CBB Games to Watch
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
No. 24 Harvard Crimson vs. Yale Bulldogs
Harvard continues to hold a spot in the national rankings with an impressive 16-2 SU record overall. It posted it second-straight win in Ivy League play with a 54-38 victory over Dartmouth this past Saturday as a 14-point home favorite. The Crimson are 8-5 ATS overall and 4-2 ATS on the road. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 10 of 13 games this season.
Yale has the second-best overall record in the conference at 12-4 SU and is 3-2-1 ATS. The Bulldogs posted their fourth straight win on Saturday with a 73-60 victory over Brown as six-point road favorites. They are 5-0 SU (0-1 ATS) at home this season and the total has stayed ‘under’ in four of six games overall.
NCAAB Preview
Dartmouth lost five in row, eight of last nine games with Brown, losing last six visits here by 3-20-26-10-15-24 points; seven of Brown's last eight series wins are by 9+ points. Big Green lost seven of its last eight games; they're 2-1 against teams ranked lower than #300. Brown lost six of its last seven games, with four of six losses by 9+ points- they're 3-12 vs teams ranked above #300. Dartmouth's only win in its last games was over #324 Longwood.
Ill-Chicago was 10-22 from arc, Detroit 0-10 in Flames' 63-59 win over the Titans Dec 29, 13th win for home team in last 16 series games. UIC lost seven of last eight visits here, losing last two by 3-14 points. Flames are 1-6 since beating Detroit, losing their last three road games by 17-21-6 points- they turn ball over on 23.9% of possessions. Horizon double digit home favorites are 3-4 against the spread. Detroit won four of last five games, winning last three at home by 11-15-16 points.
Loyola, Chi had 21 turnovers (-12) in 64-48 home loss to Wright State in first meeting; Ramblers lost four in row, 10 of last 11 games vs Raiders, losing last six in Nutter Center by 14-26-4-21-18-13 points. Loyola lost its last eight games, losing away games by 4-21-7-15 points. Wright lost four of last six games, but won last two at home by 18-6 points; they're 5-0 vs teams ranked below #250, with three wins by 16+ points. Horizon home favorites are 17-19 this season.
Harvard won four of last five games with Yale, but lost by a point here LY, its sixth loss in last eight visits to New Haven; with Ivy League not having a conference tourney, this is one of two huge games that should decide the Ivy champ. Crimson allowed 49 ppg in winning its last four games since odd loss at Fordham; they're 7-2 in true road games, losing also at UConn. Three of last four series games were decided by 3 or less points. Yale won 10 of last 12 games (lost to Wake Forest/Florida).
Marist lost its last nine games with Siena, losing last four visits here by 4-25-25-8 points; Red Foxes lost last five games, all by 10+ points, with road losses in MAAC play by 13-13-10-19 points. MAAC single digit home favorites are 13-8-1 against the spread. Siena upset Iona last game after being down 10 at half; they've won last five home games, three by 4 or less points. Saints are 1-0-1 as a MAAC favorite this year. Marist is 0-5 against the spread in its last five games.
Home side won last nine Iona-Fairfield games, with Gaels losing last five trips to this gym, by 3-9-2-17-4 points. Iona split last four games, with both losses as double digit favorites; they're 4-3 vs teams ranked higher than #150. MAAC favorites are 7-3-1 vs spread when number is 4 or less points. Fairfield turns ball over 22% of time and makes just 65.1% of its foul shots- they're disappointing 5-3 in MAAC, with two of three losses by total of five points.
Loyola Md (-12) lost 66-61 at home to Niagara Jan 2, as Purple Eagles made 7-13 from arc, Loyola 4-20; Greyhounds are now 1-10 in last 11 series games, with lone win here by 12 LY, but Loyola is 5-1 since that loss, winning last two games by 11 points each. Niagara won three of its last four games, but is 1-8 the last nine times they scored less than 75 points. MAAC favorites are 7-3-1 vs spread when number is 4 or less points. Niagara ranks 284th in defense, makes just 32.7% on arc.
