Wednesday's Best NCAAB Bets
By Covers.com
Long Beach State 49ers at Pitt Panthers (-13.5)
Over the past few years, the Pitt Panthers have been a tough team to get a read on. This season it could be even worse.
With 10 underclassmen trying to come together on the roster, Jamie Dixon’s squad may take a while to find itself. That much was evident in Pitt’s first two games of the year. The Panthers hammered Albany 89-56 in its opener and then barely squeaked by Rider 86-78 thanks to a 16-5 run down the stretch that still didn’t get Pitt supporters to the window with -22 tickets.
"We have so many young guys out there we've got to all be learning and listening and getting better," Dixon said. "We had older guys make young men mistakes and we've got to get that changed."
Granted, this is the time to tighten up these mistakes, but it’s hard to know which team we’re going to see on a nightly basis.
Pick: Pitt
Georgia Southern Eagles at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-12.5)
When C.J. Harris and Travis McKie hit the bench midway through the second half of Wake Forest’s opener, coach Jeff Bzdelik had to be holding his breath.
He must have been seeing flashbacks of last season’s 10-point loss to Stetson. However, this time the Demon Deacons held on with their top scorers on the bench and then went on a 7-point run to close out Loyola of Maryland 75-63 as 2-point favorites.
"It was a great win for us," Bzdelik told reporters. "This basketball team showed a lot of grit and determination. Are there areas where we can do better? Sure. But we won."
The game wouldn’t have been nearly as close if Wake Forest had done a better job from the charity stripe. The Demon Deacons hit only 47.8 percent of their free throws and should be much better than that on a nightly basis.
Pick: Georgia Southern
NCAAB Preview
Buffalo won 78-66 at Cornell LY; Bulls won their opener 72-65 against St Peter's, getting to foul line 33 times. Buffalo has four senior starters, but they need a PG to settle in to become MAC contenders; bench pnly played 31 minutes total in the opener. Cornell split its first two games, losing by 21 to St Bonaventure. Big Red is already 18-42 from arc.
Gottfried is off to good start at NC State, winning by 9-30 points over NC Asheville/Morehead State; Wolfpack is still without Leslie; they've gotten to foul line 50 times, shot over 50% from floor. Princeton lost by 16 to Wagner in its opener, turning ball over 28 times- if they're turning it over 28 teams against an NEC team, they're in big trouble here.
Long Beach State is picked to win Big West again; they won league LY by four games, then got beat in conference tourney, so games like this are designed to toughen them up for March. 49ers have four starters back from 22-12 team that lost by less than 10 points LY to both St Mary's and North Carolina. Big West double digit underdogs are 3-0 this year.
Texas Tech lost 92-83 in OT at North Texas LY; Red Raiders have new coach now- they beat Troy 90-85 in opener, making 10-19 from arc, not a great sign if they hit 10-19 and only won by 5. North Texas lost four starters from LY's 22-11 team that lost Sun Belt final. Sun Belt road dogs are 9-2 vs spread so far this season; Big X home favorites are 3-5.
Creighton has three starters back from 23-16 team that went 10-8 in the MVC and lost in CBI finals; Bluejays were 14-35 from arc in its opener, a 32-point win. For team with strong frontcourt, thats a lot of 3's to take in a blowout. UAB ost three starters from 22-9 team that went 12-4 in league games. MVC road teams are 4-2 vs spread so far this month.
Boise State lost 86-84 at Utah LY; Broncos lost 55 ppg from LY's 22-13 team that went 10-6 in WAC but is now in MWC, a tougher conference, so they're in rebuilding mode, with 9 of 14 players freshmen or sophs. Utah left MWC for Pac-12; they've got new coach, three new starters after LY's13-18 team that was 6-10 in their last year in MWC.
Evansville upset Butler 80-77 in OT at home in opener, making 32-43 on foul line, second straight year they beat Butler, Now Indiana comes to town- Aces lost by 13 at Indiana LY. Aces have three starters back from 16-16 team that was 9-9 in MVC. Hoosiers won their first two games by 30-25 points, shooting 58% from floor, 43.8% from the arc.
Oregon State is deeper, more athletic so they're playing more man-man defense; Beavers beat couple cupcakes by 24-33 points, getting to foul line 73 times in two games. OSU is picked #9 in Pac-12. Pac-12 home favorites are 5-12 vs spread this year. Hofstra is #10 pick in a 12-team CAA. CAA road underdogs are 3-4 against spread so far this year.
New Mexico won its last seven games vs New Mexico State, winning last last four played here, by 14-14-17-16 points. Lobos are picked #2 in MWC, with four starters back from LY's 22-13 team that was 8-8 in its MWC games. Aggies were 26-41 from foul line in their opener, an 89-75 win at Northern Colorado. State is #2 pick in the WAC this season.
