Notifications
Clear all

College Basketball News and Notes Tuesday, February 5

8 Posts
1 Users
0 Reactions
1,291 Views
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

College Knowledge

-- Wake Forest upset NC State, then lost next three games, by 20-5-16 points; Deacons are 2-7 in last nine games vs UNC, losing last three by 9-14-15 points- they lost three of last four visits here, losing by 37-16-14 points. Tar Heels won last three home games, by 10-16-12 points. Wake is 0-5 on ACC road, with four losses by 16+ points. ACC double digit home favorites are 7-3 against the spread.
-- Purdue (-11) held Penn State to 26% from floor in 60-42 home win on Jan 13, Boilers' 12th win in last 14 series games; they split last two trips here, winning by 4-15. Purdue lost three of last four games; they're 1-3 on Big Dozen road, with only win by 9 at Nebraska. Lions are 0-9 so far in league, losing home games by 23-16-9-4-14 points. Big Dozen home underdogs are 8-13 against the spread.
-- Villanova lost five of last seven games, with four of last five decided by 5 or less points; Wildcats lost last three road games, including 69-66 loss at Providence, a bad loss. Villanova won last five games vs DePaul, winning by 2-2 points in last two visits here. Big East home underdogs of 6 or less points are 2-7 vs spread. DePaul is 1-7 in Big East, losing four games by 4 or less points or in OT (lost twice in OT last week).
-- Youngstown outscored Cleveland State 21-5 from foul line, forced 18 turnovers (+8) in 73-59 (-8) home win 10 days ago, just third win in last 12 series games for Penguins, who are 2-3 on Horizon road, with wins by 2-3 points. YSU is 5-1 vs teams ranked outside the top 200. Vikings are 2-1 at home in Horizon, with win over Detroit. Horizon home dogs of 5 or less points are 6-5 against the spread.

-- Miami (-6) won 60-59 at Boston College Jan 16; in game trailed by 7 with 7:49 left; 'canes won last five games vs BC, winning last two here by 1-21 points. Miami is 8-0 in ACC with five road wins, three by 9+ points. Eagles lost five of last six games, losing last three on road, by 3-5-14 points. ACC double digit home favorites are 7-3 vs spread. Miami is 17-3, scoring 55 or less points in all three losses.
-- Florida won last five games vs Arkansas, crushing Hogs by 30 here in LY's meeting; four of those five wins were by 15+ points. Gators won all eight SEC by 14+ points (7-1 vs spread); they're 4-0 on SEC road, winning by 22-21-17-35 points. SEC home underdogs of 9+ points are 2-5 vs spread. Home side is 8-0 SU in Arkansas' SEC contestss, with Razorbacks 4-0 at home, including double OT win over Auburn.
-- Evansville (-7.5) beat Bradley 66-56 Jan 23, making 61% inside arc; it was 4th win in last five series games for Aces, who ended 9-game skid in Peoria with 92-62 win here LY. Aces lost last four road games, with last three games overall decided by 5 or less points, or in OT. Bradley won its last three home games, by 3-3-6 points. MVC home teams are 14-4 vs spread if number was 5 or less points.
-- Wichita State (-15) rallied back from down 9 at half to beat Southern Illinois 82-76 Jan 9, its sixth win in last seven series games, winning last three, by 10-43-6 points. Shockers won last three visits here, by 1-10-10 points. SIU lost last six games, with four of last five losses by 13+- they lost last game by 36. Wichita lost last two games, is 3-2 on MVC road, with wins by 12-6-10 points. MVC home dogs are 13-6 vs spread.
-- Four of last five Missouri State-Northern Iowa games were decided by one point; Panthers are 6-2 in last eight series games, winning 4 of last 5 visits here, winning by 15-14-1-8 points. Bears are 1-4 on Valley road, losing by 3-8-3-14 points, with only win at Drake. MVC double digit home favorites are 6-10 vs spread. UNI won last four home games, by 31-30-13-5 points; their last three games were decided by 5 or less.

