Tuesday's Best NCAAB Bets
By Covers.com
Oklahoma Sooners at Missouri Tigers (-13, 150.5)
Missouri is off to its best start since the 1981-82 season at 13-0 and is one of only four remaining unbeaten teams in the country. The No. 6 Tigers put their perfect mark on the line when they host Oklahoma in the Big 12 Conference opener for both teams.
New coach Frank Haith is pushing all the right buttons in his first year with the program as the Tigers and No. 5 Baylor are considered the co-favorites in a fairly top-heavy Big 12. The Sooners - projected by many to finish near the bottom of the conference - have only two losses through the first two months of the season, but their most notable win is against either Arkansas or Washington State.
The Tigers certainly had to work for their 13th win of the season, a 75-68 nail-biter at Old Dominion as 8-point favorites. Marcus Denmon scored 17 of his 19 points after halftime, including a dagger 3-pointer with 61 seconds left that put Missouri ahead for good.
Denmon is third in the Big 12 at 18.7 points per game, while Kim English (15.4) is sixth and big man Ricardo Ratliffe (14.2) is eighth. The Tigers are second nationally in offense at 86.2 points.
Still, this is a lot of points for a Big 12 opener.
Pick: Sooners
Michigan State Spartans at Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5, 117)
No. 11 Michigan State attempts to remain unbeaten in Big Ten Conference play and No. 19 Wisconsin seeks to rebound from a dismal loss to Iowa when the teams meet in Madison, Wis.
The Spartans have won 13 consecutive contests and began conference play with back-to-back double-digit victories over Indiana and Nebraska. The Spartans are one of three Big Ten teams that haven’t lost in league play.
The Spartans are 2-0 in Big Ten play for the fifth consecutive season and their 13-game winning streak is the program’s longest since a 22-game string of victories during the 1998-99 season. Senior forward Draymond Green had 19 points in Saturday’s 68-55 victory over Nebraska and leads the Spartans in scoring (15.4), rebounding (9.5), steals (22) and blocked shots (19). Michigan State has 11 double-digit victories.
The Badgers had won six straight games prior to the disappointing 72-65 home loss to the Hawkeyes on Saturday. Wisconsin’s normally stingy defense had a sub-par outing while giving up a season-high point total.
Pick: Spartans
CBB Games to Watch
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
The New Year brings us an exciting week in men’s college basketball that is filled with the first full slate of conference play. It also marks the start of the drive to March Madness as every game from now until the end of the regular season is a chance for teams to build their resume in an effort to punch their ticket to the big dance.
The following is a brief look at the top matchups for each day this week along with a few facts and figures to help handicap the games.
No. 17 Michigan State Spartans vs. No. 11 Wisconsin Badgers
The Spartans opened their Big Ten schedule last Saturday with a 68-55 romp over Nebraska as seven-point road favorites. They are 13-2 SU and 8-4 ATS with the total going 5-6-1 in the 12 games with posted lines.
Wisconsin had its hands full with Iowa in its conference opener with a 72-65 victory this past Saturday as a 17-point home favorite. The win raised the Badgers’ record to 12-3 SU, but dropped them to 9-3 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in nine of the 12 games. Wisconsin leads the nation in points allowed; holding opponents to an average of just 46.2 points a game.
EBRASKA (8 - 5) at OHIO ST (13 - 2) - - 1/3/2012, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 53-77 ATS (-31.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
OHIO ST is 177-140 ATS (+23.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CONNECTICUT (12 - 1) at SETON HALL (12 - 2) - 1/3/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SETON HALL is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SETON HALL is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 straight up against SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MICHIGAN ST (13 - 2) at WISCONSIN (12 - 3) - 1/3/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 3-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-2 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LOUISVILLE (12 - 2) at ST JOHNS (7 - 6) - 1/3/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST JOHNS is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 2-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HARVARD (12 - 1) at FORDHAM (6 - 6) - 1/3/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FORDHAM is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
HARVARD is 1-0 against the spread versus FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 1-0 straight up against FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WI-MILWAUKEE (10 - 5) at W MICHIGAN (5 - 8) - 1/3/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in January games since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 135-100 ATS (+25.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ARK-LITTLE ROCK (5 - 10) vs. KENTUCKY (13 - 1) - 1/3/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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UAB (5 - 7) at FLORIDA (11 - 3) - 1/3/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UAB is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CORNELL (4 - 8) at MARYLAND (9 - 3) - 1/3/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CORNELL is 95-64 ATS (+24.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
CORNELL is 92-55 ATS (+31.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
CORNELL is 92-55 ATS (+31.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
CORNELL is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CORNELL is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
CORNELL is 53-28 ATS (+22.2 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
MARYLAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
MARYLAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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DRAKE (8 - 5) at CREIGHTON (11 - 2) - 1/3/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DRAKE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DRAKE is 3-1 against the spread versus CREIGHTON over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 2-2 straight up against DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA (10 - 2) at MISSOURI (13 - 0) - 1/3/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ALABAMA (10 - 3) at GEORGIA TECH (7 - 6) - 1/3/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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SMU (8 - 5) at OLE MISS (9 - 4) - 1/3/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SIENA (5 - 7) vs. IONA (10 - 3) - 1/3/2012, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 4-1 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 3-2 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ORAL ROBERTS (11 - 4) at OAKLAND (8 - 8) - 1/3/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 5-0 straight up against ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MISSOURI-KC (7 - 9) at IUPUI (7 - 8) - 1/3/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
