
RIDER is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
RIDER is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
RIDER is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
IONA is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
IONA is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
IONA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 4-1 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 4-1 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Wisc-Milwaukee is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Wisc-Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Youngstown State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Youngstown State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
WISC-GREEN BAY vs. CLEVELAND STATE
Wisc-Green Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wisc-Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland State
Cleveland State is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland State's last 5 games
MANHATTAN vs. MARIST
Manhattan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Manhattan is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Marist is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Marist is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
RIDER vs. IONA
Rider is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rider's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iona
Iona is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
Iona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Friday's Top College Basketball Trends
MANHATTAN is 13-4 ATS in all lined games (vs Marist)
WI-MILWAUKEE is 12-2 ATS playing only 2nd game in 8 days (vs Youngstown St)
CLEVELAND ST is 40-80 ATS off a conference loss (vs WI-Green Bay)
IONA is 4-16 ATS as home favorite of 12.5 or more pts (vs Rider)
RIDER is 12-3 ATS as road underdog (vs Iona)