-- Kansas State has revenge game with Iowa State on deck Saturday, had best not look past Texas Tech team they've beaten five games in a row, winning by 19-22 points in last two visits here. Big X home underdogs are 3-5 vs spread. Wildcats are 3-1 on Big X road, with wins by 1-13-2 points; five of their eight Big X games were decided by 6 or less points. Tech is 1-3 at home in league, with losses by 34-14-16 points.
-- Florida State lost four of last six games, losing last two road games by 20-24 points; Seminoles won last seven games vs Georgia Tech, beating Jackets by 2-7-9 points in last three visits here. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-8 vs spread. Tech won two of its last three games after 0-5 start, allowing 61.7 ppg, winning last two games. Four of six ACC losses for Tech came by 13+ points.
-- Ohio State (-2.5) beat Michigan 56-53 at home Jan 13, racing out to a 29-8 lead, then holding on; Buckeyes are now 17-3 in last 20 series tilts, with losses by 9-5 points in last three visits here. Michigan is 4-0 in its league home games, with all four wins by 15+ points. OSU won last four games, allowing 54.8 ppg; their league losses are at Illinois/Michigan State. Big Dozen home favorites of 7 or less points are 8-5 vs spread.
-- South Carolina is 2-6 in SEC play, turning ball over 22.5% of time in league games; Gamecocks are 1-3 in SEC home games, losing by 3-7-11 points- they've lost last five games with Kentucky, losing by 9-34 last two times Wildcats came here. Kentucky won five of last six, is 4-1 on SEC road, with only loss by 4 at Alabama. UK won last game in OT at Texas A&M. SEC home favorites of 13+ points are 5-6 vs spread.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : February 4, 2013 1:03 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Games to Watch
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ohio State extended its current winning streak to four games with a 63-56 victory over Nebraska this past Saturday, but it could not cover as a 12-point favorite on the road. The Buckeyes are now 17-4 SU overall and 11-7-1 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in their last six games. Deshaun Thomas has been a force with 20 points and 6.2 rebounds a game and the team as a whole is averaging 71.8 points while shooting 45.9 percent from the field. Ohio State has done a great job on defense this season by holding its opponents to just 57.3 points a game.

Michigan’s stay at the top of the rankings will be a short one after dropping an 81-73 decision to Indiana as a 5 ½-point road underdog in this past Saturday’s Big Ten showdown. The loss leaves the Wolverines 20-2 SU (12-7-1 ATS) on the year and a game behind the Hoosiers in the conference standings at 7-2. The total went OVER the 145 ½-point line after staying UNDER in five of their previous six games. Michigan is ranked 16th in the nation in scoring with an average of 77.8 points a game while sporting the third-best shooting percentage in the country; hitting 50.5 percent from the field. Trey Burke and Tim Hardaway Jr. are each shooting better than 48 percent from the floor.

 
Posted : February 4, 2013 1:03 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tuesday's College Basketball Game of the Day: Ohio State vs. Michigan
Atssportsline.com

Ohio State (17-4 SU, 11-7-1 ATS) is coming off four straight wins, which included a 63-56 win over Nebraska on Saturday. But they didn't cover the 12. Michigan had a four-game losing streak halted on Saturday night at Indiana, 81-73, getting 5.5 Ohio State visits Crisler Arena in Ann Arbor to take on the Wolverines at 9pmET.

Matchup: Last game: (1/13/13). OHIO STATE (-2) over Michigan, 56-53. Ohio State has won 8 of the last 9 in this series.

Latest Odds: Michigan is a 6-point favorite.

Key Betting Trends:

Ohio State is:

7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Michigan is:

5-1 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games.
14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS loss.
37-17 ATS in their last 54 games following a S.U. loss.
43-21-2 ATS in their last 66 games overall.
1-4 last 5 matchups on the Under bet in this series.
3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Key Injuries:

Ohio State:

None.

Michigan:

None.

Preview:

Both teams are 7-2 in the Big 10. This is a revenge game for Michigan, who just got knocked off the top spot after losing at Indiana on Saturday night. The Wolverines also fell at Ohio State on Jan. 13 when they were number one. Trey Burke led Michigan with 15 points, while Tim Hardaway Jr. added 12. The Wolverines were down by 21 points in the first half and came back to tie it at 46 with just under six minutes left. The Buckeyes pulled away at the end, 56-53.

Deshuan Thomas led the Buckeyes with 20 points. He leads the Buckeyes with 20 points per game and adds 6.2rpg. He shoots 47% from the field and 40% from beyond the arc.