Manhattan lost its last three games with Canisius by 2-21-9 points, but Jaspers are much-improved this season at 7-2 in league, winning its last five games, allowing 53.7 ppg in last three. Manhattan is 3-2 as MAAC home favorite; eight of its nine MAAC games stayed under total. Double digit MAAC underdogs are 8-4 vs spread, 1-2 at home. Canisius is bad, losing six of last seven games- best team they've beaten is South Dakota, #281 in country- their last four losses are all by 14+ points.
DARTMOUTH (4 - 14) at BROWN (6 - 13) - 1/27/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DARTMOUTH is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DARTMOUTH is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
BROWN is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BROWN is 4-0 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
BROWN is 4-0 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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IL-CHICAGO (6 - 14) at DETROIT (11 - 11) - 1/27/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 49-71 ATS (-29.1 Units) in January games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
IL-CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LOYOLA-IL (5 - 15) at WRIGHT ST (10 - 12) - 1/27/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-IL is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-IL is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-IL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-IL is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) when the total is 119.5 or less since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 4-1 against the spread versus LOYOLA-IL over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 4-1 straight up against LOYOLA-IL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HARVARD (16 - 2) at YALE (12 - 4) - 1/27/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
YALE is 3-1 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 3-1 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MARIST (7 - 12) at SIENA (9 - 10) - 1/27/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
MARIST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SIENA is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SIENA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 3-0 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 4-0 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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IONA (15 - 5) at FAIRFIELD (10 - 9) - 1/27/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 3-1 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 2-2 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LOYOLA-MD (14 - 5) at NIAGARA (9 - 12) - 1/27/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MD is 93-49 ATS (+39.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 93-49 ATS (+39.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 77-38 ATS (+35.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 72-44 ATS (+23.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 46-20 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 31-8 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
NIAGARA is 4-1 against the spread versus LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
NIAGARA is 4-1 straight up against LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MANHATTAN (14 - 7) at CANISIUS (4 - 15) - 1/27/2012, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
MANHATTAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
MANHATTAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games this season.
MANHATTAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
MANHATTAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a conference game this season.
CANISIUS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 2-2 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 3-1 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BOSTON U (11 - 11) at STONY BROOK (12 - 7) - 1/27/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON U is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON U is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON U is 2-1 against the spread versus STONY BROOK over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON U is 5-2 straight up against STONY BROOK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA vs. NIAGARA
Loyola is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Loyola is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Niagara
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Niagara's last 7 games
Niagara is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Loyola
LOYOLA OF CHICAGO vs. WRIGHT STATE
Loyola of Chicago is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Loyola of Chicago's last 10 games on the road
Wright State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wright State's last 5 games
ILLINOIS-CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
Illinois-Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Illinois-Chicago's last 14 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
MARIST vs. SIENA
Marist is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Marist is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Siena
Siena is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Siena's last 5 games
DARTMOUTH vs. BROWN
Dartmouth is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dartmouth is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brown
Brown is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Brown is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
HARVARD vs. YALE
Harvard is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Harvard is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Yale
Yale is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
IONA vs. FAIRFIELD
Iona is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Iona is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Fairfield
Fairfield is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Fairfield is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
MANHATTAN vs. CANISIUS
Manhattan is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Manhattan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Canisius
Canisius is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Canisius is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Friday's College Basketball Trends
BROWN is 0-10 ATS after allowing 60 pts or less (vs Dartmouth)
MANHATTAN is 10-1 ATS off an Under (vs Canisius)
LOYOLA MD is 31-8 ATS Away playing team w/ losing record off 15+ games (vs Niagara)
SIENA is 2-14 ATS as favorite (vs Marist)
LOYOLA-IL is 0-9 ATS vs. teams scoring less than 64 pts/game (vs Wright St)