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College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday 2/16

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Thursday's Best NCAAB Bets
By Covers.com

North Carolina State Wolfpack at Duke Blue Devils (-10, 152)

Duke and North Carolina State rank first and second, respectively, in the ACC in field goal percentage and 3-point percentage. That offense has led the fourth-ranked Blue Devils into a fight for first place in the conference, while the Wolfpack lurks one game behind.

In order to close that gap, North Carolina State is going to have to snap a 13-game losing streak at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Duke has dominated the series in recent years, taking five of the last six straight up, the the clubs have split those games 3-3 against the spread.

The Blue Devils are coming off one of their better weeks of the season and may have found a stronger inside game to go along with its perimeter strength. Miles and Mason Plumlee each recorded a double-double in Saturday’s 73-55 victory over Maryland, with Miles’ 22 rebounds marking the highest total in coach Mike Krzyzewski’s 37-year career.

Combined with the outside quartet of Austin Rivers, Seth Curry, Andre Dawkins and Ryan Kelly, Duke is becoming more balanced offensively as the season wears on.

Pick: Over

Boston College Eagles at Maryland Terrapins (-9, N/A)

Maryland still has its eyes on reaching the NCAA Tournament, so the Terrapins can’t afford to slip up against one of the ACC’s bottom feeders.

Maryland has lost three of four outright, but is 11-3 at home and 4-1 against the spread in its last five overall. The Terps need to build some momentum for a schedule that features four teams with RPI rankings in the top 35 among the final six games.

Boston College appeared ready to turn the corner with a win over nationally ranked Florida State, but let Virginia Tech off the hook in overtime. The Eagles have lost seven of their last eight and haven’t won an ACC road game.

Still, they have covered the number in four straight.

The Eagles start four freshmen and transfer guard Matt Humphrey, who leads the team with 10.4 points per game. Boston College lives and dies by the 3-pointer as no team in the ACC has tried more.

The Eagles have made 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and the team’s goal is to make 10 treys per game. Freshman Ryan Anderson (9.9 points, 6.8 rebounds) is starting to develop his inside-outside game and Dennis Clifford, a 7-foot center who averages 9.2 points, has shown some nice moves around the basket.

Pick: Eagles

 
Posted : February 15, 2012 11:06 pm
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Game of the day: Wisconsin at Michigan State
By Covers.com

Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans (-6, 110)

THE STORY: When No. 17 Wisconsin and No. 8 Michigan State last met on Jan. 3, it produced one of the most controversial conclusions to a game this season. Considering the level both teams are playing at since, another dramatic ending could be in store.

The Badgers - who lost to the Spartans last month when Ryan Evans’ overtime 3-pointer was disallowed when officials discovered the stadium clock was two-tenths of a second behind the game clock, which had expired – have rebounded to go 7-2 since that game.

Michigan State is 15-0 at home this season and flying high after snapping No. 6 Ohio State’s 39-game home winning streak on Saturday.

ABOUT WISCONSIN (19-6, 8-4 Big Ten, 13-9 ATS): The Badgers’ top-scoring defense (50.3 points per game), along with their deliberate offensive style and strong foul shooting, has allowed them to go 19-0 in games when leading or tied with five minutes remaining and 5-1 in road conference games.

Wisconsin also commits just 8.8 turnovers per game – tied for the lowest mark in the nation. The Badgers lead the country in 3-point field goal defense (26.7 percent) and are second in field goal percentage defense (36.8).

Since coach Bo Ryan took over prior to the 2001-02 season, the team is 25-2 with six days of rest in between games, including 11 straight victories.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (20-5, 9-3 Big Ten, 15-7 ATS): The Spartans are holding opponents to 37.4 percent shooting from the field - the lowest total in the Tom Izzo era – and enjoy the third-best rebounding margin in the country (plus 10.2).

Forward Draymond Green has led the team in rebounding in 20 of their 25 games, scoring in 11 and assists in seven.

While Wisconsin sets the standard in defending the 3-pointer for the season, Michigan State has defended it better than the Badgers in Big Ten play, allowing opponents to shoot 27.9 percent behind the arc.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Michigan St.
* Home team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
* Badgers are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Michigan St.

