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College Basketball Betting News and Notes Tuesday 2/21

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Tuesday's Best NCAAB Bets
By Covers.com

Georgetown Hoyas at Seton Hall Pirates (1.5, 121.5)

Expect a display of physical basketball when No. 8 Georgetown travels to Seton Hall in the 94th meeting between the Big East rivals. Georgetown allows only 58.7 points and 38.4 percent from the field, while Seton Hall allows 63.2 points and 43.2 percent from the floor.

The Hoyas have won two straight and are tied for fourth place in the Big East; coach John Thompson’s team is trying to earn a two-round bye for finishing among the top four.

Hollis Thompson is coming off a double-double and is averaging 13.4 points and 5.5 rebounds; he had 14 points against the Pirates last season. He’s combined with Jason Clark (14.8 points, 4.2 rebounds) to provide an effective one-two offensive punch.

Seton Hall is trying to claw its way into the top eight and earn a first-round tournament bye; the Pirates are currently half a game behind West Virginia. Georgetown has dominated the recent series, winning six of the last seven meetings, including 80-75 a year ago.

Pick: Hoyas

North Carolina Tar Heels at North Carolina State Wolfpack (6.5, 150)

No. 7 North Carolina looks to keep pace with Duke and Florida State atop the ACC standings as the regular season draws to a close. The Tar Heels lead the nation in rebounding, averaging 46 boards per game and trail only Iona, scoring 82.8 points per game. UNC also ranks in the top 10 in assists and blocks.

The Tar Heels took care of business against Clemson over the weekend, maintaining their share of the conference lead. Harrison Barnes leads UNC and remains second in the ACC scoring race, averaging 18 points per game.

North Carolina State looks to avoid its third straight loss as they close out a three-game set against ACC co-leaders Duke, Florida State and North Carolina.

NC State boasts five players averaging double-figures and also leads the conference from the free throw line, shooting 73.9 percent. Scott Wood paces the Pack from the charity stripe, connecting on 91.9 percent - fourth-best in the nation and tops in the ACC.

Pick: Over

 
Posted : February 20, 2012 11:12 pm
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Game of the day: Kentucky at Mississippi State
By Covers.com

Kentucky Wildcats at Mississippi State Bulldogs (9.5, 140)

THE STORY: No. 1 Kentucky is aware of the potential trap that awaits it when it visits Mississippi State. The Wildcats are trying to become the third team in 55 years to go undefeated in the Southeastern Conference, but have found the Bulldogs to be a difficult opponent. The two teams have split their last six games and the average margin of victory has been 4.9 points in the last seven meetings.

Both teams are known for their stiff defense; opponents are shooting only 36.2 percent against Kentucky and 42.9 against Miss State. But Kentucky, which has won 18 straight games, has the advantage on offense, averaging 77.8 points with five players in double figures, compared to Miss State’s 72.5 points per game.

THE LINE: Oddsmakers have Mississippi State set as a 9.5-point underdog with a 140-point total.

ABOUT KENTUCKY (26-1, 12-0 SEC): Hard to believe that all-conference forward Terrence Jones just picked up his first double-double of the season when he had 15 points and 11 rebounds against Ole Miss. Freshman Anthony Davis has elevated himself into discussion to become national player of the year, averaging 13.9 points, 9.7 rebounds and 4.9 blocks. Point guard Marquis Teague is averaging 8.7 assists over the last three games. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist has seen his offensive production drop off, but he’s had seven or more rebounds in six of his last seven games. Doron Lamb is averaging 3.25 3-pointers over the last four games.

ABOUT MISSISSIPPI STATE (19-8, 6-6 SEC): The Bulldogs have lost three straight and dropped out of the top 25 after an embarrassing 10-point loss at Auburn. Arnett Moultrie continues to be the Bulldogs most consistent player, averaging 16.5 points and an SEC-best 10.8 rebounds. Dee Bost will need a good showing against the Wildcats. He’s averaging 15.8 points and 5.0 assists and is now third in school history for 3-pointers and assists. Wendell Lewis started at forward for the first time since Jan. 7 and scored only three points, but had five rebounds in 29 minutes.