Home team won last three San Jose State-San Francisco games; Spartans lost 76-71 in thei rlast visit here two years ago. San Jose lost by 27 at Cal Poly, beat Irvine 51-50. Dons are 2-1 so far, losing by 8 to North Dakota State, beating No. Arizona/UL-Lafayette, all at home. WCC home favorites are 2-5 vs spread this season; WAC road dogs are 2-3.
CORNELL (1 - 1) at BUFFALO (1 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CORNELL is 92-63 ATS (+22.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
CORNELL is 89-54 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road games since 1997.
CORNELL is 89-54 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
CORNELL is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
CORNELL is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
CORNELL is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PRINCETON (0 - 1) at NC STATE (2 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PRINCETON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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LA-MONROE (0 - 2) at TENNESSEE (1 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-MONROE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against SEC opponents since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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LONG BEACH ST (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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N TEXAS (1 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (1 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
N TEXAS is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
N TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
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CREIGHTON (2 - 0) at UAB (0 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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UTAH (1 - 0) at BOISE ST (1 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-0 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANA (2 - 0) at EVANSVILLE (1 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EVANSVILLE is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOFSTRA (1 - 0) at OREGON ST (2 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOFSTRA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NEW MEXICO ST (1 - 0) at NEW MEXICO (1 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
NEW MEXICO is 67-45 ATS (+17.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 4-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN JOSE ST (1 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) - 11/16/2011, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 62-90 ATS (-37.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CLEMSON (1 - 0) at THE CITADEL (1 - 1) - 11/16/2011, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
THE CITADEL is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GA SOUTHERN (0 - 1) at WAKE FOREST (1 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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LOYOLA-IL (0 - 2) at E ILLINOIS (0 - 1) - 11/16/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E ILLINOIS is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
E ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
E ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
E ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus LOYOLA-IL over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-IL is 1-0 straight up against E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
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SE MISSOURI ST (1 - 1) at BRADLEY (1 - 0) - 11/16/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
JACKSON STATE vs. WRIGHT STATE
No trends available
Wright State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Wright State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
VERMONT vs. DARTMOUTH
No trends available
Dartmouth is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Dartmouth is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
LONG ISLAND vs. PENN STATE
No trends available
Penn State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Penn State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
CORNELL vs. BUFFALO
Cornell is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cornell's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. TENNESSEE
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games
STETSON vs. FLORIDA STATE
No trends available
Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Florida State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
FLORIDA SOUTHERN vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
No trends available
South Florida is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
South Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
PRINCETON vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Princeton is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Princeton's last 5 games on the road
North Carolina State is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
North Carolina State is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home
HOWARD vs. OLD DOMINION
No trends available
Old Dominion is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Old Dominion is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
NAVY vs. SIENA
No trends available
Siena is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Siena is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
GEORGIA SOUTHERN vs. WAKE FOREST
Georgia Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 6 games on the road
Wake Forest is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Wake Forest is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE vs. GEORGIA
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia's last 8 games
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
CLEMSON vs. THE CITADEL
Clemson is 7-12-2 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
Clemson is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The Citadel is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The Citadel is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. AMERICAN
Florida Atlantic is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
No trends available
SAM HOUSTON STATE vs. NOTRE DAME
No trends available
Notre Dame is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
Notre Dame is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
UTAH vs. BOISE STATE
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games on the road
Boise State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
SE MISSOURI STATE vs. BRADLEY
SE Missouri State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of SE Missouri State's last 6 games on the road
Bradley is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Bradley is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
COLGATE vs. WISCONSIN
No trends available
Wisconsin is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
Wisconsin is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
NORTH TEXAS vs. TEXAS TECH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of North Texas's last 10 games on the road
Texas Tech is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Texas Tech's last 16 games
LOYOLA OF CHICAGO vs. EASTERN ILLINOIS
Loyola of Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Illinois is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Eastern Illinois is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
WISC-GREEN BAY vs. NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Wisc-Green Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisc-Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
No trends available
CREIGHTON vs. UAB
Creighton is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Creighton's last 5 games on the road
UAB is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UAB's last 7 games
OAKLAND vs. ARKANSAS
No trends available
Arkansas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
No trends available
Oklahoma State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
MOBILE vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
No trends available
South Alabama is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Alabama's last 6 games
INDIANA vs. EVANSVILLE
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Evansville is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Evansville's last 6 games
LONG BEACH STATE vs. PITTSBURGH
Long Beach State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Long Beach State's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
Pittsburgh is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
HOFSTRA vs. OREGON STATE
Hofstra is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Hofstra's last 8 games on the road
Oregon State is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
Oregon State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. NEW MEXICO
New Mexico State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Mexico State is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
New Mexico is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
New Mexico is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
CS BAKERSFIELD vs. CAL POLY
No trends available
Cal Poly is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Cal Poly is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
SAN DIEGO CHRISTIAN vs. SAN DIEGO
No trends available
San Diego is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
San Diego is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home
SAN JOSE STATE vs. SAN FRANCISCO
San Jose State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games