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College Basketball Betting News and Notes Tuesday 3/27

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Tuesday's Best NIT Bets
By Covers.com

Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Stanford Cardinal (-2.5, 150)

After winning three straight road games to reach the NIT semifinals, Massachusetts won't be traveling far to face third-seeded Stanford at New York’s Madison Square Garden.

The fifth-seeded Minutemen have won six of their last seven games, with the only loss coming to St. Bonaventure in the Atlantic-10 tournament semifinals. Stanford has been home for its three NIT wins, including a dominant 84-56 victory over Nevada last Wednesday.

Like Stanford, the Minutemen opened the season strong before slumping midway through league play.

Massachusetts, which finished tied for fifth in the Atlantic-10, has reached the NIT final four for the third time in school history with wins over Mississippi State, Seton Hall and Drexel. Point guard Chaz Williams, a Brooklyn native, is averaging 22.7 points, 6.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists in three NIT games.

The Minutemen lost forwards Sampson Carter and Cady Lalanne to season-ending injuries, but their frontline remains strong behind Raphiael Putney (10.2 points, 5.9 rebounds) and center Sean Carter (8.1 points, 6.5 boards).

Pick: Minutemen

Washington Huskies vs. Minnesota Gophers (1, 143)

After being upset in the Pac-12 tournament, the top-seeded Huskies have averaged 82.7 points in three straight NIT wins. The sixth-seeded Gophers, who are the second team in NIT history to win three straight road games to reach the semifinals, gave Middle Tennessee only its second home loss of the season in the third round.

Washington features two of the conference’s top players in Tony Wroten and Terrence Ross, and the Huskies are making their second trip to New York’s Madison Square Garden this season.

Ross has taken his game to another level in the NIT, averaging 26.3 points in three games. The sophomore guard is drawing interest from NBA scouts while shooting 51.9 percent from the field in the NIT, including 40 percent (12 of 30) from 3-point range.

The Huskies rank fifth nationally with an average of 40 rebounds, but they’ll be tested by Minnesota, which ranks fourth in the Big Ten in rebounding margin (plus-4.2) and leads the league in blocked shots (4.9).

Pick: Gophers

 
Posted : March 26, 2012 9:50 pm
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NIT Semifinals
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

The National Invitational Tournament has narrowed its field of 32 down to four schools that will congregate Tuesday night at Madison Square Garden in New York City for the event’s semifinals. The winners will collide Thursday night for the championship. Let’s take a look at Tuesday’s doubleheader.

Massachusetts vs. Stanford

As of Monday afternoon, most betting shops were listing Stanford (24-11 straight up, 17-15 against the spread) as a 2 ½-point favorite with the total in the 149-150 range. Gamblers can take the Minutemen to win outright for a plus-125 return (risk $100 to win $125).

UMass (25-11 SU, 19-13 ATS) had a tough path to MSG with each of its NIT games coming as a road underdog of six points or more. The Minutemen began its trek in Starkville, where it emerged from The Hump with a 101-96 win at Mississippi St. as a 7½-point underdog. Chaz Williams led the winners with 28 points, eight rebounds, six assists and three steals. Sean Carter added 20 points and 12 rebounds.

After winning 77-67 at Seton Hall as six-point underdog, UMass won a 72-70 decision at Drexel as a 7½-point hound. The Minutemen trailed by as many as 17 points early in the second half before rallying to victory behind a 20-point effort from Williams, who knocked down 8-of-13 shots from the field. Terrell Vinson added 18 points with 14 of those coming in the second half when UMass shot better than 70-percent from the field.

Stanford got to play all three of its previous NIT games at home in Palo Alto. The run for the Cardinal started with a 76-65 win over Cleveland St. as a six-point favorite. Aaron Bright scored a game-high 17 points, while Anthony Brown and Josh Owens added 15 points apiece.

In the NIT second round, Johnny Dawkins’s squad needed overtime to sneak past Illinois St. by a 92-88 count as an 8½-point home ‘chalk.’ Bright played the game of his life with 29 points and six assists. The sophomore point guard made 11-of-13 shots from the field, draining 6-of-7 treys. Dwight Powell added 18 points and nine rebounds.

Stanford advanced to MSG thanks to an 84-56 win over Nevada as a six-point favorite. Owens and Chasson Randle paced the Cardinal with 15 points apiece.