TRENDS:

-The under is 10-1 in Kentucky's last 11 road games.
- Mississippi State is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight home games.
- Kentucky is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven.

TIP-INS:

1. Kentucky is 9-2 against Miss State when ranked No. 1.
2. Teague’s assist-turnover ratio of 2.1, better than the 1.3 mark held by John Wall in 2010 and Brandon Knight in 2011 at the same time.
3. Miss State is 9-0 when Moultrie scores at least 20 points.

 
Posted : February 20, 2012 11:13 pm
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CBB Games to Watch
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

No. 1 Kentucky Wildcats vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Kentucky's tear through the SEC has it a perfect 12-0 SU in conference play and it is 26-1 SU overall. The Wildcats are 10-15-1 ATS this season, but 6-1 ATS in their last seven games. They are 6-4 ATS on the road and the total has stayed 'under' in nine of the 10 games. Mississippi State has lost its last three games and four of its last six to fall to 19-8 SU and 6-6 SU in the SEC. The Bulldogs are 11-14 ATS overall and 6-10 ATS at home this season. They are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games and the total has gone 'over' in their last three games against the Wildcats.

 
Posted : February 20, 2012 11:14 pm
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NCAAB Preview

#89 UMass lost last two games, with LaSalle loss their first home loss this season; Minutemen allowed 72+ points in four of last five games. Xavier won four of its last five games, with three of the four wins by 4 or less points; Musketeers are now 3-3 on A-14 road, losing at LaSalle-Dayton-Temple- they're 3-8 in their last 11 games against teams ranked in top 100. Atlantic 14 home teams are 8-6 vs spread when number is 2 or less points. Xavier is 0-3-2 vs spread as an A-14 road favorite.

Georgia Tech (+9) lost 64-62 at Clemson Jan 21, despite Tech's Rice Jr scoring 19 points in 26 minutes off bench, but Rice Jr is suspended for this game; Tech had 22 turnovers that nite (-9). ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 3-6 against the spread. Tech lost three games in row, by 9-9-1 point- they're 1-9 in last 10 games overall, 1-3 as a home dog. Clemson lost five of six ACC road games, with four of five losses by 4 or less points. Tigers covered their last two games as a favorite.

Missouri's first loss of season was 75-59 at Kansas State (-1.5) Jan 7, when Tigers shot 32.7% from floor and trailed 44-25 at half. Tigers won last seven games overall, are 6-1 as Big X home favorite, winning home games by 38-11-19-13-3-15-18 points. Big X single digit home favorites are 13-10 against the spread. K-State is 1-3 as road underdog, losing its conference road games by 18-9-2-11 points (3-4 SU). Wildcats are 3-4 in last seven games, with three of four losses by 6 or less points.

Georgetown won seven of last nine games, but is just 4-3 on road, losing last three road games vs top 100 teams. #47 Seton Hall is 5-2 at home in Big East, losing to Notre Dame/Louisville, winning its last two, against Pitt/St John's. Pirates won three of last four games overall, covering all four. Big East home teams are 15-17 against the spread if the number is 3 or less points. Seton Hall lost its last five games vs top 50 teams- their last five wins are against teams ranked #96 or lower.

Michigan won its last three games, allowing 52.7 ppg, with upset win over Ohio State in last game; Wolverines are just 2-4 on Big Dozen road, winning at Penn State and by hoop at Purdue. Northwestern (+7.5) lost 66-64 in OT at Michigan Jan 11, holding Wolverines to 33% for night, 7-30 from arc; Wildcats won last three at home by 10-19-11 points- they covered five of last six games overall. Big Dozen home favorites of 3 or less points are 2-6 against the spread.

