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College Basketball Betting News and Notes Tuesday December, 18

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(@blade)
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College Knowledge

-- Michigan State beat Bowling Green last two years by 35-14 points; Spartans lost 67-59 at Miami, in its only true road game this year- they are 6-0 vs teams not in top 100, with five of six wins by 12+ points. Falcons are 4-1 at home, beating #103 Detroit by 5, best team they've played this year. MAC home underdogs are 4-6 vs spread.
-- Southern Mississippi lost its last three road games, by 8-8-10 points; they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 18-12-48. USM turns ball over 26% of time, not good. Georgia State is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Duke/BYU by 19-18 points. C-USA road favorites are 6-8 vs spread; CAA home underdogs are 1-3 against the spread.
-- Richmond is 9-2, 2-2 on road, losing only two games outside Virginia at Minnesota by 15, Ohio by 25, also only two games Spiders played vs teams ranked in top 180. Kansas hammered Colorado/Belmont by 29-36 points in its last two games; Jayhawks are blocking 24% of opponents' shots. Atlantic 16 double digit road underdogs are 7-4 vs spread.
-- 6-1 Miami split its two road games, losing at Florida Gulf Coast by 12, winning by 13 at UMass; Hurricanes are 2-0 vs top 100 teams, with home wins over Michigan State/Charlotte. Central Florida beat Miami 84-78 two years ago, in last series meeting; Knights lost by 14-13 points in its games vs top 50 teams. Miami better not look ahead to its Hawai'i trip - they play Warriors Saturday.

-- First true road game for 7-3 Stanford team that is 0-3 vs top 50 teams, losing by 8-8-3 points; Cardinal won its last three games, allowing 55.7 ppg, but they were all at home. NC State is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Oklahoma State/Michigan, beating UConn by 4. Pac-12 road dogs are 10-11 against the spread. ACC single digit home favorites are 8-6.
-- Utah (+7) lost 62-55 at SMU Nov 28, outscored 18-2 on the foul line. SMU got hammered by 22 at Rhode Island Saturday, in its first game in two weeks; Mustangs won their other road game at Hofstra. SMU is #5 in country, making 41.2% behind arc. Utah hasn't played in 10 days since losing to rival BYU by 3- they beat Boise by 21 for its best win.
-- Denver lost last four visits to Wyoming by 8-13-32-6 points; they're 0-3 on road, losing by 7-11-13. Pioneers are 0-4 vs top 100 teams so far this year, scoring just 55.5 ppg. First game in 10 days for Cowboys, not a good thing usually but in this case, gives them time to prepare for the Princeton offense. Wyoming is 2-0 vs top 100 teams winning by 7-14.
-- 6-1 LSU lost by 19 at Boise State last game, in its first away game of season; Tigers turn ball over 24.6% of time. Cal-Irvine lost five of its last six games, beat Nevada by 14 in its only home game vs D-I team; they lost 66-59 at LSU LY. Big West teams are 11-10 vs spread in games that have spread of 5 or less. SEC teams are 10-18 in such games.
-- Long Beach State overscheduled, as usual; they're already playing 5th game vs top 25 team, losing first four by 15-22-31-34 points. 49ers are young this year, losing six of last eight D-I games. UCLA is 6-1 vs teams not in top 100, with four of six wins by 26+ points. Big West double digit road dogs are 12-8 vs spread. Pac-12 home favorites are 23-17.