IUPUI is 3-2 against the spread versus MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
IUPUI is 4-1 straight up against MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SOUTHERN UTAH (7 - 6) at IUPU-FT WAYNE (7 - 6) - 1/3/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN UTAH is 3-0 against the spread versus IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 3-1 straight up against SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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S DAKOTA (5 - 8) at W ILLINOIS (6 - 5) - 1/3/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W ILLINOIS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W ILLINOIS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
W ILLINOIS is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
W ILLINOIS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
W ILLINOIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
W ILLINOIS is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEBRASKA vs. OHIO STATE
Nebraska is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Nebraska is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Ohio State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Ohio State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
UAB vs. FLORIDA
UAB is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
UAB is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
HARVARD vs. FORDHAM
Harvard is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Fordham is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Fordham is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
IU NORTHWEST vs. TOLEDO
No trends available
Toledo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Toledo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK vs. KENTUCKY
No trends available
Kentucky is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
MICHIGAN STATE vs. WISCONSIN
Michigan State is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 9 games
HOLY CROSS vs. YALE
No trends available
Yale is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
BUCKNELL vs. DARTMOUTH
No trends available
Dartmouth is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Dartmouth is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
CONNECTICUT vs. SETON HALL
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games on the road
Seton Hall is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Seton Hall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
No trends available
South Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
South Carolina is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Wisc-Milwaukee is 2-4-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Wisc-Milwaukee's last 9 games on the road
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
LOUISVILLE vs. ST. JOHN'S
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 6 games on the road
St. John's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
St. John's is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisville
CORNELL vs. MARYLAND
Cornell is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Maryland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Maryland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
SAVANNAH STATE vs. ARKANSAS
No trends available
Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
OKLAHOMA vs. MISSOURI
Oklahoma is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Oklahoma is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
DRAKE vs. CREIGHTON
Drake is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Drake is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Creighton is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Creighton is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home
HOUSTON BAPTIST vs. NEW MEXICO
No trends available
New Mexico is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Mexico is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
SIENA vs. IONA
No trends available
Iona is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Iona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Siena
JOHNSON & WALES vs. AIR FORCE
No trends available
Air Force is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Air Force is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
ALABAMA vs. GEORGIA TECH
Alabama is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Alabama is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. MISSISSIPPI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Methodist's last 10 games on the road
Mississippi is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Mississippi is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
WYOMING vs. UTAH VALLEY
Wyoming is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Wyoming is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
NCAAB Preview
Nebraska lost its first two Big Dozen games by 24-13 points, both at home; Cornhuskers are 2-1 on road, losing at Creighton by 10, winning in double OT at USC, by 12 at TCU. Ohio State lost last game Saturday at Indiana, with Sullinger getting only three hoops, no offensive boards. Buckeyes are 6th in country at forcing turnovers but forced only 11 at Indiana. F0ur of Nebraska's five losses are by 13 or less points. Big 11 home favorites are 6-2 vs spread.
UConn won its last eight games vs Seton Hall, winning last five here by 9-42-12-8-2 points; Huskies covered six of those eight games. UConn is 4-0 vs top 100 teams, with three of four wins by 12+ points (they beat Florida State by 2 in OT); they won only true road game by 3 at South Florida (USF hit 3 at buzzer to cut it to 3). Seton Hall is 5-2 vs top 100 teams. Big East home underdogs are 3-2 vs spread. This is last game of a 3-game suspension for UConn coach Calhoun.
Home team won last 12 Michigan State-Wisconsin games, as Spartans lost last seven visits to Madison by 13-3-19-2-15-18-26 points; State is on 13-game win streak since starting season with two losses- they won last two away games, by 7 at Gonzaga, 13 at Nebraska. Wisconsin lost last game at home to Iowa, its second home loss of season (Marquette); Badgers allowed 57+ points in all three losses- they're unbeaten id they allow 56 or less. Big 11 home favorites are 6-2 vs spread.
Home side won six of last seven Louisville-St John's games, as Cardinals lost two of last three visits here, but won four of last five overall vs the Red Storm. Louisville had rough time last week, losing to Georgetown/ Kentucky after being unbeaten before that. Cardinals won their other true road game by 16 at Butler. St John's is 3-4 in last seven games, with three of their last four losses by 14+ points. Big East home underdogs are 3-2 vs spread. Johnnies are making just 26% behind arc.