Miami (+9.5) lost 71-67 at Kent, Jan 11; Flashes scoring last six points of game that Miami led by 4 at half. Red Hawks lost three of last four games, losing Bracket Buster game to Tennessee State Saturday, just as Kent did to Charleston. Miami is 3-3 at home in MAC, losing by 3-8-2 points. Kent had 7-game win streak snapped Saturday; they've won last three road games, by 16-7-4 points. MAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 8-3 against the spread.

Creighton scored 88-81 points in winning last two games, after they had lost previous three games; Bluejays (-5.5) got upset 65-57 at Evansville two weeks ago. Purple Aces held Bluejays to 40.4% from floor, 4-22 on arc, while turning ball over only nine times (+7). MVC home favorites of 8+ points are 15-9 against the spread. Evansville is 7-0 against spread as an MVC underdog, 5-0 on road, losing five of its eight away games by 2-2-12-1-24 points. Creighton won tough game vs Long Beach Saturday.

Green Bay (+10) lost 78-68 at Cleveland State Jan 20, despite Vikings turning ball over 21 times (-8); UWGB won five of last seven games, is 6-1-1 vs spread as a Horizon home dog, 6-2 SU at home, losing only to Detroit by 7, Milwaukee by 6. Horizon home teams are 15-10 vs spread when number is 3 or less points. Cleveland State lost its last four games, scoring less than 50 points in three of the four; Vikings are 6-2 on road in conference play, losing only at Valparaiso/Milwaukee.

Maryland (+10) lost 90-86 in double OT at Miami Feb 1, in wild game where Hurricanes blew 16-point lead, had three players foul out, but it was Maryland coach Turgeon who was ejected for getting two technical fouls. Miami is 5-0-1 vs spread on ACC road, 3-3 SU with win at Duke; they're 4-3 as ACC favorites, 2-0 on road. ACC home teams are 6-10 vs spread if number is less than 5 points. Maryland is 4-2 in its ACC home games, losing only to Duke/North Carolina.

NC State (+13) lost 74-55 at North Carolina Jan 26, shooting 37% from floor in its 11th straight loss to Tar Heels. Wolfpack are just 3-3 in their ACC home games, despite being favored in all six games- they covered their other two games as an ACC dog, other than the loss in Chapel Hill. ACC home underdogs of 6+ points are 10-4 against the spread. Carolina won/covered its last three games since blowing late lead to Duke-- Heels are 4-1 on ACC road, with wins by 14-15-9-9 points (2-3 as AF).

Virginia Tech (+8) won 47-45 at Virginia Jan 22, as Cavaliers shot 33% from floor, 1-14 from arc; UVa outscored Hokies 14-4 from foul line; it wasn't enough. Virginia lost its last three road games, scoring average of 55-52-48 points. ACC home teams are 6-10 vs spread if number is less than 5 points. Hokies won their last three home games by total of four points- only one of their last five games overall was won by more than a basket. Virginia is 6-0 when it scores 60+, 1-5 when it doesn't.

Mississippi State is talented but erratic; they've lost last three games, by 2-2-10 points, and were favored in all three games, but they've covered five of six when an underdog this season, winning SU at Vandy, losing by hoop to Miss State, beating Arizona/Texas A&M on neutral floors. Kentucky is 12-0 in SEC, covering six of last seven games; they're 4-2 as an SEC road favorite, winning away games by 15-3-13-24-34-6 points. SEC home underdogs of 4+ points are 5-11 against the spread.

