NCAAB Preview
9-4 Valparaiso is 3-3 vs top 150 teams, losing by 9-33-2 points; they're 3-4 on road, with best win at #116 Butler. Crusaders won seven of last ten games vs Detroit, beating Titans three times LY, by 10-8-10 points; they split last four visits here, with losses by 1-10 points, as home side won six of last seven series games. Detroit makes 24.6% behind arc, 4th-worst in country; they're 1-3 in league, with all three losses by 5 or less points. Horizon home faves are 3-11, 3-7 if they're laying single digits.
Butler won eight of last nine games vs Wright State, but lost 69-64 in its visit to Nutter Center LY; Bulldogs are 3-5 in last eight visits here, with two wins (by 18-12) in last three visits. Butler won its last three games, all by 5 or less points; they're 1-4 on foreign soil, winning at Stanford in last game. Wright State won its last four games, with two OT wins and two road wins- they're 0-6 vs teams in top 125- best team they've beat is ##137 Idaho. Horizon home underdogs are 2-2 against the spread. .
Marist is 5-2 in last seven games, run that started with 95-75 home win vs Rider Dec 4, when Red Foxes made 13-20 from arc, 57% from floor, while Rider was 1-14 from arc. Win also ended 8-game skid against the Broncs; Foxes lost last three visits here by 11-4-14 points. Marist lost all five road games, by 13+ points- they're turning ball over 21.7% of time (#220). Rider won three of last four games after 1-10 start, with all three wins on road. MAAC single digit home favorites are 3-1.
5-8 Siena lost to Iona by 36 at MSG Tuesday; they're 0-4 vs teams in top 125, losing by 6-28-4-36 points- best team they've beaten is #131 Princeton. Fairfield swept Siena LY, 72-55/68-55, after losing previous six games with the Saints; Stags are 4-3 in last seven visits here. MAAC home underdogs are 3-3 vs spread so far this season. Fairfield is 5-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 21-4-9-6-18 points, but they are 2-3 on road, losing last two by 8 points each at UConn/Drexel.
Iona shot 63% from floor in crushing Niagara 98-62 in first meeting, 5th win in last six series games for Gaels, who are playing in New Rochelle for first time since Nov 28. As good as Iona is, only three of its 11 wins are by 20+ points. Purple Eagles split last six games after an 3-6 start; they're 4th-youngest team in America and it shows on defense, as they are ranked #301 in country. MAAC double digit favorites are 3-4 vs spread, 1-1 at home.
CBB Games to Watch
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
Valparaiso Crusaders vs. Detroit Titans
Valpo moved to 9-6 SU overall and 2-1 SU in the Horizon League with a 90-87 victory over Green Bay last Saturday as a six-point home favorite. It was just its third SU win in its last seven games. The Crusaders are 5-7 ATS overall, but a very costly 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
Detroit is 7-9 SU on the year and 1-3 SU in the Horizon. The Titans covered as five-point road favorites this past Saturday in a 65-54 win over Loyola. They are just 4-8-1 ATS in 13 games this season, but 4-2 ATS in their last six. The total has stayed ‘under’ in eight of the 13 games.
VALPARAISO (9 - 6) at DETROIT (7 - 9)
Top Trends for this game.
VALPARAISO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
VALPARAISO is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
DETROIT is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
VALPARAISO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 4-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER (8 - 7) at WRIGHT ST (8 - 8)
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
BUTLER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BUTLER is 128-94 ATS (+24.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
BUTLER is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUTLER is 3-1 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER is 4-1 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARIST (7 - 7) at RIDER (4 - 11)
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 55-86 ATS (-39.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
RIDER is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
RIDER is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
RIDER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
RIDER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 3-2 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 4-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD (8 - 6) at SIENA (5 - 8)
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SIENA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 4-1 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 3-2 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NIAGARA (6 - 9) at IONA (11 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
IONA is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 4-2 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 5-1 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER vs. WRIGHT STATE
Butler is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Butler is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Wright State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wright State's last 6 games
FAIRFIELD vs. SIENA
Fairfield is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Fairfield is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Siena
Siena is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Siena's last 5 games
MARIST vs. RIDER
Marist is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Marist is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Rider
Rider is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
Rider is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
VALPARAISO vs. DETROIT
Valparaiso is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Detroit is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
Detroit is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Valparaiso
NIAGARA vs. IONA
Niagara is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Niagara is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Iona
Iona is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Iona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
CHICAGO STATE vs. AIR FORCE
No trends available
Air Force is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Air Force is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Friday's Top College Basketball Trends
RIDER is 0-10 ATS in home games against conference opponents (vs Marist)
VALPARAISO is 16-2 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days rest (vs Detroit)
SIENA is 5-18 ATS against conference opponents (vs Fairfield)
WRIGHT ST is 10-1 OVER at home a conference game (vs Butler)