TIP-INS:

1. The Spartans hold a 70-60 advantage in this series and have not lost to the Badgers in East Lansing since 2004.

2. In his last four meetings against Michigan State, Wisconsin guard Jordan Taylor has averaged 24.3 points, 4.0 rebounds and 4.3 assists, including a season-high 28 points in the Jan. 3 contest.

3. Green needs two blocked shots and one steal to move into sole possession of second and fifth, respectively, on the Spartans’ all-time lists in each category.

 
Posted : February 15, 2012 11:06 pm
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CBB Games to Watch
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

No. 15 Wisconsin Badgers vs. No. 7 Michigan State Spartans

Last Thursday, Wisconsin knocked-off Minnesota 68-61 in overtime as a 1½-point road favorite. The win boosted the Badgers’ record to 19-6 SU and 13-9 ATS. They are 6-2 SU on the road and 5-3 ATS. The total is an even 4-4 in those eight games.

Michigan State beat the Badgers 63-60 in overtime on Jan.3 as a 6½-point road underdog. With Saturday’s win over Ohio State, the Spartans are now 20-5 SU overall and 9-3 SU in the Big Ten. They are 15-7 ATS overall and 9-3 ATS at home. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of their last seven games.

 
Posted : February 15, 2012 11:06 pm
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Thursday's Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

Virginia Tech at Florida State

Since joining the ACC in the early 1990s, Florida State (17-7 straight up, 12-10 against the spread) hasn’t won a conference championship of any sort in basketball. The Seminoles haven’t won a regular-season title and came up short in their lone appearance in the ACC Tournament finals. However, there’s a chance this year as they go into Thursday’s action in a three-way tie with Duke and North Carolina for the league lead with identical 8-2 records (pending UNC’s result Wednesday at Miami).

Leonard Hamilton’s team has won 13 of its 14 home games, compiling an 8-4 spread record in the process. The ‘Noles have won eight of their last nine games, but they have failed to cover the number in three straight outings, including Saturday’s 64-59 home win over Miami as 6½-point ‘chalk.’ Bernard James was the catalyst against the Hurricanes, finishing with 18 points, six rebounds and four blocked shots.

Virginia Tech (14-11 SU, 6-14-1 ATS) has burned the pockets of its backers in six straight games and has failed to cover in 10 of its last 11 outings. Seth Greenberg’s squad won a 66-65 decision over Boston College this past Sunday, but it came nowhere near taking the cash as a 12-point home favorite. Freshman forward Dorian Finney-Smith capped a furious rally from a six-point deficit with 1:39 left by scoring on a putback with 2.6 seconds remaining. He paced the Hokies with 17 points and eight rebounds.

When these schools met in Blacksburg on Jan. 10, FSU collected a 63-59 victory as a four-point road underdog. The 122 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 128-point total. James was the catalyst for the ‘Noles with 18 points, 15 boards and three blocked shots. Erick Green had a game-high 21 points for the Hokies in defeat.

The ‘under’ is 11-10-1 overall for FSU, 6-5-1 in its home games. Meanwhile, the Hokies have watched the ‘under’ cash at a 13-8 overall clip.

The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings between these ACC adversaries.

BetOnline.com opened FSU as a nine-point favorite with a total of 126.

ESPN2 will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

Wisconsin at Michigan State

BetOnline.com opened Michigan St. (20-5 SU, 15-7 ATS) as a six-point favorite with a miniscule total of 110.

Tom Izzo’s team has won three in a row and five of its last six both SU and ATS, including Saturday’s 58-48 win at Ohio St. as an 8½-point underdog. Adreian Payne made all six of his shots from the floor en route to scoring 15 points to go with four rebounds, two steals and two blocked shots. Draymond Green added 12 points and nine boards in the upset of the Buckeyes, who had won their 39 previous home games.

Wisconsin (19-6 SU, 13-9 ATS) has prevailed in seven of its last eight games, including last Thursday’s 68-61 win at Minnesota in overtime as a 1 ½-point favorite. Jordan Taylor scored a game-high 27 points, while Ryan Evans finished with 17 points and 11 rebounds.

