Monday's Best NCAAB Bets
By Covers.com
Michigan Wolverines at Memphis Tigers (-4)
It wasn’t pretty, but the Michigan Wolverines did take some positives away from a 59-55 squeaker of a win over Western Illinois.
"We needed a game like that, to kind of wake us up a little bit," Jordan Morgan told reporters. "Not just wake us up -- get used to playing in those situations where we've got to knock down free throws late, and we've got to get key stops and key baskets. We needed to feel that pressure."
They need to get a lot better in a lot of different aspects of the game if they’re going to hang around with Memphis at the Maui Invitational. Will Barton, Wesley Witherspoon and Joe Jackson all cracked the 20-point plateau in Memphis’ 97-81 beatdown of Belmont as a 3-point favorite to open the season.
We haven’t seen much of Memphis yet, but it’s not hard to see what a tough team this is going to be. The Tigers’ length and athleticism could be tough for Michigan to match.
Pick: Memphis
Georgetown Hoyas at Kansas Jayhawks (-5)
Kansas coach Bill Self has no illusions about his club at this point in the season. The Jayhawks have potential, but they were in over their heads in a 75-65 loss against Kansas last week as 6.5-point underdogs.
"If you look at our team individually, we don't jump off the paper at you at all," Self told reporters. "That doesn't mean we don't have good players. We do, but not like we have from the marquee standpoint in the past. You have to become one, and we're not one yet."
The Hoyas have a way to go as well, though you have to like the quick start they’re off to. Hollis Thompson and Jason Clark look poised in the offense and Georgetown’s crop of freshmen appear to be ready for a big workload this season.
The Hoyas covered easily as 19-point favorites in a 86-45 rout of UNC Greensboro but obviously have a much stiffer test ahead of them here.
Pick: Jayhawks
NCAAB Preview
Boston College is off to shaky start, losing to Holy Cross by 22, barely beating New Hampshire by 3; Eagles won eight of last nine games with UMass, winning last three by 4-12-5 points. UMass is 3-0 with decisive wins over Elon/Northeastern- they scored 84 ppg in those games. ACC teams are 3-5 vs spread when number is 6 or less; A-14 teams are 9-5.
Pepperdine pulled 66-60 upset at Arizona State, then somehow lost to Cal-Bakersfield in next game; Waves lead country, making 61.5% from arc in first three games. MAC road teams are 0-5 vs spread when number is 6 or less points. Pepperdine is picked #8 in 9-team WCC; Chippewas are picked #3 in their half of MAC. Central Michigan lost first game vs D-I foe in double OT to Charlotte.
Memphis pulled away from good Belmont team by 16 in it opener; they have have all five starters back from 25-10 team that was 10-6 in C-USA LY. Michigan allowed 51 ppg in winning by 17-4 point vs pair of stiff D-I teams. Wolverines have new PG, have other four starters back from LY's 21-12 team that went 9-9 in Big 11- they're #4 pick this year. Big Dozen road teams are 6-2 vs spread if spread is less than 5 points.
Tennessee lost four starters and its coach from 19-15 team that was 8-8 in SEC; Vols allowed 62.5 ppg in waxing couple of stiffs by 29-23, but they don't force as many turnovers as under Pearl, which could be issue vs Duke team that doesn't have real PG, but they're shooting 46% from arc and they get to foul line a lot. SEC underdogs are 4-1 against spread. ACC favorites are 5-5.
Georgetown crushed couple of cupcakes to open its season; Hoyas lost three starters from 21-11 team that was 10-8 in Big East LY- now they step up in class, play Kansas team that is younger/thinner than usual, but is still picked to win Big X. Jayhawks' three starting guards made just 8-30 from floor in 75-65 loss to Kentucky; Taylor was 15-17 from line though. Kansas shot 34% from floor, forced 19 turnovers.