Burke leads the Wolverines with 18.2 points per game and 7.2 assists per game, while shooting 49% from the floor and 37% from beyond the arc. Hardaway Jr. is second with 15.6 points per game and shoots 41% from beyond the arc.

Michigan shoots 50% from the floor, while Ohio State shoots 46%. Ohio State's defense will have to be on form. They allow opponents to shoot just 31% from beyond the arc and 38% from the field. Michigan averages 77ppg and wants to run early and often, while Ohio State wants to make this a halfcourt game, averaging 71.8ppg.

 
Posted : February 4, 2013 6:42 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tuesday's Top 25 NCB Betting Notes
By Covers.com

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on all of Tuesday’s ranked college basketball games:

Boston College at (11) Miami-Florida (-14.5)

March is still several weeks away, but the Miami Hurricanes' season is taking on a bit of a storybook feel. After another memorable win, the Hurricanes will look to stay unbeaten in Atlantic Coast Conference play when they host last-place Boston College. The Hurricanes, who have held league opponents to an average of 58.3 points, have done some pretty special things at BankUnited Center. Their last game here was a 24-point rout of Florida State and the one before that resulted in a 27-point drubbing of then-No. 1 Duke. Miami has taken the last five meetings with Boston College and is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games.

(2) Florida at Arkansas (+10.5)

The Gators visit Arkansas aiming for their fifth straight SEC road win in a single season for the first time in program history. Florida is playing suffocating defense, having held three opponents to 40 or fewer points and 11 opponents to 50 or fewer. The Gators rank second nationally in points allowed (51) and lead the nation with a plus-23 scoring margin. The Razorbacks are 4-0 at home and 0-4 on the road in SEC play. Arkansas has scored 73 or more points in 13 of 14 home games, the exception being a 56-33 win over Vanderbilt. The Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.

(15) Kansas State at Texas Tech (+11)

K-State was able to keep pace in the Big 12 title race with its 52-50 win at Oklahoma on Saturday, which gave the Wildcats a season sweep of the Sooners for the first time since 1993. K-State has been solid on the road of late, winning seven of its last eight road contests, including six of its last seven Big 12 road tilts. Texas Tech has lost six of its last seven games since opening Big 12 play with a 62-53 win at TCU on Jan. 5. The Wildcats have won six of the last seven meetings, including five in a row (5-0 ATS).

(22) Wichita State at Southern Illinois (+10.5)

The Salukis haven't created a harrowing road atmosphere at SIU Arena this season. Southern Illinois plays .500 ball at home, but lately it hasn't matter where it plays. The Salukis have lost their past six games, and even playing a slumping Shocker squad doesn't feel ripe for an upset. Wichita State will be trying to avoid losing three straight games for the first time since Jan. 14, 2009. Southern Illinois hasn’t scored over 56 points in its past five games, going 0-5 ATS during that stretch.

(10) Ohio State at (3) Michigan (-7.5)

Just over three weeks ago, Ohio State handed Michigan its first loss of the season and denied the Wolverines a chance to claim the No. 1 national ranking for the first time in 20 years. Michigan matched the 1985-86 team for the best start in school history and was the nation’s last unbeaten team before the Buckeyes ended both runs with a 56-53 victory in Columbus on Jan. 13. The Wolverines rebounded with four straight wins before Saturday’s 81-73 loss at No. 1 Indiana. Ohio State defeated Nebraska 63-56 Saturday for its fourth straight victory and has defeated Michigan in eight of the last nine meetings. The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five Tuesday games.

 
Posted : February 4, 2013 11:54 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tuesday Cliff Notes
By Dave Essler

Ohio State at Michigan: Is this where the Wolverines start to wear down as one of the youngest teams, or is this where they return the favor for an earlier defeat in Columbus. That earlier game was as close as the score indicated, with the only real difference in the box score being that Ohio State shot nearly 50% from the floor. You'd expect that not to happen again, but in that game OSU got out to a 24-6 lead and allowed the Wolverines to make a game of it. That should give Michigan the confidence to win this one, given that they've only lost one home game in a season-and-a-half. Buckeyes do not have a good road win, and have Indiana next. Both teams tied with Michigan State for second the Conference. Now these teams are looking at potentially bigger prize, which would be a number one seed. However, the opening number at BetOnline I see is -6, and that I am not inclined to lay. Ohio State is simply not going to go quietly. OSU has picked up their defense lately, having the #1 in terms of efficiency in Conference play, but they have been a bit sloppy with the ball. I expect another low scoring game.