Michigan St. has been nasty at home, winning all 15 games while posting a 9-3 spread record.

Wisconsin has been an underdog three times, compiling a 2-1 spread record with one outright win at Purdue.

When these Big Ten rivals met in Madison on Jan. 3, Michigan St. captured a 63-60 win in overtime as a 6½-point underdog. Green led the way with 18 points and 14 rebounds to offset Taylor’s game-high 28 points on 7-of-11 shooting from the field.

The ‘under’ is 11-10-1 overall for the Spartans, but the ‘over’ is 7-5 in its home games. The ‘under’ is in the midst of a 4-1 run in MSU’s last five overall games.

The ‘under’ is 14-8 overall for the Badgers, 3-1 in their last four contests.

Tip-off is slated for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

North Carolina State at Duke

Duke (21-4 SU, 11-14 ATS) has won back-to-back games since its stunning home loss to Miami on Feb. 5. The Blue Devils rallied in the final two minutes last Wednesday to win at North Carolina on Austin Rivers’s buzzer beater. Then on Saturday, they didn’t fall victim to the classic letdown spot, surging ahead of the number down the stretch to capture a 73-55 win over Maryland as 15-point home favorites.

BetOnline.com opened Duke as an 11-point favorite with a total of 150.

North Carolina State (18-7 SU, 9-12 ATS) has won three straight and seven of its last eight, as Mark Gottfried has done an excellent job in his first year after replacing Sidney Lowe, who led the Wolfpack to the 1983 national championship as the school’s starting point guard.

N.C. St. is coming off a 61-52 win at Ga. Tech last Thursday as a four-point road favorite. C.J. Williams led four double-figure scorers with a team-high 15 points, while C.J. Leslie turned in a double-double with 13 points and 10 boards.

Duke has an 11-2 SU record and a 5-8 ATS mark at home in Cameron Indoor Stadium this year. The Blue Devils have been double-digit favorites 16 times, going 6-10 versus the number.

N.C. St. owns a 4-3 spread record with a pair of outright wins in seven previous underdog situations. The Wolfpack has only been a double-digit ‘dog once, losing 74-55 at UNC.

The ‘over’ is 16-9 overall for Duke, 9-4 in its home games.

The ‘over’ is 11-10 overall for N.C. St., but the ‘under’ is 4-1 in its last five games.

The ‘over’ is on a 10-2 run in the last 12 head-to-head meetings between these schools.

Gonzaga at Santa Clara

Gonzaga (20-4 SU, 11-12-1 ATS) has won three straight games since losing at BYU on Feb. 2. The Bulldogs picked up a huge win last week when it avenged a loss at Saint Mary’s by trouncing the Gaels 73-59 as 3½-point home ‘chalk.’ Next, they thumped Loyola-Marymount by a 78-59 count Saturday as 12½-point home favorites.

In the win over LMU, Kevin Pangos led the way with 21 points and nine assists, while Elias Harris posted a double-double with 17 points and 15 rebounds.

Santa Clara (8-17 SU, 7-15 ATS) has lost 13 consecutive games and hasn’t tasted a victory since beating Eastern Michigan on Dec. 29. The Broncos are returning home after dropping three in a row on the road during an eight-day span. They took the cash in their last outing, an 82-67 loss at Saint Mary’s as 21-point underdogs. Denzel Johnson scored a team-high 17 points in the losing effort.

Santa Clara has only won six of its 12 home games, limping to an abysmal 2-8 spread record. The Broncos are winless both SU and ATS in three games as home underdogs.

When these schools met in Spokane on Jan. 12, Gonzaga cruised to an 82-60 home win as an 18½-point favorite. Sam Dower came off the bench and scored a game-high 17 points for the Bulldogs, who led 28-26 at intermission before outscoring the Broncos by 20 points in the second half.

The ‘under’ is 16-7-1 overall for Gonzaga, cashing in six of its last eight games. Meanwhile, Santa Clara has seen the ‘over’ go 14-8 overall, 6-4 in its home outings.

The ‘over’ has hit at an incredible 18-4 clip in the last 22 head-to-head meetings between these WCC rivals.