NC State's Leslie had 20 points off bench in his return from suspension, but Wolfpack put Vandy on line 33 times, made just 13-22 themelves, in 7-point loss where both teams shot 50%+. Texas lost to Oregon State in OT; guard Cunningham torched them for 37 points (20-23 from line), as Longhorns put OSU on line 43 times. ACC underdogs are 1-4 vs spread so far this season.
Oregon State abandoned 1-3-1 defense, is playing faster style and its off to good start, with Beavers beating Texas in OT and crushing Hofstra; OSU has four starters back from 11-20 team that was 5-13 in Pac-10 LY. Vanderbilt lost to Cleveland State but had solid win over NC State Saturday; they've got four of starters back from LY, with Ezili, the 5th starter, still suspended. SEC single digit favorites are 7-3.
Missouri has all five starters back from 23-11 team that was 8-8 in Big 12 LY; they've got new coach who will play slower pace. Tigers are off to 3-0 start, making 48% from arc, but haven't played anyone in top 200 yet. Notre Dame is 4-0 against cupcakes; they've got two starters back from 27-7 team that was 14-4 in league. Big X favorites of less than 15 points are 2-8-1 against the spread.
California has four starters back from 18-15 team that was 10-8 in league LY; Bears are off to 3-0 start, winning by 21-27-17 points, allowing 55 ppg. Georgia has two starters back from 23-12 team (9-7 in SEC), but they've got lot of young talent and are expected to be strong in the tough SEC East. Dawgs allowed 54.7 ppg in winning their first three games of season. Pac-12 single digit favorites are 3-5 vs spread.
Is it good to have four starters back from 6-25 team that was 3-15 in its league? Manhattan got crushed by Syracuse, then nipped Brown by 2, so they're struggling under new coach Masiello. Fresno State has three starters back from LY's 14-17 team that was 6-10 in WAC; they've got new coach too,. Bulldogs allowed 52.7 ppg in winning two of last three games, beating SMU/Illinois State, losing to Stanford by 16.
St Bonaventure beat Cornell by 21, lost at good Cleveland State team by 3; Bonnies are making 61% of 2-point shots in first three games. Siena is 2-0 vs stiffs, allowing 54.5 ppg- they lost 82-79 to Bonnies LY. Saints have three starters back from LY's 13-18 team that was 8-10 in MAAC. A-14 road favorites are 8-4 against the spread. MAAC single digit road underdogs are 2-3 vs spread.
MASSACHUSETTS (3 - 0) at BOSTON COLLEGE (1 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WRIGHT ST (2 - 1) vs. FLORIDA (2 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 219-178 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 219-178 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in November games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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WI-GREEN BAY (2 - 2) at INDIANA ST (3 - 0) - 11/21/2011, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA ST is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA ST is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
WI-GREEN BAY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA-MONROE (0 - 4) at MISSISSIPPI ST (4 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-MONROE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) against SEC opponents since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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C MICHIGAN (1 - 1) at PEPPERDINE (2 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
C MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
PEPPERDINE is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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WINTHROP (0 - 4) vs. DREXEL (1 - 2) - 11/21/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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DRAKE (3 - 1) vs. VIRGINIA (3 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DRAKE is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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TCU (3 - 1) vs. OLE MISS (3 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NORFOLK ST (3 - 1) vs. MARQUETTE (4 - 0) - 11/21/2011, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 1-0 straight up against NORFOLK ST over the last 3 seasons
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MICHIGAN (3 - 0) vs. MEMPHIS (1 - 0) - 11/21/2011, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in November games since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 176-130 ATS (+33.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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TENNESSEE (2 - 0) vs. DUKE (4 - 0) - 11/21/2011, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 20-44 ATS (-28.4 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
DUKE is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 151-110 ATS (+30.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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GEORGETOWN (2 - 0) vs. KANSAS (1 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGETOWN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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DETROIT (2 - 1) vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON (1 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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AUSTIN PEAY (0 - 3) at BOWLING GREEN (1 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUSTIN PEAY is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NIAGARA (1 - 1) vs. S DAKOTA ST (1 - 2) - 11/21/2011, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NIAGARA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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SAM HOUSTON ST (1 - 1) at MERCER (2 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NC STATE (3 - 1) vs. TEXAS (2 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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OREGON ST (4 - 0) vs. VANDERBILT (3 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