Colorado State (+11.5) got crushed 85-52 at New Mexico Jan 25, after Lobos had just lost to Aztecs/UNLV; now they face New Mexico after they've beaten those two teams and at home, where Rams are 5-0 so far in conference play. Home side is 8-2 vs spread in State's MWC games. MWC home underdogs are 8-6 against the spread. Rams shot 37% and turned ball over 20 times in first meeting, mkaing just 3-14 from the arc; they won Saturday with leading scorer Eikmeyer scoring only 4 points.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : February 21, 2012 8:48 am
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Posts: 318493
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XAVIER (17 - 9) at MASSACHUSETTS (18 - 8) - 2/21/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 145-112 ATS (+21.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
XAVIER is 143-110 ATS (+22.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
XAVIER is 150-116 ATS (+22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
XAVIER is 89-58 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MASSACHUSETTS is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
XAVIER is 2-0 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 2-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEMSON (13 - 13) at GEORGIA TECH (9 - 17) - 2/21/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEMSON is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
CLEMSON is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
CLEMSON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 3-2 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 4-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS ST (18 - 8) at MISSOURI (25 - 2) - 2/21/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
MISSOURI is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
MISSOURI is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
MISSOURI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MISSOURI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 3-2 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 3-2 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGETOWN (20 - 5) at SETON HALL (18 - 9) - 2/21/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
GEORGETOWN is 119-161 ATS (-58.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
GEORGETOWN is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
SETON HALL is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
SETON HALL is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SETON HALL is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GEORGETOWN is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
GEORGETOWN is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGETOWN is 2-0 against the spread versus SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
GEORGETOWN is 2-0 straight up against SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ILLINOIS (16 - 11) at OHIO ST (22 - 5) - 2/21/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
OHIO ST is 160-125 ATS (+22.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
OHIO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season.
OHIO ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 116-85 ATS (+22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
ILLINOIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 4-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 5-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (20 - 7) at NORTHWESTERN (16 - 10) - 2/21/2012, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 4-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 3-2 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IL-CHICAGO (8 - 18) at BUTLER (17 - 12) - 2/21/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 131-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 90-63 ATS (+20.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
BUTLER is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
BUTLER is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
BUTLER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUTLER is 3-2 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER is 5-0 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENT ST (19 - 7) at MIAMI OHIO (8 - 17) - 2/21/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 117-86 ATS (+22.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
KENT ST is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
KENT ST is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
MIAMI OHIO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 3-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AUBURN (14 - 12) at FLORIDA (21 - 6) - 2/21/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 230-188 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 230-188 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
AUBURN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 2-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 3-0 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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EVANSVILLE (14 - 13) at CREIGHTON (23 - 5) - 2/21/2012, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
EVANSVILLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
EVANSVILLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
EVANSVILLE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 3-2 against the spread versus EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 4-1 straight up against EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND ST (20 - 8) at WI-GREEN BAY (12 - 14) - 2/21/2012, 8:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-GREEN BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND ST over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 4-1 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOYOLA-IL (7 - 19) at VALPARAISO (19 - 10) - 2/21/2012, 8:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VALPARAISO is 4-1 against the spread versus LOYOLA-IL over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 4-1 straight up against LOYOLA-IL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (16 - 9) at MARYLAND (15 - 11) - 2/21/2012, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
MIAMI is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MIAMI is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
MIAMI is 83-53 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MIAMI is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
MIAMI is 83-52 ATS (+25.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MIAMI is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MIAMI is 98-69 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MARYLAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MARYLAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N CAROLINA (23 - 4) at NC STATE (18 - 9) - 2/21/2012, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
NC STATE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all home games this season.
NC STATE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
NC STATE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.
NC STATE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 5-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 5-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (20 - 6) at VIRGINIA TECH (15 - 12) - 2/21/2012, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 17-37 ATS (-23.7 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 49-72 ATS (-30.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all home games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-2 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-2 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENTUCKY (26 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (19 - 8) - 2/21/2012, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 95-67 ATS (+21.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 3-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO (22 - 4) at COLORADO ST (16 - 9) - 2/21/2012, 10:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
COLORADO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW MEXICO is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW MEXICO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
NEW MEXICO is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW MEXICO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
NEW MEXICO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
NEW MEXICO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEW MEXICO is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 3-3 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 5-1 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WOFFORD (17 - 12) at UNC-GREENSBORO (12 - 16) - 2/21/2012, 7:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WOFFORD is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
WOFFORD is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WOFFORD is 3-0 against the spread versus UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
WOFFORD is 4-0 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : February 21, 2012 8:56 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