ESPN2 will provide television coverage at 11:00 p.m. Eastern.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

Florida scored the first 16 points of the second half Tuesday at Alabama, breaking open a tie game at halftime en route to a 61-52 win as a three-point favorite. The short-handed Crimson Tide couldn’t buy a bucket in the second half and never got closer than nine after UF’s 16-0 surge. Patric Young scored a team-high 19 points for the Gators, who were playing without their top two reserves, Will Yeugete (concussion) and Mike Rosario (hip pointer). UF plays Saturday at Arkansas and Yuegete isn’t expected to be available. Rosario remains a question mark.

Anthony Hickey Jr. hit a floater in the lane with two ticks remaining in overtime to propel LSU to a 69-67 home win Tuesday over Mississippi St. Even more disconcerting to the Bulldogs, their stud center Arnett Moultrie suffered a shoulder injury on the final play of regulation and didn’t play in the extra session. Gamblers should check Moultrie’s status before MSU plays Saturday at Auburn.

UConn announced Wednesday that head coach Jim Calhoun will miss at least three more games.

George Mason remained atop the Colonial standings thanks to Tuesday’s 63-61 win over VCU thanks to Sherrod Wright’s 25-foot buzzer beater. I’m of the opinion that both of these teams should be in the NCAA Tournament. We shall see…

 
Posted : February 15, 2012 11:09 pm
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NCAAB Preview

Florida State (+4) won 63-59 at Virginia Tech Jan 10, turning ball over 19 times, but holding Hokies to 30.5% from field, 2-12 from arc. State's last three games were all decided by 5 or less points- they're 1-3 as ACC home favorite, winning home games by 33-14-14-3-5 points. Hokies are 1-3 as ACC underdog, 1-4 SU on road, losing away games by 3-2-4-16 points. ACC home favorites of 6+ points are 4-22-2 against the spread.

Michigan State (+6) won 63-60 in OT at Wisconsin Jan 3, Spartans had +11 edge on boards, held Badgers to 33% from floor, 5-22 from the arc- it was first road win in last 13 series games. Badgers lost last six visits to East Lansing, by 13-9-9-11-7-3 points. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less points are 9-13-1 against spread. Badgers won seven of last eight games, are 5-1 on Big Dozen road, losing by 18 at Michigan. State is 6-0 as Big Dozen home favorite, winning by 15-34-25-16-10-20 points.

Home teams won last 10 ULL-Denver games; Ragin Cajuns lost its last even visits here, by 7-12-2-19-4-16-13 points. Pioneers (-1) lost 72-71 in OT at UL-Lafayette Feb 2, outscored 22-14 on foul line. Pioneers are 3-2 as Sun Belt home favorite, winning by 17-13-14-15 points, losing to UALR. Five of Cajuns' last 12 went OT- they're 4-1 in those games, 4-2 SU on road- they won five of last six games overall. Sun Belt home faves of 7+ points are 7-14 against the spread.

Washington State (+9.5) lost 85-61 at Arizona Jan 26, shooting 34.6% for nite, while Wildcats made 15-26 behind arc. Coogs won three of four Pac-12 games in Pullman, with only loss to UCLA by 3- dogs are 4-1-1 vs spread in their conference home games. Arizona won last four games, is 5-3 as Pac-12 favorite; they're 4-2 on Pac-12 road, winning by 11-26-4-13 points, with losses at UCLA/Colorado. Pac-12 home underdogs of less than 5 points are 9-5 against the spread.

Vanderbilt won three in row, eight of last nine games vs Ole Miss, going 3-1 in last four visits here, winning by 12-15-4 points; Commodores lost four of last six SEC games, losing their last two road games, at Arkansas, Florida. Ole Miss is 4-1 at home in SEC, with only loss to Florida by 4. Rebels covered four of last five games as an underdog- they're 2-8 when playing teams ranked in top 100. SEC home underdogs of less than 5 points are 6-2 against the spread.

Road team is 8-2 vs spread in Duke's ACC games; Blue Devils are 1-4 as ACC home favorite, winning by 3-18-18 points, with losses to Miami, Florida State. Duke won nine of last ten games vs NC State, winning last five played here by 19-13-20-17-24 points. Wolfpack won its last three games; they're 4-1 on ACC road, 1-1 as road dogm with only loss by 19 at Chapel Hill. ACC double digit favorites are 5-17-1 vs spread, 4-12-1 at home. Tough part of State's schedule starts right here.

