Tuesday's Best NCAAB Bets
By Covers.com
Baylor Bears at Oklahoma Sooners (5.5, 143)
Baylor looked almost unbeatable when it started the season with a school-record 17-game winning streak. But losses at Kansas and at home against Missouri last week exposed some of the Bears’ weaknesses, and they subsequently dropped from No. 3 to No. 7 in the latest rankings.
Baylor, sitting at 4-2 in the Big 12, Baylor is tied for third with Iowa State, two games behind the undefeated Jayhawks. The Bears will look to get back on track at Oklahoma, but it won’t be easy. The Sooners are 9-1 at home this season and have proven they can knock off ranked opponents, most notably in a victory over Kansas State on Jan. 14.
In an 89-88 home loss to Missouri, the Bears’ defensive woes continued. Baylor has as much length inside as any team in the country, but the guards had trouble matching up man-to-man with the Tigers’ quickness outside.
The Bears are giving up 71.8 points per game in conference play, which ranks only ahead of Oklahoma. Guard Pierre Jackson had 20 points and 15 assists in the latest loss, and the junior has 45 assists in his past four games.
Pick: Over
Michigan Wolverines at Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5, 129)
Michigan and host Purdue enter their game off losses, but they got them in entirely different ways.
The No. 22 Wolverines, who suffered a 66-64 defeat at Arkansas, nearly rallied back from a 20-point deficit but came up short when Trey Burke’s 3-pointer rimmed out at the buzzer.
Purdue, meanwhile, lost 83-58 at Michigan State after a flight delay caused the Boilermakers to bus 276 miles overnight just to arrive in time for the game. The Wolverines need a win to remain in a tie for first in the Big Ten, while Purdue is trying to avoid falling further behind. Purdue has won five of the last six against Michigan.
The loss to Arkansas is one the Wolverines won’t have a problem getting over. The Razorbacks started hot, hitting their first 10 shots, and Michigan was clearly the better team in the second half.
Pick: Wolverines
CBB Games to Watch
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
No. 1 Kentucky Wildcats vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Kentucky regain the No. 1 spot in the polls after knocking-off Alabama 77-71 this past Saturday as a 10-point home favorite. The Wildcats are a stellar 19-1 SU, but a walking disaster ATS at 4-14-1. They have covered the spread just once in their past 16 games and the total has gone 7-11-1 overall.
Georgia has lost four of its last five games SU including a 66-63 setback to Mississippi last Saturday as a 2½-point home favorite. The Bulldogs have dropped to 10-9 SU on the year and 7-8 ATS. They are 8-4 SU at home this season, but just 3-5 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of their eight home games.
NCAAB Preview
Michigan lost five of last six games with Purdue, losing last two by 10-23 points; they've lost last six visits to Mackey Arena by 29-14-14-7-18-10 points. Wolverines lost last three road games by 2-16-2 points- they were down 20 at Arkansas Saturday, lost by a hoop. Erratic Purdue lost three of last five games; they're 2-1 at home in conference, beating Illinois by 15, Iowa by 7, losing to Wisconsin. Big Dozen home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-5 vs spread.
Tennessee lost three of last four games, with all four decided by 4 or less points, but they did beat UConn Saturday; Vols are 8-4 in last 12 games with Vanderbilt, splitting their last six visits here, with losses by 1-3-19 points. Vandy had won eight in row before OT loss at home in last game with Miss State; Commodores' four SEC wins are all by 10+- they're #10 in country, making 40.5% of 3's. SEC home favorites of 7+ points are 3-7 vs spread. Cuonzo Martin's first game coaching from baseline.
Home side won five of last six Eastern Michigan-Buffalo games; Eagles lost last three visits here, by 16-4-17 points. Eastern won its last three games, all by 3 points- their last six games were all decided by 7 or less. Buffalo is 3-2 in MAC, with all five games decided by 12 or less points. MAC double digit home favorites are 1-4 vs spread. Eastern is a terrible offensive team but allowed only 48.2 ppg in last five games- they're 0-4 vs top 100 teams, with all four losses by 21+ points. .
Akron won its last seven games with Ball State, winning last three here by 4-9-5 points; #67 Zips are 4-1 in MAC, with three wins by 5 points or less. Cardinals won six of last seven games, but have played only one team all season ranked higher than #132, a 73-63 loss at Arizona in their season opener- they've lost three games to teams ranked lower than #200. MAC home teams are 14-7 vs spread if number is 7 or less points.
South Florida lost six of last seven games with Marquette, losing three in a row here by 2-8-11 points; Bulls are surprising 5-2 in Big East, losing by 3 to UConn, by 11 at Notre Dame, with wins at Villanova/DePaul. Marquette won its last four games; they're 5-2 in Big Eastm with only one win (St John's) by more than 11 points. Big East double digit home favorites are 6-8-1 vs spread. Eagles had extra day to prep here, playing on Saturday while USF played Sunday.
Road team won seven of last eight Bradley-Southern Illinois games, with Salukis winning 74-65 in first meeting this year, shooting 57% for night with only nine turnovers. Bradley won its last two visits here by total of 5 points, but they've lost 11 of last 12 games this year, losing conference away games by 11-8-37-23 points. Southern Illinois lost last three and five of last six games, allowing 83.3 ppg in last three losses. MVC home favorites of 8 or less points are 6-10 vs spread.
