Monday's Best NCAAB Bets
By Covers.com
St. John's at Detroit (+1.5, 144)
With its recent run against non-conference ranked opponents coming to an end, St. John’s hopes to get back on track against Detroit on Monday. The Red Storm lost 81-59 at No. 1 Kentucky last Thursday.
Detroit fought back from a 14-point deficit with just over eight minutes remaining, but ultimately fell short against Horizon Conference rival Cleveland State on Saturday, 66-61.
Freshman guard Moe Harkless has carried the Red Storm so far, leading the team in points (14.4 per game), rebounds (7.1), blocks and steals. St. John’s is shooting 39.4 percent in its four losses and 50.2 percent in its four victories.
Expect the Johnnies underclass to come through against Detroit on Monday.
Pick: St. John's -1.5
Charleston Southern at Florida State (-18.5, 135)
After being beaten at its own game, Florida State is wounded and angry. The short-handed Seminoles will try to take out their frustrations on visiting Charleston Southern on Monday.
Florida State, picked to finish third in the ACC, were outmuscled by Michigan State in the Big Ten/ACC challenge. They’ll try to bounce back against the Buccaneers, whom they are 5-0 against. Florida State rolled to a 78-41 victory in 2008.
The Buccaneers have won five straight and their latest victory was the most impressive. Charleston Southern shot 61 percent (42 of 69), including 13 of 22 from beyond the arc in a 114-81 win over VMI on Saturday.
Charleston Southern won't find it as easy scoring from the field against the 'Noles.
Pick: Under
NCAAB Preview
Detroit is naming its court after Dick Vitale tonite; they're off to terrible 1-6 start vs D-I opponents, scoring 61.7 ppg in last three games. Titans are making just 26.8% from arc. St John'slost four of last five games, as they've got whole new team from LY. Red Storm is 1-4 vs teams ranked in top 150, beating Lehigh by 5. Big East teams are 10-15-1 in games where spread is 5 or less, 10-11-1 on road. Horizon teams are 5-10.
Providence won six of last seven games vs Brown, winning last four by 19-24-16-27 points; Friars are 6-2, but have only one win by more than 11 points (87-65 over #335 Fla A&M). Brown is 4-5 after losing by 21 at Iowa Saturday, but they did upset URI at home last week. Last three Brown losses are all by 13+ points. Ivy League road underdogs are 9-7, 3-4 if they're getting 10+. Big East double digit home faves are 9-16.
DePaul is 4-2 after tough 70-68 home loss to Ole Miss last week; they're ranked #319 in nation in defensive rebounding, not good- Blue Demons' last four games were all decided by 6 or less points. Milwaukee is 7-1 but hasn't beaten anyone ranked higher than #184; they lost at Michigan State by 13. Big East single digit home favorites are 4-9-1 vs spread; Horizon road underdogs of 12 or less points are 4-8.
Austin Peay is already 0-9; this is just their second home game. AP has played five top 100 teams, but they're also shooting just 23.5% outside arc. Arkansas State is 1-3 on road, but won at St Bonaventure last week after being down 13 at half. OVC home teams are 3-6 vs spread in non-divisional games; Sun Belt road underdogs are 21-14 vs spread, 3-4 if they're getting 5 or less points.
Boise State won last four games vs Idaho State by 9-32-8-12 points; LY was first time in years teams didn't meet. Bengals lost last two visits to Boise by 9-8 points. Idaho State is 1-5 vs D-I teams, 0-3 on road, but they only lost by 4 at Oklahoma, so they must have some talent. Boise is 5-1 vs D-I teams, with four wins by 14+ points. Big Sky double digit road underdogs are 9-6 vs spread; MWC home favorites are 15-12, 6-6, if laying double digits.
Elon won its last three games vs NC-Greensboro by 5-15-9 points, but LY's 80-65 win here was their first in last five visits. Elon is 4-2 against D-I teams, with all four wins by 7 or less points, and only losses against UMass/NC State. Spartans are 1-6 vs D-I teams, losing last three by 22-14-4 points. Teams are making 45% from arc against them. SoCon home teams are 7-4 vs spread in conference play; home dogs are 2-0.
ST JOHNS (4 - 4) at DETROIT (3 - 6) - 12/5/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST JOHNS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ST JOHNS is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
ST JOHNS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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BROWN (4 - 5) at PROVIDENCE (6 - 2) - 12/5/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PROVIDENCE is 79-108 ATS (-39.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 79-108 ATS (-39.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PROVIDENCE is 1-1 against the spread versus BROWN over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 2-0 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WI-MILWAUKEE (7 - 1) at DEPAUL (4 - 2) - 12/5/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 134-100 ATS (+24.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
DEPAUL is 1-0 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
DEPAUL is 1-0 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ELON (5 - 2) at UNC-GREENSBORO (2 - 6) - 12/5/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ELON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ELON is 3-1 against the spread versus UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
ELON is 3-1 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ARKANSAS ST (3 - 4) at AUSTIN PEAY (0 - 9) - 12/5/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
AUSTIN PEAY is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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IDAHO ST (2 - 5) at BOISE ST (6 - 1) - 12/5/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 112-154 ATS (-57.4 Units) in all games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 112-154 ATS (-57.4 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
BOISE ST is 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
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CHARLESTON SO (5 - 2) at FLORIDA ST (5 - 3) - 12/5/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
HAMPTON vs. FORDHAM
No trends available
Fordham is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home
Fordham is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games
BROWN vs. PROVIDENCE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brown's last 6 games when playing on the road against Providence
Brown is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Providence is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Providence's last 6 games when playing at home against Brown
ST. JOHN'S vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. John's last 5 games on the road
St. John's is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN vs. FLORIDA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games
Florida State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
ALBANY vs. SIENA
No trends available
Siena is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Albany
Siena is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Albany
ELON vs. UNC GREENSBORO
Elon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UNC Greensboro
Elon is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UNC Greensboro
UNC Greensboro is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games at home
UNC Greensboro is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Elon
ARKANSAS STATE vs. AUSTIN PEAY
Arkansas State is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Austin Peay is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
Austin Peay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO vs. SAMFORD
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Samford's last 6 games at home
Samford is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
SE MISSOURI STATE vs. CENTRAL ARKANSAS
SE Missouri State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of SE Missouri State's last 5 games on the road
No trends available
IDAHO STATE vs. BOISE STATE
Idaho State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Idaho State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boise State
Boise State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Idaho State
Boise State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. DEPAUL
Wisc-Milwaukee is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisc-Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
DePaul is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
DePaul is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Monday's Top Trends
PROVIDENCE is 5-17 ATS if road underdog last game
ELON is 12-1 ATS Away after allowing 55 pts or less
IDAHO ST is 12-30 ATS playing only 3rd game in a week
DETROIT is 11-32 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better
ST JOHNS is 20-5 ATS Away off loss by 15+ points
FLORIDA STATE is 8-24 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game
ARKANSAS STATE is 8-1 ATS after allowing 60 pts or less