GEORGETOWN vs. SETON HALL
Georgetown is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Seton Hall is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Seton Hall is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

WOFFORD vs. UNC GREENSBORO
Wofford is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wofford's last 6 games on the road
UNC Greensboro is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
UNC Greensboro is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

ILLINOIS-CHICAGO vs. BUTLER
Illinois-Chicago is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois-Chicago's last 5 games on the road

Butler is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Butler is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

AUBURN vs. FLORIDA
Auburn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 6 games on the road
Florida is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Florida is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games at home

ILLINOIS vs. OHIO STATE
Illinois is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio State's last 6 games

XAVIER vs. MASSACHUSETTS
Xavier is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Xavier is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Massachusetts is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Massachusetts's last 6 games

KENT STATE vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Kent State is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Kent State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami (Ohio)
Miami (Ohio) is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami (Ohio) is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games

CLEMSON vs. GEORGIA TECH
Clemson is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Clemson's last 5 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia Tech is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

KANSAS STATE vs. MISSOURI
Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Missouri
Kansas State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Missouri
Missouri is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

EVANSVILLE vs. CREIGHTON
Evansville is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Evansville's last 9 games on the road
Creighton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Creighton is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games

MICHIGAN vs. NORTHWESTERN
Michigan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Michigan is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Northwestern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern's last 6 games

NORTH CAROLINA vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
North Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
North Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
North Carolina State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
North Carolina State is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games

CLEVELAND STATE vs. WISC-GREEN BAY
Cleveland State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Cleveland State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wisc-Green Bay
Wisc-Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Wisc-Green Bay is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

MIAMI vs. MARYLAND
Miami is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Maryland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Maryland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

LOYOLA OF CHICAGO vs. VALPARAISO
Loyola of Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Loyola of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Valparaiso is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Valparaiso is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

VIRGINIA vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Virginia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Virginia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Virginia Tech is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games

KENTUCKY vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kentucky's last 12 games on the road
Mississippi State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Mississippi State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

NEW MEXICO vs. COLORADO STATE
New Mexico is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
Colorado State is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado State's last 9 games

 
Posted : February 21, 2012 9:02 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tuesday's Top College Basketball Trends

NEW MEXICO is 18-4 ATS as a favorite (vs Colorado State)

MICHIGAN is 11-1 ATS off 3 straight games w/ 11 or less TO's (vs Northwestern)

ILLINOIS is 0-9 ATS Away off BB games w/ 5 or less steals (vs Ohio State)

LOYOLA-IL is 1-11 ATS off BB road games (vs Valparaiso)

WI-GREEN BAY is 12-1 ATS revenging a loss where opp scored 75+ pts (vs Cleveland St)

 
Posted : February 21, 2012 11:31 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tuesday's Tip Sheet
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

North Carolina (23-4 SU, 14-12 ATS) at N.C. State (18-9 SU, 10-13 ATS)

North Carolina has been on a serious roll since it collapsed to Duke (84-85) at home on Feb. 8. The Tar Heels have won and covered three straight behind a defense that has allowed an average of 56 points per game during this stretch.

The Tar Heels have won four straight on the road in conference play, all coming by nine points or more. Tonight, they’re laying six points to N.C. State and they already notched a 19-point (74-55) victory against them on Jan. 26.

The total in the first meeting between the pair closed at 159 and it was never threatened. With the recent play of UNC’s defense, the books have tonight’s ‘over/under’ much lower (149.5).

N.C. State does have something in common with UNC, it also collapsed to Duke and it was probably worse than the ‘Heels. The Wolfpack led by as many 20 points against the Blue Devils in the second-half but couldn’t hold on in the end, losing 77-73 at Cameron last Thursday. They did cover as 10-point road underdogs.

The Wolpack had a chance to rebound from the Duke setback but they came out flat on Saturday and got beat by another ranked ACC school in Florida State, 76-62.

