Focusing on road teams with NBA Picks..Is it worth it?
By Michael Alexander
Certainly you can read a plethora of articles on the advantages or disavantages of betting road teams with NBA picks. In fact, manay an "expert" handicapper has claimed large winning percentages in focusing just on road teams. Just like anything else in the handicapping world, there are some exagerated claims with trends and angles of any types. However, if you utilize all of the information at your disposal to come up with an NBA picks and not focus on one particular trend too much you can and will make money. In looking at road teams the fact is that since the start of the 2004 season, road teams overall have hit 40.3% SU while winning 51.5% if the time ATS. If the road team happened to be favored they have won outright 66.0% while hitting 52.7% ATS. Road underdogs have come in hitting 29.5% SU and 51.2% ATS. With all that said, are there advantages that we can profit on with our NBA picks when focusing on the road team? Let's take a look:
Playing on away favorites who go into the game without rest has produced 56.1% winners when looking at the Under in this games.
Playing away favorites who have had a rest versuss an opponent without rest has hit 59.3% ATS.
Playing on an away team in game 3 of a 4 game road trip after losing the first 2 games of the trip has produced a profitable 58% when playing the Under.
Playing on an away teazm in game 3 of a 4 game road trip after losing the first 2 games of the trip versus a conference opponent is a profitable 62.2% when playing the Under.
Playing on a road team who split their first two games of a 3 game road trip and is listed as the favorite is 59.2% ATS.
Playing on the road team when it's their first game of a 3 game road trip and they are listed as a favorite is 64.5% ATS.