Sunday's Best NCAAB Bets
By Covers.com
Vanderbilt Commodores at Georgia Bulldogs (+6, 130)
The Commodores appear to be opening up the sails at the right time.
The team not only dropped 102 points in a win over Ole Miss this week, it was the first time Vandy had topped the century mark in five years. The Commodores are one of the SEC’s top shooting and in recent games they’ve surpassed their season averages. During a 2-1 stretch, Vanderbilt is shooting 48 percent from the field (80 of 165) and 45 percent from behind the arc (27 of 60). Freshman Kedren Johnson has been excellent off the bench lately, contributing 10 assists and just one turnover in the last three games.
Vanderbilt also dominated the team’s first meeting in Nashville earlier this season, out-scoring Georgia 32-16 in the paint and made 14 more free throws in an 11-point win.
Pick: Commodores
Duke Blue Devils at Boston College Eagles (+15.5, 139.5)
The Blue Devils can move into a three-way tie for first place in the Atlantic Coast Conference with a win over the Eagles, who are tied for 10th and have the league’s worst overall winning percentage.
Duke teammates and brothers Mason and Miles Plumlee are combining to average 17.9 points and 16.3 rebounds, and one of them has led the team in rebounding in 24 of 26 games.
And all that domination in the paint is opening up room for the guards.
Seth Curry is averaging 18.6 points over the last five games, during which he’s been in double figures every time and shot 43.2 percent on 3-pointers. Austin Rivers, named the ACC Freshman of the Week for the fourth straight time, is averaging 15 points and has had 22 double-figure games.
Duke also leads the ACC with 8.2 threes per game and Boston College ranks third at 7.2.
Pick: Blue Devils
NCAAB Preview
Iowa (+11.5) shot 63% but still lost 103-89 at Indiana Jan 29, as hosts had 18 offensive rebounds and outscored Hawkeyes 25-13 on foul line. Iowa is 6-4 as a Big Dozen underdog, 3-1 at home- they've won three of last four home games. Indiana won last three games by 17-13-5 points; they're 3-5 as a conference favorite, 0-2 on road, with only road wins at Penn State by 6, Purdue by 17. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 13-6 against the spread.
Purdue tossed Barlow (24.3 mpg, 8.3 ppg) off its team, suspended Byrd (17.1 mpg, 8 ppg) for this game; Boilers split their six conference home games SU, losing to Wisconsin-Michigan-Indiana. Michigan State won four in row, six of last seven games; they're 1-3 as Big Dozen road faves, as underdogs covered five of their six road games. Big Dozen home teams are 21-16 vs spread when number is 5 or less points. Interesting to see how Purdue reacts to their off-court issues.
Syracuse won its last six games, still hasn't lost when Melo has been in lineup; Orangemen are 5-2 as Big East road favorite, winning six games on road by 19-14-13-7-25-1 point, with loss at Notre Dame. Rutgers is 4-6 as Big East underdog, 1-2 at home, losing half their home games by 21-5-5 points. Scarlet Knights lost last four games overall, by 11-12-5-18 points. Big East home dogs of more than 9 points are 2-5 against the spread. Syracuse had two extra days to prepare for this game.
Georgia (+12.5) lost 77-66 at Vanderbilt Jan 14; Vandy made 30-44 on foul line, Dawgs 16-20. Commodores shot 51% for game. Favorites are 4-1 vs spread in Georgia's SEC home games; Dawgs are 0-2 as underdogs at home, with home losses by 15-3-13 points (2-3 SU). Vandy crushed Ole Miss in Oxford last game, shooting 63% from floor; they're 3-2 SU on road, winning by 10-10-26 points, losing at Arkansas/Florida. SEC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 9-7 against the spread.
Wisconsin (-8) won 52-46 at Penn State Jan 31, a brickfest where both teams shot 36% or worse- Penn State led by 6 at half. Big Dozen home favorites of 12+ points are 8-3 against the spread. Badgers covered one of last five games, are 1-4 as Big Dozen home favorites, winning at home by 5-20-7 points (3-3 SU); they were held under 60 points four times in last five games. Penn State hasn't won/covered any of its road games in conference play, with four of seven losses by 18+ points.
Duke was down 20 in second half to NC State Thursday, rallied to win, but there are red flags there; Blue Devils have been down by 10+ points in second half in three of last four games- they're 3-1 as road favorite in ACC games, winning away games by 7-7-13-15-1 point. Road team has covered nine of their 11 league games. Boston College is 9-3 vs spread in ACC games, 4-1 as home dog, losing home games by 15-5-22- splitting six home games SU. ACC home underdogs of 9+ points are 7-1.
Pitt (-1.5) got waxed 63-51 at South Florida Feb 8; Bulls shot 60.5% for game, getting any shot they wanted inside when they didn't turn the ball over (17 turnovers). Pitt lost its last three games by 12-7-18 points, as their season has gone in ashcan. Big East home faves of 7 or less points are 16-20 against the spread. Wrong team is favored in this game; USF is tough on defense- they've won seven of last nine games, and if their jerseys said something other than "USF" they'd be favored here.
Stanford (-1.5) lost 78-67 at Oregon Jan 5, outscored 20-5 on foul line, with Ducks making 8-17 behind arc. Cardinal is 5-2 as home favorite in Pac-12 play, winning home games by 1-8-3-20-24-5, losing to Arizona. Oregon is 5-1 as Pac-12 road dog, with only one of its three losses on Pac-12 road by more than three points- they covered last five games and nine of last 11 games overall. Pac-12 home favorites of less than 6 points are 10-9 against the spread.