Baylor lost 14 of last 17 games with Oklahoma, losing 84-67 to Sooners in Big 12 tourney last spring; Bears lost six of last seven visits here, with only win by 7 points two years ago. Oklahoma is 2-4 in Big X after OT loss to Texas Tech Saturday- they won their last two home games, over K-State/Texas Tech. Bears lost last two games, to Kansas/Missouri after its 17-0 start that included road wins at BYU/Northwestern/K-State. Big X home underdogs are 4-3 against the spread.
San Diego State won six of last eight games with Wyoming, splitting last six visits here, but Cowboys are reborn under new coach Shyatt, 16-3 in his first season back in Laramie, albeit 1-2 vs top 100 teams (lost by 11 to Denver, 10 to New Mexico). Fisher has San Diego State back atop MWC despite losing four starters from LY; Aztecs are 4-1 on road, with wins at Arizona/UCSB/New Mexico (fell behind 10-0, still won fairly easily). Mountain West home teams are 5-6 against the spread.
Kentucky won 12 of last 16 games with Georgia, but lost 77-70 in last visit here, its second loss in last seven trips to Athens; only once in last 12 series games have Wildcats won by more than 12 points. SEC home underdogs are 7-3 against the spread. Kentucky won its last 11 games; they lead country, blocking 22.2% of opponents' shots. UK is 2-1 away from home, beating Auburn by 15, Tennessee by 3. Dawgs lost four of five SEC games, with three losses by 11+ points.
Iowa State shot 51% from floor, 10-21 from arc in 77-71 home win over Texas Jan 4th, its first win in last eight games with Longhorns. State is 7-2 in last nine games, 4-2 in Big X, with losses by 7-9 points- they lost last three visits to Austin by 9-8-23 points. Texas lost last three games, all to top 20 teams; they're 201 at home in conference, winning by 9-10 points. Longhorns lost last five games against top 100 teams. Big X home favorites are 8-11 vs spread, 2-4 if spread is 9 or less points.
Miami won six of last eight games with Georgia Tech, but lost last two visits here, by 10-9 points, as home side won six of last seven in series. 'canes lost three of last four games, are 1-5 on road this year, winning at Charlotte- three of their four ACC games were decided by five points or less. Tech lost seven of last eight games, including last four at its home away from home (usual arena being refurbished this year). ACC home teams are 3-6 vs spread if number is 6 or less points.
MICHIGAN (15 - 5) at PURDUE (14 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE (9 - 10) at VANDERBILT (14 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 85-58 ATS (+21.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
VANDERBILT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 2-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 2-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN (9 - 10) at BUFFALO (9 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 46-72 ATS (-33.2 Units) in January games since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 68-95 ATS (-36.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
AKRON (12 - 7) at BALL ST (12 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
AKRON is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
AKRON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
AKRON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-1 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA (12 - 8) at MARQUETTE (16 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 84-51 ATS (+27.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
MARQUETTE is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BRADLEY (6 - 15) at S ILLINOIS (6 - 14)
Top Trends for this game.
S ILLINOIS is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
S ILLINOIS is 3-2 against the spread versus BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
S ILLINOIS is 3-2 straight up against BRADLEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR (17 - 2) at OKLAHOMA (12 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 3-2 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 3-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST (17 - 2) at WYOMING (16 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 3-1 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 3-1 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY (19 - 1) at GEORGIA (10 - 9)
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games this season.
KENTUCKY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
KENTUCKY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
GEORGIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 3-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 3-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST (14 - 5) at TEXAS (12 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 3-1 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 3-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI (10 - 7) at GEORGIA TECH (8 - 11)
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
MIAMI is 79-53 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MIAMI is 79-52 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
GEORGIA TECH is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN vs. PURDUE
Michigan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Michigan is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Purdue is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Purdue is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. BUFFALO
Eastern Michigan is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
AKRON vs. BALL STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Akron's last 11 games on the road
Ball State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Ball State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
MOREHEAD STATE vs. NORFOLK STATE
Morehead State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
No trends available
TENNESSEE vs. VANDERBILT
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Vanderbilt is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
BAYLOR vs. OKLAHOMA
Baylor is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. MARQUETTE
South Florida is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
South Florida is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Marquette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marquette's last 7 games
BRADLEY vs. SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Bradley is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Bradley's last 7 games on the road
Southern Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Southern Illinois is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. WYOMING
San Diego State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games on the road
Wyoming is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
Wyoming is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
KENTUCKY vs. GEORGIA
Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kentucky is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Georgia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
MIAMI vs. GEORGIA TECH
Miami is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 7 games
IOWA STATE vs. TEXAS
Iowa State is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa State's last 9 games on the road
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
SEATTLE vs. UC IRVINE
No trends available
UC Irvine is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
UC Irvine is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
Tuesday's Top College Basketball Trends
KENTUCKY is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite (vs Georgia)
KENTUCKY is 7-0 UNDER (+7 Units) in road games after playing a game as favorite (vs Georgia)
TENNESSEE is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders (vs Vanderbilt)
BRADLEY is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) after playing a game as a home underdog (vs S Illinois)