Can N.C. State get the formula right tonight? The venue should be jumping at RBC Center as the school will honor the 1988-89 team that featured Chris Corchiani and Tom Gugliotta, who were both ejected from Saturday’s home game against FSU for excessive behavior. Let’s see what happens tonight against UNC.

Virginia (20-6 SU, 13-8 ATS) at Virginia Tech (15-12 SU, 7-15 ATS)

This intrastate rivalry has had some tight affairs recently and the oddsmakers believe we’ll have another one tonight, listing Virginia as a two-point road favorite.

The Cavaliers will be looking to avenge a 47-45 loss to the Hokies on Jan. 22. They shot 33 percent from the floor and were just 1-of-14 from 3-point land. When Virginia scores 60 or more point this season, the team has gone 16-0.

Will the offense show up in Blacksburg tonight? In conference play, Virginia has dropped three straight on the road and is 2-4 (4-2 ATS) outside of Charlottesville.

V-Tech is off a 74-73 overtime win against Georgia Tech on Saturday. Including the win over the Yellow Jackets, the Hokies have gone 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in their last three, and all of the games were decided by exactly one point.

Instead of choosing a side here, the ‘under’ might be worth a look just based on the trends. Virginia (18-3) and Virginia Tech (14-9) have both leaned to the ‘under’ this season, plus the last four encounters between the pair have gone ‘under’ as well. The total is hovering between 114 and 115 points.

Kentucky (26-1 SU, 11-14 ATS) at Mississippi State (19-8 SU, 11-14 ATS)

How do you bet against Kentucky these days? The school is hands down the best in the country and they’re dominating teams on both ends of the court. The Wildcats are giving 9½-points on the road and that line seems too small when you realize Kentucky has won 21 of its 26 games by double digits.

In conference play on the road, Kentucky has gone 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS. In those games, bettors might look at the outcomes against Tennessee (65-62) and Vanderbilt (69-63) as reasons to back Mississippi State tonight.

The Bulldogs have the talent to compete yet it’s hard to back a team that comes into this game with three straight losses albeit two were in overtime.

Miss State has gone 15-2 SU and 6-10 ATS at home this season. Most of the wins came against inferior opponents and the Bulldogs have only been underdogs once, which resulted in a win over Alabama (56-52) as a 1½-point pup.

Rather than betting on Kentucky each night, the better investment is taking the school to win this year’s championship. Right now, you can bet the Wildcats as high as 3/1 odds at some offshore outfits. The school will be favored here on out you’ll be presented with plenty of hedge and middle opportunities. Even against another contender like Syracuse, the ‘Cats will be giving six or more points on a neutral court.

New Mexico (22-4 SU, 17-5 ATS) at Colorado State (16-9 SU, 12-10 ATS)

Gamblers riding the Lobos have been seeing the cashier early and often lately. New Mexico has won and covered seven straight games and that includes back-to-back impressive victories over San Diego State (77-67) and UNLV (65-45) last week.

Tonight, New Mexico has been made a 5½-point road favorite at Colorado State. The Rams have been a solid investment at home, going 12-1 SU and 5-5 ATS. The lone loss occurred in mid-November to Southern Mississippi (58-79), who shot lights out from the floor.

CSU has only been a home ‘dog once this season and it defeated San Diego State 77-60 on Jan. 28.

You could look at the revenge factor here too with the Rams, since New Mexico blasted Colorado State 85-52 on Jan. 25, easily cover as an 11½-point home favorite.

The Mountain West Conference is expected to see three teams earn bids for the upcoming NCAA Tournament. CSU isn’t in that group but a win here would certainly help its cause. The money-line price on the Rams is plus-200 (Bet $100 to win $200).

The total opened at 134 and spiked to 135 ½ at most shops. The ‘under’ has cashed in the last four head-to-head affairs, including the first meeting this season.

 
Posted : February 21, 2012 1:11 pm
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