Harvard is 5-1 on road, winning last two away games at Boston U by 24, Boston College by 21; Crimson opens Ivy League play Saturday vs Dartmouth. 6-6 Fordham is much-improved, after being 12-72 three years before this; Rams upset Georgia Tech last game, are 5-1 at home, losing by 18 to Lehigh, one of their two top 100 games (lost by 25 at Syracuse). Ivy League road favorites are 5-5-1 vs spread, 2-0 if they're laying double digits. Atlantic 14 home underdogs are 4-7-1.
Milwaukee lost four of last six games, losing three of its last four away games by 16-14-4 points, scoring 50-50-51 points; Panthers are 8-1 vs teams not in top 100, losing by 4 at Butler last game. Western Michigan won four of last five games after 0-7 start vs D-I teams; they're 0-6 vs top 100 teams, with four of six losses by 14+ points. Horizon teams are 8-13-1 vs number when spread is 4 or less points; MAC home teams are 8-2-2 when spread is less than five points.
UAB is 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with three of five losses by 10 points or less; Blazers won last three games after 2-7 start, allowing 57.3 ppg, so they're getting better as C-USA play approaches. Florida won six of its last seven games; they still haven't won a true road game, but they're a good offensive team, shooting 40.4% behind arc. Conference USA double digit road underdogs are 11-3-1 vs spread; SEC double digit home favorites are 10-28-3.
Cornell's last nine games were all decided by 8 or less points or in OT, as three of their last six games went OT. 9-3 Maryland won last six games, with only one of six foes ranked above #187; Terps still haven'tplayed a road game- their first is Sunday, in ACC opener at NC State. Maryland gets to line a lot, but only makes 64% once they get there. Ivy League single digit road underdogs are 13-4 vs spread; ACC single digit home favorites are 7-9. Maryland is 8-0 vs teams not ranked in top 100.
Drake won six of last nine games vs Creighton, with home side winning last four in series; Bulldogs are 2-6 in last eight visits here, losing its last visits by 4-16 points. Drake is 0-3 on road, losing by 44-14-11 points; only one of its five losses this year was by more than 14 points. 11-2 Bluejays are #2 in country in 3-point shooting (45.1%); they lost MVC home opener to Missouri State, but then upset Wichita State. MVC home favorites are 3-3 vs spread.
Home team won six of last seven Oklahoma-Missouri games; Sooners lost last four visits to Columbia by 3-4-9-23 points- last year was first double digit margin in last nine series games. 10-2 Oklahoma, shooting 41% from arc, lost its only true road game by point at Cincinnati- that wasn't in Bearcats' campus arena. 13-0 Missouri is making 57.8% of its 2-point shots; they better not be looking ahead to Saturday's K-State game. Mizzou forces turnovers on 24.4% of opponents' possessions.
10-3 Alabama lost both its road games, at Dayton and against K-State in Kansas City; Crimson Tide gets Steele (concussion) back after extended absence, which helps depth. Georgia Tech is 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with only win vs VCU on neutral floor- they're turning ball over 22.7% of time. Both teams start conference play Saturday, with Duke coming to Atlanta. SEC road underdogs of less than 5 points are 5-3. ACC non-conference home underdogs are 1-8 vs spread.
SMU is 8-5, but best team they've beaten is #223 Florida Gulf Coast; Mustangs are 0-2 vs teams in top 120, losing by 6 at Oral Roberts, 10 vs Oklahoma State. Ole Miss lost its last three games, all vs top 75 teams, after 9-1 start; Rebels they're 8-0 vs teams not in top 100, with five of eight wins by 11+ points. Conference USA road underdogs are 27-12-1 vs spread, 16-9 if spread is single digits; SEC single digit home favorites are 7-10. Ole Miss starts conference play at LSU Saturday.
Siena-Iona are playing after St John's game at Madison Square Garden, so a neutral site game, even though Gaels are listed as home side. Siena had beaten Gaels 10 times in row before losing last two meetings, with Iona pounding Saints by 30 in MAAC tourney last March. Iona lost its last game at Hofstra; they're 3-0 teams not in top 200, winning by 12-18-36 points. Siena won its last two games after 3-7 start, winning as 10.5-point dog in its last game. MAAC double digit underdogs are 4-2.
Tuesday's Top Trends
W ILLINOIS 0-9 ATS vs. team with losing record (vs S DAKOTA)
DRAKE is 15-2 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers (vs CREIGHTON)
SMU is 17-4 ATS in road games (vs Ole Miss)
SIENA is 3-15 ATS off road game (vs Iona)
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 7-0 ATS vs. teams outscoring opp by 4+ PPG (vs KENTUCKY)
KENTUCKY is 0-7 ATS off 3+ SU wins (vs ARK LITTLE ROCK)