Villanova at DePaul: In spite of the Blue Demons 1-7 Conference record, their home losses have been relatively close. And 'Nova is in a tough spot after beating Syracuse and L'ville and being on top of the world. The glaring thing in this game is that Villanova has simply been a turnover machine, while DePaul's speed has caused plenty of them. What's very interesting about the Wildcats is they they are one of THE worst teams in the nation in FG% but they score THE highest percentage in the nation from the line, and shoot well over 72%. Because the Blue Demons offense is sub-par and the 'Cats DEFENSE is excellent, I'd almost look for this to stay under what I would expect to be an inflated total, as most DePaul games are. Even with two OT losses I would think DePauls' mental state would be better that Villanova's, but I do trust Wright and do not trust DePaul's interior defense.

Florida State at G-Tech: This is a rivalry that extends well beyond the basketball court. Point being that often times it does not matter what is happening NOW. Tech plays pretty well at home, and with their aggressive defense you'd think they'd win this game, given that FSU turns the ball over. However, laying points in what might be a late/close game is tough for me with a team that shoots as poorly from the line as Tech does. And they don't get their very often, meaning I may look hard at this under as well. FSU will shoot an inordinate amount of three's which almost always baffles me given their size advantage over almost everyone. And they simply have not been a great rebounding team, meaning it'd be tough to back them, either. Under perhaps the best play here.

Florida at Arkansas: OK, what's the huge number THIS time and do we have the stones to take the points. I am always amazed at in spite of Florida's pace they win by so many points game after game, then again I did pick them as a Final Four team, but certainly didn't expect this ATS run. Arkansas certainly doesn't have the horses to compete here, and it's tough for me to make a case for them with the points, although that's all I would ever do. Not laying those points on the road. Arkansas should simply not get second chance points, as Florida is the number one defensive rebounding team in the SEC. Hogs HAVE created turnovers, and they'll need to, because Florida is just freakish from deep. I suppose IF they create enough and IF Florida misses a few FT's (they have dipped since Conference play started) then it's POSSIBLE.

Purdue at Penn State: I know that the Lions are 0-9 in Conference play, but it's tough for me to imagine a 4-5 team being a road favorite here. Especially one who's only road win was at Nebraska. Purdue does have the number one FG % defense in the Big Ten since Conference play started, but they're the worst perimeter defending team and they're young. However, Penn State has played the second toughest Conference SOS while Purdue has played the worst, so with some adjustments for that and some regression, I can see the Lions getting a win here.

Youngstown at Cleveland State: Youngstown's stock is pretty high right now but this is a rematch of a recent game where Youngstown beat up on CSU from start to finish. CS just turned the ball over all night long, but they held their own everywhere else. That would lead me to believe that at home they protect the ball better, seeing as how creating steal is not typically a strength of the Youngstown defense. The Penguins, I believe they are, will want to up-tempo this game, but at home CS should be able to dictate policy, one would think. CS is super-young so perhaps coming around a bit here, and with revenge, and this IS a team that beat Detroit outright, I'd have to think the short home dog is the play.

 
Posted : February 5, 2013 10:38 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

College Basketball: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Boston College at Miami-Florida

Hurricanes (17-3, 13-4 ATS) snapping Wolfpacks 13-game home win streak with a 79-78 victory in Raleigh this past weekend put a nine-game (7-2 ATS) win streak on the line when they host Eagles (10-11, 9-6-2 ATS) on Tuesday. The Hurricanes had a close win on the road (60-59) vs Eagles earlier in the campaign but this one at BankUnited Center in Coral Gables should be easier. Stick with Hurricanes knowing Eagles have hit more than a few bumps on the road (2-14 SU, 9-7 ATS) and haven't had much success overall vs the conference (4-16 SU, 11-9 ATS). Expect Hurricanes to improve their 5-0 (3-2 ATS) streak, 8-2 (7-3 ATS) stretch vs Eagles and the 16-4 (13-7 ATS) mark vs the ACC.

