Final Four Round Up
By Marc Lawrence
It’s onward to Houston for the Final Four. To put the wraps on the 2011 NCAA Tournament, listed below are some interesting trends and angles to consider before our Fab Four lifts off this weekend. All results listed below are ATS (Against The Spread) and most recent since 1991 unless noted otherwise. Enjoy…
FINAL 4 ROUND NOTES
• #3 seeds are 7-3 (4-0 SU and ATS as favs or dogs of 4 or less points)
• #8 or lower seeds are 0-3
• Teams off BB SU dog wins are 1-8
• Teams who are 3-0 ATS last 3 games are 9-24
• Teams with revenge are 2-7
• Big East teams are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS
• SEC teams are 6-2 as dog or favorites of less than 7 points
• Teams with the greater win percentage are 10-2 SU and ATS S/2005
• Returnees from last year in this round are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS as favorites
CHAMPIONSHIP GAME NOTES
• #3 seed dogs are 1-3
• #5 or worse seeds are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS
• Favorites of 5 or less points are 10-1
• Favorites who scored 80 > points in the Final 4 round are 4-1
• Teams with a win percentage of .810 points in Final 4 round are 1-5
• Dogs 3 or more points off a SU dog win are 1-5
• Big East teams are 3-0 SU and ATS
• SEC teams are 3-0 ATS as favorites
COACH ME UP
Butler’s Brad Stevens is:
48-56-4 ATS as a favorite and 16-6-1 ATS as a dog
33-16-2 ATS vs non-conference
10-3 SU and ATS in NCAA tournament
2-2 SU and ATS vs Big East
1-0 SU and ATS vs CAA
1-2 SU and ATS vs SEC
Connecticut’s Jim Calhoun is:
228-236-12 ATS as a favorite and 63-57-1 ATS as a dog
98-98-5 ATS vs non-conference
43-13 SU and 28-27-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
7-1 SU and 2-6 ATS vs CAA
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs Horizon League
13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS vs SEC
Kentucky’s John Calipari is:
237-204-14 ATS as a favorite and 53-27-1 ATS as a dog
129-98-5 ATS vs non-conference
32-13 SU and 23-21-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
23-8 SU and 17-13-1 ATS vs Big East
6-0 SU and ATS vs CAA
2-0 SU and ATS vs Horizon League
VCU’s Shaka Smart is:
24-26-1 ATS as a favorite and 9-6 ATS as a dog
14-12 ATS vs non-conference
5-0 SU and ATS in NCAA tournament
1-1 SU and ATS vs Big East
0-0 SU and ATS vs Horizon League
0-1 SU and ATS vs SEC
There you have it, trends and notes of teams and coaches for the NCAA Final Four and out games played the last 20 years. I hope you’ve enjoyed the tournament as much as I have. I’ll return during the NBA playoffs with an overview of some Good, Bad, and downright Ugly stats and trends. Until then, enjoy the rest of the ‘Dance’.
VA COMMONWEALTH (28 - 11) vs. BUTLER (27 - 9)
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
BUTLER is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
BUTLER is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
BUTLER is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BUTLER is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
BUTLER is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BUTLER is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
KENTUCKY (29 - 8) vs. CONNECTICUT (30 - 9)
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
KENTUCKY is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NCAA Tournament - Final Four - Reliant Stadium - Houston, TX
VA COMMONWEALTH vs. BUTLER
VA COMMONWEALTH: 9-0 ATS in NCAA Tournament
BUTLER: 13-1 ATS when seeded 5 to 8 in the NCAA Tournament
KENTUCKY vs. CONNECTICUT
KENTUCKY: 6-0 ATS Away revenging SU loss as a favorite
CONNECTICUT: 11-1 ATS on neutral court