Boston College lost seven of last eight games, but they're 9-2 vs spread in conference play, 5-0 as road underdog, losing away games by 23-14-17-1-4 points. Maryland lost seven of last nine games with BC, losing both meetings by four points LY; Terps lost six of last eight games, are 1-0-1 as ACC favorite, 3-2 SU at home, with wins by 6-11-4 points and losses to Duke/North Carolina. ACC single digit home favorites are 3-15 against the spread.

Pittsburgh (+6.5) won 72-66 at West Virginia Jan 30, its fourth straight series win; Mountaineers lost their last six visits here, by 4-14-1-11-3-13 points. WVU lost five of last six games, with only win in OT against lowly Providence- they're 3-1 vs spread as an underdog. Big East home favorites of less than 6 points are 12-10 against the spread. Pitt lost last two games to drop to 4-9 in Big East; they won/covered last three home games, winning by 12-12-9 points.

Stanford (+3.5) won an epic 103-101, four-OT game in Corvallis Jan 7, making 13-28 from arc but only 16-28 on foul line, in game Beavers led by 7 at half. Oregon State lost three of last four games; they're 1-3 as a Pac-12 road dog, losing away games by 15-5-8-10-22 point. Cardinal lost five of last seven games; they're 4-2 as Pac-12 home fave, winning at home by 1-8-3-20-24 points. Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 10-16-1 against the spread.

San Francisco (+15.5) lost 81-56 at BYU Jan 7, shooting 33% from floor while Cougars made 12-19 from arc; game was 42-20 at half. WCC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 3-6 against the spread. USF covered 9 of 10 games since BYU loss; they won last four home games, but against four worst teams in WCC. Dons covered last three games as underdogs. BYU won last three games by 10-19-38 points; they're 2-2 as road fave in WCC games, winning away games by 8-19-13-19 points.

Cal Bears (-3) won 77-60 in Eugene Jan 8, making 6-14 from arc, while holding Ducks to 38.3% from floor; Bears are 4-3 as Pac-12 home fave, winning home games by 4-16-7-36-10-21 points, with loss to Arizona. Oregon covered seven of nine as Pac-12 underdog; they're 4-1 as dog on road, losing conference road games by 1-16 points (4-2 SU). Bears gave up an average of 53 ppg in winning last three games. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 9-5 against the spread.

Santa Clara is 0-12 in WCC, 0-5 vs spread at home, losing home games in WCC by 13-16-12-13-5 points- they're 3-5 as WCC underdog, 0-2 at home. Broncos (+18) lost 82-60 at Gonzaga Jan 7, after trailing by hoop at the half. Zags won last three games by 12-14-19 points after losing at BYU; they're 0-5 vs spread on WCC road, 0-3 as road favorite, winning away games by 4-12-12 points, losing at St Mary's/BYU. WCC double digit home favorites are 9-13-1 against the spread.