Ohio State at Michigan

Wolverines (20-2, 12-7-1 ATS) joining the likes of Duke, Louisville in getting trounced after being handed #1 ranking in the AP poll found out just how hard it is to win on the road in the Big Ten as they were clobbered 81-73 at Assembly Hall Saturday getting out-shot and out-rebounded in the loss. Wolverines looking to regroup at the Crisler Center in Ann Arbor hosting Ohio State (17-4, 11-7-1 ATS) also have pay-back in mind having suffered one of it's two blemishes against Buckeyes back on January 13th. Wolverines netting 77.8 points/game on a wicked 50.5% shooting face a real challenge as the Buckeyes have a solid clamp-down defense allowing 57.3 points/game on just 37.8% shooting from the floor. Wolverines a solid 27-1 (14-9-1 ATS) stretch on home court the past two seasons have lost eight of the past nine encounters with Ohio State but own a profitable 6-3 ATS mark over the span.

 
Posted : February 5, 2013 10:56 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

College Basketball Point Spreads and Picks
By: The Linemakers
Sportingnews.com

Ohio State and Michigan have never met as top-10 teams, in basketball that is. That changes tonight when the Buckeyes visit Ann Arbor looking for their 18th win in 21 tries against the Wolverines under coach Thad Matta.

Ohio State-Michigan headlines a solid slate of Tuesday games:

No. 2 Florida (18-2 SU, 12-5 ATS) at Arkansas (13-8 SU, 6-7 ATS) - 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

Line: Florida -10.5, Total: 137

The Linemakers' take: Oddsmakers finally caught up to Florida on Saturday. The Gators' eight-game ATS binge ended in a 78-64 win over Ole Miss when they failed to cover the 17.5 points. Florida still lays double digits here, and deservedly so, even though Arkansas has won 10 straight at home. The Gators lead the nation with a +23 scoring differential, have shot 50 percent in eight of its last 10 games and held 11 opponents to 50 or fewer points. To make this interesting, the Razorbacks need big games from BJ Young (16.7 ppg, 4.1 apg) and Marshawn Powell (15.3 ppg, 5.6 rpg). Arkansas forces 18.4 turnovers per game and has scored at least 73 points in 13 of 14 games at Bud Walton Arena. Under Mike Anderson, the Razorbacks are 29-4 at home.

Trends

• Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games.

• Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last five road games.

• Arkansas is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 home games vs. teams with winning road records.

• Arkansas is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games following an ATS win.

• Arkansas is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games vs. teams with .600-plus winning percentages.

• Florida is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.

• Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.

• Over is 9-2 in Arkansas' last 11 home games.

No. 10 Ohio State (17-4 SU, 11-7-1 ATS) at No. 3 Michigan (20-2, 12-7-1 ATS) - 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

Line: Michigan -7.5, Total: 133

The Linemakers' take: In the first meeting in Columbus, the Buckeyes controlled tempo and handed the Wolverines their first loss, 56-53. Michigan came in averaging 81 points per game. Ohio State limits opponents to 38.3 percent shooting, best in the Big Ten. In their four-game win streak, the Buckeyes haven't settled for 3-pointers, averaging just nine attempts. They're attacking the basket and getting to the foul line instead (16.3 makes out of 20.5 attempts). Michigan point guard Trey Burke, who had 25 points and eight assists in Saturday's loss at Indiana, struggled in the first matchup against Ohio State's Aaron Craft. Burke had four assists and four turnovers and shot 4-of-13. Look for Burke to play better at home against the nation's best defensive guard.

"I love playing against Craft," Burke told UMHoops.com. "It's tough because he makes you work, but he makes you better, believe it or not, during the game. It's definitely exciting to play against him, but I think it's going to come down to me getting other people involved so I can open it up for the guards on the perimeter. "I know their game plan is going to be focused around Tim (Hardaway Jr.) and I, so we're just going to have to find ways to get some of the freshmen going early,”" Burke added. "That's something we failed to do in Columbus. I think the more I get into the paint, the more open other guys will be."

Trends

• Ohio State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games following an ATS loss.

• Michigan is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games following an ATS loss.

• Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games vs. teams with winning road records.

• Under is 6-0 in Ohio State's last six games.

• Under is 5-2 in Michigan's last seven games.

• Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.