-- UCSB lost by 20 at California LY; Gauchos are 1-4 on road, winning in OT at Santa Clara, but losing by 14-28-14-16 points- they're 0-4 vs top 100 teams, with all four losses by 14+. UCSB turns ball over 24.6% of time. Cal Bears lost last three games, allowing 77 ppg- two of the Ls were at home. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 15-11.
-- 9-1 Ill-Chicago won last eight games, including win at Northwesterm; they beat Western Illinois by point at home LY. Flames get 37% of its scoring from outside arc (36.1%)- they allowed 47.6 ppg in last five tilts vs D-I teams. Leathernecks are 7-3, with only one win vs team ranked higher than #262- they lost by 5 at #120 Evansville, best foe to date.
-- Tennessee Tech is 6-4 against #269 schedule; they're 2-3 on road, with losses by 3-16-20 points- they turn ball over 22.6% of time. Auburn is 4-5 vs #324 schedule, another dismal start; they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 11-50-14 points- they're 3-2 at home, losing to URI and DePaul. OVC single digit road underdogs are 8-8 against spread.
-- Jacksonville State is 8-2 vs #331 schedule in country; they lost by 19 at UNLV, 22 at Oregon in only two games vs teams ranked above #269. Nebraska is 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 16-13-11; they lost last two games by 22 points each (Creighton/Oregon). OVC road dogs are 19-18 vs spread. Big Dozen home favorites are 24-18 vs spread.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : December 17, 2012 5:50 pm
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Games to Watch
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

Richmond vs. No. 9 Kansas

The Spiders are off to a strong 9-2 SU start but they are just 2-6 ATS. They ran their current winning streak to five games with a 76-57 rout of Stetson last Saturday in a game with no posted line. Richmond has had little problem putting the ball in the hoop this season with an average of 73.5 points a game but it has struggled under the boards with just 31.8 rebounds.

Kansas should continue to move up in the polls after pasting Belmont this past Saturday 89-60 as a 12-point home favorite. It was the Jayhawks seventh-straight win and they are now 8-1 SU and 4-5 ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of six games with a posted line. Ben McLemore, Jeff Withey and Travis Releford are all averaging better than 13 points while combining for 16.6 rebounds a game.

 
Posted : December 17, 2012 5:51 pm
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College Basketball Lines and Leans
By: The Linemakers
Sportingnews.com

There are four lined college basketball games involving top 25 teams on Tuesday’s schedule. Here’s a look at trends and odds for those games, with leans from The Linemakers on Sporting News for a few of them. The point spreads below are from the LVH SuperBook as of about 10:00 a.m. PT on Tuesday. Visit our live odds board for updated college basketball lines.

Winthrop at No. 7 Ohio State - 7:00 p.m. ET

Line: Ohio State -29, Total: 130

Trends:

• Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

• Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.

• Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.

• Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.

• Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

• Over is 15-5-1 in Buckeyes’ last 21 home games.

• Over is 19-7-2 in Buckeyes’ last 28 overall.

Richmond at No. 9 Kansas - 7:00 p.m. ET

Line: Kansas -14, Total: 134

Trends:

• Spiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

• Spiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.

• Spiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

• Over is 5-2 in Jayhawks’ last 7 Tuesday games.

• Under is 20-9 in Jayhawks’ last 29 non-conference games.

• Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Atlantic 10.

The Linemakers’ take: Richmond can score (73.5 point per game) and has solid guards, but the Spiders lost at Minnesota by 15 and at Ohio by 25. The Jayhawks’ size will give them problems. They have no answer for 7-foot senior center Jeff Withey. Kansas loves to pour it on when it can. Look for the Spiders to stay close for a while, but the Jayhawks to pull away late.

No. 20 Michigan State at Bowling Green - 7:00 p.m. ET

Line: Michigan St -12, Total: 123

Trends:

• Spartans are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 Tuesday games.

• Spartans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

• Spartans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

• Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

• Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

• Under is 4-1 in Spartans’ last 5 road games.

• Under is 6-2 in Spartans’ last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Stanford at No. 25 North Carolina State - 9:00 p.m. ET

Line: N.C. State -7, Total: 143

Trends:

• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games.

• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.

• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

• Wolfpack are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

• Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pacific-12.

• Wolfpack are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.

• Under is 4-1 in Cardinal’s last 5 road games.

• Over is 7-3 in Cardinal’s last 10 overall.

• Over is 7-3 in Cardinal’s last 10 non-conference games.

The Linemakers’ take: Stanford comes in at 7-3, all their losses coming against quality opponents (Belmont by 12, Missouri by eight and Minnesota by three). N.C. State was picked No. 4 in the country in preseason polls and has underachieved so far, but they are tremendously talented and appear to be starting to jell. This is a tough spot for the Cardinal.

 
Posted : December 18, 2012 3:24 pm
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