Monday's Best NCAAB Bets
By Covers.com
Connecticut Huskies at Villanova Wildcats (NA)
UConn point guard Shabazz Napier is publicly questioning his teammates’ heart, and the Huskies could become the 20th defending champ to miss the NCAA Tournament.
They’ll again play without coach Jim Calhoun (back).
But the Wildcats will be shorthanded: the Big East’s No. 3 scorer Maalik Wyans (knee) is doubtful, and key reserve guard James Bell (ankle) has been ruled out. Bell is the team’s top 3-point shooter (35.8 percent).
This is the first meeting since Kemba Walker’s floater with 2.5 seconds left gave UConn a 61-59 win in Storrs last season.
Huskies sophomore Jeremy Lamb has emerged from a funk and is averaging 18.3 points on 53.0 percent shooting over the last three games.
Villanova is 6-21 ATS in its last 27 Big East games, and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
Pick: Huskies
DePaul Blue Demons at St. John’s Red Storm (-5, 158.5 )
St. John’s last Big East win came against DePaul, 87-81 in Chicago on Feb. 1. Freshman guard D’Angelo Harrison led the Red Storm with a career-high 29 points.
The Blue Demons have lost six straight and 11 of 12, but turned in a commendable effort Saturday against Louisville. They led for most of regulation before falling in overtime.
Sophomore forward Cleveland Melvin (17.7 ppg, 6.8 rpg) and sophomore guard Brandon Young (14.8 ppg, 4.8 apg) lead the underrated Blue Demons’ offense.
St. John’s has averaged just 60.5 points over its last four games.
The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last five meetings.
Pick: DePaul
NCAAB Preview
UConn is 5-9 in its last 14 games, losing last four road games by 3-14-18-21 points; players were critical of each other in press after home loss to Marquette Saturday, always a red flag. Villanova lost five of last six games and 15 of last 22; they were up 20 on Notre Dame Saturday, up 11 with 5:30 left, before losing in OT- they're 1-14 in last 15 games vs top 100 opponents (UConn is still #39).. Big East home underdogs of 3 or less points are 7-6 against the spread.
Texas got outscored 27-16 on foul line in a 76-71 loss at Baylor Jan 28, as Longhorns other than Brown (11-22) shot 13-38 from floor (34.2%). Texas is 5-2 at home in conference, losing to Kansas/Missouri- they had 4-game win streak snapped in upset loss at Oklahoma State in last game Saturday. Baylor lost three of last four games, is 5-5 in last ten after its 17-0 start, but three of their last four losses were in Waco. Big X home teams are 9-4-1 against the spread when the number is 3 or less points.
St John's lost 11 of last 15 games, but they did win 87-81 at DePaul on Feb 1, with both teams shooting 50%+ and Harrison going 7-11 behind arc. Red Storm won despite Harkness going 2-15 from floor- that game started Blue Demons' current 6-game losing streak. DePaul lost three in row on road by 8-8-26 points- they had Louisville by 15 in the first half Saturday, lost in OT. Big East home favorites of less than 7 points are 13-21 against the spread this season.
Fairfield had six-game win streak snapped in Milwaukee Saturday; Stags hammered Marist 81-53 at home in first meeting Jan 29, making 12-18 from arc while forcing 20 Marist turnovers. Red Foxes won four of last five games after winning Bracket Buster game at Maine; they won two in row at home, upetting Loyola in last home games. MAAC single digit home underdogs are 7-12 against the spread. Fairfield is 4-2 on MAAC road, with wins by 4-9-12-17 points.
Armadillosports.com
CONNECTICUT (16 - 10) at VILLANOVA (11 - 15) - 2/20/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
CONNECTICUT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
VILLANOVA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
VILLANOVA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.
VILLANOVA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
VILLANOVA is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BAYLOR (22 - 5) at TEXAS (17 - 10) - 2/20/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 4-2 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 4-2 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DEPAUL (11 - 15) at ST JOHNS (11 - 16) - 2/20/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST JOHNS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 4-0 against the spread versus DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
ST JOHNS is 4-0 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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FAIRFIELD (16 - 11) at MARIST (11 - 16) - 2/20/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 4-2 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 6-0 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TEXAS SOUTHERN (9 - 15) at MISS VALLEY ST (14 - 12) - 2/20/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISS VALLEY ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
MISS VALLEY ST is 3-2 straight up against TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD vs. MARIST
Fairfield is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Fairfield is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Marist is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Marist is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
CONNECTICUT vs. VILLANOVA
Connecticut is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Connecticut is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Villanova is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Villanova is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
DEPAUL vs. ST. JOHN'S
DePaul is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of DePaul's last 5 games on the road
St. John's is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. John's last 9 games
BAYLOR vs. TEXAS
Baylor is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
UC DAVIS vs. SEATTLE
UC Davis is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UC Davis's last 5 games on the road
No trends available
Monday's Top College Basketball Trends
CONNECTICUT is 0-10 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 (vs Villanova)
TEXAS is 1-9 ATS after allowing 85 points or more (vs Baylor)
DEPAUL is 8-24 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite (vs St Johns)
MISS VALLEY ST is 0-8 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less (vs Texas Southern)
CBB Games to Watch
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
No. 10 Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns
Baylor has dropped three of its last four games to fall to 22-5 straight-up and 9-5 SU in the Big 12. It is 8-12 against the spread overall and the total has gone an even 10-10 on the year. The Bears beat Texas 76-71 on Jan.28 as seven-point home favorites and are 2½-point road underdogs this time around. Texas's recent four-game winning streak came to an end with a 90-78 loss to Oklahoma State this past Saturday as a four-point road favorite. The Longhorns are now 17-10 SU overall and 7-7 SU in conference play. They are 14-2 SU and 4-6-1 ATS at home with the total staying 'under' in seven of the 11 games.
College Basketball: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns
A pair of Big-12 rivals look to bounce back when Texas Longhorns (17-10, 8-13-1 ATS) and Baylor Bears (22-5, 8-12 ATS) hit the hardwood in a college hoops matchup in Austin on Monday night. Longhorns were taken behind the woodshed Saturday spanked 90-78 by Cowboys up in Stillwater. Meanwhile, Bears were stunned at home losing 57-56 to K-State. Bears will also be looking to make two in-a-row over Texas as they defeated Horns 76-71 earlier in Waco but dropped the loot as -7 point favorites. Sweeping the regular-season series will be a tough task for Bears despite gaining confidence by winning 8 of it's 10 road tests (4-6 ATS) this season. This is Austin Texas a venue in which Bears have struggled posting a 2-14 (9-7 ATS) mark dating back to '99-'00 campaign.