Stanford owns a 9-6 spread record in 15 games as a single-digit favorite.

UMass has been an underdog 14 times, going 7-7 ATS with six outright victories.

The ‘over’ is 18-13-1 overall for UMass, 5-2-1 in its last eight games.

The ‘over’ is 18-14 overall for Stanford, hitting in each of its last six games.

Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

Minnesota vs. Washington

Most books are listing Washington (24-10 SU, 17-15 ATS) as a one-point favorite with a total of 143.

Minnesota (22-14 SU, 19-13-1 ATS) is playing outstanding basketball and has been treating its backers to nice payouts in recent weeks. Like UMass, the Gophers paved their way to NYC with three road wins. They won 78-72 at Middle Tennessee as 3½-point ‘dogs in the NIT quarterfinals. Rodney Williams’s stellar play continued with a 24-point effort on 8-of-11 shooting against the Blue Raiders. Andre Hollins also finished with 24 points, six rebounds and four assists.

Tubby Smith’s team has won five of its last six games with the only loss coming to Michigan in overtime at the Big Ten Tournament. Even better, Minnesota is 7-0 ATS in its last seven outings.

Minnesota won its NIT opener at LaSalle by a 70-61 count as a two-point underdog. Williams led the way with 21 points. During the Gophers’ three-game NIT run, Williams is averaging 22.0 points per game, making 26-of-38 from the floor (68%).

Washington lost its regular-season finale at UCLA and its Pac-12 Tourney opener to Oregon St. to play its way off the bubble and into the NIT where it was tabbed as one of the four No. 1 seeds. The Huskies won all three of its NIT games at home, covering in the first two before failing to do so in their 90-86 quarterfinals victory over Oregon as five-point ‘chalk.’

Terrence Ross has been the catalyst for UW, scoring a game-high 24 points in the win over the Ducks. Ross scored 32 points in the Huskies’ 76-55 win over Northwestern as five-point home favorites. He finished with 23 points in an 82-72 over Texas-Arlington in UW’s win as a 9½-point favorite.

Ross is currently listed as the No. 18 pick in the first round of this upcoming NBA Draft if the sophomore decides to turn pro. As for Minnesota’s Williams, the junior forward is listed at No. 48 in the second round if he bolts early.

Washington is 9-8 in 17 single-digit favorite situations. Meanwhile, Minnesota has covered the spread in seven straight underdog spots. For the season, the Gophers are 10-5 ATS with six outright wins as ‘dogs.

Minnesota got good news over the weekend when the NCAA granted Trevor Mbakwe a sixth year of eligibility. He suffered a season-ending injury in November. Mbakwe was averaging 14.0 points and 9.1 rebounds per game through the Gophers’ first seven contests.

The ‘over’ is 17-15-1 overall for Minnesota, going 5-1 in its last six games.

Totals have been an overall wash for UW (16-16), but the ‘over’ is on a 6-3 run in the Huskies’ last nine games.

 
Posted : March 26, 2012 9:51 pm
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NCAAB Preview

UMass should have crowd edge here, being only team east of the Great Lakes, but Stanford did play two games here Thanksgiving weekend, as they beat Oklahoma State, lost to Syracuse; Minutemen won six of last seven games, losing to St Bonaventure by 4 in A-14 tournament- they won three road games to get here, with wins at Miss State (2OT)/Seton Hall/Drexel. Stanford won three home games to get here; they're 3-6 in last nine games away from Maples; Cardinal has good size/depth. Six of last eight UMass games and last six Stanford games went over the total.

Washington is talented, erratic team that is 19-5 in last 24 games after a 5-5 start; they won three home games to get here, are 3-3 in last six tilts away from home. Huskies are 0-4 vs teams in top 40; they won by 21 over Big Dozen's Northwestern 11 days ago, a team Minnesota was 2-1 against this season. Gophers beat Pac-12 doormat USC by 15 earlier in season; they've won five of last six games, losing to Michigan in OT in conference tournament- they won three road games to get here. Huskies want to run; think Minnesota will run with them. Washington shoots a putrid 62.4% from foul line, which could hurt in a close game.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : March 27, 2012 7:59 am
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MASSACHUSETTS (25 - 11) vs. STANFORD (24 - 11)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MINNESOTA (22 - 14) vs. WASHINGTON (24 - 10)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : March 27, 2012 7:59 am
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