Boston U is 10-4 in America East (#29 out of 32 leagues), 4-10 outside; they played #27 non-league schedule in country, which explains partly why they're 2-10 vs teams ranked in top 150. Loyola Md is 19-7, 12-4 in MAAC (#20 league) but they've lost last two games, scoring 51-54 points. Greyhounds are 2-0 vs America East teams, beating UMBC by 10, New Hampshire by 6. MAAC home favorites are 4-8 against the spread in non-conference games.
Tennessee State is only team to beat Murray State; they host the Racers next game-- Tigers won their last eight games, covering last three tries as an underdog- they beat MAC's Central Michigan by 8 Dec 10. Miami is 1-7 vs spread as a favorite this year; they lost by 7 at SE Missouri, an OVC rival of Tennessee State. OVC road underdogs of 6 or less points are 9-5 against the spread. MAC single digit home favorites are 11-3-1. TSU's last road game was their win at Murray State.
Armadillosports.com/
INDIANA (20 - 6) at IOWA (13 - 13) - 2/19/2012, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) in February games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MICHIGAN ST (21 - 5) at PURDUE (17 - 9) - 2/19/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 3-3 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 3-3 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SYRACUSE (26 - 1) at RUTGERS (12 - 14) - 2/19/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 42-21 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
RUTGERS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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VANDERBILT (18 - 8) at GEORGIA (12 - 13) - 2/19/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 44-74 ATS (-37.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
GEORGIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 4-2 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 5-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PENN ST (12 - 15) at WISCONSIN (19 - 7) - 2/19/2012, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games this season.
PENN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
PENN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
PENN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
PENN ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WISCONSIN is 116-87 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 116-87 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
PENN ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when the total is 119.5 or less since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 5-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 4-2 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DUKE (22 - 4) at BOSTON COLLEGE (8 - 18) - 2/19/2012, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 3-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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S FLORIDA (16 - 10) at PITTSBURGH (15 - 12) - 2/19/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 3-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-2 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OREGON (18 - 8) at STANFORD (18 - 8) - 2/19/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 3-2 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 3-2 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BOSTON U (14 - 14) at LOYOLA-MD (19 - 7) - 2/19/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON U is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
BOSTON U is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
BOSTON U is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 46-76 ATS (-37.6 Units) in all home games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 46-76 ATS (-37.6 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LOYOLA-MD is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) in home games in February games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 34-58 ATS (-29.8 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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TENNESSEE ST (19 - 9) at MIAMI OHIO (8 - 16) - 2/19/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
MIAMI OHIO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BOSTON UNIVERSITY vs. LOYOLA
No trends available
Loyola is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Loyola's last 10 games
VANDERBILT vs. GEORGIA
Vanderbilt is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Georgia
Georgia is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Georgia is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home
MICHIGAN STATE vs. PURDUE
Michigan State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Purdue
Michigan State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Purdue
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Purdue's last 10 games
Purdue is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
SYRACUSE vs. RUTGERS
Syracuse is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Syracuse is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Rutgers
Rutgers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Rutgers is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
TENNESSEE STATE vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Tennessee State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami (Ohio) is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami (Ohio) is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
PENN STATE vs. WISCONSIN
Penn State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Penn State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wisconsin is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Wisconsin is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
DUKE vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Duke is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Boston College is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston College's last 12 games
INDIANA vs. IOWA
Indiana is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Indiana is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Iowa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Iowa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. PITTSBURGH
South Florida is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
South Florida is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
OREGON vs. STANFORD
Oregon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Stanford
Oregon is 1-16 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Stanford
Stanford is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford's last 7 games
College Basketball: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Duke at Boston College
With Boston College's 81-65 loss at Maryland last time out the Eagles have now lost two in-a-row and eight of nine. Returning home to face No. 5 Duke on Sunday the Eagles at 8-18 (12-8 ATS) are sure to take a step closer to recording the most losses in the history of the program set during the 1998-99 campaign (21). Eagles are on a 1-11 skid vs Duke. But, this young BC team will give Duke a run for the money. Eagles have been an outstanding proposition in the series cashing eight tickets (8-3-1 ATS). Also well to note Eagles have done a number running the hardwood against their ACC rivals posting a sparkling 14-4-2 ATS mark the last twenty including 6-3 ATS on home court after the stunning win over FSU on February 8th.
Syracuse at Rutgers
Syracuse (26-1, 16-10 ATS) puts a six-game winning streak on the line when Orange travel to the Louis Brown Athletic Center for a battle with Scarlet Knights (12-13, 7-13 ATS). Orange lead by Kris Joseph (14.0) netting 76.9 while holding opponents to 60.6 PPG on a puny 38.4% shooting should not stumble against Rutgers who average just 65.7 points/game. The daunting task will be covering. Syracuse sports a perfect 10-0 SU stretch vs Scarlet Knights but Orange are just 5-5 against-the-number. If Rutgers can force Syracuse into a half-court battle keeping Orange at 75 or less points the Scarlet Knights could rewarding backers as Orange have been somewhat inconsistent cashing tickets in Big East action of late going 3-5 ATS and will enter 3-9 ATS overall held at 75 or less per contest.