Washington (-7) won 60-54 at Arizona State Jan 26, despite going 1-8 from arc in game they trailed by hoop at half; erratic Huskies are 5-2 as Pac-12 home favorite, winning home games by 15-16-10-13-2-28 points. Sun Devils are 1-5 as Pac-12 road dog, losing away games by 17-17-15-21-24-21 points. Pac-12 home favorites of 15+ points are 4-2 against the spread. ASU scored average of just 49.3 ppg in last four games. Huskies best not be looking ahead to Saturday's rematch with Arizona.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : February 16, 2012 8:38 am
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VIRGINIA TECH (14 - 11) at FLORIDA ST (17 - 7) - 2/16/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
FLORIDA ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 2-2 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-2 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WISCONSIN (19 - 6) at MICHIGAN ST (20 - 5) - 2/16/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 34-8 ATS (+25.2 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WISCONSIN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 3-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-2 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA-LAFAYETTE (15 - 12) at DENVER (18 - 8) - 2/16/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
DENVER is 32-47 ATS (-19.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 32-47 ATS (-19.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
LA-LAFAYETTE is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (7 - 17) at ARK-LITTLE ROCK (12 - 14) - 2/16/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA-MONROE (2 - 23) at N TEXAS (14 - 11) - 2/16/2012, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
N TEXAS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
N TEXAS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
N TEXAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
N TEXAS is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
N TEXAS is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
N TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.
LA-MONROE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N TEXAS is 3-3 against the spread versus LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
N TEXAS is 5-1 straight up against LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA (13 - 12) at PENN ST (11 - 15) - 2/16/2012, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA ATLANTIC (11 - 14) at W KENTUCKY (8 - 17) - 2/16/2012, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 3-2 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 3-2 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TROY (8 - 15) at ARKANSAS ST (10 - 17) - 2/16/2012, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (6 - 19) at SAN DIEGO (10 - 15) - 2/16/2012, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 35-69 ATS (-40.9 Units) in February games since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (18 - 8) at WASHINGTON ST (13 - 12) - 2/16/2012, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games this season.
WASHINGTON ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (17 - 8) at OLE MISS (15 - 9) - 2/16/2012, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (18 - 7) at DUKE (21 - 4) - 2/16/2012, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 2-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON COLLEGE (8 - 17) at MARYLAND (14 - 10) - 2/16/2012, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (16 - 10) at PITTSBURGH (15 - 11) - 2/16/2012, 9:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON ST (15 - 10) at STANFORD (17 - 8) - 2/16/2012, 10:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 4-2 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 4-2 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BYU (21 - 6) at SAN FRANCISCO (17 - 10) - 2/16/2012, 10:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 57-93 ATS (-45.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
BYU is 164-110 ATS (+43.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
BYU is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in February games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 33-57 ATS (-29.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 2-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (18 - 7) at CALIFORNIA (20 - 6) - 2/16/2012, 10:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
CALIFORNIA is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALIFORNIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
CALIFORNIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 5-1 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 6-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GONZAGA (20 - 4) at SANTA CLARA (8 - 17) - 2/16/2012, 11:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SANTA CLARA is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
SANTA CLARA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
SANTA CLARA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
SANTA CLARA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
SANTA CLARA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SANTA CLARA is 3-2 against the spread versus GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 4-1 straight up against SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (8 - 17) at WASHINGTON (17 - 8) - 2/16/2012, 11:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
ARIZONA ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARIZONA ST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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THE CITADEL (4 - 21) at W CAROLINA (10 - 17) - 2/16/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
W CAROLINA is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
W CAROLINA is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
W CAROLINA is 88-120 ATS (-44.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
W CAROLINA is 84-112 ATS (-39.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
THE CITADEL is 3-0 against the spread versus W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
THE CITADEL is 3-0 straight up against W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : February 16, 2012 8:41 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

THE CITADEL vs. WESTERN CAROLINA
The Citadel is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The Citadel is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Western Carolina is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Western Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. DENVER
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Denver is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games

WISCONSIN vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Wisconsin is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
Michigan State is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
Florida International is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 6 games on the road
Arkansas-Little Rock is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas-Little Rock's last 5 games

VIRGINIA TECH vs. FLORIDA STATE
Virginia Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games

LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. NORTH TEXAS
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against North Texas
North Texas is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of North Texas's last 12 games

FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Florida Atlantic is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games

IOWA vs. PENN STATE
Iowa is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Iowa's last 8 games on the road
Penn State is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games
Penn State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

TROY vs. ARKANSAS STATE
Troy is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Arkansas State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

PORTLAND vs. SAN DIEGO
Portland is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Portland is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
San Diego is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games

NORTH DAKOTA vs. LOUISIANA TECH
No trends available
Louisiana Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana Tech is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

WEST VIRGINIA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of West Virginia's last 6 games on the road
West Virginia is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

ARIZONA vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Washington State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington State's last 8 games

BOSTON COLLEGE vs. MARYLAND
Boston College is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 6 games on the road
Maryland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Maryland is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

VANDERBILT vs. MISSISSIPPI
Vanderbilt is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
Mississippi is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi's last 8 games at home

NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. DUKE
North Carolina State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 6 games on the road
Duke is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Duke's last 9 games

OREGON STATE vs. STANFORD
Oregon State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oregon State is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Stanford is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Stanford is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

BYU vs. SAN FRANCISCO
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of BYU's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games

PEPPERDINE vs. SEATTLE
Pepperdine is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Pepperdine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

OREGON vs. CALIFORNIA
Oregon is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Oregon is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against California
California is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California's last 6 games

GONZAGA vs. SANTA CLARA
Gonzaga is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Gonzaga is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Santa Clara is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
Santa Clara is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

ARIZONA STATE vs. WASHINGTON
Arizona State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games

 
Posted : February 16, 2012 8:43 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Thursday's Top College Basketball Trends

NORTH TEXAS is 11-1 ATS vs. conference opponents (vs LA Monroe)

ARK LITTLE ROCK is 12-1 ATS off BB games w/ 12 or less assists (vs Fla International)

BOSTON COLLEGE is 13-1 ATS Away playing only 2nd game in 5 days (vs. Maryland)

MICHIGAN ST is 34-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 pts (vs Wisconsin)

ARIZONA ST is 0-8 ATS off BB home games (vs Washington)

LA LAFAYETTE is 14-3 ATS off a home win (vs Denver)

 
Posted : February 16, 2012 11:36 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Michigan State Tries To Keep Rolling Against Wisconsin
Sportspic.com

The Michigan State Spartans have given themselves a great chance to win the Big Ten regular season championship. They can take a big step to that goal with a win over Wisconsin.

Why Wisconsin Will Win

When you do your homework and assess your Sports Bet on this game, it’s worth mentioning that the Badgers were in disarray the last time these two teams met. In early January, Wisconsin was reeling. Coach Bo Ryan’s team, burdened by the weight of high expectations, seemed smothered by pressure and generally unable to function at the offensive end of the floor. The Badgers were sluggish; their legs didn’t move and their halfcourt sets lacked any flow or structure whatsoever. The Badgers settled for a lot of long jumpers and played one-on-one basketball, not what Ryan demands from his teams. The Wisconsin modus operandi has been built on intricate halfcourt sets with many interlocking screens and cuts. Possessions are supposed to grind down defenses instead of bailing them out, but in early January, that’s what Wisconsin did. Michigan State came into the Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin, and gained its first road win against the Badgers in Tom Izzo’s tenure as the Spartans’ head coach.

That’s how tough it’s been for Michigan State to win in Wisconsin. Moreover, as poorly as Wisconsin played that night, MSU won by only three points, 63-60… in overtime. Wisconsin is a far better team right now than it was in early January. The Badgers, who had a miserable three-week patch over a month ago, have shrugged off the pressure they felt so fully and have managed to return to playing their style of ball. If Wisconsin plays up to its capabilities, Michigan State will have to play at a very high level to win. The fact that Wisconsin fell so markedly short in the first meeting between these teams points the way to a rebound – and a taste of revenge – in this contest.

Why Michigan State Will Win

The college basketball betting experts who follow the Big Ten Conference for a living know that while Wisconsin is highly likely to play better in this rematch between the two teams, Michigan State is also in a position to exceed its effort in Madison roughly five and a half weeks ago. The Spartans have managed to propel themselves to the top of the Big Ten Conference, regaining the intensity and rebounding prowess that marked their ascendancy over the past 13 years. Michigan State began its run as a true national power in 1999, when it powered its way to the Final Four and initiated a golden age in which it reached six Final Fours in 13 seasons.

The Spartans formed an identity based on relentless rebounding, airtight defense, and marked role distribution in which each player is able to find his own niche on the court. That was missing in 2011, but it has returned in 2012, and this is why MSU was able to stop Ohio State’s 39-game home-court winning streak this past Saturday. Michigan State is playing the best basketball in the Big Ten. Playing this game at home should help the Spartans to stay on top of the league.

Who Will Win

It’s true that Wisconsin is a steadily improving club, but Michigan State is actually managing to improve at a rate which exceeds anything the Badgers can muster. Go with the Spartans at home in East Lansing, Michigan.

 
Posted : February 16, 2012 11:37 am
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