VANDERBILT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NOTRE DAME (4 - 0) vs. MISSOURI (3 - 0) - 11/21/2011, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CALIFORNIA (3 - 0) vs. GEORGIA (3 - 0) - 11/21/2011, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MONMOUTH (0 - 3) vs. ALBANY (1 - 2) - 11/21/2011, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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BROWN (2 - 2) at GEORGE MASON (2 - 2) - 11/21/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROWN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BROWN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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ARK-PINE BLUFF (0 - 2) vs. FLA INTERNATIONAL (1 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 41-67 ATS (-32.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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SMU (2 - 2) at ORAL ROBERTS (2 - 2) - 11/21/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
SMU is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MANHATTAN (2 - 1) vs. FRESNO ST (2 - 1) - 11/21/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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TX-SAN ANTONIO (2 - 1) at COLORADO ST (2 - 2) - 11/21/2011, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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ST BONAVENTURE (1 - 1) at SIENA (2 - 0) - 11/21/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST BONAVENTURE is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
SIENA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 1-0 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
ST BONAVENTURE is 1-0 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WINTHROP vs. DREXEL
No trends available
Drexel is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Drexel's last 16 games
MICHIGAN vs. MEMPHIS
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis's last 15 games
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
DRAKE vs. VIRGINIA
No trends available
Virginia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
DETROIT vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON
No trends available
George Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
TENNESSEE vs. DUKE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games
Duke is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
No trends available
Florida International is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Florida International's last 17 games
GARDNER-WEBB vs. INDIANA
No trends available
Indiana is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home
Indiana is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. TEXAS
No trends available
Texas is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
HOWARD vs. RIDER
No trends available
Rider is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Rider is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home
MASSACHUSETTS vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Massachusetts is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Massachusetts is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Boston College is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Massachusetts
Boston College is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Massachusetts
SAVANNAH STATE vs. BUTLER
No trends available
Butler is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Butler's last 7 games at home
ST. BONAVENTURE vs. SIENA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Bonaventure's last 13 games on the road
St. Bonaventure is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Siena is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Siena is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Bonaventure
WRIGHT STATE vs. FLORIDA
Wright State is 7-16-2 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wright State's last 7 games on the road
Florida is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Florida is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
MANHATTAN vs. FRESNO STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games
WISC-GREEN BAY vs. INDIANA STATE
Wisc-Green Bay is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Indiana State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Indiana State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
NOTRE DAME vs. MISSOURI
No trends available
Missouri is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
AUSTIN PEAY vs. BOWLING GREEN
Austin Peay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Bowling Green is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Bowling Green is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
BROWN vs. GEORGE MASON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brown's last 8 games on the road
Brown is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of George Mason's last 5 games
George Mason is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Mississippi State is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. SAGINAW VALLEY
Miami (Ohio) is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami (Ohio) is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
No trends available
MOUNT ST. MARY'S vs. MINNESOTA
No trends available
Minnesota is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
Minnesota is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. ORAL ROBERTS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Methodist's last 7 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available
NORFOLK STATE vs. MARQUETTE
No trends available
Marquette is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO vs. COLORADO STATE
No trends available
Colorado State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado State's last 9 games at home
CALIFORNIA vs. GEORGIA
No trends available
Georgia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. PEPPERDINE
Central Michigan is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Central Michigan's last 14 games on the road
Pepperdine is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pepperdine is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
LINFIELD vs. PORTLAND STATE
No trends available
Portland State is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
GEORGETOWN vs. KANSAS
No trends available
Kansas is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Kansas is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games