• Michigan is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

No. 13 Kansas State (17-4 SU, 8-8-1 ATS) at Texas Tech (9-10 SU, 5-7 ATS) - 8 p.m. ET

Line: Kansas State -11

The Linemakers' take: The Wildcats have dominated this series lately, winning the last five meetings by an average of 21.2 points, including their last two trips to Lubbock by an average of 20.5 points. Kansas State senior Rodney McGruder (14.5 ppg, 5.2 rpg) is due to bust out after back-to-back games with seven points. He'll enjoy facing a Red Raiders defense allowing a conference-high 70.3 points per game. Texas Tech is 8-7 at home and has lost six of its past nine at United Spirit Arena. Bruce Weber's Wildcats allow a league-low 57.8 points per game and should force a bunch of turnovers by Texas Tech, which committed 22 in a 77-61 home loss to West Virginia on Saturday.

"Our concentration level at times kills us," Red Raiders coach Chris Walker said. "We're getting better, but key turnovers can kill you."

Trends

• Kansas State is 5-2-1 ATS in its last eight games.

• Kansas State is 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine road games.

• Texas Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last five Big 12 games.

• Over is 8-2 in Kansas State's last 10 Big 12 games.

• Under is 4-1 in Texas Tech's last five home games.

• Kansas State is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.

• Home team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

 
Posted : February 5, 2013 11:32 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tuesday's Hoop Action
By CarbonSports

College basketball takes center stage in the betting world tonight as there are two huge games going on that could drastically affect the Top 25. The first has newly-minted No. 2 Florida heading on the road as double-digit favorites to play Arkansas, while No. 10 Ohio State is in the “Big House” to take on No. 3 Michigan.

Here is a breakdown of both contests.

Florida (-12) vs. Arkansas

The Gators take their 18-2 straight up record on the road tonight where they are 6-1 SU this season. They are 5-0 both SU and ATS in the last five meetings with Arkansas and have won eight of the past 10 outright. Florida has been obliterating teams of late, winning each of their last 10 by double digits so it is no surprise to see them laying that kind of chalk tonight. In fact, they are 8-2 ATS in those last 10 games and all 10 of them have had them listed as double-digit favorites.

The Gators simply put so much pressure on their opposition with their swarming defense and relentless outside shooting that it’s so demoralizing to even attempt a comeback on Florida. They look to bury you as early as possible and tonight won’t be any different.

Arkansas has been better this season than in recent years and they are 11-1 SU at home. That lone loss came to Syracuse way back when and it’s not like they haven’t faced top-quality competition already this year (Michigan, Wisconsin). But they might be a bit out of their league again tonight (2-9 ATS in last 11 vs. team winning 60% of games or better) and will need to relentlessly fill up the bucket in order to have a chance. The Razorbacks have topped 70 in each of their past three home games and have done so in all but one of their 12 home games.

Florida won’t mind this game turning into a shooting competition one bit, so expect this game to have plenty of points with both teams likely finishing with 70 or more. The 139-point total should be surpassed in this one.

Ohio State vs. Michigan (-7.5)

Points may be a little harder to come by in this Big 10 matchup, especially with Michigan looking to tighten up things defensively after the weekend.

The Wolverines fell 81-73 in Indiana on Saturday, allowing 70 or more against for only the fourth time this year. The loss knocked them from the No. 1 overall ranking and they can’t let that hinder their performance tonight. This is a rematch with the Buckeyes after Ohio State gave Michigan their first loss of the year on Jan. 13. That game finished 56-53 as Ohio State jumped out to a 34-22 halftime lead and was able to hold on in the second-half. They held the Wolverines to 38% shooting from the field and will need a similar performance defensively tonight if they want a chance at the win.

Michigan won’t mind a low-scoring game because they simply can’t let teams get whatever they want like Indiana did. It’s not like they didn’t play well defensively in only allowing 56 points last time and with a 7-3 ATS mark in the last 10 vs. Ohio State, they could easily run away with this in the second-half and sit on the ball.

Michigan is 3-8 O/U in their last 11 against a winning road team and 2-5 O/U in their last seven overall. Combine those numbers with the fact that Ohio State is 0-6 O/U in their last six and 1-6 O/U in their last seven on the road and we should see another defensive battle in this one.

 
Posted : February 5, 2013 12:41 pm
Share: